THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR…
NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA…
* UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
* AT 846 PM CDT…DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE…
LITTLE RIVER CANYON NATIONAL PRESERVE…BLANCHE…
LITTLE RIVER FALLS…NEW MOON…
BROOMTOWN AND LITTLE RIVER CANYON NP.
TURN AROUND…DON’T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA…
* UNTIL 845 PM CDT
* AT 817 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BLANCHE…OR
NEAR LITTLE RIVER CANYON NATIONAL PRESERVE…MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.
HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
IMPACT…HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
TO ROOFS…SIDING…AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
LITTLE RIVER CANYON NATIONAL PRESERVE…GAYLESVILLE…BLANCHE…
LITTLE RIVER FALLS…FULLERTON…CHESTERFIELD…BROOMTOWN…
NEW MOON AND LITTLE RIVER CANYON NP.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.
The observation at the Birmingham Shuttlesworth International Airport reach 97 just before the 1 pm observation time, and that temperature establishes today as the hottest day so far in 2016. And that may go even higher yet. Remember, there is a heat advisory in effect until 9 pm this evening, so be sure to factor in the heat with whatever you plan to do outside.
Radar also showed isolated showers developing in that afternoon heat across North and Central Alabama. Very few spots were getting any rain. One shower developed very close to my weather station which produced a few large drops on my driveway as well as a temperature drop of 10 degrees. Unfortunately, the humidity went up and the temperature has recovered most of those lost degrees as the shower move away from my location.
Another hot day tomorrow, but there is a pattern shift coming that promises some slightly cooler weather along with some lower humidity at midweek.
Quite the hot and steamy day across the state as temperatures are well into the 90s this afternoon. With dew points in the 70s, we are seeing those heat index values exceed 105° this afternoon and is why the NWS has issued a heat advisory until 9PM this evening. Take it easy out there today and be sure to stay hydrated.
Not much in the way of heat relief out there, but there are a few isolated showers and storms on the radar this afternoon. These a few and far between, but are producing heavy rainfall, small hail, and of course frequent and dangerous lightning. Remember, when thunder roars go indoors!
TONIGHT: Showers and storms will slowly wind down once the sun sets and daytime heating is lost. After that, expect a mainly clear sky, and warm and muggy temperatures. Most locations should settle in the lower and mid 70s by tomorrow morning.
SUNDAY: Tomorrow will be a near repeat of today, as it is going to be hot, humid, with scattered afternoon showers and storms. Once again, heat index values will be flirting with the 105° mark, and we will likely see another Heat Advisory issued for portions of the state. We should see a few more showers and storms tomorrow as well, as the ridge to the west shifts ever so slight west.
The weather observation at 10 am at the Birmingham Shuttlesworth International Airport was 91 degrees which is 4 degrees warmer than the temperature at the same time yesterday morning. So today is shaping up to be one of the hottest days we’ve seen in 2016. The hottest temperature so far this year according to National Weather Service data at the airport was 96 degrees on June 13th. Based on the morning warmth so far, it looks like we’ll probably see that fact change with a high of 97 or 98.
It’s no wonder the temperature is higher today when you consider where we started. The morning low this morning was 80 degrees in Birmingham which is THE warmest low recorded so far this year.
Just a reminder that most of North and Central Alabama with the exception of East Central Alabama (see image above) will be under a heat advisory beginning at noon today and extending until 9 pm. Just keep the heat in mind and adjust your outside activities by taking it easy with frequent breaks and staying hydrated by drinking plenty of water.
The early morning satellite image reveals just a few patches of clouds in spots across Alabama, so almost everyone will be waking up to plenty of sunshine for the morning. And just like we’ve been seeing for the past several days, there will be some of those puffy cumulus clouds forming in the afternoon sky with the potential for an isolated shower or thunderstorm, but most of us remain dry. The heat is up with the highs expected to be in the middle and upper 90s across the state. The warmth along with the relatively high humidity will result in heat indices reaching the 105 mark today, so the NWS has posted a heat advisory until 9 pm this evening for much of the western and southern sections of Central Alabama along with the Tennessee River Valley counties.
For beachgoers, this weekend promises to be beautiful along Alabama and Northwest Florida beaches. It will be seasonably hot, with highs around 90 and lows in the middle 70s. Rain chances will pick up by Monday afternoon and will stay fairly high from Monday afternoon through Wednesday.
The main focus for organized severe weather will be well north of Central Alabama in the western Great Lakes area including parts of Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, and eastern Nebraska. The Day 2 outlook shifts the area eastward to Michigan. By Day 3 there is a slight risk further west in parts of eastern Colorado, southwestern Nebraska, and northwestern Kansas.
Tropics remain quiet. The area of cloudiness over the Southwest Gulf of Mexico remains on a steady course west-northwestward without any signs of development.
The 594 height contour will be centered over Mississippi today with just a small nudge westward on Sunday. But the big change starts on Monday as the large upper closed low moves across southern Canada and into the southeast part of Canada on Monday. This begins the process of initiating a pattern change that will end up with a trough over the eastern part of the US. Monday that big upper low will drag a surface front down into Ohio and Tennessee River Valleys and boost the chances for showers and thunderstorms especially just to our north. That front slowly sags into Central Alabama on Tuesday bringing our best chances for numerous showers and thunderstorms. The combination of that big ridge being forced back west, the additional clouds, and the presence of more showers and storms should result in highs in the lower 90s.
Small chances for showers linger early Wednesday, but by late Wednesday and Thursday the upper trough along with a surface high positioned over Illinois should bring another break in the heat and humidity with dew points falling off nicely to around 60. That 12 to 15 degree difference from dew points today will certainly feel nice with highs holding in the range of 88 to 91.
As we end the week and head into next weekend, the upper air pattern is expected to remain with a trough over the easter US and a ridge over Arizona and New Mexico. There is a potential to see some short waves rotating through this trough, so we may see the potential for isolated showers and storms returning as we begin to warm back up again with highs by Saturday in the lower 90s. All good things must come to an end.
The upper troughiness sticks with us through the 4th of July, but after that the pattern slowly changes once again as a large upper ridge reestablishes itself over the Southeast US. This signals a return to hot and mostly dry weather from the 5th through the 10th of July.
I will be filling in for Meaghan Thomas today on ABC 3340 News at 6 and 10 pm, so be sure to tune in to catch the latest forecast. I plan to post the next Weather Xtreme Video here by 8 am or so on Sunday morning. Have a great day, be careful with outdoor work and play in the heat, and Godspeed.
It’s a pretty simple pattern…best chance of rain in North Alabama today, but can limp into the Central Part later this afternoon/evening.
Then hot, hot, hot for most of the state this weekend with little or no rainfall, except a better chance the further east and northeast you are.
Will have to watch a weather system now in the Pacific NW that may increase the chance of showers either later Monday or Tuesday.
Well, its summertime in the South and living is slowing down.
Take care, drink lots of water and keep the pace SLOW!
At the noon time hour across Central Alabama, skies are mostly clear with the exception of a few cirrocumulus floating overhead. Radar at this time is free of any rainfall, which is actually not good news because parts of Alabama are listed under severe drought conditions by the U.S. Drought Monitor. Hopefully with the remnants of a couple of MCSs moving through Tennessee leaving mesoscale boundaries across the state will be the catalyst for a few scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA: At the 12:00 PM hour, temperatures across Central Alabama were well up into the 80s. Here is a list of readings from across the state:
Muscle Shoals: 86
Alexander City: 88
REST OF TODAY: Skies should remain mostly clear with a good supply of sunshine. As usual in the summertime, a small risk for an afternoon or evening shower or storm developing is possible, but most places in Central Alabama should remain dry. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 90s.
CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY: The Air Quality Index for the Birmingham Metropolitan Area will be in the “Code Yellow” (moderate range) for particulate matter. People who are unusually sensitive should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.
TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high for June 24th is 89, while the normal low is 67. The record high for today was set back in 1981 at 99. The record low was set back in 1972 at 54.
WEEKEND WEATHER: A big heat ridge moves over the eastern half of the country on Saturday, so highs will be in the middle and upper 90s. Heat indices will be flirting with the 105 value, so a heat advisory may be required. Just be aware of the heat and slow down your outdoor activities and be sure to stay hydrated by drinking water. The heat continues into Sunday with another hot day with highs in the mid to upper 90s. Again, a heat advisory may be necessary.
HEADED TO THE BEACH: This weekend promises to be beautiful along Alabama and Northwest Florida beaches. It will be seasonably hot, with highs near 90 and lows in the middle 70s. Rain chances will pick up by Monday afternoon and will be fairly high Monday afternoon through Wednesday. Water temperatures were in the middle 80s at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.
THE TROPICS: The tropics remain quiet. A large area of cloudiness was noted over the western Caribbean and the Yucatan Peninsula. Any development of this area will be slow to occur as it moves on a motion to the west-northwest.
WEATHERBRAINS: This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. This week, the panel entertained Dr. James Fleming from Colby College. Dr. Fleming is a weather and climate historian. You’ll love his stories about the history of weather modification and biographies of weather luminaries Bjerknes, Rossby and Wexler. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.
From Birmingham’s Batman to Tuscaloosa’s “Wicked” star and Miranda Lambert’s Alabama musician boyfriend, there are plenty of interesting people and good news stories from our friends at Alabama NewsCenter.
The remnants of a couple of MCSs (Mesoscale Convective Systems) moving through Tennessee this morning are helping to produce cloudiness over the northern third of Alabama, mainly the Tennessee River Valley counties. These MCSs continue to dissipate but are leaving some mesoscale boundaries in place across North Alabama where we may see some scattered thunderstorms develop this afternoon. I’m expecting to see an isolated thunderstorm or two develop in the afternoon heat across Central Alabama, but most people will remain dry. If you were watching the radar carefully yesterday afternoon, being sure NOT to blink, there were two small showers that developed and dissipated very quickly. And the heat continues to slowly increase with highs mainly in the middle 90s expected this afternoon as that huge ridge
This weekend promises to be beautiful along Alabama and Northwest Florida beaches. It will be seasonably hot, with highs near 90 and lows in the middle 70s. Rain chances will pick up by Monday afternoon and will be fairly high Monday afternoon through Wednesday. Water temperatures were in the middle 80s at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab.
Tropics remain quiet with the exception of the area of cloudiness I mentioned over the western Caribbean yesterday. Any development of this area will be slow to occur as it moves on a motion to the west-northwest.
SPC has outlined the standard slight risk area for severe weather today across the Carolinas and Virginia along with an area centered primarily on northern North Dakota. Day 2, Saturday, the risk will in the region of the western Great Lakes. Sunday, or Day 3, the slight risk area moves into the eastern Great Lakes area with a marginal risk along the front trailing southwestward into the Central US.
The big heat ridge moves over the eastern half of the country on Saturday, so I expect to see highs in the middle and upper 90s. Heat indices will be flirting with the 105 value, so a heat advisory may be required. Just be aware of the heat and slow down your outdoor activities and be sure to stay hydrated by drinking water.
The heat continues into Sunday with another hot day with highs in the middle and upper 90s. Again, a heat advisory may be necessary.
But changes begin to occur on Monday as that strong closed low moves eastward into Southeast Canada with a cold front trailing southwestward into Tennessee and Arkansas. This helps to beat that big heat ridge back to the west. That together with more clouds and the potential for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will help to keep the heat in check with highs mainly in the lower and middle 90s. Not much of a reduction, but it should be enough to get us away from the need for heat advisories.
Our better chances for rain will come Monday and into Tuesday with the cold front in our area. The GFS has trended a bit slower with the front, so Tuesday will probably be the best day for many people to get wet.
The overall upper air pattern from Wednesday through Friday will be a trough over the eastern US with the ridge once again established over the Southwest US in the vicinity of the Four Corners area. This pattern should offer us some additional heat relief with highs in the 90 to 93 range for the end of next week. This pattern also favors slightly lower humidity with dew points falling back into the middle 60s. Again, not a big change, but just enough to keep it from feeling so oppressively hot.
The trough, though, establishes a northwesterly flow aloft, so the Southeast US will need to be vigilant for the potential development of these MCSs over the Central US that can travel hundreds of miles and bring stormy weather to the Southeast US. The GFS hints at the potential for this to happen. There is no skill this far out in determining exactly when and where these may occur, so we’ll just have to be watchful and be prepared to adjust forecasts as we see them develop.
The overall pattern of the trough in the eastern US is maintained by this run of the GFS all the way through week 2. This keeps us out of any extreme heat. And if you saw the Weather Xtreme Video yesterday, that tropical system in the Gulf of Mexico that took aim on Louisiana is, yup, you guessed it, G-O-N-E!!
I’ll have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted here on Saturday morning. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.