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Central Alabama’s Most Detailed Seven Day Forecast

Monday, July 6, 2015
Forecaster: Bill Murray

A slow moving upper level trough has given Alabama a wet and cool week, but that wlll be coming to an end this week as a more typical ridge builds across the region. There may be a break in the heat again about ten days from now, but the heat will quickly return in two weeks. Let’s get into the details.

FOR YOUR MONDAY: Today will start off mostly cloudy again with the trough still impacting Alabama. Sunshine should increase slowly through the afternoon, but a few showers and storms will form and push across part of the area this afternoon in the northwesterly flow remaining on the back of the trough. Highs will be limited to the lower and middle 80s today with all the clouds around.

RIDGE BUILDS: As the upper level trough departs to the northeast and weakens, Alabama and the Southeast will be beneath a flat ridge of high pressure. This means warmer temperatures and fewer clouds and showers. Highs on Tuesday will be near 90F, and they should slowly rise into the lower 90s through the week. There will be about a 20-30% chance of widely scattered mainly afternoon and evening showers and storms each day.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK: The weekend looks dry and hot with very few if any in the way of showers and storms. Highs should be in the lower 90s. Lows will be in the lower 70s.

VOODOOLAND: A developing trough along the East Coast will put Alabama in a northwesterly flow aloft for a couple of days. We will see a brief break in the heat, but the typically hot temperatures will quickly bounce back behind that.

TROPICS: Still nothing to talk about in the Tropical Atlantic. Sometime in about two weeks, we will start to potentially see something as a pulse in the Madden Julian Oscillation traverses the Atlantic.

BEACHCAST: It’s been a stormy morning along the Gulf Coast, with showers and thunderstorms associated with that upper level disturbance moving from west to east. Winds gusted to 39 mph at the Fort Morgan Weatherflow station. Cloudy conditions along the coast will improve today, and high pressure will begin building in over the coming week, giving beachgoers delightful weather. There will be a small chance of a thunderstorm each day. Highs will be near 90F each day with lows in the middle 70s. Waves will be around 1 foot through Wednesday, increasing to around 2 feet at the end of the week into the weekend. Yellow flag conditions should be the rule all week. The water temperature at the Dauphin Island is running between 82 and 84.

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WEATHERBRAINS: Tonight, the panel will entertain Lans Rothfusz from the National Severe Storms Laboratory. Check out the show at www.WeatherBrains.com. You can also subscribe on iTunes. You can watch the show live at live.bigbrainsmedia.com. You will be able to see the show in the James Spann 24×7 weather channel on cable or directly over the air on the dot 2 feed.

ON THIS DATE IN 1928: Hailstorm at Potter, Nebraska produced stones as large as 1 ½ pounds that were 17 inches in circumference. They were the largest hailstones recorded in the U.S. until that time and are frequently referred to as the Potter Hailstones. Follow my weather history tweets on Twitter. I am @wxhistorian at Twitter.com.

Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Monday July 6
Warm and humid. A few scattered showers and storms possible anytime.
Afternoon High 87
Wind: W 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 60%    Hours of rain: 1
Rain potential: 0.40″    Severe weather threat: None
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Tuesday July 7
Partly cloudy. Widely scattered afternoon thunderstorms in spots.
Morning Low 72  Afternoon High 91
Wind: SW 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 65%    Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.25″    Severe weather threat: None
Partly_Cloudy_Icon Wednesday July 8
Partly sunny. Showers and storms become fewer in number.
Morning Low 72  Afternoon High 92
Wind: SW 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 65%    Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.25″    Severe weather threat: None
Partly_Cloudy_Icon Thursday July 9
Partially sunny. A shower or storm in widely scattered spots.
Morning Low 73   Afternoon High 92
Wind: SW 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 65%    Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.20″    Severe weather threat: None
Partly_Cloudy_Icon Friday July 10
Partly cloudy. A small chance of an afternoon/evening shower or storm.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 93
Wind: SW 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 65%   Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.15″   Severe weather threat: None
Partly_Cloudy_Icon Saturday July 11
A mix of clouds and sun. Hot. Storms remain widely spaced.
Morning Low 73   Afternoon High 93
Wind: W 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 75%   Hours of rain: 1/4
Rain potential: 0.10″   Severe weather threat: None
Partly_Cloudy_Icon Sunday July 12
Partly cloudy and hot. Widely scattered afternoon storms.
Morning Low 74 Afternoon High 93
Wind: W 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 75%   Hours of rain: 1/4
Rain potential: 0.10″   Severe weather threat: None