Strong thunderstorms are moving through Clay County, with the strongest one located in a line stretching from near Mount Cheaha to just south of Waldo. These storms are moving southeastward at 10 MPH. The NWS has issued a Significant Weather Advisory for Clay County until 3:00 PM for the threat of wind gusts in excess of 40 MPH and dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning. If you are in the path of these storms, please stay indoors until it they pass. Communities in the path of these storms are listed below:
MELLOW VALLEY…LAKE CHINNABEE…MILLERVILLE AND MOTLEY.
Another cluster of strong storms are making their way through Fayette, Walker, Tuscaloosa, and Jefferson Counties. Lots of cloud-to-ground lightning and heavy rainfall are associated with these storms. General movement is to the east, but development is spreading to the south behind an outflow boundary from these storms.
Strong thunderstorms are moving through East-Central Shelby and Southwestern Talladega Counties, with the strongest one located over Wilsonville. These storms are moving southeastward at 20 MPH. The NWS has issued a Significant Weather Advisory for East-Central Shelby and Southwestern Talladega Counties until 2:30 PM for the threat of pea-size hail, wind gusts in excess of 40 MPH, and dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning. If you are in the path of these storms, please stay indoors until it they pass. Communities in the path of these storms are listed below:
WINTERBORO…LAY LAKE…GASTON STEAM PLANT…CEDAR CREEK…ALABAMA 4H CENTER…
MIGNON…BEESWAX CREEK PARK…GANTTS QUARRY…SYLACAUGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT
Strong thunderstorms are moving through Northwestern Fayette and Central Lamar Counties, with the strongest ones located over Lamar County Airport and Sulligent. These storms are moving eastward at 30 MPH. The NWS has issued a Significant Weather Advisory for Northwestern Fayette and Central Lamar Counties until 2:00 PM for the threat of pea-size hail, wind gusts in excess of 50 MPH, and dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning. If you are in the path of these storms, please stay indoors until it they pass. Communities in the path of these storms are listed below:
LAMAR COUNTY AIRPORT…BLOOMING GROVE…BLUFF…CREWS…WAYSIDE AND HUBBERTVILLE.
Strong thunderstorms are moving into Northeastern Blount County, with the strongest ones located near Holly pond and Cullman. These storms are moving eastward at 20 MPH. The NWS has issued a Significant Weather Advisory for Northeastern Blount County until 1:30 PM for the threat of pea-size hail, wind gusts in excess of 40 MPH, and dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning. If you are in the path of these storms, please stay indoors until it they pass. Communities in the path of these storms are listed below:
BLOUNTSVILLE…ALTOONA…SNEAD…SUSAN MOORE…WALNUT GROVE…STRAWBERRY…
MCLARTY…BROOKSVILLE…CHAMBLEES MILL…HENDRIX AND FOWLER SPRING.
Strong thunderstorms are continuing to push through Jefferson County, with the strongest ones lined up from near Clay to Birmingham to Ensley. These storms were still moving eastward at 25 MPH. The NWS has issued a Significant Weather Advisory for Northeastern Jefferson and Southwestern St. Clair Counties until 1:15 PM for the threat of pea-size hail, wind gusts in excess of 40 MPH, and dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning. If you are in the path of these storms, please stay indoors until it they pass. Communities in the path of these storms are listed below:
BIRMINGHAM…VESTAVIA HILLS…HOMEWOOD…MOUNTAIN BROOK…TRUSSVILLE…
SPRINGVILLE…ODENVILLE…CENTER POINT… PLEASANT GROVE…CLAY…
PINSON…TARRANT…MARGARET AND ARGO.
There are more storms building back to the west of these, and each contain copious amounts of rainfall along with dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning. All of these are moving to the east. Much of the northern parts of Central Alabama will should receive decent amounts of rain today.
Strong storms are located in northeastern parts of Walker County near Lynns Park and near Cordova are pushing eastward at 20 MPH, and will soon enter the southwestern part of Blount County and the north central part of Jefferson County. NWS has issued a Significant Weather Advisory for these storms until 12:30 PM. Pea-size hail, wind gusts in excess of 40 MPH, and dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning can be expected. If you are in the path of these storms, please stay indoors until they pass. Here is a list of communities in the path of these storms:
TRAFFORD…HAYDEN…SIPSEY…COUNTY LINE…BLOUNT SPRINGS…ROCKY HOLLOW…
BELOIT…ARKADELPHIA…LYNNS PARK…SAYRE…POWELLVILLE AND SMOKE RISE.
Showers and thunderstorms are forming west of I-65 and north of I-20. A few of these are pretty strong, putting down copious amounts of rain along with dangerous cloud-to ground lightning. The strongest storm in the state is located in Eastern Winston County, where the NWS has issued a Significant Weather Advisory until 11:45 AM. Storm is located near Moreland and Camp McDowell and is moving to the east at 25 MPH. 40 MPH wind gust can be expected with this storm. Places in the path of this storm should stay indoors until it passes.
There are other showers and storms out there at this moment along the I-20 corridor in the eastern part of the state, and a few more down in the southeastern part of the state. None of these are particularly strong right now. These will definitely bring some relief from the heat.
A fairly typical summer-type weather pattern will produce scattered showers once again across North and Central Alabama. Surface high pressure will help to keep things warm with highs in the range of 89 to 92. The upper air pattern continued to show weak troughiness along the Mississippi River, but this will gradually weaken with time as the upper ridge to our west becomes stronger and pushes into the eastern US.
Typical summer weather will persist for the beaches of the Northern Gulf Coast. More sun than clouds, but there will be a few passing storms from time to time. Highs will be around 90 on the beaches while just inland you can expect low to mid 90s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.
SPC has designated a small slight risk area in Southwest South Dakota and Northwest Nebraska for Day 1. Day 2 and Day 3 feature only a couple of marginal risk areas in the Central and North Central US.
The tropical Atlantic is still quiet with just the two areas of concern. The first one was located near 50W and the second one was near 25W. Both are showing primarily westerly tracks, but the chances for further development appear more likely for the second system. The spaghetti plots on both areas suggest some potential for the disturbed areas to reach the Caribbean, but that is still days away.
The latest GFS model run at 06Z has become much more bullish on the strength of the upper ridge. The ridge starts out over the Southwest US, but as the upper troughiness along the Mississippi River weakens and moves east, the upper ridge pushes eastward eventually stretching from coast to coast by midweek. The ridge maintains a position over the Lower Mississippi River Valley from Wednesday through next Saturday. This means that our weather should remain hot and humid with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms. There will probably be some daily variations in thunderstorm chances, but those are likely to be driven by small scale features that are close to impossible to predict more than a few hours in advance. Temperatures for Central Alabama will remain in the lower and middle 90s for highs while our morning lows will be in the 70s. The latter half of the week ahead may see heat indices approach the 105-degree mark, so a heat advisory may be required later next week.
The bullishness of the GFS on the upper ridge carries over into voodoo country. In fact, all of Week 2 is dominated by the upper ridge centered primarily over the Central US. Interesting to note that the closed upper low the GFS had yesterday is only a memory today.
I expect to post the next Weather Xtreme Video here around 7 am or so on Sunday. Check the blog often for updates on the Alabama weather picture. Enjoy your day, and Godspeed.
Skies are partly cloudy for the northern parts of Central Alabama at this hour, with the southern part of the area enjoying a little more sunshine with partly to mostly clear skies. On the radar, we do have some scattered showers mainly across the northeastern parts of the area, especially east of I-65 and west of I-59. There are a few more spotty showers out there across the area, but a good bit of the state remains dry at this moment.
TEMPERATURES AT THIS HOUR: You can tell by the list below where the clouds are holding the temperatures back, and where the location is in sunshine. Here is a list of temperature observations from across the area:
Alexander City 88
WHAT TO EXPECT FOR TODAY: Once again, skies will be partly to mostly cloudy across Central Alabama, and with a weakness in the upper ridge across the deep south, we’ll have a better chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Afternoon highs will be in the upper 80s to just above 90 degrees. Not everyone will get rainfall, but the odds of any one spot getting rainfall will be around 50/50.
CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY: The Air Quality Index for the Birmingham Metropolitan Area will be in the “Code Yellow” for ozone and particulate matter 2.5. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.
TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high for July 28th is 91, while the normal low is 70. The record high for today was set back in 1930 at 107. The record low was set back in 1994 at 60.
WEEKEND OUTLOOK: Not much change for the weekend as the weakness in the upper ridge across the deep south will keep a decent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast throughout the weekend. Odds for any one place getting rainfall will be about 50/50. Otherwise, expect a mix of sun and clouds with afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s. Heat index values will reach the low 100s on both days, so please use common sense while outside.
HEADED TO THE BEACH: Expect scattered showers and storms along the beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida. Rain chances will ratchet up just a bit by midweek next week. Highs will be around 89 with morning lows in the upper 70s. Waves will generally be running less than one foot, except around thunderstorms, so the rip current threat should be low. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.
THE TROPICS: The tropical Atlantic has become a bit more active with two disturbances under the watchful eye of the National Hurricane Center. Both are a long way from threatening any land areas, and they will stay that way for several days to come.
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From bats to Barney Fife to bikes for some special children with some G Mommas cookies for dessert, there are plenty of smiles to be found in this week’s good news from Alabama NewsCenter.