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Central Alabama’s Most Detailed Seven Day Forecast

Wednesday afternoon, July 29, 2015
Forecaster: Ryan Stinnett

SHOWERS & STORMS: It is just one of those days where the heat and humidity are combing to allow a lot of instability across the state. Add in an outflow boundary from storms overnight and we are seeing quite a bit a convection this afternoon. We are seeing some rather robust storms too with lots of lightning, gusty winds, and very heavy rainfall. Our friends at the SPC maintain a “marginal” severe weather risk for much of Alabama today and the main risk will come from “wet microbursts”, or local areas of strong straight line winds. We are seeing storms today once again move from north to south across the state, and we are also seeing a greater coverage across the state.

LIGHTNING DEATHS: At this time, Alabama has a troublesome title. We currently lead the nation in the number of lightning deaths this year. There have been 4 confirmed lightning deaths in the state. The latest was an elderly lady in Prattville in Autauga County who was out picking blueberries last week. I want to remind folks that if you can hear thunder, you can be struck by lightning, and lightning can strike 20 miles from the storm. That is why we say, WHEN THUNDER ROARS, GO INDOORS! The other three deaths in the state were a couple in their backyard in Opp in Covington County, and a 12 year old girl on vacation from Arkansas at the beach near Fort Morgan in Baldwin County.

AT THE BEACH: Rain chances will be a little higher to end the week and and into the weekend. You will have to dodge a shower or storm at times, but nevertheless, no washouts are expected and temps should be in the upper 80s along the immediate coast. Anywhere along the northern Gulf Coast, sea water temperatures are ranging from 83-89 degrees. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here . The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

THURSDAY: Tomorrow will be similar to today. We are going to see temps back into the 90s, but we are also going to see those showers and thunderstorms on the radar as well. Again for tomorrow, the SPC has much of Alabama in a “marginal” risk for severe weather so storms will need to be monitored for those damaging winds, and of course loads of lightning.

FRIDAY & THE WEEKEND: A weak frontal boundary will push through the state and that will allow drier air to filter into the northern half of Alabama. That means slightly lower humidity levels, cooler nights, and very few showers or storms these days. The best chance of scattered storms will be over the southern third of the state where the boundary will likely stall out. Highs will be in the 90s, but many North Alabama communities will enjoy lows in the 60s over the weekend due to the drier air and lower dew points.

TROPICAL OUTLOOK: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected the next 48 hours. However, a tropical wave accompanied by a weak low pressure system is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles southeast of the Cape Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be at least marginally conducive for some slow development through the weekend while the disturbance moves westward at about 15 mph. Over the next five days, the NHC gives this feature a 30% of development.

WORLD TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation was 123.1F at Abadan, Iran. The lowest observation was -103.5F at Davis Lab, Antarctica.

CONTIGUOUS TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation was 113F at Death Valley, CA. The lowest observation was 28F at Lake Yellowstone, WY, West Yellowstone, MT, and Stanley & Bear Lake, ID.

WEATHER ON THIS DATE IN 1981: Fifty cattle, each weighing 800 pounds, were killed by lightning near Vance, AL. The lightning struck a tree and then spread along the ground killing the cattle.

Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Wednesday July 29
Mixed sun and clouds; showers & thunderstorms.
Afternoon High 93
Wind: SW 5-10 mph   Sun percentage: 45%    Hours of rain: 2
Rain potential: 1.00″       Severe weather threat: Marginal
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Thursday July 30
Partly sunny, hot, and humid. Widely scattered thunderstorms.
Morning Low 76   Afternoon High 94
Wind: NW 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 55%    Hours of rain: 1
Rain potential: 0.50″       Severe weather threat: Marginal
Friday July 31
Partly to mostly sunny. Only isolated thunderstorms.
Morning Low 74   Afternoon High 95
Wind: N 5-10 mph    Sun percentage: 75%    Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.15″    Severe weather threat: None
Saturday August 1
A good supply of sunshine; only a small risk of a shower. Humidity levels slightly lower.
Morning Low 67   Afternoon High 93
Wind: NE 5-10 mph    Sun percentage: 80%    Hours of rain: 1/4
Rain potential: 0.10″    Severe weather threat: None
Sunday August 2
Partly sunny. Isolated afternoon storms.
Morning Low 69  Afternoon High 95
Wind: SE 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 70%    Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.15″    Severe weather threat: None
Partly_Cloudy_Icon Monday August 3
Morning sunshine; widely isolated afternoon storms.
Morning Low 73  Afternoon High 94
Wind: SW6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 70%    Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.15″    Severe weather threat: None
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Tuesday August 4
Mixed sun and clouds. A passing afternoon thunderstorm in spots.
Morning Low 72   Afternoon High 95
Wind: SW 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 60%    Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.30″    Severe weather threat: None