Central Alabama’s Most Detailed Seven Day Forecast
Monday afternoon, June 27, 2016
Forecaster: Ryan Stinnett
MUGGY MONDAY: Not as hot today, but still very uncomfortable with very high humidity levels. That added moisture is providing fuel for showers and storms that are ongoing this afternoon. For the rest of this afternoon, the SPC maintains a “marginal risk” of severe weather for the northern half of the state. Like recent days, the main threat will come from wet microbursts (localized areas of damaging straight line winds) and small hail. Of course storms will produce copious amounts of lightning, and we note the precipitable water values are over 2 inches over North Alabama this afternoon; this means storms will dump very heavy amounts of rain, and due to their lack of motion, some flash flooding is very possible.
RADAR CHECK: Early this afternoon, numerous showers and storms were ongoing across NW Alabama and much of northern Mississippi. The general motion of these storms was towards the southeast and that means some, but not all of us in Central Alabama are likely to see the wet weather later this afternoon. We can expect this convection to continue through the afternoon and evening hours, before generally winding down once daytime heating is lost after sunset.
BEST RAIN CHANCES: These arrive for our Tuesday as a surface front will push slowly through North Alabama. Highest coverage of scattered storms should be along and south of I-20, and the high will be close to 90 with a mix of sun and clouds. Severe weather is not expected, but of course, a few scattered strong storms will be possible.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: Drier air will cover the northern two-thirds of Alabama on these days, meaning mostly sunny days, fair nights, and slightly lower humidity values. Showers will be confined to the southern part of the state, and even there they should be widely spaced. Afternoon highs will be close to 90 Wednesday and Thursday, with low 90s likely Friday, which is right where they should be this time of year.
FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND: Moisture levels will slowly rise, and it looks like a very typical early July weekend in Alabama. Partly sunny, hot, humid days, and the daily threat of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Highs should be in the lower 90s through Monday, and the chance of any one spot getting wet each day will be about one in three.
BEACHBOUND: Beautiful weather for those beautiful beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida. Expect plenty of sunshine, with only isolated afternoon and evening showers and storms from now through the holiday weekend. Highs will be near 90 degrees each day, while lows will be in the middle 70s. The sea water temperature early this afternoon at Perdido Pass at Orange Beach is 82.8 degrees. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here .
WORLD TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation outside the U.S. was 122.5F at Mitribah, Kuwait. The lowest observation was -110.6F at Plateau Station, Antarctica.
CONTIGUOUS TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: The highest observation was 122F at Death Valley, CA. The lowest observation was 31F at Leadville, CO.
WEATHER ON THIS DATE IN 1957: Hurricane Audrey smashed ashore at Cameron, LA, drowning 390 persons in the storm tide, and causing 150 million dollars damage in Texas, Louisiana and Mississippi. Audrey left only a brick courthouse and a cement-block icehouse standing at Cameron, and when the waters settled in the town of Crede, only four buildings remained. The powerful winds of Audrey tossed a fishing boat weighing 78 tons onto an off-shore drilling platform. Winds along the coast gusted to 105 mph, and oil rigs off the Louisiana coast reported wind gusts to 180 mph. A storm surge greater than twelve feet inundated the Louisiana coast as much as 25 miles inland. It was the deadliest June hurricane of record for the U.S.