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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

Tag: "cold"

Cold Tonight; Warmer By The Weekend

| 3:19 pm December 10, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHILLY DAY: Despite a decent amount of sun today, temperatures across North/Central Alabama are only in the upper 40s at mid-afternoon, about ten degrees below average values for mid-December. We expect a pretty decent freeze tonight; lows early tomorrow between 25 and 29 degrees are expected with a clear sky and light wind.

DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Cool air stays in place tomorrow with maximum sunshine and a high around 50, then we warm into the mid 50s Friday, and low 60s Saturday and Sunday. Dry air means no rain, and sunny days and clear nights.

NEXT WEEK: A wave will bring the next chance of rain to Alabama Monday night; still looks like the main chance of wet weather will come from about 6:00 p.m. Monday through 6:00 a.m. Tuesday; moisture will be limited so at the moment it looks like rain amounts will be generally under 1/2 inch, and there is no threat of severe weather with weak dynamic forcing and very little surface based instability. The sky becomes partly sunny Tuesday afternoon, and highs hold in the 50s with no real cold air behind the system.

The GFS continues to suggest the next rain event comes around Friday December 19, or Saturday December 20.

CHRISTMAS? Way too early to be specific about weather on Christmas Day; global ensembles hint we could see a change to colder temperatures by then, still no firm evidence of any bitterly cold air at this point. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and details.

VERY QUIET YEAR FOR TORNADOES: Our friend Greg Carbin at the Storm Prediction Center released data yesterday showing US tornado numbers for 2014 are among lowest in recorded history…

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Not that anyone is complaining…

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Weekend Warm-Up Ahead

| 6:35 am November 28, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD START: Here are some temperatures at daybreak across the great state of Alabama…

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 21
Sycamore 23
Fort Payne 23
Russellville 23
Cullman 24
Coker 26
Gadsden (Noccalula Falls) 26
Anniston 27
Birmingham 28
Lake View (Tuscaloosa County) 28
Tuscaloosa 28

Temperatures will remain below average today; most places will see a high between 47 and 52 degrees… the average high (for Birmingham) for November 28 is 60.

THE WEEKEND: We warm into the low 60s tomorrow with a good supply of sunshine. Dew points and moisture levels begin to rise Sunday, so there should be a slow increase in cloud cover. And, we might consider mentioning the risk of a shower during the day, but for now we have left the forecast dry. Sunday’s high be in the upper 60s as the warming trend continues.

IRON BOWL: Very nice weather for the state of Alabama’s biggest game tomorrow night in Tuscaloosa (6:45p CT kickoff)… most fair with upper 50s at kickoff, and low 50s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: A well defined cold front will be just north of Alabama Monday, and showers could drift down into the Tennessee Valley. But, down our way the chance of rain continues to be pretty small, and the weather stays mild with a high in the 60s. The front washes out to the north, and we are looking at dry and pleasant weather Tuesday through Thursday with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. A weak surface front will bring a chance of showers at the end of the week on Friday (December 5), but it sure doesn’t look like a big rain event for now. And, we see no sign of any severe weather issues for the next 10-15 days. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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We are on a holiday schedule… so my next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here bright and early Monday morning by 7:00. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday… enjoy the weekend!

Warmer Days Ahead

| 3:48 pm November 27, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHILLY THANKSGIVING AFTERNOON: Birmingham’s average high for November 27 is 61… we aren’t even close to that level today. In fact, some North Alabama communities aren’t out of the 30s at mid-afternoon… Haleyville and Fort Payne are reporting 39 degrees at 2p CT. We are seeing mostly mid 40s elsewhere; clouds have been hanging tough over the northern half the state, while South Alabama has enjoyed a sunny sky.

A freeze is likely tonight; we project a low somewhere between 25 and 30 degrees early tomorrow… some of the coldest valleys could see low 20s. Tomorrow will be another cool day; expect a good supply of sunshine with a high in the low 50s.

WARMER WEEKEND: Expect a weekend warm-up… we reach the low 60s Saturday, and upper 60s are likely Sunday. No rain Saturday, and while a front will be north of Alabama Sunday, the air looks too dry for any significant chance of rain at this point.

IRON BOWL: Doesn’t get much better. For the 6:45p CT kickoff in Tuscaloosa Saturday, we project a fair sky with temperatures in the upper 50s, falling slowly into the low 50s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: Mild weather continues through the week with highs generally in the 60s. A stalled front north of Alabama should mean the best chance of showers will be over Arkansas and Tennessee… just a small risk of a shower over far North Alabama early in the week. The GFS has taken the idea of a late week rain event off the table; it shows just a weak front moving through on Saturday December 6 with a few showers. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here tomorrow morning…

Sunny But Cold Thanksgiving Day

| 6:23 am November 27, 2014

**I will produce a Weather Xtreme video later today; we are on a holiday schedule so just one video per day through the weekend**

HAPPY THANKSGIVING: We begin the day with temperatures mostly in the 30s, and despite a sunny sky today we don’t expect to get out of the 40s with a chilly north breeze. A freeze is likely tonight; the low early tomorrow will be in the 25 to 29 degree range for most North/Central Alabama communities.

Tomorrow will be cool and dry with ample sunshine and a high in the low 50s; keep in mind we should be in the low 60s in late November based on long term averages.

WARMER WEEKEND: A nice warm-up begins this weekend; we project a high in the low 60s Saturday, and then mid to upper 60s Sunday. A few scattered clouds show up Sunday, but the weather stays dry.

IRON BOWL: Doesn’t get much better. For the 6:45p CT kickoff in Tuscaloosa Saturday, we project a fair sky with temperatures in the upper 50s, falling slowly into the low 50s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: Mild weather continues; the high will be in the 65-70 degree range for the first half of the week with a mix of sun and clouds each day. We might consider a small risk of a shower Monday for areas north of Birmingham, but most communities stay dry. Earlier global model runs suggested a rain event at the end of the week, but the GFS has trended drier with an upper ridge holding in place across the Deep South.

No sign of any harshly cold air around here for the next 15 days.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will post a new discussion, and today’s Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. I hope you and your family enjoy a blessed Thanksgiving Day…

Another Hard Freeze Tonight

| 3:43 pm November 18, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ANOTHER COLD ONE: Temperatures are not out of the 30s across North Alabama this afternoon despite a sunny sky, and with a clear sky and light wind, another hard freeze is ahead tonight. This will be a “radiational cooling” type night, meaning there will be a big temperature spread tomorrow morning. Colder valleys will drop into the mid teens, the warmest ridge tops will be in the upper 20s. We figure the average low will be around 20 degrees. Birmingham’s record low for November 19 is 18 set in 1903… that one is probably safe, but it will be close.

WARMER DAYS: The rest of the week will be dry with a warming trend. Mostly sunny days, fair nights… we reach 50 degrees tomorrow, mid to upper 50s Thursday, and low 60s Friday. The average high for this time of the year in Birmingham is 64.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be dry and pleasant with a high in the mid to upper 60s, but clouds will begin to increase during the afternoon hours.

A vigorous storm system will bring rain and thunderstorms to Alabama later in the weekend; at this point it looks like the main window for this will come from midnight Saturday night through 12:00 noon Sunday. The 12Z GFS is advertising a 60-70 knot low level jet (around 5,000 feet), which is very favorable for severe storms, along with low level bulk shear values to 40 knots.

The main limiting factor is the lack of surface based instability, and for that reason it could be the highest threat of severe storms will come over the southern quarter of Alabama. We will keep an eye on model trends in coming days and make adjustments to the forecast as needed; see the Weather Xtreme video for all the maps, graphics, and more details.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: A cold front will pass through the state Monday with a chance of showers, the rest of the week looks dry, with cool days and chilly nights. By Wednesday and Thursday we expect a high around 50, with a low around 30 degrees. Below average, but not as cold as the air we are dealing with now. Keep in mind, however, this is out in “voodoo land” and this could change.

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FOOTBALL WEATHER: Very nice weather for the high school football games across North/Central Alabama Friday night; mostly clear with temperatures falling from 55 at kickoff, into the upper 40s by the final whistle.

Saturday is homecoming at the Capstone in Tuscaloosa, and for the football game (Alabama vs Weestern Carolina) that kicks off at 3:00 p.m.. the sky will become mostly cloudy during the game, but the weather should be dry. Expect a kickoff temperature near 67 degrees, falling to near 60 by the fourth quarter. Pretty comfortable, especially compared to last weekend.

Auburn will host the Samford Bulldogs Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6p CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 60 degrees at kickoff, and mid to upper 50s by the fourth quarter. No rain expected.

And, a big game for the UAB Blazers; they host Marshall at Legion Field (11:00a CT kickoff). Clouds will increase during the game, but no rain. Temperatures will rise from near 64 at kickoff, to near 67 by the fourth quarter.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing the senior adults today at Parker Memorial Baptist Church in Anniston… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Rain Moving Out; Very Cold Air Moving In

| 6:37 am November 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SEVERE WEATHER TO THE SOUTH: Tornado warnings have been posted for parts of Southeast Alabama during the pre-dawn hours; scroll down to see all of them. As I write this, a tornado on radar near Hurtsboro in Russell County moving northeast. The severe weather threat will end over Southeast Alabama during the next hour or two as the storms move into South Georgia.

VERY BENEFICIAL RAIN: Up our way, we saw some tremendous rain totals during the past 24 hours; the rain generally came down slow and steady, and only minor flooding issues have been reported. Some totals…

Helena (Old Cahaba neighborhood) 6.74″
Hoover (near Spain Park HS) 5.98″
Coaling 5.70″
Bibbville 5.25″
Cottondale 5.21″
Bessemer 5.17″
Coldwater 4.92″
Moody 4.57″
Shelby County (between Alabaster and Columbiana) 4.03″
Weaver 3.91″
Concord 3.81″
Montevallo 3.75″
Coker 3.66″
Center Point 3.57″
Trussville 3.53″
Demopolis 3.44″
Muscadine 3.28″
Black Creek (near Gadsden) 3.19″
Gadsden 2.71″
Jemison 2.12″
Thorsby 1.96″

Lingering rain over East Alabama will end very soon…

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FRIGID AIR: Temperatures have fallen into the 30s over Northwest Alabama, and the cold air will flood the state this morning with a biting northwest wind. North of Birmingham, don’t expect to get out of the 30s today; temperatures will hover in the low 40s south of I-20. The sky will remain cloudy, and a few scattered snow flurries or patches of light sleet are possible in the cold air (but nothing really significant).

CHECKING THE RECORD BOOKS: We project a low between 18 and 22 degrees early tomorrow morning. The record low for November 18 (in Birmingham) is 20 degrees, set in 1959… so there is a good chance that one will fall (along with many others around the state and the nation). The wind will average 6-12 mph early tomorrow, and that could push the wind chill index down into the single digits in spots.

Tomorrow will be sunny, but very cold with a high only in the mid 30s; areas north of Birmingham could remain below freezing all day despite the sunshine.

Wednesday morning will be very cold with a clear sky and light wind; colder valleys and protected areas will visit the teens again, and more records are possible (Birmingham’s record low for November 19 is 18 set in 1903.

LATER THIS WEEK: A warming trend begins Wednesday afternoon; with a sunny sky we rise into the upper 40s. Then, 50s are likely Thursday afternoon with a partly sunny sky. We will mention the risk of a few showers Friday as a weak disturbance passes through; rain amounts should be on the light side.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: For now Saturday looks dry and mild; partly sunny with a high in the mid 60s. Then, a dynamic weather system arrives Sunday with rain and thunderstorms likely; the 00Z GFS shows a setup favorable for strong to severe thunderstorms for Alabama. We will watch model trends closely in coming days; this is the fall tornado season, so severe weather threats are not uncommon this time of the year. The high Sunday afternoon should be in the upper 60s, perhaps touching 70 degrees in a few places.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: Keep in mind we are getting out into the “land of voodoo”, but at this point the GFS shows rain lingering into Monday, then dry and pleasant weather Tuesday through Friday with highs generally in the 50s and lows in the 30s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have weather programs today at Erwin Intermediate School in Center Point, and Phillips Academy in Birmingham… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day…

More Cold Air Early Next Week

| 3:42 pm November 14, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD NOVEMBER DAY: Temperatures are struggling to reach the 40 degree mark across North/Central Alabama this afternoon despite a good supply of sunshine, and once the sun goes down around 4:45, you know temperatures will drop quickly. I think we are now looking at freezing temperatures for most of the high school football playoff games around our state tonight, and we project a low back in the low to mid 20s by daybreak tomorrow.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: We project a high tomorrow afternoon not too far from 50 degrees with sunshine through scattered clouds. Then, the clouds thicken tomorrow night, and we will deal with rain before the weekend is over.

The rain should begin Sunday afternoon over North/Central Alabama, then becoming widespread Sunday night as a surface low passes through South Alabama. Looks like a good rain event, with totals in the 1/2 to 1 inch range for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden. Parts of South Alabama will see over one inch.

2014 November Animated

MONDAY: Rain will end from west to east during the day, and the next shot of very cold air will begin to blow in here with temperatures falling into the 30s by mid to late afternoon. Can’t totally rule out a snow flake or two in the cold air, but it won’t be anything significant. If you are looking for a good snow cover, look north of I-40 in far North Tennessee and Kentucky.

FRIGID TUESDAY: We will drop to near 20 degrees early Tuesday morning, with potential for single digit wind chill values. A decent part of North Alabama will stay below freezing all day Tuesday despite the return of sunshine. Then, as the wind goes calm Tuesday night, that should set the stage for the coldest morning early Wednesday with upper teens very possible.

A slow warming trend then begins Wednesday afternoon that will last through the following weekend. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games tonight, we project a kickoff temperature around 34 degrees, then falling into the 20s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

The biggest college game in the country will be in tomorrow Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the mid 20s around daybreak, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 51 degrees with a mostly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs tomorrow evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect 46 degrees at kickoff, with temperatures dropping slowly through the 40s during the game. The sky should be mostly fair.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the kids at Southeastern Elementary School in Blount County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Brighter Today, But Still Cold

| 6:33 am November 14, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLDEST SO FAR: Here are some temperatures across the great state of Alabama at daybreak…

Haleyville 20
Decatur 20
Valley Head 21
Cullman 21
Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 21
Birmingham 23 (wind chill index of 15)
Center Point 23
Montevallo 24
Bessemer 24
Huffman 25
Concord 25
Gardendale 25
Anniston 26
Sycamore 26
Tuscaloosa 27

The good news is that the sky will be mostly sunny today, but temperatures remain far below average; the GFS and the NAM are printing a high of only 41 degrees for Birmingham today.

Expect another very cold night tonight; most places will be in the mid 20s early tomorrow.

OUR WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be another cold, dry day with a partly to mostly sunny sky; the high will be at or just over 50 degrees, still about 15 degrees below average for mid-November. Clouds return Sunday, and rain should begin Sunday afternoon… that rain becomes widespread Sunday night thanks to a surface low that should move over far South Alabama. The southern half of the state can expect 1 to 2 inches of rain, and up our way, the north-central Alabama counties should see at last 1/2 to 1 inch. It will be our most signifiant rain since October 13, when Birmingham measured 1.91″.

2014 November Animated

MONDAY/TUESDAY: The rain will end from west to east during the day Monday, and right after that we deal with another surge of very cold air. Not out of the question for a flake or two of snow to fall over North Alabama as it all ends and the colder air arrives, but for now there is no evidence that it will be anything signifiant. Temperatures should begin to fall Monday afternoon with a gusty north wind, and by Tuesday morning we will be close to 20 degrees, with a wind chill index down in the single digits.

It will be a struggle to get above freezing Tuesday despite the return of sunshine, and the wind chill index will remain below freezing most of the day with a north wind of 10-20 mph. Then, Tuesday night, the wind will die down, and with a clear sky we expect our coldest temperatures yet by early Wednesday morning. The GFS is printing a low of 17 degrees now for Birmingham at daybreak Wednesday.

LATER NEXT WEEK: The upper air pattern thankfully deamplifies, and we begin to warm up. Temperatures reach the 40s Wednesday afternoon, 50s Thursday, and we will be close to 60 Friday afternoon. Some hints we might have some rain late in the week, or the following weekend (November 22-23)… see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

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FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games tonight, we project a kickoff temperature around 38 degrees, then falling through the 30s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

The biggest college game in the country will be in tomorrow Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the mid 20s around daybreak, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 51 degrees with a mostly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs tomorrow evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect 46 degrees at kickoff, with temperatures dropping slowly through the 40s during the game. The sky should be mostly fair.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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I will be doing a weather program today at Southeastern Elementary School in Blount County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!