Central Alabama’s Most Detailed Seven Day Forecast
Saturday, February 28, 2015
Forecaster: Bill Murray
As we get ready to say goodbye to February and hello to March, it appears that the old piece of weather folklore may ring true: March will come in like a lion and go out like a lamb. Well, at least the first part. Let’s preview the weather roller coaster that will be Alabama over the next week.
50s FOR THE WEEKEND: A sprawling high pressure cell (1044 mb) is centered near the Ohio/Pennsylvania border this morning. Temperatures are below zero this morning from the Dakotas across Minnesota, northern Iowa, Wisconsin and northern Illinois through much of the eastern Great Lakes states into northern Pennsylvania and into New England. It is chilly across the South with readings at or below freezing generally down to US-80 all the way back into Louisiana. Here in Alabama, the northern half of the state is below freezing. This will probably be the last morning below freezing at Birmingham until Thursday. Highs today will top out in the middle 50s as we continue with a bit of an easterly wedge thanks to the high pressure. Clouds are thick this morning thanks to a mass of mid level moisture that is moving across the area in the southern branch of the jet stream. Clouds should decrease a bit during the day, allowing some sun to work back into the sky. This should allow the mercury to rise back into the middle 50s today despite the wedge.
By Sunday, a strong disturbance will be rotating through the Great Lakes. It will push a weakening cold front our way by Sunday night. Clouds will increase quickly Sunday along with our rain chances. Rain will be likely Sunday night, lasting into Monday, but don’t expect too much rainfall. By Tuesday, rainfall amounts across North Central Alabama should be around a third of an inch. Highs on Monday will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
WARMER TUESDAY: By Tuesday, low pressure will be developing over eastern Colorado. Warmer air will spread northward into the Deep South behind a warm front. Much of the area could see high temperatures in the lower 70s by Tuesday afternoon. Scattered showers will affect the areas as well.
MIDWEEK STORMS: A series of disturbances will swing across the Plains and Midwest during the early part of the week. This will open the door again for more cold air to invade the country. Rain and thunderstorms will move into Alabama on Wednesday, slowly pushing across the state into the evening hours. The threat of any severe weather is uncertain at this time, but there could certainly be strong storms.
ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTRY WEATHER: As the colder air moves in late Wednesday night, there could be enough residual moisture for a changeover to freezing rain and sleet and then snow during the predawn hours Thursday morning. It is too early to tell if we could see some accumulations, but it is not out of the question. Highs on Thursday will have a hard time making it above freezing and Friday morning lows will be well down into the middle 20s. Friday night lows may well make it into the teens again.
DANCING WITH THE STATS: As we end February and look back, it appears we will end the month with a mean temperature of 39.3F at the Birmingham Airport. This is 8 degrees below the normal mean which is 47.7F. See, grandpa told you it has been cold.
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CENTRAL ALABAMA NWA: Thursday night will feature the first meeting of the year for the Central Alabama chapter of the National Weather Association. Dr. John Christy, the Alabama State Climatologist will be the guest. Join or re-up your membership now at the chapter website.
WEATHERBRAINS:. Hoping for a super special Guest Monday night. Keep your fingers crossed. Check out the weekly netcast that’s all about weather at www.WeatherBrains.com. You can also subscribe on iTunes. You can watch the show live at live.bigbrainsmedia.com. You can also see the show on the James Spann 24×7 weather channel on cable or directly over the air on the dot 2 feed.
ON THIS DATE IN 2009: Four men, including two NFL players, set out from Tampa on a fishing trip on Saturday morning, February 28, 2009. Small craft advisories had been issued for that afternoon, as a powerful cold front was expected to blow through the area with strong and gusty northwesterly winds and a sharp drop in temperature. The 21 foot boat, owned and skippered by NFL linebacker Marquis Cooper capsized in rough seas. Only one of the four men survived,. He hung onto the outboard motor of the capsized vessel until rescuers arrived. Follow my weather history tweets on Twitter. I am @wxhistorian at Twitter.com.