Central Alabama’s Most Detailed Seven Day Forecast
Thursday afternoon, May 26, 2016
Forecaster: Ryan Stinnett
FEELING LIKE SUMMER: Still just under a month until the official start of summer, but it sure is starting to look and feel like it across Alabama. Humidity levels are on the rise, so are the heat levels, and it is a bit hazy out there as well. What you see is what you get the rest of today and the rest of the work week too. The sky will remain mostly sunny with just a very small risk of showers and storms. Afternoon highs will be at or near 90 for many of us. Copy and paste today’s weather and this will be what you get for your Friday.
DROUGHT MONITOR: The latest drought monitor was released this morning, and the news is not so good for Alabama. Over the last week, abnormally dry conditions have increased from 42.26% of the state, to 48.29%. Moderate drought conditions last week covered 7.86% of the state, this week, that has increased to 12.86%. The northern half of the state is dealing with the dry conditions, while the moderate drought conditions include much of western Jefferson County, and then much of the Tennessee Valley of the state. With no significant rain chances in the forecast the next week, these conditions will likely expand. Also, we are now heading into our hotter months where we don’t necessarily receive as much rainfall.
MORE SEVERE WEATHER FOR PLAINS: The SPC has upgraded portions of Kansas to a “moderate risk” for severe weather today. Severe thunderstorms capable of tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging winds are expected this afternoon and evening across much of the southern Nebraska, Kansas, western Oklahoma, and parts of west-central Texas. Isolated large hail and damaging winds will otherwise be possible over a broad area of the central and southern Plains.
BONNIE, IS THAT YOU?: Latest information from the NHC, an area of low pressure area was centered between Bermuda and the Bahamas is gradually becoming better defined while shower activity is increasing. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical or subtropical cyclone formation on Friday while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward toward the southeastern United States coast. With the Memorial Day weekend approaching, all interests along the Southeast coast from Georgia through North Carolina should monitor the progress of this low. An Air Force reconnaissance plane will be scheduled to investigate this low on Friday. Over the next 48 hours, the NHC gives this feature a 50% of development, while that increase to 70% through five days. Nevertheless, this will impact the Southeast coast of the U.S. and will not be impacting the weather in Alabama.
MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Little change in the overall weather pattern as we roll into the weekend. It will stay unseasonably warm and with the higher humidity levels, look for afternoon highs in the 87-91 degree range. We are going to leave the isolated risk for an afternoon shower/storm in the forecast through the holiday weekend. Most of us will be staying dry, and very little impact is expected on outdoor Memorial Day Weekend plans.
SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: It continues through Sunday at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the weather looks fantastic with mostly sunny days and fair nights. We will mention a small risk of an afternoon shower or storm Saturday and Sunday, but rain should pose no big issues. Highs stay in the 87-90 degree range. Get information about the big event here.
BEACHBOUND: Mostly sunny days, fair nights through Memorial Day from Gulf Shores east to Panama City Beach. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the low 80s, with upper 80s inland. Highs will be close to 80 on the immediate coast; the sea water temperature early this afternoon at Perdido Pass at Orange Beach is 80.7 degrees. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here .
WORLD TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation was 117.5F at Sibi, Pakistan. The lowest observation was -92.2F at Vostok, Antarctica.
CONTIGUOUS TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: The highest observation was 102F at Pecos, TX. The lowest observation was 22F at Leadville, CO.
WEATHER ON THIS DATE IN 1771: A famous Virginia flood occurred as heavy rains in the mountains brought all rivers in the state to record high levels.