Central Alabama’s Most Detailed Seven Day Forecast
Saturday, March 28, 2015
Forecaster: Bill Murray
February was a cold month across Central Alabama, but March has been above average with the exception of a second week cold snap. Still, the average temperature so far of 54.0F is slightly below the normal mean temperature of 55.2F. From here on out, the month will run below to near normal, so we probably will finish the month on the cool side overall.
FROSTY MORN: The average last freeze at Birmingham is April 1st, and the latest last freeze we have ever observed is April 23 back in 1986. We are flirting with that this morning in the Birmingham area with widespread frost in many locations and temperatures near or just above freezing. To the north and east, freezing temperatures are occurring in many spots. Freeze warnings and frost advisories are in effect early this morning and those will be in effect again tonight. Skies today will be mostly sunny, but increasing clouds and a few sprinkles will occur this afternoon as a disturbance passes. Highs today will hover in the 40s in areas northwest of I-59. Lower and middle 50s will prevail further southeast.
SUNDAY WARM UP: After another frosty start tomorrow morning, afternoon readings will warm into the lower and middle 60s as sunshine and a few clouds prevail.
MONDAY: Our warming trend will continue as a warm front will be lifting northward across the state. Along this boundary, we could see a few passing showers during the day with a high in the upper 60s.
MIDWEEK: Tuesday looks relatively dry with only isolated showers, but the chance of rain will increase again by Wednesday and Thursday with short wave energy approaching from the west. The good news is that the threat for strong/severe storms does not seem as likely now, but we are still of course will be watching this carefully. Rainfall amounts could average one half inch through Wednesday, with an additional one half inch possible. By the middle of next week, temperatures will have rebounded well into the 70s again. However, behind the system, it appears we are going to be seeing those temps slide back into the 60s for highs with overnight lows in the mid-40s. Expect some morning showers on Friday.
WEEKEND OUTLOOK: Colder for the weekend, but no freeze expected. Fair conditions should prevail through the weekend.
BEACH SPRING BREAK: The weekend will feature a good supply of sunshine tomorrow and Sunday with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. There will be a few scattered showers possible early next week, but still expect about 4 to 6 hours of sunshine Monday through Wednesday. Temperatures will be close to 70 degrees on those three afternoons. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is 63.4F degrees.
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ON THIS DATE IN 1984: A swarm of 36 tornadoes strikes South and North Carolina during the afternoon and evening hours, killing 57 people, injuring 1250 and doing $200 million in damage. Many of the fatalities were in mobile homes. One tornado near Tatum, SC, an F4 on the Fujita scale, was 2.5 miles wide at one point. This outbreak was the worst in the area in 60 years. Follow my weather history tweets on Twitter. I am @wxhistorian at Twitter.com.