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Tag: "cold"

Messy Winter Day

| 11:03 am January 15, 2015

Not much change in our overall thinking this morning. Most of Central Alabama will have a cold rain today with some sleet in the mix, but to the north a wintry mix of light snow, sleet and freezing rain will continue this afternoon.

The NWS in Huntsville has issued a winter weather advisory for Colbert, Cullman, De Kalb, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison, Marshall, and Morgan Counties; there are no advisories for the Birmingham NWS County Warning area.

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Temperatures are above freezing at Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, Gadsden, and Jasper, and roads will simply be wet this afternoon with no ice issues. To the north, patchy bridge icing is possible north of U.S. 278 (north of a line from Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden), but temperatures will ease above freezing this afternoon in that part of the state.

Just watch for patches of ice on bridges across the Tennessee Valley during the next hour or so; this is not a widespread, high impact event.

Temperatures

We do note the HRRR model (high resolution) does show a patch of heavier snow over the northwest corner of the state this afternoon; that might put down 1/4 to 1/2 inch on grassy areas, but roads will be just wet.

hrrr_ref_birmingham_5

The precipitation will end this evening, and the sun will be back in full force tomorrow for a change.

Cold Tonight; Slow Weekend Warm-Up

| 3:49 pm January 9, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A band of light rain has been moving over the southern third of Alabama today, with some sleet mixed in at times, but the northern half of the state has been rain-free. And, we are above freezing for the first time since midday Wednesday, with temperatures mostly in the 37-40 degree range.

A secondary surge of colder air will drop into the state tonight, and that will push early morning temperatures tomorrow into the 14-19 degree range for most communities. A few of the colder spots might even visit the single digits briefly early tomorrow morning.

OUR WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be mostly but cold with a high between 39 and 42 degrees. Then, the sky becomes mostly cloudy Sunday, and we will bring in the chance of some scattered light rain Sunday afternoon and Sunday night. The high Sunday will be close to 50 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: A few periods of rain are likely Monday, and while Tuesday looks relatively dry (but cloudy), more rain arrives Wednesday and Wednesday night. Temperatures will be warm enough for no issues with snow or ice, and cool enough for no thunderstorm issues. Rain amounts Sunday night through Wednesday night will be in the 1/2 to 1 inch range. Drier air arrives Thursday and Friday; highs through the week will be mostly in the 50s, right at seasonal average for mid-January in Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Not As Cold Today Across Alabama

| 6:15 am January 9, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

AT DAYBREAK: Temperatures are mostly in the 18-22 degree range early this morning as the new day dawns. Of of the coldest observations comes from Vic Bell up at Black Creek, northeast of Gadsden (in a bowl atop Lookout Mountain) with 13 degrees.

We should go above freezing around 9:00 in most places; ending a period with roughly 40 consecutive hours below freezing. The sky will be partly to mostly sunny today, and we will project a high close to 40 degrees, 12 degrees below the average high of 52 for January 9.

THE WEEKEND: A secondary surge of colder air moves in here tonight, and by daybreak tomorrow we expect to be in the mid teens; some of the colder pockets across North Alabama might even visit the single digits briefly. But, we warm into the low 40s tomorrow afternoon with a good supply of sunshine.

Clouds increase Sunday, and some rain could begin to fall Sunday afternoon as short wave energy approaches from the southwest. We will mention a chance of rain Sunday night into Monday as well. No ice problems, and no thunder with a cool, stable airmass in place.

NEXT WEEK: The weather will be unsettled with clouds and rain at times through Thursday. Tuesday could be the driest day, with rain becoming more widespread Wednesday into Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Drier air finally returns by Thursday night and Friday. Afternoon highs through the week will be mostly in the 50s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Still In The Deep Freeze

| 3:31 pm January 8, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

LONG SUB-FREEZING PERIOD: As I write this we are in the 24th consecutive hour of below freezing temperatures at Birmingham… we don’t expect to climb above 32 degrees until about 10:00 tomorrow morning, meaning a total period of 41 hours in a row with sub-freezing conditions.

Temperatures at mid-afternoon are generally in the 28-31 degree range after a bitterly cold morning. One of the coldest towns in Alabama this morning was Addison, in Winston County, with 2 degrees. It was 3 in Hamilton, 4 at Haleyville and Black Creek, and 5 and Cullman and Sand Rock.

We project a low tomorrow between 17 and 21 degrees for most North/Central Alabama communities, then we warm to near 40 degrees tomorrow afternoon with a partly sunny sky.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A new surge of colder air slips in here tomorrow night, and it looks like we will see a low early Saturday between 13 and 18 degrees; some of the traditionally colder spots across North Alabama might even visit the single digits again. Saturday will be dry with ample sunshine and a high between 38 and 41 degrees.

Clouds slowly increase Sunday, and some rain could reach our state late in the day and Sunday night as a southwest flow aloft sets up. Sunday’s high will be in the low 50s, not far from average values for January in Alabama.

NEXT WEEK: Expect generally cloudy conditions Monday through Wednesday; while a little scattered light rain is possible Monday and Tuesday, the rain will be most widespread on Wednesday. Afternoon highs on these three days will be well up in the 50s, so no issues with ice.

The weather then looks cool and dry Thursday and Friday; highs in the 50s, and lows in the 30s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Sub-Freezing January Day

| 6:17 am January 8, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SINGLE DIGIT COLD: This Arctic airmass is over performing… temperatures are a little below forecast levels. These observations (taken around 6am) are from official NWS/FAA sites, and from the ABC 33/40 Skywatcher team, who have accurate weather instruments. Remember, a phone app is not a thermometer (it uses extrapolated data), and car thermometers are not especially accurate as well.

Haleyville 4
Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 4
Cullman 5
Sand Rock 5
Hartselle 6
Trussville 7
Decatur 7
Russellville 7
Birmingham 8
Bessemer 8
Hayden 8
Mountain Brook 9
Weaver 9
Gadsden 9
Montevallo 10
Cottondale 10
Auburn 10
Helena 10
Northport 11
Calera (Shelby County Airport) 11
Anniston 11
Tuscaloosa 12
Coker 12

THE DAY AHEAD: Most places in North/Central Alabama will stay below freezing all day, but at least the sun will be out in full force, and the wind will be much lighter. Tonight will be cold, but not as cold as last night. Most places will see a low between 17 and 21 degrees early tomorrow.

TOMORROW/SATURDAY: Birmingham (based on official data from the airport) went below freezing at 4:00 p.m. yesterday… we should climb above freezing around 9:00 a.m. tomorrow. Meaning, we will be below freezing for 41 consecutive hours.

Tomorrow will be partly sunny, and north winds will increase as a secondary push of cold air moves in. We expect a high around the 40 degree mark.

Expect another hard freeze at daybreak Saturday. The GFS is now printing a low of 14 degrees for Birmingham, and it is very possible some of the colder spots across North Alabama could see single digit lows again. Saturday will be a mostly sunny day with a high in the low 40s.

SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK: Moisture levels rise, and a disturbed southwest flow aloft develops. A series of waves in that flow will bring some rain to the state; the first chance will come late Sunday and Sunday night, perhaps into early Monday morning. By then, temperatures will be well above freezing and there are no ice worries. A good chance we reach 50 degrees Sunday afternoon.

Some rain is possible Tuesday and Wednesday, but the rain won’t be continuous with some long dry periods. Temperatures rise into the upper 50s for the first half of the week. Cooler and drier air should arrive by Thursday and Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…

Arctic Cold With An Icy Wind

| 3:36 pm January 7, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THE BIG CHILL: As forecast, the day is very windy, and very cold across Alabama. Temperatures have fallen into the 20s over the northern third of the state, and the wind chill index has dropped to 11 at Scottsboro and Huntsville with north winds of 15 to 30 mph.

The wind chill index will drop as low as -10 across the Tennessee Valley later tonight, and as low as -5 at Birmingham and other places along the I-20/59 corridor.

A few light snow flurries across North/Central Alabama will end this evening, and they will have no impact.

TOMORROW MORNING: Not much change in our forecast. Lows between 10 and 15 for Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, and Anniston, with single lows to the north.

lows

Birmingham’s record low for tomorrow (January 8) is 7 degrees set in 1942… we will be close, but the record will probably stand.

We stay below freezing all day tomorrow, but the wind will be light, and the sun will be out in full force. Then, another very significant freeze tomorrow night; the low by early Friday will be in the 16-20 degree range.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Our weather will be dry Friday and Saturday with a partly sunny sky both days and a high in the low 40s. A secondary push of colder air will drop the low down into the mid teens early Saturday as the weekend begins.

Clouds increase Sunday, but models continue to trend drier, and we will mention only a small risk of a shower late in the day, or Sunday night.

NEXT WEEK: A moist airmass will be over Alabama, and some light rain is possible at times Monday and Tuesday, but the better and more widespread rain should come Wednesday with the approach of a cold front. Colder and drier air will follow for Thursday and Friday, but not as cold as the air we are dealing with now. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

The Big Chill Arrives Today

| 6:13 am January 7, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

INTO THE DEEP FREEZE: Strong north winds will develop across Alabama later today; averaging 15-30 mph, with gusts to 35 mph by mid afternoon. This is the result of a tight pressure gradient across the state, with a very cold 1059 mb high to the northwest over the Great Plains. Temperatures will hold in the 30s, and the wind chill index will approach zero this evening as far south as Birmingham.

TO THE NORTH: We note a few snow flurries on radar this morning over Tennessee…

Screen Shot 2015-01-07 at 6.05.07 AM

Could there be a few snow flurries over North Alabama later today? Yes. Will they amount to anything? No. The air is very dry across Alabama, and most of you won’t see a flake; better chance of flurries will be over Northeast Alabama. The cold air is the big deal, not snow flurries.

HARD FREEZE TOMORROW MORNING: We are still projecting lows between 10 and 15 degrees for North/Central Alabama tomorrow morning, with single digit lows for many places north of Birmingham.

lows

We stay below freezing all day tomorrow, but at least the wind will be much lighter, and the sky will be sunny. The low early Friday will be in the upper teens. In all, places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden can expect about 38 consecutive hours of sub-freezing weather (tonight through Friday morning). To the north, Huntsville and Muscle Shoals will be below freezing for 54-60 consecutive hours (now through Friday morning).

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Friday will be dry with a partly sunny and a high at or just over 40 degrees. Saturday will be cold and dry; the low early in the day will be in the upper teens, followed by a high Saturday afternoon in the low 40s.

Models continue to trend drier for Sunday, and it looks like most of the day will be dry for Alabama. We will just mention the chance of a little scattered light rain Sunday afternoon; the high Sunday will be pretty close to 50 degrees. The idea of light freezing rain early Sunday morning for Northwest Alabama is pretty much off the table at this point.

Expect a better chance of rain at times on Monday, but it doesn’t look especially heavy. Then, the weather for Tuesday and Wednesday (Jan 13-14) looks rain-free with highs in the 50s, and lows in the 30s, right at seasonal averages. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Into The Deep Freeze Tomorrow

| 3:52 pm January 6, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

HERE COMES THE COLD AIR: As expected, temperatures have reached the low 50s across North/Central Alabama this afternoon; it will be the warmest day of the week.

Strong north winds will develop tomorrow, averaging 15-30 mph, ushering in the coldest air so far this season. The high tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 30s, and the wind chill index will stay below freezing most of the day with a partly sunny sky. The wind chill index will drop to near zero tomorrow night.

THURSDAY MORNING: Not much change in the forecast; general lows for the I-20/59 corridor will be in the 10 to 15 degree range, with single digit lows likely north of Birmingham.

lows

Despite sunshine in full supply, temperatures will remain below freezing all day Thursday, and we will drop into the 17-21 degree range early Friday morning. In all, places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden can expect about 38 consecutive hours of sub-freezing weather (tomorrow night through Friday morning). To the north, Huntsville and Muscle Shoals will be below freezing for 54-60 consecutive hours (from tonight through Friday morning).

Be sure and check on elderly people that might not have adequate heating, and bring in the pets and critters.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: We warm to near 40 degrees Friday afternoon with sunshine through high clouds. Mid 40s are likely Saturday as the slow warming trend continues.

Short wave energy will have some potential to bring a little rain to Alabama Sunday, but forecast confidence is low. The main American model, the GFS, shows patchy light rain, with potential for a little freezing rain early Sunday morning over the northwest counties of the state. However, the primary European model, the ECMWF, shows no rain at all.

We will lean toward the wetter solution and mention some risk of light rain Sunday, with potential for some light freezing rain early in the day north of Birmingham. If we do happen to see some freezing rain (rain in liquid form that falls when surface temperatures are below 32), it doesn’t look like a high impact event, although some bridge icing will be possible.

NEXT WEEK: Just a small risk of aa stray shower Monday, and mid-week looks dry with seasonal temperatures; highs in the 50s, and lows in the 30s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…