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Return to Summer-ish Weather Ahead

| 6:59 am July 20, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Our weather pattern continued to somewhat complex with a weak front draped across Central Alabama with moisture values high to the east and south of the Birmingham area. A weak short wave moving across northern Mississippi was helping to produce showers across South and East Alabama where dew points were in the lower 70s. Some fog was being reported across the northwest portions of Central Alabama. As the weak short wave moves by today, showers remain possible with the greater risk once again generally east and south of the Interstate 59 corridor. Clouds will once again limit daytime heating but most areas will see the middle 80s with some upper 80s possible.

As we get into the upcoming work week, a summer-like pattern with some moisture in place will keep the potential for daily showers in the forecast through the middle of the week. Moisture levels slowly work up as does the heat so showers may become a bit more widespread into Tuesday and Wednesday. I expect afternoon highs to climb into the 88 to 92 degree range.

The next big challenge in the forecast will be the approach of yet another front Thursday and Friday with the deepening of another trough over the eastern half of the country. As I’ve noted before, we don’t usually see fronts plowing through the Southeast during July and August, but this summer seems to be the exception. Our major two long range models are in fair agreement on the idea of the front going all the way to the Gulf but the GFS was more bullish than the European which was washing the front out. The approach of the trough and the front could signal an increase in showers and thunderstorms for the end of the week, but we’ll have to watch for adjustments to the forecast.

The upper flow with the deepening trough also goes north to northwesterly, so there is some risk for large clusters of storms to form over the Central US and move into the Southeast US, but it is certainly too early to be that specific – just wary to that kind of development.

There is little change in the overall pattern of the trough in the East and the ridge in the West, so we continue to hang onto the idea of little extreme heat for the Southeast US as we stay somewhat unsettled.

Beach bound folks will see some decent rain chances today, but the weather should become more seasonal this week as showers return mainly during the afternoon, and most likely along the sea breeze front as it moves inland. Cloudy today with 4 to 6 hours of sunshine but more sunshine early this week with 6 to 8 hours likely. Highs will be in the upper 80s with overnight lows in the upper 70s. Water temperatures along the coast are in the lower 80s and likely to hold there.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray
Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann will have the next Weather Xtreme Video on Monday morning. Enjoy your day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Another Cool Summer Day

| 11:42 am July 19, 2014

It once again feels and looks nothing like the middle of July for the state of Alabama. We are once again seeing clouds, showers, and unseasonably cool temps. Even at this point in the day, temperatures are struggling to climb out of the 70s. I am certainly not complaining, but it definitely is not our typical summer weather.

Heading through the rest of today, we will continue to see elevated rain chances, and the cloud will be hanging tough, but we will see some breaks in the clouds that will allow some sun to shine through. Where we see more sun, the temps should make it into the lower to mid-80s, where there is no sun, I would not be surprised to see some locations stay in the 70s.

We continue to watch a front that is moving across the Southeast, and it should be clearing most of the area later today. This will allow our rain chances to decrease some, and we will see our temperatures on the increase as we head into the new work week.

7-19-2014 11-27-10 AM

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Still Cool for July

| 6:51 am July 19, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

From the National Weather Service, we note that there were several record low maximum temperature values set in Central Alabama yesterday.

SITE        JULY 18 HIGH  OLD MINIMUM HIGH  YEAR
----------  ------------  ----------------  ----
ANNISTON         80               82        2009
BIRMINGHAM       76               79        1906
TUSCALOOSA       75               86        2012

Yesterday was not your typical July day with clouds and widespread rain over Alabama keeping temperatures in record territory. The heaviest rain was over the northern and western counties where some spots received over one inch of beneficial rain. Many places saw around half an inch of rain.

A weak surface low was situated over Northeast Mississippi this morning, as the upper trough supporting the rain will weaken over the weekend bringing showers and thunderstorms down to more scattered variety with the better rain chances across East and South Alabama. The sun will peek out at times today, and the afternoon will be warmer as our high returns to the mid 80s.

Sunday should be brighter and drier with a mix of sun and clouds and a few scattered showers and thunderstorms. The high Sunday should be up in the mid to upper 80s as we dig out of the “July deep freeze”, as James dubbed it.

The weather returns to more of a summertime routine for the first half of the week with partly sunny weather Monday through Wednesday with the usual risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Highs should be in the 87 to 90 degree range. Once again the GFS is signaling an increase in showers and storms over the latter half of the week as another a surface boundary approaches from the north. Fronts typically do not reach the Southeastern US in mid summer but given the track record of this July, I’ll have to put some weight on this occurring. The ECMWF is also in fairly good agreement on the front approaching, too.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Showers and storms are likely today with only limited sunshine, but look for improving weather Sunday and into next week with about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day along with a few scattered thunderstorms. Highs will be in the mid 80s today, with upper 80s Sunday through much of next week along the immediate coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the lower 80s.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is still very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected for the next five days. There remains a steady train of tropical systems in the western Pacific.

Voodoo country continues to stick with the idea of the trough in the East and the ridge in the West which keeps the summer heat away from us.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray
Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I plan to post the next Weather Xtreme Video on Sunday morning. Enjoy another cooler July day. Godspeed.

-Brian-

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Moist Air Stays In Place Over The Weekend

| 3:32 pm July 18, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOLEST JULY 18 ON RECORD: At 2:00 this afternoon Haleyville, in Northwest Alabama’s Winston County, was reporting only 64 degrees… that is 27 degrees below average…

Temperatures

Looks like Birmingham will easily break the old record low maximum temperature for July 18… we are in the mid 70s at 3:00… the old record maximum for today was 79 set in 1906.

Clouds and widespread rain are over Alabama today, helping to keep temperatures in record territory. The heaviest rain has been over the northern and western counties, where some places have received over one inch of beneficial rain.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Dynamic support for rain will weaken over the weekend, meaning showers and thunderstorms will become more scattered in nature. Some of the high resolution models actually suggest our best chance of rain tomorrow will come during the morning hours, but an afternoon shower or storm is certainly possible as well. The sun might peek out at times tomorrow, and the weather will be warmer with a high back in the mid 80s.

Sunday should be brighter and drier with a mix of sun and clouds and a few scattered showers and thunderstorms. The high Sunday should be up in the mid to upper 80s as we dig out of the “July deep freeze”.

NEXT WEEK: The weather looks pretty routine for the first half of the week… partly sunny Monday through Wednesday with the usual risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs should be in the 87 to 90 degree range. The is potential for an increase in showers and storms over the latter half of the week with a surface boundary approaching from the north…. see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A few showers and storms are likely tomorrow with only a limited amount of sunshine, but look for improving conditions Sunday and into next week with about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day along with a few scattered thunderstorms. Highs tomorrow will be in the mid 80s, with upper 80s Sunday through much of next week along the immediate coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the low 80s.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is still very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for my next Weather Xtreme video Monday morning by 7:00…. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

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Preposterous…

| 12:27 pm July 18, 2014

2014-07-18_12-26-45

64F at Haleyville, 75F at Birmingham and 78F at Anniston on July 18th.

Preposterous, right?

Not on this July 18th as clouds are thick and showers and increasing across Central Alabama.

An upper low over northern Louisiana is pumping lots of moisture northward over a warm front that is lying across the Gulf Coast. Light to moderate rain covers much of Mississippi into northwestern Alabama, extending back into Louisiana and Southeast Texas.

At least a couple of rounds of rain will overspread the state this afternoon and tonight. Rainfall amounts don’t look to be too heavy, generally less than an inch, unless heavier rain is able to develop. There could be some thunder, but for much of Central Alabama, it will be limited.

Stronger storms are possible form south of Tuscaloosa back to near New Orleans this afternoon and tonight, but the chance of any severe weather even over southwestern Alabama is small.

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Wet/Cool Friday For Much Of Alabama

| 6:12 am July 18, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RAIN RETURNS: At daybreak rain covers much of North Alabama, and today looks like a cloudy, wet, and relatively cool day for our state. Birmingham’s record low maximum temperature for July 18 is 79 degrees set in 1906, and that 108 year old record is in danger due to clouds and rain.

Screen Shot 2014-07-18 at 6.03.01 AM

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: An axis of deeper moisture will linger over the state, but the dynamic support will weaken. So, showers and thunderstorms remain possible tomorrow and Sunday, but the rain won’t be continuous, and the sun will be out at times. In fact, the latest model data hints that the showers could be pretty scattered in nature by Sunday. The high will return to the mid 80s tomorrow, followed by upper 80s Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: The pattern returns to a more routine one for mid-summer. An upper high will be anchored west of the state, and around here we project partly sunny days with the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. The high will be close to 90 degrees on both days.

The GFS suggests a surface front could bring a better coverage of showers and thunderstorms by Thursday, with drier air for the northern third of the state Friday of next week… see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Only a limited amount of sun for the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores today and tomorrow with a few showers and thunderstorms likely. Then, rather routine summer weather Sunday into much of next week, with about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with a few scattered thunderstorms around. Highs will be in the mid 80s today and tomorrow, with upper 80s Sunday through next week along the immediate coast. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 80 degrees.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, but over in the western Pacific the eye wall of Super Typhoon Rammasun is moving into Hainan Island and Leizhou Peninsula of China with sustained winds of near 150 mph.?

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Wet Weather Ahead For Alabama

| 3:42 pm July 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ANOTHER “COOL” JULY DAY: Temperatures are mostly in the 78-82 degree range this afternoon across the great state of Alabama… it doesn’t look or feel like mid-July. Mid level clouds have been increasing this afternoon, but the low levels are dry with low dew points.

RAIN ON THE WAY: Lots of rain today to the west of Alabama… there was some serious flash flooding north of Dallas/Fort Worth along I-35 earlier today, and rain is widespread around the Ark-La-Tex region this afternoon. The wave responsible for the rain is slowly moving our way, and it looks like rain and storms could very well become widespread tomorrow. Some communities across North Alabama might not make it out of the 70s tomorrow because of the clouds and rain. Some thunder is possible, but no severe weather.

OUR WEEKEND: The axis of deeper moisture stays in place, and we will continue to forecast occasional showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. There will be some decent breaks in the rain, but just understand rain is possible at any hour on both days with only a limited amount of sun. Highs over the weekend will be in the low to mid 80s. Three day rain totals (tomorrow through Sunday) will be in the 2 inch range.

NEXT WEEK: Dynamic support will weaken a bit, but moist air stays in place, so we will continue with the mention of at least scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday through Wednesday… temperatures will trend back up toward 90 degrees by mid-week. Some evidence that a surface front approaching from the north could bring another increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms late in the week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: We project about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day tomorrow through Sunday from Panama City west to Gulf Shores, with the daily risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs will remain in the upper 80s along the immediate coast, with sea water temperatures in the low to mid 80s.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, but over in the western Pacific Typhoon Rammasun now has sustained winds to 140 mph, a category 4.? It will move into China in a few days, but it will be in a weakening phase by then.

capitalweather_2014-Jul-17

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing a big group of home schoolers today at Cullman’s First Baptist Church… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM this evening on ABC 33/40 News at 6:00! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

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New Record Lows

| 6:50 am July 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOL MID-SUMMER MORNING: What a fall preview this morning. Here are some temperatures across Alabama at daybreak, and keep in mind this is the 17th of July…

Fort Payne 52
Valley Head 52
Russellville 55
Coldwater 56
Gadsden 57
Concord 58
Cottondale 58
Anniston 59
Birmingham 61
Tuscaloosa 63

Birmingham, with 61 degrees at 6:00, has established a new record low for July 17… the cold record was 62 in 1965.

Today will be another delightful day with ample sunshine through high clouds and a high in the mid 80s. Those high clouds produced quite the sunrise early this morning… this photo was over Birmingham from @ductst on Twitter

ducst_2014-Jul-17

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: Moist air returns tonight, and we will deal with rain at times on these three days. The latest model runs are now suggesting rain could break out across North Alabama as early as tomorrow morning, and we will bump up the risk of rain during the day. A few showers and thunderstorms are likely tomorrow night and Saturday as wave energy approaches from the west. The rain on Saturday won’t be continuous, however, and the sun could break out at times. Just keep in mind it could rain at any hour of the day if you have something planned outdoors. The high Saturday will be in the low to mid 80s due to the clouds and showers.

Showers and storms should become more scattered in nature Sunday with a mix of sun and clouds, and a high in the upper 80s.

NEXT WEEK: Look for partly sunny weather Monday through Wednesday with the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Highs back up around 90 degrees. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A good supply of sunshine today from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with only a small risk of a shower… then for tomorrow and the weekend expect about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day with the daily risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs along the coast will stay mostly in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 80 degrees.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Will be speaking to a group this morning at First Baptist Church of Cullman… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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