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Alagasco Seven Day Forecast

Thursday July 31, 2014
Forecaster: James Spann


MOISTURE LEVELS RISING: We will forecast a mix of sun and clouds across the great state of Alabama today, and with rising moisture levels a few scattered showers are possible through tonight. Rain amounts should be light and spotty for most communities, and the high today will be in the mid 80s… about 5-8 degrees below average for the last day of July (Birmingham’s average high today is 91).

Moisture levels will be deeper tomorrow, so scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible, and should be a little more numerous.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: An axis of deeper moisture will be in place as the weekend begins, so for now Saturday looks like a day with more clouds than sun, and scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms along with a high in the low to mid 80s. Showers and storms are still possible Sunday, although they should thin out a bit with temperatures rising into the upper 80s.

NEXT WEEK: Confidence is low since there is not much consistency in model output; looks like we will need to continue to some of scattered showers and storms through at least the first half of the week, with daily highs between 87 and 90 degrees. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny weather today with only a small risk of a shower from Panama City west to Gulf Shores; the high will be in the upper 80s. Then, about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day tomorrow through Sunday with a daily possibility of scattered showers and storms.

TROPICAL WEATHER: The tropical wave in the Atlantic between Africa and the Lesser Antilles is still struggling; there is little deep convection  as it moves west/northwest. Seems like dry air surrounding the system, and wind shear is preventing it from becoming better organized. NHC has dropped the chance of development from 70 to 50 percent, and if anything can form in that region most likely it recurves before reaching the U.S. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps.

7dayAlagasco3

Sun_Rain_Showers_Icon Thursday July 31
Mixed sun and clouds. A few scattered showers.
Afternoon High 85
Wind: N 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 60%   Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.20″   Severe weather threat: None
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Friday August 1
Partly sunny. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 68   Afternoon High 87
Wind: N 5-10 mph   Sun percentage: 55%   Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.30″   Severe weather threat: None
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Saturday August 2
Mostly cloudy; scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Morning Low 70   Afternoon High 83
Wind: SE 5-10 mph   Sun percentage: 25%   Hours of rain: 2
Rain potential: 0.60″   Severe weather threat: None
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Sunday August 3
Intervals of sunshine. Scattered showers or storms.
Morning Low 71   Afternoon High 88
Wind: SW 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 45%   Hours of rain: 1
Rain potential: 0.40″   Severe weather threat: None
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Monday August 4
Partly sunny. A few scattered showers or thunderstorms.
Morning Low 68  Afternoon High 88
Wind: SW 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 65%   Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.30″   Severe weather threat: None
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Tuesday August 5
Partly sunny. Scattered, mostly afternoon showers.
Morning Low 71   Afternoon High 90
Wind: SW 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 65%   Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.30″   Severe weather threat: None
Partly_Cloudy_Icon Tuesday August 5
More sun than clouds. Lower rain chances, but still a risk for a shower or thunderstorm.
Morning Low 67   Afternoon High 89
Wind: NW 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 75%   Hours of rain: 1/4
Rain potential: 0.10″   Severe weather threat: None