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Scheduled Radar Outage For Birmingham (KBMX) Next Week

| December 7, 2016 @ 2:58 pm

The KBMX Doppler Radar located in Calera that serves Central Alabama will be offline for maintenance and hardware upgrades. The radar will be down from Monday 12/12 until Thursday 12/15. Surrounding radars will be available during this time.

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Coldest Air So Far This Season Arrives Tomorrow

| December 7, 2016 @ 2:56 pm

OVERCAST, COOL DECEMBER DAY: With the exception of far Northwest and Southwest Alabama… this has been a cloudy, cool day across the state with temperatures holding steady in the upper 40s and low 50s. Despite the clouds we have no rain on radar.

TO THE NORTH: Brutally cold Arctic air is over the northern states; Cutbank, Montana reports -1 (F) at 2p CT with a wind chill index of -16. That cold air is on the move, and we will feel some of it in Alabama tomorrow.

COLDEST SO FAR: The Arctic front will pass through tomorrow morning; there could be a few sprinkles involved, but very little moisture, and no measurable rain is expected. Once the front passes, north winds will increase to 15-25 mph, gusting at times to 30 mph. Temperatures won’t get past the low 40s in most places, and the wind will make it feel colder.

By Friday morning we expect a low between 20 and 25 degrees. The good news is that the sun will be back in full force Friday, but the weather stays cold with a high in he 38-42 degree range. Most of the “official” observation stations will see a low in the lower 20s early Saturday morning, but with a clear sky and light wind, the colder valleys and protected areas will see mid teens.

Last time it was this cold was back on February 10 when the low in Birmingham was 23.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A warming trend begins Saturday afternoon; with a sunny sky we rise into the upper 40s. Then, clouds move in Sunday, and rain is likely late Sunday afternoon through Sunday night. Looks like rain amounts will be around 1/2″ for most of North/Central Alabama… that rain will end early Monday morning.

NEXT WEEK: The latest GFS run hints we could see some light rain on Wednesday (December 14), followed by another Arctic blast Thursday and Friday (December 15-16). The air toward the end of next week could be a little colder than what we will experience tomorrow and Friday. And, we need to mention there is no evidence of any snow or ice problems in Alabama for the next 10 days, despite what you might hear on the street. Take some time to watch the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Cloudy For Most At Midday, But Frigid Temperatures Are On Their Way

| December 7, 2016 @ 12:11 pm

A Cloudy And Cool December Day For Your Wednesday
At the midday hour, clouds pretty much cover all of the state except for some clear skies in the northeastern parts of the area. Gadsden, Centre, Anniston, and Jacksonville are a few locations who are lucky enough to see some sun at this point. Skies will continue to be mostly cloudy to cloudy for the remainder of the day across Central Alabama, with afternoon highs in the 50s across the area. A few spots in the extreme southeastern parts of the area may reach the low 60s. Birmingham’s high is expected to be 55 degrees, which is 3 degrees lower than the average high for today.

Temperatures at the noon hour across the state are currently in the 40s and 50s. The warm spot in the state at this point is Mobile at 64 degrees, while the cold spot is Haleyville at 43 degrees.

Birmingham’s Climatology And Records
The normal high for December 7th is 58, while the normal low is 37. The record high for today was set back in 1951 at 80. The record low was set back in 1937 at 12.

Arctic Blast Invades The Area On Thursday
A strong cold front will push across the area during the early morning hours, but it looks like the forecast models have really backed off of any rain falling along and ahead of the front. Both the HRRR and European models are showing no rainfall at all, with the GFS showing that a few sprinkles could fall over the extreme northern parts of the area. But the big news out of tomorrow will be the gusty winds with the much cooler temperatures during the day. Afternoon highs will only get to the mid to upper 40s across the area north of US-80 and I-85, with low 50s along and south of that. Clouds will start to decrease during the afternoon hours, and winds will be out of the north in the 15-25 MPH range.

National Extremes
Stuart, Florida, recorded the warmest high temperature for Tuesday, at 90 degrees. The coldest low temperature for last night into the early morning hours today was recorded in West Yellowstone, Montana, at -27 degrees. Brrr, that’s cold!!!

On This Day In 1989
A storm moving out of the Central Rocky Mountain Region spread snow across Kansas and Oklahoma into Arkansas and Tennessee. Snowfall totals ranged up to 7.5 inches at Winfield KS. Freezing rain on trees and power lines cut off electricity to 24,000 homes in northeastern Arkansas, and 40,000 homes in the Nashville TN area were without electricity for several hours.

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WeatherBrains
This is the weekly netcast that’s all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. This week, the panel talked about water, something that we have learned to appreciate even more in the past few weeks. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

Forecaster: Scott Martin (Twitter: @scottmartinwx)

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Weather By The Numbers 12/7/16

| December 7, 2016 @ 11:10 am

I had a few extra minutes today, so I thought I would pay tribute to the great J.B. Elliott and post “Weather By The Numbers.”

0 – Number of reported tornadoes that occurred across the United States yesterday.

1 – Number of reported tornadoes that have occurred since December 1st. An EF1 tornado touched down about 4 miles to the north-northeast of Gonzales, Louisiana, with estimated winds up to 90 MPH. The damage track was 3.5 miles long and up to 30 yards wide.

0.33 – Inches of rain that fell on Tuesday in Decatur, the highest total for the NWS reporting stations across the state.

1.40 – Inches of rain that have fallen at the Birmingham Airport since December 1st.

39.32 – Inches of rainfall that have fallen at the Birmingham Airport since January 1st.

10.94 – Inches of rainfall that Birmingham is behind at this point for 2016.

50.26 – Inches of rainfall that Birmingham normally receives at this point of the year.

72 – The high temperature recorded at Dothan for Tuesday, the warmest for the NWS reporting stations across the state.

42 – The low temperature recorded at Decatur earlier this morning, the coolest for the NWS reporting stations across the state.

90 – Temperature recorded at Stuart, Florida, on Tuesday, the warmest in the United States.

-27 – Temperature recorded at West Yellowstone, Montana, the coldest low in the United States.

That is all that I have for today. I hope you enjoy Weather By The Numbers. I also hope that J.B. would approve of my post. Hopefully we can get these back going again, as I loved to read all of the ones J.B. posted on the blog.

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Turning Sharply Colder Tomorrow

| December 7, 2016 @ 6:27 am

COOL, DRY DECEMBER DAY: Not sure we see much sun today, but the day will be dry with a high in the mid 50s. We note the average high for December 7 for Birmingham is 58.

ARCTIC FRONT BLOWS IN TOMORROW: Moisture will be very limited, but we might see a few raindrops or sprinkles with the front tomorrow morning. But, clearly the big story is the incoming cold air; we won’t get past the mid 40s, and a north wind of 15-25 mph will make it feel colder.

By Friday morning we will drop into the 20-25 degree range, and despite sunshine in full force Friday’s high will be between 38 and 41 degrees.

The coldest morning will come early Saturday, when we project a low between 18 and 22 degrees for most communities across North/Central Alabama.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A warming trend begins Saturday afternoon; with a sunny sky we expect a high in the upper 40s. Then, on Sunday, clouds return to the state, and it looks like rain could move into North Alabama as early as Sunday afternoon. A few periods of rain are likely Sunday night into early Monday morning; rain amounts of about 1/2 inch are likely.

NEXT WEEK: The GFS model is suggesting some light rain is possible across the state Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by yet another blast of very cold, Arctic air Thursday and Friday. There is no evidence of any ice or snow issues for Alabama for the next seven days, but the pattern continues to look cold on into that following week. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details…

WARNING: We are now in the season where some weather enthusiasts like to play the “forecast snow two weeks in advance” game. They search for long range (out to 384 hour) global model output that shows some kind of snow or ice event, and post it across their social media platforms and blogs, knowing it will bring thousands of clicks, likes, and shares. That horse left the barn several years ago and there is nothing we can do about it, but just understand there is little to no skill in a specific weather forecast beyond seven days. I could light it up with wild, bogus snow forecasts two weeks in advance, knowing my audience numbers would grow to massive levels. But, professionals don’t post fantasy land snow maps for clicks and likes; it is simply unethical.

PLEASE THINK BEFORE YOU SHARE these irresponsible forecasts across social media.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…

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Coldest Air So Far This Season By Thursday

| December 6, 2016 @ 3:21 pm

RADAR CHECK: Rain has pulled out of Alabama this afternoon, but clouds linger across much of the state with temperatures in the 50s…

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Tomorrow will a dry and cool day; the sky will be generally cloudy, although the sun could peek out at times. Again, the high will be in the mid 50s.

ARCTIC FRONT ARRIVES THURSDAY: A few light rain showers or sprinkles could move through Thursday morning ahead of the front, but moisture will be very limited, and any precipitation will be pretty much insignificant. The big story is the cold air rushing into the state Thursday with strong north winds of 15-25 mph, gusting at times to 30 mph. We will have a very hard time getting past the low 40s, and the wind will make it feel colder.

Friday will be a brighter day with sunshine returning in full force, but it will be cold. The low early Friday will be in the 20-25 degree range, followed by a high between 37 and 40 degrees. Some places near the Tennessee border could stay below freezing all day.

Then, by early Saturday, we project a low between 18 and 22 degrees for most communities across North/Central Alabama. The record low for December 10 (for Birmingham) is 13 (set in 1995)… that is probably safe.

THE WEEKEND: Saturday will be a sunny day, and warming trend begins with a high in the upper 40s. Then, on Sunday, clouds increase during the day as temperatures reach the 50s. The next wave to the west will bring rain back into the state by Sunday night into Monday morning; the latest global model guidance suggests rain amounts of around 1/2 inch will be likely.

ANOTHER ARCTIC SHOT: We are still seeing strong signals that another very cold, Arctic airmass will move into Alabama late next week, Thursday and Friday (December 15-16)… and that one could very well be colder than the one we expect this week. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and details.

We stress there is no evidence of any problems with snow, ice, or other winter mischief here in Alabama despite the cold air shots over the next 10 days. As usual, we are seeing wild and crazy Facebook and Internet forecasts that are far from reality from people looking for likes and clicks. Please think before you share.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
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I had a great time today visiting with he 5th graders at Southside Elementary School in Etowah County… be looking for those kids on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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