Alagasco Seven Day Forecast
Saturday afternoon, April 19, 2014
Forecaster: Ryan Stinnett
An upper-level low pressure continues to spin over southern Georgia today and is giving much of Alabama brisk north wind today with a mix of sun and clouds. West of Interstate 65, hardly a cloud in the sky, east of 65, a different story as clouds and even a few showers are showing up on the radar over some of our southeastern counties. Through the rest of today, this low will slowly pull away from the region and everyone will see clear skies by tomorrow.
BARONS GAME TONIGHT: The Barons are back in town tonight as they begin a 5 game home stand against the Tennessee Smokies. First pitch tonight is at 6:30 and you will be hard-pressed to find better baseball weather. Mostly clear skies with temps around 70 then dropping through the 60s during the game. No chance of rain either. If you have a chance go out and support our Southern League Champion Barons at the Best Ballpark in America, Regions Field.
SUNRISE SERVICES: A little chilly in the morning as most locations will be in the upper 40s and lower 50s, but it should be a beautiful start to the day. Mostly sunny skies and no chance of rain.
THE REST OF EASTER SUNDAY: A superb day is ahead. Sunny skies, and terrific weather all around. After the cool start, we all warm nicely into the mid to upper 70s. Any and all Easter plans you have indoor or outdoors will have no problems with the weather.
A LOOK AT THE MAPS: Except for a smattering of river flood warnings across the country, the alert map is almost void of any any weather alerts. A very calm day for the middle of April, and I will take it compared to the type of weather we could be seeing today. As we look at some of the surface features showing up, to area of high pressure were in control of much of the eastern half of the U.S. The first was a 1023 mb high over western Arkansas. The second, stronger high of 1036 mb was near James Bay. Lots of clear skies and sunshine from southern Texas to the Great Lakes as a result. Along the Southeast Coast, the area of low pressure continue to slow move up the coast where it is was causing widespread showers and storms from Florida to the Carolinas. Then finally in southern Canada, a system swinging a cold front across the northern Plains and it connected back with a deepening low pressure over eastern Colorado
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK: No risk for severe weather today, but there will be several areas of unsettled weather along the Southeast Coast, as well the Central Plains and southwestern Texas. Tomorrow that is expected to change as a developing low pressure will emerge from the southern Rockies. The SPC has issued a slight risk for severe weather for portions of western Texas, which includes locations in and around Abilene and Midland. For Monday, this threat shifts a little east and encompasses portions of Central Texas including Dallas/Ft. Worth, Waco, and Junction. A couple of non-severe weather days to start the week before a more vigorous storm system develop and head out into the Plains. The SPC has outlined locations from the Texas Panhandle to northern Nebraska in a risk for severe weather.
THE WEEK AHEAD: It starts off warm and dry on Monday. Late Monday expect clouds to be increasing as a weak surface boundary pushes into the region and will bring a chance of some showers overnight Monday an into Tuesday. This system will move through quickly and it appears we could see some sunshine return late Tuesday. By Wednesday, it is all sunshine all the time. Those temps will be warming as well, as well expect many areas to see 80s the second half of the week. By the time the weekend rolls around the models are trying to swing a front through the region which could give us a wet start to the weekend.
AT THE BEACH: A stellar forecast for the beach. Mostly sunny conditions along the northern Gulf Coast the next few days. There will be a chance of thunderstorms Tuesday, but after Tuesday lots of sunshine and dry weather is in the forecast. Highs in the lower 70s, overnight lows in the lower 60s. This afternoon the water temperature at Perdido Pass is 66.4 degrees.
EYEING MAY: If the old adage is correct and April Showers Bring May Flowers, it appears that we will have a plethora of flowers during May. We are now able to see the first few days of May in the long range models and the Climate Prediction Center’s Monthly outlook for May. Of course no official forecast here, but we just continue to look at trends in the models that give us an idea of what could be in the works. The long range GFS shows… The Climate Predictions Center’s May outlook shows us two things: temperatures and precipitation probabilities. For May the temperature outlook for Alabama and the Southeast is about equal. It appear the overall pattern will keep a ridge in the rest which will continues to make drought conditions worse and when you have prolonged drought, you usually warmer weather as well. Locations from Texas to the West Coast then north to Alaska are forecast to have above normal temps for the month of May. Locations across the northern Rockies, northern Plains, and Great Lakes are expected to experience below normal temps. As far as a precip forecast, much of the country is forecast to have near normal values of precip, while locations from northern California through Oregon and Washington and up into Southeast Alaska are expected to be drier than normal. Across Florida and the Southeast Coast, a wetter forecast as the developing El Nino will allow for a more active pattern of weather in this area.
WEATHERBRAINS: Are you the person in your office that everyone asks about the weather? The person at your church that everyone looks to when there is bad weather? Then you are the person to make sure that your organizations are Weather Ready Nation Ambassadors. Doug Hilderbrand from the National Weather Service sat in with us on WeatherBrains Monday night and talked about the effort that is there to help move people to prepare and to take action when it comes to severe weather. Learn more about how your business, club, church or school can help make our a Weather Ready Nation here. And learn more on the show by checking out the weekly netcast that’s all about weather at www.WeatherBrains.com. You can also subscribe on iTunes. You can watch the show live each week at live.bigbrainsmedia.com. And the show can be seen on the James Spann 24×7 weather channel on cable or directly over the air on the dot 2 feed.
ON THIS DATE IN 2009: National Weather Service survey teams from Huntsville and Birmingham were able to identify 16 tornado tracks across the northern two-thirds of the state from a Sunday severe weather event. Within the Birmingham NWS county warning area; the most significant tornadoes were found atop Straight Mountain in Blount County, and on the Alabama/Georgia border in the Phenix City/Columbus area. Both of those tornadoes were rated EF-2 on the enhanced Fujita scale. There were two tornado fatalities in Alabama; one in Priceville, in Morgan County, and the other in the community of Asbury in the far eastern part of Marshall County. Seven chicken houses were destroyed in the Highland Lakes Tornado in Blount County. A total of 95,000 chickens were killed. Follow my weather history tweets on Twitter. I am @wxhistorian at Twitter.com.