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Central Alabama’s Most Detailed Seven Day Forecast

Saturday, May 23, 2015
Forecaster: Bill Murray

You couldn’t have asked for a much better start to the Memorial Day weekend weatherwise across Alabama yesterday. Morning lows in the 50s and even a few 40s, afternoon highs in the 70s, bright sunshine, blue skies and low humidities made for a perfect day.

HOLIDAY WEEKEND FORECAST: Most folks will be enjoying a long Memorial Day weekend through Monday. If you aren’t headed to the beach, you probably have some outdoor activities planned. The weather should cooperate today and tomorrow, but you will notice warmer temperatures in the 80s and increasing humidity. By tomorrow, dewpoints will be back in the uncomfortable middle 60s across Central Alabama. But we won’t complain. After all, it is Memorial Day weekend. Lows tonight will be in the middle 60s, but a few places won’t get below 70F tomorrow night.

MEMORIAL DAY: Monday will be warm and humid with a chance of showers and storms. About 50 percent of the area will see rainfall. Highs will be in the middle 80s.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: The Hoover Met is busy this weekend with the tournament continuing. Dry and very nice weather today. Certainly take some sunscreen with you if you are heading out to the ballgame. A brief afternoon shower or storm is possible tomorrow, but they will be scattered in nature and there is a good chance the weather stays dry for the championship game. Temps will be in the 80s for the weekend games.

LAST WEEK OF MAY: Monday’s showers and storms will presage an unsettled pattern to come. By Tuesday morning, a mid level disturbance will be swinging through Oklahoma. This means showers and storms to the west of Alabama. We will continue to be in a soupy airmass on Tuesday, with more showers and storms. Those will move into our state by Wednesday, which should feature the best chance of showers and storms. The airmass won’t change much by Thursday and Friday, but high pressure will build across the area, lessening the rain chances, but not the humidity.

NEXT WEEKEND SNEAK PEEK: Saturday should be mainly dry with just widely scattered showers and storms during the afternoon. They will be on the increase on Sunday as a strong upper trough moves eastward out of the Plains states. This will push an area of showers and storms through the state, most likely on Sunday, the last day of the month.

BEACHCAST: Mostly sunny along the coast from Panama City west to Dauphin Island today, then about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine Sunday through all of next week, with the daily risk of widely scattered showers or thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the low 80s while just inland upper 80s are expected. If you need to cool off, the water is refreshing, as the sea water temperature early this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 76.4 degrees.

SIDEWALK SALSA SHOWDOWN SATURDAY: Of course, one of my favorite local events is the Sidewalk Moving Picture Festival in August. I just wanted to give you a quick reminder that the 5th Annual event is todat, Saturday, May 23 at Avondale Brewing Co. from 2pm-6pm. Chips, Salsa, Queso, Guac, Beer, Live Music, Kids Zone, Hot Pepper Eating Contest etc.. you know the deal. The weather will be fantastic with a high of only 83! Coolest Salsa Showdown ever (literally).

You can get all the details here: https://www.facebook.com/events/739180749512444/

and you can buy your tickets here: http://sidewalkfest.com/get-tickets/

DANCING WITH THE STATS: From Gary McManus, the Climatologist for the State of Oklahoma:

According to the real-time Mesonet data, our statewide average for May through 12:45pm Friday is now 9.29″, 5.93″ above normal — the 4th wettest May on record and the 6th wettest month of ANY month for the state of Oklahoma.

The all time May rainfall record for the state of Oklahoma is 10.54” in 1957 and the record for ANY month is 10.75” in October 1941. The QPF maps for the next 7 days show 5+ inches in the I-35 corridor over to Wichita Falls TX with widespread 2-4 inch amounts over the rest of the state with the exception of the Panhandle. They have gone from terrible drought to overflowing in less than 6 weeks. We’re still working on California.

HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS WEEK: The Atlantic Hurricane season begins officially June 1st and It is that time of year for area that can be impacted by the big storms to think about their seasonal preparedness activities. More here.

Nothing showing up that looks threatening in the near term. The global models are forecasting the development of a surface low in the vicinity of the Bahamas and Bermuda late next week, but there is some chance that it will become a tropical or sub-tropical low.

DISASTROUS FROST: Some unusual late season cold is affecting the Northeast U.S. this morning. Temperatures are in the 20s across parts of New York, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Vermont, Maine, western Connecticut and West Virginia. For many places, it is the coldest weather ever so late in the season. It was 26F this morning at Saranac Lake NY, often one of the nation’s cold spots in winter, and 24F at Bradford, PA. And it could have been worse. Wind actually helped keep it warmer overnight than it would have otherwise been. Freeze warnings are in effect all across the region and widespread frost is expected.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND SNOWS: Up to four inches of snow was reported above 9,000 feet in the Rocky Mountains west of Denver Friday morning. It was 27F with snow at Berthoud Pass early Friday, and heavy snow was falling at Sunlight, an independent ski resort near Glenwood Springs on the western slope. AMTRAK’s California Zephyr stops at Glenwood Springs before an after the spectacular journey through the Rockies

ADVERTISE WITH US: Deliver your message to a highly engaged audience by advertising on the AlabamaWX.com website. The site enjoyed 7.8 MILLION pageviews in the past 12 months. There were an amazing 4 MILLION pageviews in February alone! Don’t miss out! We can customize a creative, flexible and affordable package that will suit your organization’s needs. Contact me, Bill Murray, at (205) 687-0782 and let’s talk.

SEVERE WEATHER TALK: If you need a speaker for your church or civic group, I have a good presentation on severe weather preparedness taken from the January 2012 tornado outbreak. Just email me at billmurray at theweatherfactory.com.

HAPPENING IN THE ‘HAM: The Greater Birmingham Convention and Visitors Bureau has created one of the best local apps I have ever seen. If you have an iPhone or Android device, you simply must get this app! Available in the iTunes store and Google Play Store. It’s free!

WEATHERBRAINS:. Check out the weekly netcast that’s all about weather at www.WeatherBrains.com. You can also subscribe on iTunes. You can watch the show live here. You can also see the show on the James Spann 24×7 weather channel on cable or directly over the air on the dot 2 feed.

ON THIS DATE IN 1996: Sinking air from collapsing evening thunderstorms in Oklahoma warmed as it reached the surface, causing a massive heatburst. The heatburst, with its dramatic increases in temperature and severe straight line winds spread across much of southwestern and central Oklahoma during a 6 hour period. The affected area was up to 150 miles wide and affected 12 counties.

The Oklahoma Mesonet showed early morning temperatures that rose from the 80s and into the upper 90s and low 100s in some places. Some temperatures between 11 pm and 3 am were: 98 degrees in Norman, 99 degrees in Washington, 102 degrees in Chickasha, 101 degrees at Fort Cobb, 100 degrees at Hobart, and 105 degrees in Ninnekah.

Wind speeds in excess of 70 mph were measured throughout southwest Oklahoma and in parts of central and south-central Oklahoma. The resulting damage can only be described as devastating in parts of southwest Oklahoma, particularly in the Lawton and Marlow areas. An estimated 90 percent of houses and outbuildings in eastern Comanche and western Stephens Counties sustained damage. Power outages lasted anywhere from a few minutes to nearly 3 days in parts of Lawton. Over 27,000 customers were without power at one time. Downed power lines sparked grass fires throughout the region. Total damage estimates exceeded $18 million.

Follow my weather history tweets on Twitter. I am @wxhistorian at Twitter.com.

Saturday May 23
Mostly sunny and warmer.
Afternoon High 83
Wind: SE 5-10 mph    Sun percentage: 80%    Hours of rain: 0
Rain potential: 0.20″    Severe weather threat: None
Sunday May 24
Partly to mostly sunny. Slight chance of an late day shower.
Morning Low 64   Afternoon High 85
Wind: S 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 75%    Hours of rain: 0
Rain potential: 0.00″    Severe weather threat: None
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Monday May 25
Mixed sun and clouds; scattered, mostly afternoon showers or storms.
Morning Low 69  Afternoon High 83
Wind: S 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 60%    Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.30″    Severe weather threat: None
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Tuesday May 26
Warm and humid. An afternoon shower or storm in a few spots.
Morning Low 68  Afternoon High 82
Wind: S 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 55%    Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.30″    Severe weather threat: None
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Wednesday May 27
Partly sunny. Scattered showers or storms by afternoon.
Morning Low 70   Afternoon High 83
Wind: S 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 55%    Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.35″    Severe weather threat: None
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Thursday May 28
Occasionally sunny; scattered showers and thunderstorms remain possible.
Morning Low 69   Afternoon High 82
Wind: S 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 55%   Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.30″   Severe weather threat: None
Sun_PM_T-Storms_Icon Friday May 29
A chance of showers and storms.
Morning Low 67 Afternoon High 87
Wind: SE 5-10 mph Sun percentage: 65% Hours of rain: 1
Rain potential: 0.25″ Severe weather threat: None