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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

Clouds and Sun Today

| 7:20 am December 14, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Some low clouds moved into northern Alabama overnight creating an interesting temperature contrast across Central Alabama. Near sunrise, there was a 21 degree difference in temperatures from Tuscaloosa at 47 and Anniston at 26. Vic Bell reported a low of 23 at Black Creek for the coldest reading I could find. This makes the temperature forecast today a bit difficult. I think the clouds will stick around this morning but we should see some sunshine by afternoon. The clouds will hold temperatures down some so I’m only expecting the upper 50s for most areas, perhaps lower 60s south of the Birmingham area.

The surface high in place this morning will slide to the east today with the next weather system taking shape to our west. As the high slides east, a trough kicks our of the southern Rockies on Monday taking the surface low into the middle Mississippi River Valley and bringing a front across the lower portion of the Mississippi Valley. Clouds should increase Monday with the showers and rain holding off until the very late afternoon and evening.

This system zips by briskly so I think much of the rain chances will be confined to the nighttime hours. By Tuesday at midday the trough has moved into the eastern Great Lakes area and the front has cleared the area. We should see the rain end for most folks by daybreak though it might linger a little beyond that for the eastern section of Central Alabama. We’ll cool down some for Wednesday and Thursday as the coldest air remains well to our north, but our highs should fall back into the 50s.

Wednesday and Thursday will be dry with another weak ridge influencing our weather. The next system, however, will be taking shape Thursday and bringing us some wet weather for Friday and the first half of Saturday. Friday is likely to be a fairly warm day as a warm front moves north and good southerly flow is established. The upper storm system opens up and moves by on Saturday afternoon, so that should bring an end to the rain by the middle of the day on Saturday. Sunday should be dry and colder once again with highs dropping back into the middle 50s.

Rainfall with the first system is expected to be fairly light with a half inch or less for most locations. The next system for Friday and Saturday could bring a bigger rain event to the area.

And voodoo country has a somewhat different look to it on this run – so what’s new? Yesterday it looked like a warm and dry Christmas for Central Alabama, but the run today continues to show a fairly warm pattern but it could be wet with a strong weather system coming across the Southern Plains. And the pattern will remain active with another system ab out three days later bringing more wet weather for the 28th and 29th. But maybe all this will change in the next few model runs.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray
Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann will return with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video on Monday morning posting it by 7 am or so. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Sunny, For Most Spots

| 1:16 pm December 13, 2014

Most locations across the state are basking in an abundance of sunshine this afternoon. Where the sun is out, temps are into the 50s and 60s, making it a beautiful Saturday across the state. However, this is not the case for all locations in the state. An area of cloud cover has moved into the Tennessee Valley as well as portions of West Alabama. Where the clouds are present, temps are hanging in the 40s this afternoon. Most locations in Central Alabama will continue see the mainly clear conditions today.

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Heading into the overnight hours, look for those temps to drop back down into the lower to mid-30s in Central Alabama. As we head into the second half of the weekend, we are expecting plenty of sun. Highs for tomorrow should be in the 60s for all of Central Alabama.

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Warmer & Dry for the Weekend

| 6:18 am December 13, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

If you are looking for really cold weather, you won’t find it around here this weekend. Sure, we’re starting the day off on a rather nippy note with readings in the 20s across the Tennessee River Valley and Northeast Alabama while much of Central Alabama was around 30 degrees. With a good supply of sunshine expected our afternoon highs should climb to around the 60s degree mark.

We stay dry on Sunday as the upper ridge builds across the eastern half of the country. Sunday will also be a tad warmer with highs in the lower and middle 60s.

Our next shot at rain comes Monday night and early Tuesday. This is a relatively fast moving system so the timing on the rain and showers should be between about 6 pm Monday and 9 am Tuesday. Rainfall amounts are expected to be less than half an inch since we don’t really establish a good moisture return with this system.

An upper ridge will dominate the pattern in the middle of the week with dry weather Wednesday and Thursday and highs returning to the 60s. By Friday, a strong trough will be edging closer to us out of the southern Rockies, so Friday will be warm with rain chances and clouds returning. That trough moves by Saturday, so our weather should be improving as the rain moves out in the morning and early afternoon. Highs will drop back into the 50s, but there is not any extreme cold with this system.

The weather pattern this time of year is typically pretty fast and we are seeing that. Looks wet for the 23rd of December, but dry for us for Christmas day. The upper air pattern suggests Christmas day could be quite warm. But another chill down and wet weather are projected for the 27th-28th or so.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Ashley Brand
J. B. Elliott Bill Murray Brian Peters
E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

Off to Helena United Methodist Church for the Festival of Three Kings. I get to be that jolly fellow from well north of here. Then it’s off to Cahaba Heights UMC for a rehearsal for their Sunday Christmas program, followed by an evening with friends at a Christmas party! I’m already tired and the day has just begun! I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video by 8 am or so on Sunday. Enjoy this lovely weekend as the Christmas holiday looms closer. Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Showers Return Early Next Week

| 3:28 pm December 12, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SEVERE CLEAR: Another day of blue sky and sunshine across the great state of Alabama this afternoon; temperatures are very close to seasonal averages, with most places in the mid to upper 50s. The air is dry, and there is no rain on radar.

The dry weather continues throughout the weekend, with sunny pleasant days and clear chilly nights. After an early morning low close to the freezing mark, we rise into the low 60s tomorrow with a sunny sky. Mid 60s are likely by Sunday afternoon as our slow warming trend continues.

NEXT WEEK: Short wave energy will bring clouds into Alabama Monday, and showers could reach the western counties during the afternoon hours. The better chance of rain statewide will come Monday night, and this still doesn’t look like a big rain event… with limited moisture rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch. There could be a little thunder in spots, but there is no risk of severe weather.

The sky becomes partly sunny Tuesday afternoon, and the high will be close to 60. Wednesday looks rain-free and pleasant as well; we might need to insert the risk of showers toward the end of the week Thursday and Friday as moist air begins to return ahead of a vigorous weather system to the west.

The core impact of that storm system should come on Saturday December 20, when rain and storms are likely statewide. This could be a heavy rain/strong to severe thunderstorm setup, at the moment it looks like the highest risk of severe storms will come over the southern part of the state, but with this event eight days away there is no way of resolving details now.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: The 12Z GFS shows a cool, dry week for Alabama with seasonal temperatures; highs mostly in the 50s and lows mostly in the 30s. The AO/NAO combination remains positive, which will make it hard to get bitterly cold air this far south. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the fifth graders at Glencoe Middle School in Etowah County; be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted bright and early Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

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Slow Weekend Warm-Up Ahead

| 6:09 am December 12, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ANOTHER COLD MORNING: As cold as 18 degrees in Alabama this morning; that was the 6:00 a.m. temperature at Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden. But, a warming trend begins later today with a good supply of sunshine as we rise into the mid to upper 50s this afternoon… that is right at seasonal averages for mid-December.

The slow warm-up continues over the weekend; the high tomorrow will be close to 60, followed by low to mid 60s Sunday. Mornings will stay chilly; many communities will see another light freeze early tomorrow morning as the weekend begins. Dry air means a sunny sky both days.

NEXT WEEK: Short wave energy will bring clouds back into the state Monday, and showers arrive late Monday afternoon over the northwest corner of the state. Looks like our best chance of showers will come from 5:00 p.m. Monday through 5:00 a.m. Tuesday… no severe weather, and probably not much thunder. And, with limited moisture rain amounts for most should be under 1/2 inch.

The sky becomes partly sunny Tuesday as drier air returns, and there is no cold air involved with this system, so the high Tuesday afternoon should be close to 60 degrees. Expect mostly sunny and pleasant weather Wednesday and Thursday with a high in the low 60s.

A dynamic weather system will bring the risk of a shower late in the week on Friday, but the main event should come the following day, on Saturday December 20. Too early to be specific, but at this point it looks like it might be a heavy rain event for Alabama with potential for strong thunderstorms.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: The Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) remain positive, which means it will be hard for bitterly cold air to invade the Deep South; temperatures for now look close to seasonal averages, with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s generally speaking. The 06Z GFS shows potential for a rain event on Christmas Eve, but we all know in the “land of voodoo” that will probably vanish on the next run. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I have a weather program today at Glencoe Middle School in Etowah County… then this evening I will be live from the “Bikes for Tots” event at the Walmart on Highway 150 in Hoover. The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted this afternoon by 4:00… enjoy the day…

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Cold Again Tonight; A Warmer Weekend

| 3:35 pm December 11, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Expect another freeze early tomorrow morning across North/Central Alabama; most communities will see a low near 30, with 20s likely for colder valleys and protected areas. Then, a warming trend begins tomorrow afternoon as temperatures rise into the mid to upper 50s with a sunny sky.

The weekend looks very nice; ample sunshine Saturday and Sunday with afternoon highs up in the low 60s. Mornings will be chilly with lows in the mid to upper 30s. No moisture, no chance of rain.

NEXT WEEK: A short wave will bring increasing clouds to Alabama Monday, and showers are a good possibility Monday night. Still looks like the main window for rain will come from about 6:00 p.m. Monday through 6:00 a.m. Tuesday, and amounts should be generally under 1/2 inch, with potential for heavier totals over the northwest corner of the state. No severe weather threat, and probably not much thunder. Drier air returns Tuesday afternoon, and Wednesday and Thursday look dry with a good deal of sunshine both days along with a high near 60 degrees.

Global model consensus is good on the potential for a dynamic system around Saturday, December 20 that would bring the risk of heavy rain and maybe even strong thunderstorms.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: This is still in a period where there is very little skill in a specific forecast (beyond seven days), but for now global models hint most of the week will be dry with temperatures near or a bit below seasonal averages for late December. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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RAIN UPDATE: Birmingham has received 44.41″ of rain since January 1; that is a deficiency of 6.47″. Bottom line is that there is a good chance we end up with a rain deficit for 2014 as the year ends in a few weeks. Tuscaloosa and Anniston have similar totals.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Cool, Dry December Day

| 6:24 am December 11, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SUB-FREEZING START: Here are some temperatures across the great state of Alabama at daybreak…

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 21
Valley Head 23
Gadsden 25
Concord 25
Fort Payne 25
Anniston 26
Center Point 26
Haleyville 27
Birmingham 28
Tuscaloosa 28
Coker 28
Northport 29

DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Despite sunshine in full supply today, we won’t get past the 50 degree mark, and another light freeze is likely early tomorrow. Then, a warming trend begins tomorrow afternoon… we expect a high in the upper 50s with a good supply of sunshine. The weather looks wonderful for the weekend, with ample sunshine Saturday and Sunday along with a high in the low 60s both afternoons.

NEXT WEEK: Clouds will return to the state Monday, and we will forecast a good chance of showers Monday night with a short wave moving in from the west. Moisture will be limited, so rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch, and while a little thunder is possible, severe weather is not expected. The main window for rain will come from about 6:00 p.m. Monday through 6:00 a.m. Tuesday.

Drier air returns during the day Tuesday, and rain-free weather is likely Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures will remain comfortable, with highs generally in the low 60s through mid-week.

LONG RANGE THOUGHTS: The GFS and the ECMWF are in very good agreement, showing a significant storm system impacting Alabama around Saturday December 20. This looks like a rather dynamic feature, and will need to monitored in coming days for severe weather potential. Then, dry and cool weather seems to be the story for the following week, including Christmas Day. Of course, this is out in the “land of voodoo”, and this could easily change. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WILD WEATHER DAY FOR CALIFORNIA: Heavy rain is moving into the San Francisco Bay area this morning; they will see 3-5 inches of rain over the next few days, and winds today could gust to 40/50 mph at times.

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This will be case, however, where the positives could outweigh the negatives; this is beneficial rain for a state that is in severe drought conditions.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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Cold Tonight; Warmer By The Weekend

| 3:19 pm December 10, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHILLY DAY: Despite a decent amount of sun today, temperatures across North/Central Alabama are only in the upper 40s at mid-afternoon, about ten degrees below average values for mid-December. We expect a pretty decent freeze tonight; lows early tomorrow between 25 and 29 degrees are expected with a clear sky and light wind.

DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Cool air stays in place tomorrow with maximum sunshine and a high around 50, then we warm into the mid 50s Friday, and low 60s Saturday and Sunday. Dry air means no rain, and sunny days and clear nights.

NEXT WEEK: A wave will bring the next chance of rain to Alabama Monday night; still looks like the main chance of wet weather will come from about 6:00 p.m. Monday through 6:00 a.m. Tuesday; moisture will be limited so at the moment it looks like rain amounts will be generally under 1/2 inch, and there is no threat of severe weather with weak dynamic forcing and very little surface based instability. The sky becomes partly sunny Tuesday afternoon, and highs hold in the 50s with no real cold air behind the system.

The GFS continues to suggest the next rain event comes around Friday December 19, or Saturday December 20.

CHRISTMAS? Way too early to be specific about weather on Christmas Day; global ensembles hint we could see a change to colder temperatures by then, still no firm evidence of any bitterly cold air at this point. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and details.

VERY QUIET YEAR FOR TORNADOES: Our friend Greg Carbin at the Storm Prediction Center released data yesterday showing US tornado numbers for 2014 are among lowest in recorded history…

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Not that anyone is complaining…

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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