Alagasco Seven Day Forecast
Thursday July 31, 2014
Forecaster: James Spann
MOISTURE LEVELS RISING: We will forecast a mix of sun and clouds across the great state of Alabama today, and with rising moisture levels a few scattered showers are possible through tonight. Rain amounts should be light and spotty for most communities, and the high today will be in the mid 80s… about 5-8 degrees below average for the last day of July (Birmingham’s average high today is 91).
Moisture levels will be deeper tomorrow, so scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible, and should be a little more numerous.
THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: An axis of deeper moisture will be in place as the weekend begins, so for now Saturday looks like a day with more clouds than sun, and scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms along with a high in the low to mid 80s. Showers and storms are still possible Sunday, although they should thin out a bit with temperatures rising into the upper 80s.
NEXT WEEK: Confidence is low since there is not much consistency in model output; looks like we will need to continue to some of scattered showers and storms through at least the first half of the week, with daily highs between 87 and 90 degrees. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.
GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny weather today with only a small risk of a shower from Panama City west to Gulf Shores; the high will be in the upper 80s. Then, about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day tomorrow through Sunday with a daily possibility of scattered showers and storms.
TROPICAL WEATHER: The tropical wave in the Atlantic between Africa and the Lesser Antilles is still struggling; there is little deep convection as it moves west/northwest. Seems like dry air surrounding the system, and wind shear is preventing it from becoming better organized. NHC has dropped the chance of development from 70 to 50 percent, and if anything can form in that region most likely it recurves before reaching the U.S. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps.