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Alagasco Seven Day Forecast

Saturday afternoon, September 20, 2014
Forecaster: Ryan Stinnett


SUNNY SATURDAY: This forecast package is brought to you from my front porch today, as it is a gorgeous Saturday across the region. There were some clouds over our southeastern counties this morning, but most of those have since dissipated and nearly the entire state is basking under a mostly sunny sky. Temps are warm as mid and upper 80s are widespread, but with the dew points in the 60s, is not really uncomfortable Terrific weather for any outdoor plans or activities you have planned.

FOR YOUR SUNDAY: We are looking for a near repeat of today’s weather as sunny, dry, and comfortable weather is expected. It will be another great start to the day, with lows in the 60s and pleasant conditions. By late in the day, we are expecting to see clouds increasing as a front will be approaching the state. There will be the risk of a few showers and storms Sunday night and into Monday, but moisture levels will be low so not a major rain event.

NATIONAL TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Friday afternoon there was a five-way tie for the hot spot as 101F was recorded at Needles, Red Bluff, Redding, Death Valley, California, and Laughlin, Nevada. This morning, the coldest location was Berlin, New Hampshire at 27F.

GREAT BEACH WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the weekend and most of the week with only isolated showers. Highs in the mid-80s, water temperatures also in the mid-80s.

EYE ON THE TROPICS: Edouard is gone, and the rest of the basin is quiet. We are still monitoring an area of showers and thunderstorms that have become more concentrated in association with an elongated area of low pressure located a couple hundred miles east-southeast of the Cape Verde Islands. However, development of this system is becoming less likely due to increasingly unfavorable upper-level winds. This low should move generally northwestward and could bring heavy rainfall to portions of the Cape Verde Islands this weekend. Over the next fives days, the NHC only gives this feature a 10% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone. In the eastern Pacific, Polo continues to churn off the Mexican Coast with winds of 45 mph. Polo is expected to affect southern portions of the Baja, before turning west and fizzling out early next week. Elsewhere around the world, there is only one other tropical storms to mention and that it Fung-Wong in the western Pacific. It is impacting the island of Taiwan and should then move into mainland China.

TOO MUCH OF A GOOD THING: Heavy rain and the threat for flash flooding will continue on today in parts of Texas and southeast New Mexico due to tropical moisture from the remnants of Odile. Flash flood watches continue across these areas.

SEVERE WEATHER TODAY: SPC maintains two risks for severe weather today across thee Dakotas and Minnesota, as well as northern Missouri into Michigan. The Twin Cities, Chicago, Milwaukee, and Detroit are included in these risks. Damaging winds and large hail are the main concerns, but there may be a tornado or two as well.

WEATHER ON THIS DATE IN 1987: Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Oklahoma and west Texas. In Oklahoma, a thunderstorm at Seiling produced three inches of rain in one hour, golf ball size hail, and wind gusts to 60 mph which collapsed a tent at the state fair injuring nine persons.

MONDAY AND THE REST OF THE WEEK: Great timing for sure, but as the front clears the state Monday, awesome fall weather will be arriving and so with the autumnal equinox. At 9:29 PM CDT Monday, fall officially begins for us, and the weather will certainly leave you with no doubt about it either. Along with dry weather, we are looking at afternoon highs in the lower 80s, and actually I think there will a range across the area with some locations remaining in the 70s. Overnight lows should rang from 57-63 during the week as well. Once again, no doubt at all the seasons are changing.

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WEATHERBRAINS: Fun show this week with some young amateur meteorologists who are honing their forecasting skills for their audiences on the internet. Dr. Carl Schreck also joined the fray, talking about the Cyclone Center, a very neat crowdsourcing project, also joined the fray. Check out the weekly netcast that’s all about weather at www.WeatherBrains.com. You can also subscribe on iTunes. You can watch the show live at live.bigbrainsmedia.com. You can also see the show on the James Spann 24×7 weather channel on cable or directly over the air on the dot 2 feed.

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Sunny_Icon Saturday September 20
Mostly sunny and warm.
Afternoon High 86
Wind: NE 5-10 mph   Sun percentage: 80%   Hours of rain: 0
Rain potential: 0.00″   Severe weather threat: None
Partly_Cloudy_Icon Sunday September 21
Partly sunny. Widely scattered showers possible Sunday night.
Morning Low 64   Afternoon High 88
Wind: S 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 65%   Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.15″   Severe weather threat: None
Partly_Cloudy_Icon Monday September 22
Isolated morning showers with a mix of sun and clouds.
Morning Low 64   Afternoon High 83
Wind: NW 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 55%   Hours of rain: 1/2
Rain potential: 0.15″   Severe weather threat: None
Sunny_Icon Tuesday September 23
Mostly sunny and pleasant.
Morning Low 60   Afternoon High 82
Wind: N 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 85%   Hours of rain: 0
Rain potential: 0.00″   Severe weather threat: None
Sunny_Icon Wednesday September 24
A good supply of sunshine.
Morning Low 58   Afternoon High 81
Wind: N 6-12 mph   Sun percentage: 90%   Hours of rain: 0
Rain potential: 0.00″   Severe weather threat: None
Partly_Cloudy_Icon Thursday September 25
Partly cloudy.
Morning Low 62   Afternoon High 82
Wind: NE 5-10 mph   Sun percentage: 70%   Hours of rain: 0
Rain potential: 0.00″   Severe weather threat: None
Partly_Cloudy_Icon Friday September 26
Partly cloudy.  A late day shower or storms possible.
Morning Low 64   Afternoon High 85
Wind: NE 6-12 mph Sun percentage: 65% Hours of rain: 1/4
Rain potential: 0.15″ Severe weather threat: None