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Central Alabama’s Most Detailed Seven Day Forecast

Monday afternoon, April 27, 2015
Forecaster: Ryan Stinnett

NICE START TO WEEK: It is much cooler today, but overall a very nice day of weather for Central Alabama. We are seeing more clouds than sun, but a lot of the clouds are those high in the sky, cirrus clouds from the tops of storms to the southwest. They are giving us filtered sunshine across the region, but the main change today are the cooler temps. After being in the 80s yesterday, we are in seeing upper 60s and lower 70s through Central Alabama. It is certainly a refreshing start to the week.

STORMS TO SOUTH: Through the morning hours, a lot of weather folks eyes have been drawn towards the Gulf Coast as a MCS (mesoscale convective system) is tracking along the Interstate 10 corridor. This feature has been producing tremendous amounts of damage along its path across Louisiana, it is clipping the coastal counties of Alabama and will continue to slide southeast into the Gulf of Mexico.

SHOWERS RETURN: We are seeing some showers over Southwest Alabama associated with this system, but these will be confined to that part of the state as we expect Central Alabama to remain dry. However, heading through the overnight hours, and over the next dew days, showers will be in the forecast. Certainly no all day rain, but there will be scattered showers at any time. It will be cooler as well as the area of low pressure tracks south of the area which will bring in cooler air from the northeast. The surface low will move along the Gulf Coast, meaning the severe weather risk will be confined to the far southern part of Alabama tomorrow, but up this way we will just deal with rain. The high resolution NAM suggests the rain could begin early tomorrow morning, and we will have periods of rain through the day, tomorrow night, and into Wednesday morning. We won’t get out of the 60s both days, and with a cool, stable air mass in place I doubt if we hear any thunder. Rain amounts of around 1 inch are likely, and the rain will taper off during the day Wednesday as the surface low moves northeast. The sky becomes partly sunny Thursday as drier air works into the state.

SPC OUTLOOKS: There is a risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening across the western and central Gulf Coast, from eastern Texas to the Florida Panhandle. Locally-damaging wind and large hail will be the main threats, with isolated tornadoes possible, as well. For tomorrow, the SPC has outlined the southern third of Alabama in a “marginal” risk, roughly along and south of the U.S. 80 corridor from Demopolis to Montgomery. Farther south, along the Intestate 10, corridor there is a “slight” risk for areas from New Orleans to Mobile to Tallahassee. We are not expecting any issued in North-Central Alabama as it will much cooler.

WORLD TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest temperature recorded was 113.9F at Jaisalmer, India. The lowest temperature was -85.4F at Davis Lab, Antarctica.

CONTIGUOUS TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: For Saturday, the highest was 99F at Fort Lauderdale, FL. This morning, it was 18 at Eureka, NV and Stanley, ID.

BYE BYE APRIL, HELLO MAY: As the upper trough moves by early Thursday, we should see improving weather for the end of the week and into the weekend. After a cool couple of days Tuesday and Wednesday, temperatures should climb back into the 70s for the end of the week and into the weekend as surface high pressure settles into the eastern U.S. and the Southeast. Friday morning will be cool with mid 40s likely, but by the afternoon, with plenty of sunshine, highs climb back into the 70s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: It is going to be a terrific weekend of weather in Central Alabama. That is certainly some great news as it is the big race weekend at Talladega. For all of Central Alabama expect dry conditions and the sunny weather from Friday will continue right on through Sunday with highs generally in the 70s, perhaps close to 80 Sunday afternoon. The low early Saturday will be close to 50, with lows in the mid 50s Sunday.

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CENTRAL ALABAMA NWA: Tonight is our first Chapter Meeting of 2015! The meeting will be at the NWS Birmingham with special quest speaker, Eric Jones, Elmore County Emergency Manager. Eric, Emergency Management Director for Elmore County and former Director for the Alabama Association of Emergency Managers, will discuss how the Alabama Emergency Management Agency utilizes National Weather Service information prior to and during hazardous weather events. As it is the anniversary of the April 27, 2011 outbreak, Eric will also discuss EMA operations both during and after that historic event, providing an unique prospective of first responders from across the state. Everyone is invited to arrive between 530-545pm to see the evening weather balloon launch and enjoy pizza (food and drink provided by the NWA). The meeting will begin around 615pm, after the balloon launch. After Eric’s presentation, Jim Stefkovich and Holly Allen will be available to give office tours for those interested. If you haven’t joined or renewed, please do so and be there tonight.

WEATHERBRAINS: Check out the show at www.WeatherBrains.com. You can also subscribe on iTunes. You can watch the show live at live.bigbrainsmedia.com You will be able to see the show in the James Spann 24×7 weather channel on cable or directly over the air on the dot 2 feed.

Cloudy Monday April 27
More clouds than sun. Cooler.
Afternoon High 70
Wind: NE 6-12 mph    Sun percentage: 45%    Hours of rain: 0
Rain potential: 0.00″    Severe weather threat: None
Showers_Icon Tuesday April 28
Cloudy with periods of rain.
Morning Low 52  Afternoon High 69
Wind: E 7-14 mph    Sun percentage: 5%    Hours of rain: 3
Rain potential: 0.50″    Severe weather threat: None
Showers_Icon Wednesday April 29
Cooler with occasional rain, mainly during the morning.
Morning Low 54  Afternoon High 67
Wind: E 7-14 mph    Sun percentage: 5%    Hours of rain: 2
Rain potential: 0.30″    Severe weather threat: None
Partly_Cloudy_Icon Thursday April 30
Partly sunny.
Morning Low 49   Afternoon High 70
Wind: NE 7-14 mph    Sun percentage: 75%    Hours of rain: 0
Rain potential: 0.00″    Severe weather threat: None
Sunny_Icon Friday May 1
Sunshine in full supply. A cool morning.
Morning Low 45   Afternoon High 72
Wind: NW 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 100%   Hours of rain: 0
Rain potential: 0.00″   Severe weather threat: None
Sunny_Icon Saturday May 2
Sunny and pleasant.
Morning Low 51   Afternoon High 75
Wind: NE 5-10 mph   Sun percentage: 100%   Hours of rain: 0
Rain potential: 0.00″   Severe weather threat: None
Sunny_Icon Sunday May 3
Sunny and warmer.
Morning Low 55   Afternoon High 80
Wind: SE 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 90%   Hours of rain: 0
Rain potential: 0.00″   Severe weather threat: None