Central Alabama’s Most Detailed Seven Day Forecast

Saturday, February 24, 2018 – Morning Edition
Forecaster: Scott Martin
(Forecast posted at 11:00 PM Friday night)

Not Too Bad On Saturday, But Storms Roll In Late
Saturday will be a day that will feature more sun than clouds along with warm conditions. There is a small risk for a few scattered showers and thunderstorms during the latter half of the daytime hours, with the highest of these chances west of I-59 and I-20/59. Afternoon highs will once again be knocking on the door of the old record highs, reaching the upper 70s to the mid-80s. For the evening and into the over night hours, the frontal system will finally be moving towards Central Alabama, with storms starting as early as midnight for the northwestern locations in the area. Overnight lows will be in the mid-50s to the upper 60s from northwest to southeast.

Strong To Severe Storms Possible
The Storm Prediction Center has removed the Slight Risk for severe storms from Central Alabama, but a Marginal Risk remains for area along and west of I-59 and I-20/59. The main window for the stronger storms to occur will be from 12AM-5AM on Sunday morning, with the main risk coming from isolated damaging wind gusts up to 60 MPH. The tornado threat is very low, but is not zero. The good news is the line is expected to weaken as it moves farther southeast in the area, and the severe threat should have passed once the line moves east of a line from Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Gadsden.

A Wet Day On Sunday, More Strong Storms Possible
Unfortunately, the system stalls out over Central Alabama during the afternoon hours on Sunday and rain and thunderstorms will continue to be possible throughout the area, and some of these could become strong to marginally severe during the main heating of the day, especially with the front starting to move back northward as a warm front. The SPC has nearly all of Central Alabama east of I-59 and I-20/59 in a Marginal Risk for severe storms for Sunday afternoon and into the early evening hours. At this point, confidence is really low on the severe potential, but it looks that there will be a very low risk of damaging wind gusts and an isolated tornado or two occurring. Sunday’s highs will be in the mid-60s to the mid-70s, with overnight lows in the lower 50s to the lower 60s. The latest NAM paints rainfall amounts throughout the weekend from 0.5 inches to 1.5 inches, with the heavier amounts over and around I-59 and I-20/59, and in the northwestern parts of the area close to the Mississippi state line.

Next Week
The frontal boundary will finally be pushed out late on Monday, but showers and storms will linger throughout the late morning into the early evening hours. Tuesday will mostly be dry until late Tuesday evening when more showers and storms will start to move in and persist throughout Wednesday and Thursday. We’ll have to watch for the possibility of severe storms on Thursday, as the SPC already has area west of Alabama highlighted on Wednesday. We dry out and cool down a little for Friday to end the week, and skies will by sunny. High temperatures will be in the 60s and 70s throughout the week.

Beach Forecast Center
Is it warm or cold at the beach today? Will it rain in two days? Get the latest forecast for the beaches from Fort Morgan to Panama City on our Beach Forecast Center page. There, you can select the forecast of the region that you are interested in.

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On This Day In Weather History
1852 – The Susquehanna River ice bridge at Havre de Grace, MD, commenced to break up after forty days of use. A total of 1738 loaded freight cars were hauled along rails laid on the ice.