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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

Tag: "cold"

Raw, Cold Day Ahead

| 6:16 am April 15, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

MORE LIKE JANUARY: This won’t be a “Chamber of Commerce” kind of day around here as strong north winds of 15-30 mph usher in much colder air. Places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, and Anniston will struggle to reach the low to mid 50s today, and many communities to the north of these cities won’t get out of the 40s.

We begin the day with clouds and some drizzle; we will forecast gradual clearing this afternoon. But, it will be a raw day.

FREEZE WARNING TONIGHT: Most of Alabama is under a freeze warning for late tonight and early tomorrow. Not much change in our thinking; the sky will become clear tonight and the wind will die down, setting up a late season freeze.

The range tomorrow morning for most communities will be from around 25 to 35 degrees. The colder readings will be in valleys; some ridge tops will avoid a freeze with mid 30s, but even there frost is likely. It is possible some of the coldest places (like Black Creek and Valley Head) will reach the low 20s.

Most places across North/Central Alabama will be below freezing for about 3 to 4 hours. And, the record low for Birmingham tomorrow (April 16) of 32, set in 1983, is very much in danger. Growers will need to protect all tender plants and vegetation tonight.

On the positive side, it is likely this is the last freeze threat of the season around here.

A warming trend begins tomorrow afternoon with a sunny sky as we rise into the mid 60s, and upper 60s are likely Thursday.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: We will bring in the chance of rain showers statewide Friday. This won’t be a heavy rain event, and there won’t be any severe weather, but confidence is high there will be some rain at times during the day Friday, and possibly Friday night; Friday’s high will be around 70 degrees.

The news for the weekend is generally good. Both the GFS/ECMWF models are suggesting the chance of a shower Saturday is very small, and most places will be dry, and Sunday for now looks like a dry day with a decent amount of sun. Highs over the weekend will be in the mid 70s.

NEXT WEEK: Moisture levels rise and a few showers are possible Monday and Tuesday, but it doesn’t look like a big rain event. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Clearing today in the zone from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, but windy and cool with a high in the low 60s. Lots of sun tomorrow with a high in the upper 60s on the immediate coast. A few widely scattered showers are possible Thursday and Friday, then expect mostly sunny weather over the weekend. Highs Saturday and Sunday on the coast will be in the low 70s, with mid 70s inland.

NEED HELP WITH YOUR WEATHER RADIO? We will be at Academy Sports on Skyland Blvd in Tuscaloosa tomorrow from 3:30 until 6:30… we will program your weather radio, or be glad to answer questions if you have them.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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Busy day ahead… I have weather programs today at Paine Primary School in Trussville, and at Alexandria Elementary in Calhoun County. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Active Weather Tomorrow

| 6:50 am April 13, 2014

A few important notes concerning weather in the days ahead. Today will be warm and dry with a high in the low 80s, but some big changes are ahead.

RAIN/STORMS TOMORROW: SPC has most of Alabama in the standard “slight risk” of severe weather tomorrow, with an enhanced 30% chance over the central counties…

day2probotlk_0600_any

Defining the severe weather threat tomorrow is somewhat complicated. A large mass of rain is expected to move across Alabama after midnight tonight into tomorrow morning, and this will limit the amount of instability available for the “second round” later in the day. If clouds hold in place through the day, the rain cooled air will greatly limit the severe weather potential over the northern half of Alabama. The wind fields will support some risk of severe weather; we will just have to watch developments closely during the day.

I would suggest the primary threats will come from strong straight line winds and hail, although an isolated tornado can’t be ruled out.

HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL: The high resolution NAM model hints that over two inches of rain could fall south of Birmingham tomorrow and tomorrow night…

hires_t_precip_birmingham_20

The NWS might consider a flash flood watch this afternoon since the ground is still relatively saturated from the big rains this past Sunday night and Monday morning.

APRIL COLD SNAP: The other issue is the potential for frost/freeze Wednesday morning. Tuesday will be a raw, cold day with a chilly north wind…. sure looks like many places won’t get out of the 40s. Some possibility some communities north of Birmingham, near the Tennessee border, might even have a hard time getting out of the 30s.

Models bring temperatures down into the 30 to 35 degree range around daybreak Wednesday…

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Growers will need to plan accordingly. Colder pockets over North Alabama will most likely reach the 20s.

Stay tuned for updates through the day as new model data arrives…

Freeze Warning Tonight

| 6:08 am March 25, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

BLUSTERY: The pressure gradient will tighten up across Alabama today, with a 1030 mb high to the northwest, and a rapidly deepening surface low just off the southern Atlantic coast. This will mean winds averaging 15-25 mph this afternoon, ushering in much colder air. We won’t get past the low to mid 50s today, and the wind will sure make it feel colder. Our friends up in the Tennessee Valley (Huntsville, Muscle Shoals, Athens, Scottsboro, etc) won’t get past the 40s. More like mid-January. At least the sky will be generally sunny as the colder air arrives.

FREEZE WARNING TONIGHT: Freeze warnings are up for almost all of Alabama (except the southern half of Mobile and Baldwin Counties, and the southeast corner of the state), and most of the adjacent states.

Screen Shot 2014-03-25 at 5.54.48 AM

For North/Central Alabama (places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, Gadsden), we project lows between 25 and 30 degrees, but the colder valleys over North Alabama could see low 20s by daybreak tomorrow.

LAST FREEZE? It is possible, but doubtful. We almost always have a significant cold snap in early April; I would still hold off planting anything that will be harmed by freezing temperatures.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: Another cool day tomorrow with a high in the 50s, but the wind will be light, and we will have sunshine in full force. A warming trend begins Thursday with a partly sunny sky and a high in the middle 60s. A few showers could reach Alabama Thursday night.

RAIN RETURNS FRIDAY: We will forecast a good chance of showers and thunderstorms Friday thanks to an approaching cold front. We note SPC has put up the standard “slight risk” of severe weather Thursday from northeast Texas to Missouri, but I do not expect severe weather in Alabama Friday as the primary surface low moves into eastern Canada; our wind fields are weak, and dynamic support is not impressive.

The initial front will stall out somewhere around Central Alabama… it looks like the primary threat of showers and storms Friday will come during the morning hours, but a few lingering showers sure can’t be ruled out Friday afternoon or Friday night.

OUR WEEKEND: A secondary front will pass through Alabama Saturday, and another organized band of showers and thunderstorms is likely mainly Saturday morning. With this front, the surface low will be more to the south, over West Virginia, but instability is weak and severe weather doesn’t look likely. But, this is late March and we will keep an eye on model trends.

Drier air arrives Saturday afternoon with a clearing sky; the high should be in the low 70s. Sunday promises to be a beautiful spring day, with sunshine in full supply and a high in the low to mid 70s.

NEXT WEEK: Great weather continues Monday through Wednesday with mostly sunny mild days and clear cool nights. Next chance of showers and storms will come over the latter half of the week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: Sunny, but breezy and cool today with a high around 60 from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Tonight will be cold, early morning lows tomorrow will be around 40 degrees on the coast. Tomorrow will be sunny and cool with a high only in the upper 50s. Just a small risk of a shower Thursday afternoon, followed by a better chance of showers and thunderstorms Friday and Saturday. Then, beautiful weather is likely Sunday through the first half of next week.

The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 61 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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I will be speaking at the Gadsden Women’s Club today… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day…

Freeze By Wednesday Morning

| 3:29 pm March 24, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHILL IN THE AIR: The average high for Birmingham on March 24 is 69… most locations are about ten degrees below that level today; afternoon temperatures are generally in the 57-62 degree range around here. We have sunshine through high clouds, and the low levels are very dry.

BLUSTERY AND COLDER TOMORROW: A strong pressure gradient will develop over Alabama tomorrow, with a 1035 mb high to the west, and a rapidly deepening surface low just off the Atlantic coast. North winds will average 15-25 mph, with higher gusts. Despite a sunny sky, the high tomorrow will be only in the mid 50s, and some communities up across the Tennessee Valley won’t get out of the 40s. Sure won’t feel like mid-May.

WEDNESDAY MORNING FREEZE: Freezing temperatures are likely for North and Central Alabama at daybreak Wednesday. Most places will see a low between 25 and 30 degrees, but the colder spots could see low 20s. A freeze warning will be issued by the NWS. Growers will need to protect blooming plants and tender vegetation.

Wednesday will be sunny and cool, but the wind will be light and variable; the high will be in the mid to upper 50s.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: A warming trend begins Thursday as we rise into the 60s, then Friday will be mild with a good chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Severe weather is not expected with no real surface based instability and weak wind fields aloft.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A secondary front will pass through Alabama Saturday morning, and a shower is possible, but the rest of the weekend will be mild and dry. Some sun is possible Saturday afternoon, and Sunday looks beautiful with sunshine in full supply. The high both days will be up in the mid 70s; the GFS is printing a high of 77 degrees for Birmingham on Sunday.

See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Chilly weather through mid-week for the area from Panama City to Gulf Shores. Highs around 60; lows in the 40s. But, the sky should be mostly sunny tomorrow and Wednesday. A shower is possible late Thursday, but showers and storms are more likely on the coast Friday. Then, for the weekend, just a small risk of a stray shower Saturday morning; otherwise rain-free weather Saturday afternoon through Sunday.

The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is 61 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Raw, Cold St. Patrick’s Day

| 3:31 pm March 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

TOO COLD FOR MID-MARCH: Seems like this is the winter that just won’t go away. Birmingham’s average high for March 17 us 67 degrees; we are only at 45 degrees at 2:00p CT… over 20 degrees below average. Up north we see only 30s in the Tennessee Valley. Clouds cover the state, but the rain is confined to the southeast counties.

Temperatures

WARMER DAYS AHEAD: We expect brighter and warmer weather tomorrow and Wednesday; a mix of sun and clouds both days with low 60s tomorrow and upper 60s Wednesday. A weak front will slip into Alabama early Wednesday, but with little moisture and the main support well to the north, we won’t mention any significant chance of rain.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Nice weather continues with a good supply of sunshine both days. Thursday’s high will be near 70 degrees, followed by mid 70s Friday afternoon.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A weak front will slip into North Alabama late Saturday and Saturday night; ahead of the front a few scattered showers are possible over the northern half of the state, but moisture will be limited, and the rain probably won’t be heavy or really widespread. Seems like the best chance of rain during the day Saturday will come north of I-20 (north of Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Anniston), with showers moving into Central Alabama Saturday night. The high Saturday afternoon will be close to 70 degrees.

The front will become nearly stationary somewhere over Central Alabama Sunday, setting up a sharp thermal gradient; cities like Huntsville and Muscle Shoals will probably hold in the cool 50s all day, while 70s are possible over South Alabama. Sunday will be mostly cloudy with the chance of showers, or some patchy light rain.

There is no risk of severe weather across Alabama this weekend. In fact, we really don’t see any significant severe weather setup through the rest of March.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Look for mostly sunny days and fair nights along the coast tomorrow through Friday from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the low to mid 60s, but look for 70s inland by Thursday and Friday. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is a cool 60 degrees.

Showers are possible on the Gulf Coast Sunday and Monday, and at this point it looks like much of next week beyond Monday will be dry. We will be much more specific about next week in a few days (spring break time; many questions about beach weather!).

See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing the first graders today at South Shades Crest Elementary in Hoover… and the second graders at Vestavia Hills West Elementary. Be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Freeze Ahead For Alabama

| 3:36 pm March 12, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WINDY, COLD AFTERNOON: As forecast, temperatures have been falling over North Alabama this afternoon with a strong north wind. Birmingham is down to 50 degrees at 3:00 p.m. CDT, with a northwest wind gusting to 30 mph. Communities north of Birmingham are down in the mid to upper 40s, and clouds continue over most of the state.

FREEZE TONIGHT: The sky will clear tonight, and the wind will die down as the pressure gradient relaxes, allowing temperatures to drop into the sub-freezing range early tomorrow. We expect lows generally in the 28-32 degree range over the northern half of the state.

Tomorrow will be sunny and cool with a high in the mid 50s; Friday will be another dry day with a morning low in the low to mid 30s, followed by an afternoon high in the mid 60s. Clouds will thicken Friday night as moisture levels rise.

RAIN AT TIMES OVER THE WEEKEND: We will have to dodge occasional showers Saturday and Sunday. Some rain is possible as early as Saturday morning, but the latest model trends suggest the most widespread rain will come during the period from noon Saturday through noon Sunday. The rain certainly won’t be continuous, but just understand it could come at any time.

Rain amounts of around 1/2 inch are likely this weekend, with potential for totals to one inch over the southern half of the state. Probably not much thunder, and no severe weather is expected. Highs will be in the 60s both days.

NEXT WEEK: For now the week looks mostly rain-free. For Monday and Tuesday, we project highs in the 60s and lows in the 30s; the latter half of the week will be warmer.

Still no sign of any big severe weather problems through the next 15 days.

TWENTY ONE YEARS AGO TODAY: The great “Blizzard of 93″ started. During the night of March 12, and the early morning hours of March 13, Birmingham picked up 13 inches of snow. The snow was complete with thunder and lightning, and winds on ridge tops gusted to almost hurricane force. Some of the suburbs just south of the city saw almost two feet. The state was pretty much shut down for three days, and power was knocked out to thousands because of the heavy, wet snow, and the high winds. These are scans of photos from the historic event in Alabama. So you remember?

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing the kindergarten students today at Coldwater Elementary School in Calhoun County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM on ABC 33/40 News at 5:00! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Rain To The South

| 3:41 pm March 4, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Rain is becoming widespread over the southern half of Alabama this afternoon; the rain is generally south of a line from Demopolis to Prattville to Dadeville and on to Lafayette. It is a cold rain with temperatures in the upper 30s and low 40s over South Alabama.

Clouds cover North Alabama, and most communities are in the 40s. Interesting to note that Mobile, at 35 degrees, is 8 degrees colder than Birmingham’s 43 at 3:00p CT.

SE_Temp_Web

TONIGHT: The northern edge of the rain could approach I-20 tonight, and we will continue to mention a chance of some scattered light rain as far north as Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, and Anniston. High resolution model data from the NAM hints some pretty good rain could fall in a zone from Clanton to Rockford to Ashland and Ranburne tonight. Otherwise, clouds hang tough tonight with temperatures lowering into the mid 30s.

We will need to watch for potential colder pockets where temperatures try and drop to freezing. Also, cold air damming needs be monitored for potentially colder air draining into East Alabama from Georgia. But, at the moment, we don’t expect any issues with freezing rain or ice across Alabama tonight.

TOMORROW: Looks like the rain will exit the state pretty early in the day, although a touch of light rain or drizzle will be possible along and south of I-20 through mid-morning. We might see brief glimpse of the sun tomorrow afternoon, but don’t hold your breath. Clouds should stick around most of the day with a high in the mid 50s.

MORE RAIN ON THURSDAY: The next wave in the southern branch of the jet stream will bring rain to all of Alabama Thursday. The 12Z model runs are more aggressive with the wet weather, and rain amounts of around 1/2 inch look likely. I don’t think it rains all day, but it could rain at any time during the day. Otherwise, the day will be cloudy, chilly, and damp. I am not sure we can get out of the 40s with the rain falling at times.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The good news is that our weather will be brighter and warmer just in time for the weekend. Expect a good supply of sunshine Friday and Saturday; we reach the low 60s Friday, and Saturday’s high will be very close to 70 degrees. And, Sunday is now looking mostly rain-free as the next wave stays well to the west of Alabama; Sunday should be a partly sunny day with a high in the 67 to 71 degree range.

NEXT WEEK: Models are in much better agreement, and suggest the next rain event will come on Tuesday, March 11. Doesn’t look like a severe weather threat at this point.

VOODOO LAND: The 12Z GFS shows a big rain event here around March 16, followed by a sharp change to colder weather and a chance of snow flurries March 17. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

STORM ALERT XTREME: Don’t forget will will offer the basic storm spotter class tomorrow evening at 6:30 at the Pelham Civic Complex. We need more trained storm spotters in Alabama, and this is your chance to help us. You won’t look at a storm the same way again. No age limits, no cost, no registration. Just come and be ready to learn. See you there!

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders at Vincent Elementary in Shelby County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Gray, Cold Weather Continues

| 6:20 am March 4, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THIS IS MARCH??? Some observations right before daybreak across the great state of Alabama this morning…

Haleyville 21
Cullman 23
Decatur 24
Birmingham 27
Fayette 28
Tuscaloosa 30
Anniston 32

Some North Alabama communities have been below freezing for more than 24 consecutive hours. Keep in mind our average high for March 4 is 63, and the average low is 40.

THE DAY AHEAD: Clouds will hang tough across Alabama today, but it won’t be a cold as yesterday as we should reach the 40s this afternoon. To the west, we are watching with interest a large mass of precipitation over Southeast Texas and Southwest Louisiana; some serious freezing rain problems/icing issues have developed around Houston this morning.

MORE RAIN FOR PARTS OF ALABAMA: That rain mass will move into South Alabama later today and tonight, and some light rain is possible as far north as I-20 (Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston). The latest high resolution NAM hints the rain could even linger into tomorrow morning, and we will amend the forecast to include that possibility. The best chance of rain for the I-20 corridor will come from 7:00 p.m. today through 11:00 a.m. tomorrow; rain amounts around here will be rather light and spotty, with the more significant totals over South Alabama. Little if any rain will fall north of I-20.

The sun could break out a bit tomorrow afternoon; the high will be in the 56-60 degree range.

THURSDAY: Another wave in the southern branch of the jet stream will dig into Alabama with clouds and a chance of some rain statewide. I don’t think the rain will be too heavy, and it won’t be continuous, but we will mention periods of rain during the day and into Thursday night. It will be a cloudy and rather chilly day; not totally sure we get out of the 40s with potential for dynamic cooling.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY: Confidence is high these two days will be very nice, with ample sunshine and a nice warming trend. We reach the 60s Friday afternoon, and the latest GFS is printing a high of 72 at Birmingham Saturday afternoon.

SUNDAY AND EARLY NEXT WEEK: Forecast confidence drops off as we have model inconsistency as they struggle to keep up with the active flow pattern across North America. A surface front could kick off a shower or two Sunday, but models continue to trend drier. It could be the next really signifiant rain event holds off until around Tuesday of next week (March 11). See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

SPOTTER TRAINING: Don’t forget, we are offering the basic storm spotting class tomorrow evening at 6:30 p.m. at the Pelham Civic Center (Storm Alert Xtreme). We need more trained weather spotters, and we want you to join us! No need to register, no cost… just show up!

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes for the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be doing a weather program today at Vincent Elementary in Shelby County… and tonight I will be doing a weather safety program at West Jefferson between our 6:00 and 10:00 newscasts. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!