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Dry Through The Weekend

| 3:39 pm October 21, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

TONS O’ SUN: Another delightful October day across Alabama, with a sunny sky and temperatures generally in the mid 70s, right at seasonal levels. No rain on radar.

A new surge of cooler air drops into the state tonight, and our high tomorrow will drop into the 67 to 70 degree range. By daybreak Thursday we expect a low down in the low 40s, with upper 30s likely for colder pockets across North Alabama. No rain for the rest of the week with sunny days and clear nights.

OUR WEEKEND: No real change. Sunny pleasant days, clear cool nights. Highs in the 70s, lows in the 50s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cool conditions for high school games Friday night; temperatures will fall from the upper 60s at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Saturday is a big football day in Birmingham with the Magic City Classic at Legion Field, featuring Alabama State and Alabama A&M. The sky will be sun filled (2:30p CT kickoff); 76 degrees at kickoff, with mid 60s by the final whistle. There is no risk of rain.

Auburn will host South Carolina Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear, with temperatures falling from the upper 60s at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on the Tennessee Volunteers Saturday evening in Knoxville (6:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be clear with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the second half.

UAB plays on the road at Arkansas in Fayetteville Saturday (11:00a CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature near 77 degrees, rising into the low 80s by halftime. No risk of rain.

NEXT WEEK: A weak cold front will pass through Wednesday, but for now it looks like moisture will be too limited for any really significant chance of rain. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: A disturbance over the Bay of Campeche will move eastward over the Yucatan peninsula in coming days, emerging into the Caribbean later his week. If it survives, it will move northward, and could impact the southern tip of Florida in about a week with potential for heavy rain. No issues for Alabama.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I enjoyed being in Hackleburg this morning; their rebuilding process is coming along very nicely after the horrible EF-5 tornado there April 27, 2011. Here is a look at the new Hackleburg High School under construction…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Mild Afternoons, Cool Nights

| 6:01 am October 21, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY PATTERN HANGS ON: Today will be the 7th consecutive day with no rain across the great state of Alabama, and there is no sign of any significant rain here through the end of the month. Today will feature ample sunshine with a high in the mid 70s.

A new surge of cooler air drops in here tonight; the high tomorrow should slip back into the upper 60s, and Thursday morning looks pretty cool with lows in the 39-43 degree range. Friday should feature a sun filled sky with a high in the low to mid 70s.

OUR WEEKEND: No real change; sunny pleasant days, clear cool nights. Highs over the weekend will be in the 70s, with lows between 48 and 53. Picture perfect weather for football or anything else you want to do outdoors.

Next week a cold front will pass through on Wednesday, but moisture levels look too low for any significant chance of rain. Sure looks like it will be sometime in early November before we see another rain event.

TROPICS: A disturbance in the Bay of Campeche, in the far Southwest Gulf of Mexico, has some chance of development over the next week; it will move eastward across the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and into the Caribbean late this week; the GFS then turns it northward toward Cuba, and possibly the southern tip of Florida before a right turn into the Atlantic. No impact on Alabama; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: Fantastic fall weather through the weekend with sunny days and clear highs; highs 75-80 with lows in the 50s and 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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This morning I will be speaking to the Extension Disaster Education Network group, meeting in Hackleburg, the community hit by an EF-5 tornado April 27, 2011. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day…

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WeatherBrains 456: NWA 2014

| 4:01 am October 21, 2014

WeatherBrains Episode 456 is now online (October 20, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

This week Bill Murray, Rick Smith, Dr. John Scala, and Nate Johnson join us from the 2014 National Weather Association annual meeting in Salt Lake City. Our team is joined by an assortment of great guests from across the weather enterprise.

Our email bag officer brings us the latest in incoming messages from our listeners. Always informative and interesting!

Listener SurveyListener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Web Sites from Episode 456:

National Weather Association web site

NWA Conference web site

Picks of the Week:

John Scala – NOAA Winter Outlook

James Spann – Spann’s reaction to the NOAA Winter Outlook

Aubrey Urbanowicz – Wreckhouse Wind Warning

SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

Audible.com graphic

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Dry October Days

| 3:28 pm October 20, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

QUIET FALL WEATHER PATTERN: Nothing on the radar as you might expect on this beautiful fall day. Lots of sun; temperatures are generally in the low 70s at mid-afternoon.

REST OF THE WEEK: Not much change as the dry pattern continues. A fresh surge of cooler and dry air arrives Wednesday; we project sunny pleasant days and fair cool nights through Friday with just a few passing high cirrus clouds from time to time.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Dry air stays in place, and the weather looks fantastic. Mostly sunny days, fair nights. Highs in the 70-75 degree range; lows 45 to 50 degrees. You could not ask for better weather for the Magic City Classic or anything else you want to do outside Saturday and Sunday.

And, in the longer range, still no evidence of any significant chance of rain here through the end of October. Our next shower/thunderstorm event comes sometime in November.

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TROPICS: A disturbance over the Bay of Campeche has a chance of getting better organized in coming days; seems like this will move eastward over the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Caribbean late this week, followed by a northward turn toward Cuba and the southern tip of Florida. This should not impact Alabama in any way; see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps and graphics.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Sunny days, clear nights thorough the weekend from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Highs 77-81; lows mostly in the 60s. Sea water temperatures are generally in the low 70s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight live from the National Weather Association annual meeting in Salt Lake City, UT. We begin earlier than usual; 6:45p CT. Watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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I enjoyed seeing the 6th graders today at Parrish Elementary School in Walker County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow… enjoy the day…

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Fine Fall Weather Continues

| 6:12 am October 20, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY OCTOBER DAYS: If you enjoyed the weather over the weekend, you should enjoy the weather this week, and for the rest of October.

We are starting off this day with temperatures in the 40s, although Vic Bell up at Black Creek, near Gadsden, reports 38 degrees ay daybreak. The sky will be sunny today with a high in the low 70s. The average high today (for Birmingham) is 74.

A new surge of cooler, dry air arrives Wednesday, and that will keep us rain-free through Friday with mostly sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: No change. Lots of sunshine both days; highs in the 70s and lows in the upper 40s and low 50s. Another great weekend for football or anything else you enjoy outdoors.

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The GFS model really does’t show any significant rain event for our state through Halloween as the dry pattern continues. Keep in mind our fall tornado season comes in November and December; that is a time when the weather tends to get more active with occasional stormy periods.

TROPICS: A disturbance near the Mexican coast in the far southwest Gulf of Mexico has come chance of becoming better organized later this week; some models push this toward the southern tip of Florida. One way or another, it won’t have any impact on our weather in Alabama.

AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, fair nights from Panama City west to Gulf Shores over the next seven days. Highs 75-80; lows mostly in the 60s. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 70 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. This week we will be live from the National Weather Association annual meeting in Salt Lake City, UT. We will produce the show tonight; the start time is earlier than usual… we begin at 6:45 CT. Watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be going a weather program this morning at Parrish Elementary School in Walker County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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NWA Digital Seal 001D

| 3:26 pm October 19, 2014

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The Internet is a great equalizer. Website and blogging platforms have given everyone a voice. Social media is a powerful megaphone that is accessible to anyone. But the explosion of information on the web has become a double edged sword. One recent example is the Boston Marathon bombing. Photos released on the Internet within hours of the bombing wrongly implicated innocent people and made the job of finding the real perpetrators difficult for investigators.

In no area has this double edged sword reared its ugly side more than in the dissemination of weather information. The general public now has access in real time to nearly every piece of weather information available to professional meteorologists. It has become readily apparent that the other side of the sword can be detrimental when weather information is shared irresponsibly. One of the most common forms this takes is when a single model solution is represented as an absolute forecast and shared and re-shared as such. With many different models and resolutions, you can find a solution for any solution you can imagine. When those model solutions are extreme, the social media universe can quickly catch fire with the information.

The result is that National Weather Service meteorologists and broadcasters find themselves increasingly spending their time to combat misleading or incorrectly interpreted or labeled information.

The National Weather Association, the leading organization for operational meteorologists, recognized the need o provide leadership in this area. Miles Muzio, the Chair of the Broadcast Meteorology Committee has championed the cause of a Seal of Approval for Digital Weathercasters.

The organization has a rich history of producing nearly one thousand Broadcaster Seals for TV Weathercasters. The NWA Broadcaster Seal of Approval is a trusted indicator of that the sealholder has passed a rigorous comprehensive examination and had his or her on air work evaluated by a group of experienced meteorologists.

The NWA approached the idea of a sister seal to the Broadcast Seal very deliberately, debating the merits, procedures, guidelines and ongoing monitoring of introducing such a program. All of the information received intense scrutiny from the National Weather Association Council.

This morning, at the 39th Annual Meeting of the National Weather Association, the Digital Seal program was laid out.

I am very thrilled and honored to be the holder of the very first National Weather Association Digital Weather Seal.

Miles Muzio with me and Mike Mogil on stage this morning

Miles Muzio with me and Mike Mogil on stage this morning

I am part of the “Pioneer 3″ as Miles calls the first three recipients, joining the heady company of Jason Samenow of the Capital Weather Gang and Mike Mogil of How the WeatherWorks. We all three passed the same rigorous exam that Broadcast Seal recipients must pass and had our work evaluated according to the Qualifications and Procedures developed by the Broadcast Meteorology Committee. The comprehensive test includes general meteorology, radar meteorology, satellite meteorology, synoptic meteorology, severe weather, climatology and technology/terminology.

We all will be re-certified every three years and our work will be constantly monitored to make sure that it upholds the values of this important distinction.

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I will proudly serve as the Digital Seal Manager.

It was a an incredible moment for me this morning. I look forward to proudly displaying the NWA Digital Seal on Alabama WX. Thank you for the opportunity to share weather information with you, the greatest weather savvy audience on the planet, on a regular basis!

MORE INFORMATION

Press Release

NWA Digital Seal Page

The Pioneer 3

FAQ (PDF Format)

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Phenomenal Fall Weather

| 2:28 pm October 19, 2014

Another gorgeous fall day is underway across the state, and the weather does not get much better than this in Alabama. With only high cirrus clouds in the sky, we are seeing highs climb into the lower 70s. Looking across the Southeast, it is hard to find anything to complain about in the weather world. Hardly a cloud in the sky, temps in the 60s and 70s, and light winds out of the north, which are reinforcing the fall air mass in place. Absolutely beautiful weather!

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If you like the weather this weekend, it will be continuing through the week ahead. Late tomorrow and into Tuesday, we will once again see another dry cold front move through the state, and it will once again provide another reinforcing shot of terrific fall weather. We could see some clouds with this front, but once again, no rain, and once the front moves through, look for sun-filled, blue sky, cool temps, low humidity and beautiful weather. Highs this week will be in the lower 70s, while those overnight lows will mostly be in the 40s with some 50s early in the week. It still looks as though we stay dry the rest of the month.

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Nearly Perfect Autumn Day

| 7:01 am October 19, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

The weather doesn’t get much better than what we will see today. Dry, cool air across the state this morning allowed temperatures to fall into the 40s with upper 30s across Northeast Alabama. With only high cirrus clouds in the sky we should see highs climb into the lower 70s.

In the tropics, Gonzalo was expected to become an extratropical storm today as it continued to accelerate rapidly into the northern Atlantic.

The upper trough over the Mid-Atlantic states will rotate across New England and into the Canadian Maritime provinces Monday as a strong short wave close on the heels of that low digs into the Great Lakes area. This will drag another cold front into and across the Southeast US on Tuesday. Since moisture will not have a chance to return, this front is also expected to pass through without any precipitation associated with it. It will also bring another cool down with lows returning into the 40s.

The upper air pattern remains fast with a ridge affecting us Wednesday and Thursday as the upper trough forms a closed low over the Mid-Atlantic states. We’re on the dry side of things so look for plenty of sunshine and highs only around 70 on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. Friday into Sunday, a short wave trough will move from Iowa southeastward across the Southeast US digging a deep trough into North Florida. However, without any signs of moisture for the trough to work with, it should come through the Southeast dry with only some middle or high clouds to mark its passage. This should bring great weather for high school football on Friday evening.

If your plans include a trip to the beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida, the weather will be dry for the week ahead with highs around 80 dipping into the upper 70s for much of the middle and latter part of the week ahead.

The GFS is showing another good trough moving through the Central US around the 28th of October which could bring a chance for rain to Central Alabama. That is followed by another ridge as we enter November.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray
Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann will have the next Weather Xtreme Video here on Monday morning. Enjoy the lovely autumn weather today. Godspeed.

-Brian-

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