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Tag: "colder"

A Freeze Possible Early Tomorrow

| 6:13 am March 27, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHILLY NORTH WIND: Following the cold front that passed through Alabama last night, expect a very cool late March day today with a high only in the mid 50s with a partly sunny sky. This is about 15 degrees below average, and a north wind of 12-22 mph will make it feel colder.

With a deep, cold core upper trough passing overhead, I can’t rule out a few isolated showers late this afternoon or early tonight due to the very cold air aloft. But, most places will be dry.

FREEZE POTENTIAL: We project a low in the 29-34 degree range for early tomorrow. Highest freeze possibility will come from the Birmingham metro north and east. The day tomorrow will be cold for late March; the GFS is printing a high of only 48 degrees for Birmingham. We expect a mix of sun and clouds; a touch of light rain can’t be ruled out during the afternoon and evening hours over West Alabama, but any rain will be vert light and spotty.

SUNDAY: Another cold morning; lows will be in the 30-35 degree range at daybreak. Then, a warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a good supply of sunshine and a high in the low 60s.

NEXT WEEK: A warm front will be lifting northward across the state Monday, so a few showers are likely during the day with a high in the upper 60s. For the moment, Tuesday looks relatively dry with only isolated showers, but the chance of rain will increase again by Wednesday and Thursday with short wave energy approaching from the west. Global models continue to back off on the idea of strong to severe storms with weaker dynamics and marginal instability, but this could still change. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: After showers and storms last night, expect clearing and cooler weather on the coast today from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with a high in the mid 60s. The weekend will feature a good supply of sunshine tomorrow and Sunday with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s… a few scattered showers are possible early next week, but still expect about 4 to 6 hours of sunshine Monday through Wednesday. Temperatures will be close to 70 degrees on those three afternoons. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 67 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I have a weather program this morning at Paine Primary School in Trussville… then I will be speaking later today at a meeting of the Cullman Chamber of Commerce. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Much Colder Today; Some Snow Next Week?

| 6:17 am February 12, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WINTER ISN’T OVER: Much colder air will blow into Alabama today; we won’t get past the low 40s this afternoon with a strong northwest wind of 15-25 mph making it feel colder. But, the air is dry and we will see a mostly sunny sky. The wind will die down tonight, and by early tomorrow we project a low around 20 degrees for most places, but the colder spots will head down into the mid to upper teens.

TOMORROW/SATURDAY: These two days will feature a sunny sky; the high Friday will be in the mid 40s, but model guidance is trending warmer Saturday, with the GFS now suggesting we could reach the low 60s Saturday afternoon. No doubt that will be the nicest day over the weekend, and that one day warm-up will be very short lived.

COLD AIR BLAST SUNDAY: An Arctic front will pass through in dry fashion Saturday night, and Sunday will be breezy and much colder with a high only in the mid 30s. The wind chill index will drop down into the single digits early Sunday morning across North/Central Alabama as winter makes another comeback. The air will be dry and the sky will stay mostly sunny.

WINTER MISCHIEF NEXT WEEK? A storm system in the southern branch of the jet stream will bring weeping and gnashing of teeth in weather offices across the Deep South. Here are the highlights…

MONDAY: Models are trending faster, bringing in precipitation during the day Monday. The air should be cold enough for sleet, and maybe even a snow flake or two Monday as this event begins. Timing is the key; if the precipitation begins Monday morning, there could be a short window for icy bridges over North Alabama. However, the most likely ETA will be during the midday hours when temperatures rise above freezing with no travel impact. We will need to keep a close eye on this; but for now I think the sleet that falls Monday will not create a significant travel impact.

MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY: Very wet with rain and a few thunderstorms. The GFS brings a 1000 mb surface low right through North/Central Alabama with potential for over one inch of rain, and maybe even a few strong thunderstorms over the southern half of the state. Confidence is high for this part of the forecast; we should reach the 50s Tuesday afternoon as the rain falls.

TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY: As the surface low pulls away to the northeast, much colder air will drop into the state, and there is a good chance the rain changes to light snow. The main window for now will come from about 12 midnight Tuesday night to 12 noon Wednesday. Traditionally, on the back side of a departing storm system, snow accumulation isn’t very big, but it is certainly possible, and it could bring travel issues for Wednesday morning over about the northern half of the state, mainly on bridges as temperatures plunge.

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UNDERSTAND: This event is 5-6 days away, and there is no way to resolve specific details, or provide a specific accumulation/impact forecast now. Just keep an eye on these blog discussions and you will be informed.

Wednesday will be very cold, with temperatures having a hard time getting above freezing with snow flurries possible through the day. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FIRST ALERT STORM TEAM TOUR: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama rolls along; we will be in Reform this evening. Just drop by anytime from 4:00 until 6:30… you can watch me do weather live on ABC 33/40, get some free stuff to take home, and have a chance to win several NOAA Weather Radios we will be giving away. If you need your weather radio programmed or checked, bring it by and we will be glad to help.

FS FIRST ALERT SCHEDULE FEB 12 2015

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Due to the travel to Pickens County this afternoon, I won’t be able to crank out an afternoon video, but I will have fresh forecast notes posted by 4:00. Enjoy the day!

Much Colder Tomorrow

| 3:45 pm February 11, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WONDERFUL WINTER DAY: It has been a day of blue sky and sunshine across the great state of Alabama, and temperatures are in the 59-63 degree range at most places this afternoon. I hope you are enjoying it, because much colder air blows in here tomorrow.

WINDY/COLDER: The high tomorrow will be only in the low 40s despite a mostly sunny sky, and a brisk north wind of 15-25 mph will make it feel colder. The wind will calm down tomorrow night, and by early Friday we will be in the 17-21 degree range. Friday will be cold and dry with a good supply of sunshine and a high in the mid 40s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A one day warm-up is likely Saturday; with sunshine in full supply we will rise into the mid 50s by afternoon, but another dry Arctic front will pass through Saturday night, and Sunday will be one of the coldest days so far this winter. The latest GFS run (12Z) is printing a high of only 33 for Birmingham Sunday afternoon… many communities to the north won’t get out of the 20s. The wind chill index early Sunday morning will drop into the sub-zero range over Northeast Alabama, and will be close to zero at Birmingham. But at least the air will be dry and the day will be mostly sunny, despite the Arctic cold.

TRICKY FORECAST NEXT WEEK: As discussed here this morning, next week’s forecast is a challenge. Monday will be dry with a high in the upper 40s, and a wave in the southern branch of the jet stream will bring clouds in here Monday night. Confidence is high in a rain event Tuesday as a surface low passes just north of Alabama. Then, Tuesday night and early Wednesday, as colder air flows into the state, the rain could change to a “wintry mix” of sleet, freezing rain, or snow over the northern half of the state before it ends.

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The idea of a second wave coming in during the day Wednesday is “off the table” for now… so at the moment it looks like the main risk of winter weather mischief for North Alabama will come Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. There is no skill in a specific impact forecast this far in advance, just something to watch. We could see nothing more than a few flurries, or there could be some light accumulation. For now, the highest risk of accumulation is north of Alabama…

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Take some time to watch the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FIRST ALERT STORM TEAM TOUR: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama rolls along; we will be in Reform tomorrow evening. Just drop by anytime from 4:00 until 6:30… you can watch me do weather live on ABC 33/40, get some free stuff to take home, and have a chance to win several NOAA Weather Radios we will be giving away. If you need your weather radio programmed or checked, bring it by and we will be glad to help.

FS FIRST ALERT SCHEDULE FEB 12 2015

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing everyone today at the ALAGASCO service center in Pell City… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Cold, Blustery Winter Day

| 5:54 am February 5, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: As expected, not much on radar early this morning. Just a few patches of drizzle and snow flurries in scattered pockets across North Alabama, and that will fade from the radar screen soon. Clouds this morning will give way to a bright, sunny afternoon, but the day will be breezy and colder. We won’t get past the low to mid 40s this afternoon, and a north wind of 10-20 mph will make it feel even colder.

Tonight will be feature a pretty good freeze; most communities will see a low between 22 and 26 early tomorrow; colder valleys could reach the upper teens.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: With sunshine in full supply tomorrow, we will see a high in the mid 50s. The warm-up continues through the weekend… Saturday promises to be a delightful day, with ample sunshine and a high in the low 60s. Then, mid 60s are likely Sunday afternoon with a mix of sun and clouds. We might consider a slight risk of a shower Sunday afternoon over the northern third of the state with an approaching clipper/front, but with very little moisture we won’t mention it for now.

NEXT WEEK: The clipper would bring a shower or two to North Alabama Monday, but the last few runs of the GFS have trended drier, showing only isolated showers. Then, the weather looks cool and dry Tuesday through Thursday with highs mostly in the 50s and lows generally in the 30s. A cold front arrives late in the week with some potential for a few showers, followed by colder air for the following weekend. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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FIRST ALERT STORM TEAM TOUR: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama rolls along; we will be in Cedar Bluff this evening. Just drop by anytime from 4:00 until 6:30… you can watch me do weather live on ABC 33/40, get some free stuff to take home, and have a chance to win several NOAA Weather Radios we will be giving away. If you need your weather radio programmed or checked, bring it by and we will be glad to help.

FS FIRST ALERT SCHEDULE 2015

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program today at Advent Episcopal School in Birmingham… look for some forecast notes here later today before we leave for Cedar Bluff. Enjoy the day!

Just A Few Flurries Late Tonight

| 3:39 pm February 4, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Widespread rain continues along the Central Gulf Coast this afternoon, but the northern half of the state is dry.

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Light rain is possible up to U.S. 80 this evening (Demopolis to Selma to Montgomery to Opelika), but our end of the state will remain dry.

LATE TONIGHT: A disturbance in the northern brach of the jet stream will bring the chance of a few snow flurries or patches of drizzle to North Alabama after midnight, but it will be another “no impact” situation as the precipitation will be very light and spotty. Flurries/drizzle will end by 8:00 a.m.

Tomorrow will be breezy and colder with a high in the mid 40s along with gradual clearing. A north wind of 10-20 mph will make it feel raw. By Friday morning, most communities will see a low down in the mid 20s… some of the colder valleys could reach the upper teens.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: A warming trend begins Friday afternoon… with sunshine in full supply we reach the mid 50s. Then, the weekend will be very comfortable with low 60s Saturday afternoon, and mid 60s Sunday. Saturday will feature a mostly sunny sky, and on Sunday we will enjoy sunshine through scattered clouds. Looks like we can drop that slight risk of a shower Sunday afternoon.

NEXT WEEK: A clipper/cold front combination will bring the chance of some light rain at times Monday, but amounts should be generally 1/4″ or less. Then, Tuesday and Wednesday will be dry with seasonal temperatures; highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s.

Still no sign of any real long lasting, bitterly cold air for Alabama through mid-month. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FIRST ALERT STORM TEAM TOUR: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama rolls along; we will be in Cedar Bluff tomorrow evening. Just drop by anytime from 4:00 until 6:30… you can watch me do weather live on ABC 33/40, get some free stuff to take home, and have a chance to win several NOAA Weather Radios we will be giving away. If you need your weather radio programmed or checked, bring it by and we will be glad to help.

FS FIRST ALERT SCHEDULE 2015

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today seeing the first graders at Vestavia Hills-Cahaba Heights Elementary School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Cold, Blustery Day For Alabama

| 6:25 am February 2, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: While the big rains have moved east of our state, we have a little drizzle showing up on radar over Northeast Alabama this morning. As colder air blows in here, snow flurries are possible through mid to late morning mostly east of I-65 and north of I-20, but there will be no impact with temperatures above freezing, and the deeper moisture off to the east.

Temperatures will just hover in the 37-42 degree range throughout the day, and a strong northwest wind will make it feel colder. Look for gradual clearing this afternoon as drier air begins to move into the state.

TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: Tomorrow morning will be cold; most communities will see a low in the 21-25 degree range, with potential for upper teens across the colder valleys. Then, with sunshine in full supply, we rise to a high near 50 degrees tomorrow afternoon.

Wednesday will be dry, with a mix of sun and clouds and a high in the mid to upper 50s. Clouds will thicken Wednesday night, but it looks like North/Central Alabama will be left out of any really significant precipitation.

A disturbance in the southern branch of the jet stream will spin up a surface low in the Gulf of Mexico, but the rain shield with that feature will stay mainly over the southern quarter of Alabama. And, a wave in the northern stream could bring some light snow or snow flurries to far north Alabama late Wednesday night or Thursday morning. No impact expected with temperatures above freezing, and very limited moisture.

Thursday will be a colder day with a high in the 40s; the sky should begin to clear during the afternoon hours.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: These three days look very nice, with warmer afternoons. We reach the upper 50s Friday, and highs over the weekend should be up in the low to mid 60s. Friday and Saturday will be sunny; the sky Sunday will feature a mix of sun and clouds.

LONG TERM: No sign of any invasion of really bitterly cold air for the southern U.S. through mid-February. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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FIRST ALERT STORM TEAM TOUR: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama begins this week; this year we are going to a “meet and greet” format. We will be at each site between 4:00 and 6:30 p.m… you can watch me do the weather live on ABC 33/40; I will speak briefly at 5:30. We have some cool things to give away, we will program your weather radio if you need help, and can answer your questions about being ready for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms. We begin tomorrow evening at Ashland…

FS FIRST ALERT SCHEDULE 2015 (1)

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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I have a weather program today at Trace Crossings Elementary in Hoover… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!