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Central Alabama’s Most Detailed Seven Day Forecast

Saturday, March 28, 2015
Forecaster: Bill Murray 

February was a cold month across Central Alabama, but March has been above average with the exception of a second week cold snap. Still, the average temperature so far of 54.0F is slightly below the normal mean temperature of 55.2F. From here on out, the month will run below to near normal, so we probably will finish the month on the cool side overall.

FROSTY MORN: The average last freeze at Birmingham is April 1st, and the latest last freeze we have ever observed is April 23 back in 1986. We are flirting with that this morning in the Birmingham area with widespread frost in many locations and temperatures near or just above freezing. To the north and east, freezing temperatures are occurring in many spots. Freeze warnings and frost advisories are in effect early this morning and those will be in effect again tonight. Skies today will be mostly sunny, but increasing clouds and a few sprinkles will occur this afternoon as a disturbance passes. Highs today will hover in the 40s in areas northwest of I-59. Lower and middle 50s will prevail further southeast.

SUNDAY WARM UP: After another frosty start tomorrow morning, afternoon readings will warm into the lower and middle 60s as sunshine and a few clouds prevail.

MONDAY: Our warming trend will continue as a warm front will be lifting northward across the state. Along this boundary, we could see a few passing showers during the day with a high in the upper 60s.

MIDWEEK: Tuesday looks relatively dry with only isolated showers, but the chance of rain will increase again by Wednesday and Thursday with short wave energy approaching from the west. The good news is that the threat for strong/severe storms does not seem as likely now, but we are still of course will be watching this carefully. Rainfall amounts could average one half inch through Wednesday, with an additional one half inch possible. By the middle of next week, temperatures will have rebounded well into the 70s again. However, behind the system, it appears we are going to be seeing those temps slide back into the 60s for highs with overnight lows in the mid-40s. Expect some morning showers on Friday.

WEEKEND OUTLOOK: Colder for the weekend, but no freeze expected. Fair conditions should prevail through the weekend.

BEACH SPRING BREAK: The weekend will feature a good supply of sunshine tomorrow and Sunday with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. There will be a few scattered showers possible early next week, but still expect about 4 to 6 hours of sunshine Monday through Wednesday. Temperatures will be close to 70 degrees on those three afternoons. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is 63.4F degrees.

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WEATHERBRAINS:. Great show this past week with Mike Smith from AccuWeather. A firefight ensued with Kevin Selle that has been reverabting around Twitter. You won’t want to miss the show! Check out the weekly netcast that’s all about weather at www.WeatherBrains.com. You can also subscribe on iTunes. You can watch the show live at live.bigbrainsmedia.com. You can also see the show on the James Spann 24×7 weather channel on cable or directly over the air on the dot 2 feed.

ON THIS DATE IN 1984: A swarm of 36 tornadoes strikes South and North Carolina during the afternoon and evening hours, killing 57 people, injuring 1250 and doing $200 million in damage. Many of the fatalities were in mobile homes. One tornado near Tatum, SC, an F4 on the Fujita scale, was 2.5 miles wide at one point. This outbreak was the worst in the area in 60 years. Follow my weather history tweets on Twitter. I am @wxhistorian at Twitter.com.

Sun_Rain_Showers_Icon Saturday March 28
Mixed sun and clouds after a morning freeze. A few scattered showers possible.
Afternoon High 53
Wind: N 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 55%    Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.10″       Severe weather threat: None
Sunday March 29
Sunny. A cold morning; a warmer afternoon.
Morning Low 32   Afternoon High 64
Wind: SE 5-10 mph    Sun percentage: 90%    Hours of rain: 0
Rain potential: 0.20″    Severe weather threat: None
Sun_Rain_Showers_Icon Monday March 30
Mostly cloudy; a few scattered showers.
Morning Low 50   Afternoon High 68
Wind: S 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 25%    Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.25″    Severe weather threat: None
Sun_Rain_Showers_Icon Tuesday March 31
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers.
Morning Low 53  Afternoon High 72
Wind: S 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 25%    Hours of rain: 1
Rain potential: 0.30″    Severe weather threat: None
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Wednesday April 1
Showers remain possible; thunderstorms arrive Wednesday night.
Morning Low 58  Afternoon High 72
Wind: S 7-14 mph    Sun percentage: 20%    Hours of rain: 2
Rain potential: 0.50″    Severe weather threat: None
Thursday April 2
A good chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially during the morning.
Morning Low 55   Afternoon High 72
Wind: SW 7-14 mph    Sun percentage: 15%    Hours of rain: 2
Rain potential: 0.40″    Severe weather threat: None
Sun_Thin_Clouds Friday April 3
A few morning showers, then turning colder.
Morning low 56 Afternoon High 69
Wind: NW 10-20 mph Sun percentage:35% Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.15″ Severe weather threat: None