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Sunny and Hot Saturday

| 12:53 pm July 26, 2014

It is certainly feeling like July this weekend across the state. The entire state is basking under a sunny sky as a ridge has built in across the region. There are a few fair weather clouds out there, but no showers or storms are showing up anywhere across the state. It is a terrific Saturday, it is just hot and humid, but that is what we expect during the middle of summer.

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Under the sunny sky, our temps are hot this afternoon, as most locations are into the upper 80s and lower 90s. Over the next few hours, those temps will continue to increase, and most spots will see high ranging from 91-95 this afternoon. That is right at or just above seasonal averages for this time of year. For your Sunday, we can expect a near repeat of today, but temps could be a degree or two warmer. Don’t worry though, big changes are ahead, as a cold front will be arriving Monday.

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Hot and Dry for the Weekend

| 6:52 am July 26, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

The dreaded upper ridge to our west will force itself eastward today and Sunday bringing heat values up while we stay mostly dry across the northern two-thirds of the state of Alabama. Highs will be in the 91 to 95 range today and Sunday with heat indices climbing on Sunday into the 100 to 105 range. But hold on for the weekend, because another major change is coming with yet another summer cold front promising to bring thunderstorms on Monday with much cooler and drier air to the Southeast US on Tuesday and Wednesday.

The upper ridge gets pushed back toward the west late Sunday and into Monday with the digging of a strong trough across the Great Lakes region. This will force a cold front – the fourth one in July this year – into the Southeast US and bring a round of thunderstorms to the area Monday. While no specific slight risk area is defined by SPC, we’ll need to watch for the development of isolated severe storms capable of damaging wind and perhaps large hail with the front on Monday.

The trough sweeps in pushing the front well down into the Gulf of Mexico Tuesday setting us up for cooler and drier air once again. Wednesday morning we could see near record lows for Central Alabama. The current record for July 30th is 61 set in 1994 for Birmingham.

The pattern remains stuck with a trough over the eastern half of the country for the latter half of the week, so we’ll see a gradual warming trend as moisture levels slowly come back up. But with the trough pattern over the East I expect us to stay below seasonal averages with highs mainly in the 80s for the latter part of the week.

Not quite as hot and dry at the coast for beach goers. There will be a good supply of sunshine for the coast from Panama City over to Mobile through the weekend with only widely scattered storms. Highs will be in the upper 80s along the immediate coast, and Gulf water temperatures are generally in the low to mid 80s.

The tropical Atlantic basin remains generally quiet. NHC is keeping an eye on a tropical wave south of the Cape Verde Islands, but tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend and into early next week.

The big news for voodoo country watchers is the continuation of the overall troughiness in the upper air pattern for the eastern half of the country. This will keep us out of any extreme heat and ever watchful for more of these anomalous summer-time cold fronts which seem to have become the new standard.

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I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted Sunday morning. Stay cool and Godspeed.

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Hot Weekend; Much Cooler Next Week

| 3:35 pm July 25, 2014

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today**

HEAT LEVELS RISING: Showers, as expected, are confined to the southern half of Alabama today. The northern counties are dry, with temperatures generally in the 88-92 degree range.

The heat will crank up a notch over the weekend; we project highs in the 91-94 degree range both days with a partly sunny sky. Any showers will be few and far between, and mostly over the southern half of the state. The combination of heat and humidity will make it pretty uncomfortable.

BUT… Another big change next week. A cold front moves through Monday with some risk of a passing shower or storm, followed by a cooler, drier airmass Monday night. Tuesday and Wednesday look delightful with sunny days, clear cooler nights, and lower humidity levels. The low early Wednesday morning will be close to 60 degrees, right at record levels for late July in Alabama.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: A good supply of sunshine for the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores through early next week with only widely scattered storms. Highs will be in the upper 80s along the immediate coast, and sea water temperatures are generally in the low to mid 80s.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I enjoyed speaking at the ALAGASCO service center over in Anniston today… look for my next Weather Xtreme video here Monday morning by 7:00 a.m…. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

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Drier Air Settles Into North/Central Alabama

| 6:22 am July 25, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

PLEASANT SUMMER MORNING: Feels pretty good over North Alabama morning… Fort Payne has dropped to 61 degrees… we also have low 60s at Haleyville, Cullman, and Valley Head. The sky is clear, and the air is dry in the wake of a front that passed through late Thursday.

Today will feature sunshine in full supply with a high around 90 degrees.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Afternoon heat levels rise; we project low 90s tomorrow and Sunday afternoon, and a few spots over North and West Alabama might even touch the mid 90s. The air will remain dry over the northern half of Alabama, so most communities will remain rain-free over the weekend. A few showers or storms could pop up over the southern counties of the state, but even there they will be widely spaced.

COOLER NEXT WEEK: A cold front will push through Alabama Monday; still looks like it won’t be an especially big rain event, and the best chance of showers or storms will come during the morning hours. Then, a nice surge of cooler, drier air arrives Monday night.

We will be very close to record low temperature levels by daybreak Wednesday, with low 60s likely (Birmingham’s record low for July 30 is 61 set in 1994). Humidity levels will be low for the middle of the week with sunny days and fair nights. Moisture levels rise slowly by Thursday and Friday, but widespread rain for now doesn’t look likely.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day along the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through Sunday with only widely scattered thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 82 degrees.

TROPICS: All remains quiet across the Atlantic basin, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a severe weather program this morning at the ALAGASCO service center in Anniston… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Drier Air Moving Into North Alabama

| 3:34 pm July 24, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A band of showers and storms is over North/Central Alabama ahead of a surface front, which is near I-59…

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Showers are moving southeast, and drier air is entering North Alabama. The dry air will win the battle temporarily, at least for the northern half of the state as the sky becomes clear tonight.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: The weather will be mostly rain-free over North Alabama; the risk of a shower tomorrow and Saturday is only about one in ten, barely worth the mention in the forecast. Expect a good supply of hazy sunshine both days, and the high will be close to 90 degrees. A few showers or storms are possible over the southern counties of the state, but even there they should be widely scattered.

Sunday still looks mostly dry with a high in the low 90s, but a cold front could trigger a few showers or storms Sunday night over North Alabama.

NEXT WEEK: Showers and storms will end Monday morning, and cooler, drier, continental air will move into Alabama Tuesday and Wednesday. It will be very comfortable for a time when the summer heat is usually peaking; we expect lower humidity and cooler nights. We will drop down into the low 60s early Wednesday morning, very close to record low temperature levels for July 30 (Birmingham’s record low is 61 set in 1994). Moisture returns later in the week with scattered showers and storms possible by Thursday and Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: We project about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day through Sunday from Panama City to Gulf Shores with only widely scattered thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are in the low to mid 80s.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Drier Air Arrives Tonight

| 6:06 am July 24, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

FOGGY START: Nothing on radar at daybreak, but we do have areas of dense fog across the northern half of Alabama with very limited visibility in places. NWS Huntsville has issued a Dense Fog Advisory for their counties up in the Tennessee Valley.

A surface front is nearing the Alabama/Tennessee border, and as it drops south we expect developing showers and thunderstorms during the day. The coverage of the rain probably won’t be as great as yesterday, but still some spots could see a heavy downpour. The sky will be cloudy at times, and most places will see a high in the upper 80s.

Drier air will move into North Alabama tonight.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: These three days look mostly rain-free for the northern half of our state, with partly to mostly sunny days and fair nights. Afternoon highs will be at or just over 90 degrees, and showers should be confined to the southern counties of Alabama. Even down there they should be pretty widely separated.

An approaching cold front could bring a band of showers or thunderstorms down into North Alabama Sunday night as the weekend wraps up.

NEXT WEEK: Another high amplitude upper air pattern will become established across the U.S., with a deep long wave trough over the eastern states. Showers and storms are possible Monday, especially during the morning hours, as a cold front moves southward, and we get into another refreshing airmass by Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs will drop into the mid 80s, humidity levels will be low, and nights will be cooler. We are projecting a low near 60 degrees at daybreak Wednesday, which is right at record low territory for July 30 (Birmingham’s record low that morning is 61 set in 1994).

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See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: The weather looks good through the weekend from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, with about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day with only widely scattered thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 82 degrees.

TROPICS: Dry air continues to cover much of the Atlantic basin, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be the emcee of the Light The Night Kick Off Celebration to benefit the Leukemia and Lymphoma society today at WorkPlay in Birmingham today… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Drier Air Arrives Friday

| 3:48 pm July 23, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SLOW MOVING SUMMER STORMS: Some communities across the northern half of Alabama have received some big rain totals today due to nearly stationary thunderstorms; the NWS in Huntsville issued a number of flash flood warnings for their counties up in the Tennessee Valley.

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We will maintain the chance of a few showers and storms across Alabama through the night as a surface front approaches from the north.

That front will also mean a good chance of showers and thunderstorms tomorrow; organized severe weather is not expected, although a few storms are certainly possible, much like today. Tomorrow should be the 10th consecutive day with a high below 90 degrees in Birmingham.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY: Drier air moves down into North Alabama, and these two days should be mostly rain-free for the northern half of the state. Scattered storms will be confined to South Alabama, and our highs will be pretty close to 90 degrees.

A cold front, supported by a deepening upper trough over the eastern third of the nation, will move into Alabama late Sunday or early Monday. The 12Z run of the GFS hints the best chance of showers and storms along the front could very well be from about 9 p.m. Sunday through 9:00 a.m. Monday. Drier air will begin flowing into North Alabama Monday afternoon.

ANOTHER REFRESHING AIRMASS: Here we go again… potential for more record lows across Alabama by Wednesday morning of next week. Highs drop into the low to mid 80s Tuesday and Wednesday with low humidity, and it looks like a low early Wednesday between 58 and 62 (the record low for July 30 is 61, set in 1994). This cool airmass will come at a time when summer heat is typically at it’s peak. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: Tropical depression two dissipated earlier today in the Atlantic, and with very dry air covering much of the Atlantic basin, tropical storm formation is not expected anytime soon.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Not bad at all. We project about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day from panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend with only widely scattered storms each day. Highs in the mid to upper 80s on the immediate coast, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting the kids at the Children’s Library in Alexander City… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow.

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Scattered Showers/Storms Again Today

| 6:08 am July 23, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: All is quiet across the great state of Alabama this morning; temperatures are mostly in the low 70s and there is no rain on radar at daybreak. A blanket of moist air continues to cover Alabama, and on the maps we have a weak upper low near New Orleans. This means the weather won’t change much today; scattered showers and storms will fire up later with a high in the upper 80s in most places.

Birmingham has gone eight consecutive days with a high below 90 degrees, and that streak will most likely continue today.

TOMORROW: We project a higher coverage of showers and thunderstorms tomorrow, especially during the afternoon hours, as a surface front approaches from the north. A few strong storms are possible, but organized severe weather is not likely. The sky will be generally cloudy with a high between 86 and 89 degrees.

DRIER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY: Drier air will move down into the northern half of Alabama on these two days, and the weather looks mostly rain-free with lower humidity levels and a decent amount of sunshine. The high will be around 90 degrees, and scattered storms should be confined to the southern counties of the state.

SUNDAY/MONDAY: Moist air returns Sunday with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, and another surface front will move down this way Sunday night into Monday. The 00Z run of the GFS is faster with the front, and brings down drier air into North Alabama Monday morning. For now we will keep a chance of showers/storms in the forecast Monday, but if the faster trend continues we will trend toward a drier forecast.

NEXT WEEK: Another high amplitude upper pattern will bring another refreshing airmass into Alabama during the mid-week period. Not sure this air will be quiet as cool as the ones we enjoyed earlier this month, but no doubt the humidity will be lower, and the lows Wednesday morning should be in the low 60s, with 50s for the cooler pockets across North Alabama. The record low for Birmingham for July 30 is 61 degrees set in 1994… we might give that a run for the money early Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

TROPICS: Tropical depression two is hanging in there like a rusty fish hook, despite very dry air surrounding the system and moderate wind shear. This will pass through the Leeward Islands late tonight, and should dissipate, or become a remnant low over the eastern Caribbean late tomorrow. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: The weather is looking good from Panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend; about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day with only widely scattered storms around. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 83 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I will be doing a weather program this morning at the public library in Alexander City… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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