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Tag: "cold"

Much Colder; Snow Showers/Flurries

| 3:34 pm February 8, 2016

COLD, BLUSTERY PATTERN: A deep upper trough over the eastern U.S. will deliver a healthy dose of very cold Arctic air into Alabama tonight through Thursday morning. We won’t get out of the 30s tomorrow, and a strong west/northwest wind of 15-30 mph will keep the wind chill index at or below freezing most of the day. Looks like the coldest morning will come early Wednesday, with a low in the 19-23 degree range for most communities across North/Central Alabama.

SNOW: While the cold is the big headline, we all know people in Alabama are more curious about the snow potential. We expect occasional snow flurries and snow showers in the cold air advection pattern tonight into tomorrow morning; snow flurries have already been reported at Florence this afternoon, up in the northwest corner of the state.

TIMING: Snow showers and snow flurries are possible across North and Central Alabama mainly from 9:00 tonight through 12:00 noon tomorrow.

ADVISORIES: The National Weather Service in Huntsville has issued a winter weather advisory for Jackson and DeKalb Counties in far Northeast Alabama for late tonight and tomorrow…

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ACCUMULATION/IMPACT: As we mentioned here this morning, the best chance of accumulation (1/2 to 1 inch) will come across the high terrain (above 1,200 feet) of Northeast Alabama. Most places across North/Central Alabama will see little if any accumulation and little impact. But, understand we will be dealing with convective snow showers, and like rain showers on a summer afternoon, they tend to be scattered and random. So, there could be a few spots where heavy snow showers form to make the ground white, and a few isolated slick spots could form on roads after 4:00 a.m. We project temperatures to be below freezing from 3:00 a.m. until 9:00 a.m.

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I would advise getting up extra early tomorrow, turn on ABC 33/40, and get an update on road conditions. For most of you, there won’t be any impact, but a few isolated problems are possible, as stated above.

LATER THIS WEEK: We begin to warm up Thursday afternoon as we rise into the low 50s. Then, clouds increase Thursday night ahead of a cold front, and a few sprinkles are possible Friday morning as the front passes through. Moisture will be very limited, and rain, if any, should be light.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: More cold air settles into the state Saturday and Sunday thanks to a big 1048 mb high passing north of here. Highs drop into the low to mid 40s, and we will be close to 20 degrees early Sunday morning (colder pockets should visit the teens). The air will be dry, and the sky should be sunny both days.

See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

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I had a great time today visiting with the kindergarten students at Munford Elementary… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Notes On The Cold/Snow

| 6:47 am February 7, 2016

As discussed here for days, the northern half of Alabama will experience a shot of very cold Arctic air tomorrow through Wednesday. And, during the cold air advection process, there is a pretty good chance of snow flurries or snow showers late tomorrow, tomorrow night, into Tuesday.

Here are some important notes about this…

*TIMING: Some scattered light rain/sprinkles will begin during the day tomorrow across North Alabama, and as the air aloft becomes much colder, this precipitation will change over to snow flurries or snow showers tomorrow afternoon. This will continue tomorrow night and Tuesday.

*IMPACT/ACCUMULATION: Basically no impact or accumulation is expected for several reasons. Shallow moisture and weak lift means the snow should be very light in most cases, and surface temperatures will be above freezing a decent part of the time. We will just need to keep an eye on high terrain across Northeast Alabama, especially above 1,500 feet, where the ground could turn white in a few places, and a few slick spots could develop where heavier snow showers fall.

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Up in the far northern part of the state, some light accumulation is possible mainly from Huntsville east (1/2 inch or less).

TEMPERATURES: The cold air is the big story. Temperatures will begin to fall tomorrow afternoon (we won’t get past the mid 40s during the day), and on Tuesday we start the day in the upper 20s, and the high will be only in the 36-39 degree range with a chilly northwest wind. It is beginning to look like our coldest morning will come early Thursday, when teens will be possible across colder valleys.

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We have had so many tragic fires this winter; please be careful with space heaters or anything else that might spark a house fire.

MEMORIES: Anyone remember the song “The Way We Were” from 1974?

“Memories
May be beautiful and yet
What’s too painful to remember
We simply choose to forget”

The truth is people in Alabama DO remember the painful snow event on January 28, 2014, and the horrible impact forecast from the weather community. Understand we have a limited skill set in dealing with winter weather, and any forecast can go wrong, like any football coach can lose a game. But the circumstances in this event won’t be anything like 1.28.14; on that day we had 2 inches of snow with temperatures at 20 degrees. The ice accretion progress on roads is radically different at 20 degrees (as we learned the hard way), compared to 30-35 degrees we will mostly have tomorrow night through Tuesday.

So, no significant accumulation or impact is expected, and the forecast confidence is pretty high. But, we will watch developments closely and keep you posted.

Some Icing Tomorrow – Far North Alabama

| 3:26 pm January 19, 2016

THIS AFTERNOON: Temperatures are generally colder than forecast; again today some North Alabama communities are below freezing at mid-afternoon; temperatures are near 40 along the I-20 corridor. Clouds will increase this evening ahead of a wave that will bring the potential for some icy travel to far North Alabama tomorrow morning.

TOMORROW: The NWS Huntsville continues a “winter weather advisory” for Lauderdale, Limestone, Madison, Jackson, and DeKalb counties for tomorrow morning.

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A band of light freezing rain will move through the Tennessee Valley early tomorrow, and with surface temperatures expected to be at or below freezing, that could bring some ice patches on roads and bridges. We should note some sleet and snow could also be in the mix, especially over the northeast corner of the state.

And, I can’t rule out a bit of freezing rain/ice patches on roads as far south as U.S. 278 early tomorrow… Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden.

Understand this won’t be an especially high impact event, but it could very well bring some icy travel, and if you are driving through the northern third of the state tomorrow morning from 3:00 until 10:00, be aware of the potential.

We do not expect anything other that some light rain at times for Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, and Anniston, where temperatures will rise into the mid 40s by afternoon.

THURSDAY: A more potent storm system will impact the state with rain and a few thunderstorms. A deepening surface low will move from near Shreveport to Muscle Shoals; we might even see a few strong to severe thunderstorms in the warm sector. SPC has a “marginal” severe weather risk defined for much of Louisiana and Mississippi tomorrow, but for now we don’t expect any severe weather in Alabama. But, you clearly might hear some thunder. Rain amounts of 1 inch are likely by Thursday night, and temperatures will rise into the upper 50s Thursday afternoon.

FRIDAY: The surface low moves northeast, setting up a whopper of a snow storm for the eastern U.S. Here in Alabama, strong northerly winds will develop, and temperatures should fall during the day, reaching the 30s by mid to late afternoon. Lingering light rain in the wrap around moisture on the west side of the low could very well change to light snow or snow flurries late Friday and Friday night, but for now the potential for any accumulation looks very low, and we project no impact.

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SATURDAY: The day will be blustery and cold in Alabama; we won’t get out of the 30s, and we could see a few lingering snow flurries during the morning.

BLOCKBUSTER SNOW FOR THE EASTERN U.S.: Sure looks like somebody from West Virginia through Virginia and over to Maryland could see two feet of snow Friday into Saturday; the snow will continue northeast and impact other cities like Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston, although amounts should be lighter there. This will seriously impact travel, both on the roads, and at airports.

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SUNDAY IN ALABAMA: The day will be sunny, and the afternoon will be warmer with a high in the low 50s. After starting the day down in the low 20s.

NEXT WEEK: Still seeing evidence of rain by Monday night or Tuesday, and another pop of colder air by Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the kindergarten students at Weaver Elementary in Calhoun County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Very Active Weather Through Friday

| 6:18 am January 19, 2016

FRIGID MORNING: Check out these temperatures around sunrise across Alabama…

Valley Head 12
Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 12
Russellville 14
Fort Payne 14
Cullman 15
Haleyville 15
Sycamore 16
Gadsden (Noccalula Falls) 17
Cottondale 17
Concord 18
Anniston 18
Birmingham 19
Opelika 19
Coker 21
Jemison 21

Today’s high will be around 40, but areas north of Birmingham, for the second day in a row, won’t make it out of the 30s. The sky will be mostly sunny, but clouds will begin to increase by mid to late afternoon.

ICY TRAVEL FOR FAR NORTH ALABAMA EARLY TOMORROW: The NWS in Huntsville has issued a “winter weather advisory” for some of their counties up in the Tennessee Valley for early tomorrow morning due to the potential of light freezing rain. There might be some sleet, and even a little snow involved.

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A touch of freezing rain is possible as far south as U.S. 278 (Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden) early tomorrow. So, if you are over the northern third of the state, just be aware of the potential for some icy spots on roads and bridges tomorrow morning, mainly from 3:00 a.m. until temperatures rise above freezing by mid-morning.

For the cities of Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, and Anniston, we expect just some patchy light rain tomorrow with no icy travel.

THURSDAY: A more significant weather system will bring widespread rain, and a few thunderstorms, to Alabama Thursday and Thursday night as a surface low moves from near Shreveport to Muscle Shoals. No severe weather is expected, and rain amounts of around one inch are likely. Temperatures will rise well into the 50s Thursday; a few spots could touch 60 degrees.

SNOW FLAKES FRIDAY: The deepening surface low will move northeast of Alabama (setting up a huge winter storm for the eastern U.S.), and around here the day will be breezy and colder with temperatures falling through the 40s, reaching the 30s by afternoon. Lingering light rain will change to light snow or snow flurries over much of North and Central Alabama, but temperatures will be above freezing, and for now we don’t expect any impact, and accumulation potential is low.

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BLOCKBUSTER EASTERN U.S. WINTER STORM: Here is a look at the European model ensemble, showing potential for more than one foot of snow Friday/Saturday…

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Somebody is going to hammered by this; there will be a bullseye somewhere around West Virginia/northern Virginia/Maryland with over two feet of snow. But, very significant, high impact snow is likely for the big cities of Washington, Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston. Travel in these places will become very difficult by Friday night and Saturday. Travelers beware.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be cold and dry; despite a good supply of sunshine the high will be only around 40 degrees. Then, expect a warmer day Sunday with lots of sun and a high in the low 50s.

NEXT WEEK: Some light rain could return as early as Monday; beyond that there is a huge difference between the GFS (which shows a big rain Tuesday), and the ECMWF (which shows nothing)… so confidence is low. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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I will be doing a weather program today at Weaver Elementary in Calhoun County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Coldest Night So Far This Winter

| 3:32 pm January 18, 2016

HARD FREEZE: Birmingham’s coldest morning so far this season was back on January 11 when the low was 20. We should beat that easily tonight; we project a low between 15 and 19 degrees for most North/Central Alabama communities, and the colder spots will be closer to 10 degrees. The sky will be clear, and the wind light. Be check on elderly people that might not have an adequate source of heat, bring in the pets, and wrap exposed pipes if needed.

TOMORROW: Cold, but not as cold. We rise into the low 40s with a mostly sunny sky. Clouds move in tomorrow night ahead of a wave that might bring some winter mischief to far North Alabama Wednesday morning.

EARLY WEDNESDAY: Some light freezing rain, and maybe a touch of sleet, will be possible over the northern third of Alabama between 4:00 and 10:00 a.m. Wednesday. This could lead to patchy road/bridge icing early in the day Wednesday, with the greatest risk of travel issues coming along and north of the Tennessee River. This won’t be a major icing event, but just understand some patchy ice is a very real possibility.

Most of North/Central Alabama will see just some light rain Wednesday, and temperatures will rise into the upper 40s by afternoon.

THURSDAY: A major storm will begin to get it’s act together, with a surface low moving from Shreveport to Northwest Alabama. Rain becomes widespread across our state Thursday afternoon and Thursday night, and with a touch of surface based instability there might even be a rumble of thunder in spots. Some spots could see 60 degrees Thursday afternoon; rain amounts of around 1 inch are likely.

SNOW FLAKES FRIDAY: The surface low will move northeast, away from Alabama, and a northerly flow will bring falling temperatures during the day Friday, and a decent chance of light rain changing to light snow on the back side of the departing system. I don’t expect any impact from any light snow during the day Friday with temperatures above freezing, but we will need watch for a few slick spots Friday night due to any lingering patches of light snow, and lingering moisture from the big rain Thursday night. I don’t expect widespread travel issues, but we will watch things closely through mid-week as this event gets closer.

NORTHEAST OF ALABAMA: A major, high impact winter storm will bring lots of snow from the mountains of North Carolina north to New England. Significant snow is likely for places like Washington, Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston, and travel will most likely be very difficult. Too early to be specific on totals for any one given spot, but this looks like a blockbuster winter storm.

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THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: We will be dry with a good supply of sunshine Saturday and Sunday; we reach the mid 40s Saturday, followed by mid 50s Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: Some chance of light rain Monday; a more significant storm system shows up on global modeling by the middle of the week with rain becoming more widespread. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

A Few Flakes

| 8:55 am January 18, 2016

A weak disturbance is squeezing out a few light flurries over Northwest Alabama this morning…

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They won’t last long, and no impact. Cold weather is the headline; we won’t get out of the 30s today, and we drop into the teens early tomorrow. Scroll down for the details…

Very Cold Day For Alabama

| 6:40 am January 18, 2016

FRIGID AIR: We are starting the day with sub-freezing temperatures over about the northern half of the state, and unfortunately these values won’t be changing much during the day, despite a decent amount of sun. Most of the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabama will stay below freezing all day, and places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden will see a high only in the 35-39 degree range.

A few snow flurries have moved into Northwest Alabama, but they won’t last long, and there won’t be any impact.

HARD FREEZE TONIGHT: We project a low between 15 and 19 degrees for most places early tomorrow, and close to 10 for the coldest valleys across North Alabama. This will be the coldest night so far this winter for most of the state, and you will want to bring in the pets. Places like Huntsville will be below freezing for about 35 consecutive hours (from late last night through mid-morning tomorrow).

Up until now Birmingham’s coldest morning was back on January 11, when the low was 20.

TOMORROW: We warm into the low tomorrow afternoon with a good supply of sunshine. Clouds will begin to increase tomorrow night.

FREEZING RAIN FOR FAR NORTH ALABAMA WEDNESDAY MORNING? This will be a close call. Light rain will move into Alabama Wednesday morning, and if the precipitation begins early enough, it will be in the form of light freezing rain over the Tennessee Valley of extreme North Alabama. For travelers, confidence is much higher of ice forming on roads over Tennessee; roads around Nashville should be very icy Wednesday morning with freezing rain falling. Hopefully the rain begins late enough in the day that ice won’t be an issue for North Alabama, but just be aware of the possibility.

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For Birmingham/Tuscaloosa/Anniston/Gadsden, no ice is expected; just some light rain Wednesday; temperatures should rise to near 50 degrees by afternoon as the slow warm-up continues.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: A more significant storm will impact Alabama. A surface low should move from near Shreveport to Northwest Alabama, and will bring a soaking rain to the state Thursday and Thursday night. A few thunderstorms could be involved, but no severe weather is expected. Rain amounts of around one inch are likely, and the high will be near 60 degrees.

Then, on Friday, the low will move to near Asheville, NC, and as cold air spills in behind the low there is a chance the rain could change to light snow or snow flurries over parts of North Alabama with temperatures falling during the day. If that happens, for now we don’t expect any impact and no accumulation.

TO THE NORTHEAST: This storm system will bring potential for a major snow event from North Carolina to New England Friday through Saturday. Both the European and American global models show a high impact winter storm that could disrupt travel and bring some amounts over two feet in spots. If you are traveling to Washington, Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York City, or Boston late this week or over the weekend, this system will make that travel very challenging, if not impossible. A little too early to be really specific, but just be aware of the potential.

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Note… you see some grey on that map over Alabama; understand we do not expect accumulating snow here Friday.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A warming trend headlines the forecast, the sky should be mostly sunny Saturday and Sunday. We reach the mid 40s Saturday, and mid 50s Sunday.

Some patchy light rain could reach the state early next week… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Frigid January Morning

| 5:55 am January 11, 2016

COLD: Some temperatures reported around sunrise across Alabama…

Ardmore 12
Mentone 14
Haleyville 17
Cullman 18
Decatur 18
Gadsden (Noccalula Falls) 19
Concord 19
Sycamore 19
Fort Payne 19
Homewood 20
Coker 21
Alexander City 21
Birmingham 22
Tuscaloosa 22
Anniston 25

We project a partly sunny sky today with a high in the mid 40s for most communities.

TOMORROW THROUGH THURSDAY: Expect another freeze late tonight and early tomorrow, with most spots seeing a low in the mid to upper 20s, then we warm into the low 50s tomorrow afternoon with a good supply of sunshine. A secondary surge of colder air drops in here tomorrow night; that should push highs back into the upper 40s Wednesday, but then we rise into the upper 50s Thursday afternoon. No precipitation on these three days.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY: A wave will bring the risk of some light rain to Alabama; models are not in good agreement, but it looks like the highest chance of rain will come Friday afternoon and Friday night. The European model (ECMWF) is dry Saturday, while the American model (GFS) keeps some risk of light rain going. Friday should be fairly pleasant with a high close to 60, then the high will drop back into the 50s Saturday.

SUNDAY: The day looks cool and dry, with ample sunshine and a high in the upper 40s.

NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: No sign of any brutally cold Arctic air or winter mischief for at least the next 10 days; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details. And see the post on the blog below this one “for snow lovers in Alabama”.

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And, we note the AO (Arctic Oscillation) will try and go positive later this month, which could be a sign of the flow of colder air being shut off from the Arctic region, and a trend toward warmer temperatures for us. No forecast, just an idea.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Note: we will produce this week’s show tomorrow (Tuesday) night at 8:30 CT.

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I will be doing a weather program today at Eastwood Elementary in Decatur… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Slow Warm-Up Ahead; Wet Start To The Weekend

| 2:34 pm January 6, 2016

THIS AFTERNOON: Temperatures are generally in the 48-52 degree range across North/Central Alabama, with a good supply of sunshine through high clouds. Clouds will thicken tonight, and most communities will stay above freezing with a low in the mid 30s.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: A slow warming trend continues; we expect a high in the mid 50s tomorrow, and Friday’s high will be very close to 60 degrees. The sky will be mostly cloudy both days, and we will continue to mention the risk of a little scattered light rain tomorrow night. But, amounts will be light and spotty, and some places won’t get enough rain to measure with very limited moisture.

WET BEGINNING TO THE WEEKEND: A surface low will pass north of Alabama Saturday, and the day looks pretty wet here with rain at times through the day. There might even be a bit of thunder in spots with temperatures rising up into the low 60s, but there is no risk of severe weather, and there won’t be any flooding issues. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 3/4 inch are likely.

Sunday will be raw, breezy, and cold day with clouds hanging tough, a chilly north breeze, and potential for little light rain or drizzle in spots. Looks like temperatures will hover in the 40s through the day, maybe even falling into the 30s over far North Alabama. A few snow flurries are even possible Sunday evening near the Tennessee border, but no impact is expected if that happens.

NEXT WEEK: Global models have backed off a little on the depth of the cold air expected to drop in here; we will forecast highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s Monday and Tuesday, with slow moderation for the rest of the week. The week is looking generally dry; the 12Z GFS run does try and bring a little light rain in here Tuesday, but the European model (ECMWF) shunts that wave far to the south, keeping us dry. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

Still no sign of any winter weather mischief for North Alabama for the next 10 days.

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FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship Saturday in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). Expect a mix of sun and clouds; just a small risk of a shower during the game. Temperatures will rise from 42 degrees at kickoff, to near 45 by the final whistle.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, Arizona (7:30p CT kickoff). Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the low 50s at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the second half. The stadium has a roof, but it will be pretty chilly walking to and from your transportation.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders at Elvin Hill Elementary in Columbiana… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow..

Slow Warm-Up; Rain By Saturday

| 6:10 am January 6, 2016

COLD WINTER MORNING: Temperatures are generally in the 25-32 degree range across the northern half of Alabama this morning with a clear sky. The weather will stay dry today; expect a partly sunny sky with a high around 50 degrees this afternoon.

Tonight won’t be as cold as recent nights; the sky becomes mostly cloudy, and most communities will stay above freezing. Then, tomorrow, we reach the mid 50s by afternoon as the slow warming trend continues. We will mention the risk of a little scattered light rain tomorrow night, but models have trended drier, and rain, if any, will be pretty light and spotty.

FRIDAY: This could be the warmest day out of the next seven; afternoon temperatures should reach the low 60s. The sky will remain mostly cloudy, but the day should be generally dry.

RAIN RETURNS: The weekend will start off wet. A surface low will pass north of the state, and rain should move in during the morning hours, becoming fairly widespread by afternoon. Temperatures will rise to near 60 degrees, and a little thunder is possible in this setup, but no severe weather, and no flooding concerns. Rain amounts of around 1/2 inch are likely by Saturday night.

Then, Sunday looks like a rather chilly, raw day with a cloudy sky, temperatures falling through the 40s, and a little light rain or drizzle.

NEXT WEEK: A new surge of cold air settles in; looks like it could very well be the coldest air so far this season. We will struggle to get out of the 30s Monday, and highs will be in the 40s each day for the rest of the week for most communities. The week looks generally dry, although the European model (ECMWF) shows a wave with some potential for light rain over the southern half of the state Thursday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship Saturday in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). Expect a mix of sun and clouds; just a small risk of a shower during the game. Temperatures will rise from 42 degrees at kickoff, to near 45 by the final whistle.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, Arizona (7:30p CT kickoff). Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the low 50s at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the second half. The stadium has a roof, but it will be pretty chilly walking to and from your transportation.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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I have a weather program this morning at Elvin Hill Elementary in Columbiana… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Warmer Temperatures Later This Week

| 3:10 pm January 5, 2016

CHILLY WINTER DAY: Hard to find a cloud in the Alabama sky this afternoon; temperatures are generally in the 40s. We are forecasting another freeze tonight, with most locations reaching the mid to upper 20s early tomorrow.

Temperatures begin to trend upward tomorrow afternoon with low 50s likely; the weather stays dry with a partly sunny sky.

NEXT RAIN: The sky becomes cloudy Thursday, and rain will return to the state late in the day and into Thursday night. Seems like the main window for rain comes from about 4:00 p.m. Thursday through 4:00 a.m. Friday. No severe weather, no flooding, probably no thunder, and rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch.

The warming trend continues Friday; clouds linger much of the day, but we reach the 62-65 degree range by afternoon. It should be the warmest day out of the next seven days.

WET AT TIMES OVER THE WEEKEND: The next wave will bring more rain to Alabama; the rain will begin during the day Saturday. We will maintain the chance of some rain at times into Saturday night and Sunday. Saturday will be relatively mild with a high in the low 60s, but much colder air begins to pour into the state Sunday with temperatures falling through the 40s during the day along with a brisk north wind. Sunday looks like a raw, cold, damp day.

NEXT WEEK: Sure looks like Monday will be coldest day so far this winter. I really don’t think we get out of the 30s despite a decent amount of sun. Temperatures should be well down in the 20s Monday and Tuesday morning, and colder spots should reach the upper teens. Cold air will be the story through the weekend, and for now the global models don’t show any evidence of winter weather mischief. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship Saturday in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). There will be cloudy periods during the game, but for now it looks like a small risk of a shower. Temperatures will rise from 44 degrees at kickoff, to near 47 by the final whistle.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, Arizona (7:30p CT kickoff). Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the low 50s at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the second half.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Rain Returns Thursday Night

| 6:31 am January 5, 2016

FRIGID WINTER MORNING: Coldest spot I can find this morning is Russellville, in Franklin County, with 19 degrees. Other colder pockets are in the low 20s; Cullman and Haleyville report 22 just before sunrise. The sky is clear, and the wind is light.

Today will be another sunny but very cool day; most communities will see a high in the upper 40s this afternoon. FYI, the average high for Birmingham for January 5 is 53.

The weather stays dry tomorrow with a partly sunny and a high in the lower 50s.

NEXT RAIN: The sky becomes cloudy Thursday, and the next wave in the southern branch of the jet stream will bring rain to the state late Thursday afternoon and Thursday night; seems like the main window for rain will come from 4:00 p.m. Thursday to 4:00 a.m. Friday. Rain amounts will be 1/2 inch or less, and this time we won’t have any severe weather, probably no thunder, and certainly no flooding.

The day Friday looks generally dry, but the clouds will linger. We reach the low 60s Friday afternoon for a comfortable mid-winter day.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The next wave will bring more rain to the state. Global models are now in agreement on a faster solution, suggesting rain is likely Saturday statewide. Again, no severe weather and no flooding problems, but expect periods of rain throughout the day with an afternoon high in the low 60s. The rain will end Saturday night, and Sunday looks mostly cloudy and colder with a high back in the 40s.

MORE COLD AIR: A cold pattern is setting up for the eastern half of the U.S. next week, as both the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and North Atlantic Oscillation) stay negative. Most computer model output is showing highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s around here, but I do believe there could be a day or two with highs in the 30s and lows in the teens, based on the pattern.

For now the cold snap next week looks generally dry, but I assure you computer models won’t handle this pattern very well a week in advance. We will just have to be vigilant for waves that come through the southern edge of the cold air; the 06Z GFS does show some potential for light rain over far South Alabama Tuesday, but the European (ECMWF) shows nothing. Every run will look different, we will just watch for trends. But, the main message is that next week looks cold, most likely the coldest air we have seen so far this winter. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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FOOTBALL WEATHER: Saturday, Jacksonville State plays North Dakota State for the FCS National Championship Saturday in Frisco, Texas (north of Dallas; 11:00a CT kickoff). There will be cloudy periods during the game, but for now it looks like a small risk of a shower. Temperatures will rise from 44 degrees at kickoff, to near 47 by the final whistle.

The FBS National Championship game, Alabama vs Clemson, is Monday at Glendale, Arizona (7:30p CT kickoff). Despite a good bit of rain for Phoenix this week, the weather looks cool and dry for the game with temperatures falling from the low 50s at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the second half.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!