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Dry October Days

| 3:28 pm October 20, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

QUIET FALL WEATHER PATTERN: Nothing on the radar as you might expect on this beautiful fall day. Lots of sun; temperatures are generally in the low 70s at mid-afternoon.

REST OF THE WEEK: Not much change as the dry pattern continues. A fresh surge of cooler and dry air arrives Wednesday; we project sunny pleasant days and fair cool nights through Friday with just a few passing high cirrus clouds from time to time.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Dry air stays in place, and the weather looks fantastic. Mostly sunny days, fair nights. Highs in the 70-75 degree range; lows 45 to 50 degrees. You could not ask for better weather for the Magic City Classic or anything else you want to do outside Saturday and Sunday.

And, in the longer range, still no evidence of any significant chance of rain here through the end of October. Our next shower/thunderstorm event comes sometime in November.

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TROPICS: A disturbance over the Bay of Campeche has a chance of getting better organized in coming days; seems like this will move eastward over the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Caribbean late this week, followed by a northward turn toward Cuba and the southern tip of Florida. This should not impact Alabama in any way; see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps and graphics.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Sunny days, clear nights thorough the weekend from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Highs 77-81; lows mostly in the 60s. Sea water temperatures are generally in the low 70s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight live from the National Weather Association annual meeting in Salt Lake City, UT. We begin earlier than usual; 6:45p CT. Watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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I enjoyed seeing the 6th graders today at Parrish Elementary School in Walker County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow… enjoy the day…

Fine Fall Weather Continues

| 6:12 am October 20, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY OCTOBER DAYS: If you enjoyed the weather over the weekend, you should enjoy the weather this week, and for the rest of October.

We are starting off this day with temperatures in the 40s, although Vic Bell up at Black Creek, near Gadsden, reports 38 degrees ay daybreak. The sky will be sunny today with a high in the low 70s. The average high today (for Birmingham) is 74.

A new surge of cooler, dry air arrives Wednesday, and that will keep us rain-free through Friday with mostly sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: No change. Lots of sunshine both days; highs in the 70s and lows in the upper 40s and low 50s. Another great weekend for football or anything else you enjoy outdoors.

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The GFS model really does’t show any significant rain event for our state through Halloween as the dry pattern continues. Keep in mind our fall tornado season comes in November and December; that is a time when the weather tends to get more active with occasional stormy periods.

TROPICS: A disturbance near the Mexican coast in the far southwest Gulf of Mexico has come chance of becoming better organized later this week; some models push this toward the southern tip of Florida. One way or another, it won’t have any impact on our weather in Alabama.

AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, fair nights from Panama City west to Gulf Shores over the next seven days. Highs 75-80; lows mostly in the 60s. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 70 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. This week we will be live from the National Weather Association annual meeting in Salt Lake City, UT. We will produce the show tonight; the start time is earlier than usual… we begin at 6:45 CT. Watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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I will be going a weather program this morning at Parrish Elementary School in Walker County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Cooler Air Arrives Tomorrow

| 3:01 pm October 17, 2014

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today**

TONS O’ SUN: What a delightful afternoon across the great state of Alabama. A sunny sky, low humidity, and temperatures in the 78-82 degree range.

Over the weekend, a new surge of cool air drops in here, giving us a gentle cooling trend and keeping our weather rain-free. We project a high in the low 70s tomorrow, and close to 70 Sunday afternoon with sunshine in full supply both days. The coolest morning will come early Sunday when temperatures drop into the mid 40s; some of the colder valleys could reach the upper 30s.

No real change in our weather next week as moisture is cut off from the region, yet another surge of cooler, drier continental air arrives Wednesday. As we discussed this morning, our next good rain event could very well come in early November.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Doesn’t get any better for the high school games tonight. A clear sky with temperatures will fall through the 60s, reaching the 50s in some stadiums by the fourth quarter.

Tomorrow, Alabama hosts Texas A&M at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa (2:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be sunny; 74 degrees at kickoff, upper 60s by the fourth quarter. No risk of rain.

The UAB Blazers are on the road; they play at Middle Tennessee State in Murfreesboro tomorrow (2:30p CT kickoff). Again, a perfect day for football with a sunny sky. Temperatures will fall from near 69 at kickoff, to near 62 by the final whistle.

RACE WEEKEND: Sunny pleasant days, fair cool nights at the Talledega Superspeedway through the weekend. Afternoon highs tomorrow and Sunday will be in the low to mid 70s. Don’t think you could ask for better weather for NASCAR fans.

TROPICS: Hurricane Gonzalo is packing sustained winds of 125 mph (category three) this afternoon, and the eye is nearing the small island of Bermuda…

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And, over in the Pacific, Tropical Storm Ana is packing sustained winds of 70 mph, and could become a minimal hurricane tonight. It will pass west and south of the Hawaiian Islands this weekend.

GULF COAST WEATHER: No rain for the next seven days from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with sunny days and clear nights. Highs will be mostly in the 75 to 80 degree range, with lows generally in the 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Calm October Weather Pattern

| 6:07 am October 17, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

MORNING CHILL: We are starting the day down in the 40s across the great state of Alabama; our Skywatcher at Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden, is reporting 42 degrees at daybreak… most communities are in the mid to upper 40s with a clear sky.

The day ahead will be sunny with a big warm-up… the high will be in the 77 to 80 degree range.

THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK: A fresh supply of cooler air will arrive tomorrow; the day will be sunny and breezy at times with a high in the low 70s. Sunday morning will be pretty chilly with mid 40s like; some of the colder pockets over Northeast Alabama will dip into the upper 30s. The day Sunday will feature sunshine in full supply with a high close to 70 degrees.

The air stays dry next week, meaning more great fall weather with sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights. It would very well be early November before our next really significant rain event in Alabama.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Doesn’t get any better for the high school games tonight. A clear sky with temperatures will fall through the 60s, reaching the 50s in some stadiums by the fourth quarter.

Tomorrow, Alabama hosts Texas A&M at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa (2:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be sunny; 74 degrees at kickoff, upper 60s by the fourth quarter. No risk of rain.

The UAB Blazers are on the road; they play at Middle Tennessee State in Murfreesboro tomorrow (2:30p CT kickoff). Again, a perfect day for football with a sunny sky. Temperatures will fall from near 69 at kickoff, to near 62 by the final whistle.

RACE WEEKEND: Sunny pleasant days, fair cool nights at the Talledega Superspeedway through the weekend. Afternoon highs tomorrow and Sunday will be in the low to mid 70s. Don’t think you could ask for better weather for NASCAR fans.

TROPICS: Gonzalo is a major hurricane with sustained winds of 130 mph, it will pass very close to Bermuda late today. Then, it recurves into the North Atlantic, with no impact on the U.S. mainland.

rb_lalo-animated

In the Pacific… Tropical Storm Ana should become a minimal hurricane today; it is expected to pass south and west of the Hawaiian Islands over the weekend.

GULF COAST WEATHER: An easy forecast; sunny pleasant days, fair cool nights through next week. Highs in the 75-80 degree range, lows mostly in the 60s from Panama City over to Gulf Shores.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!

No Rain Through Next Week

| 2:50 pm October 16, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY DAYS: What a beautiful afternoon; a sunny sky with temperatures mostly in the upper 60s and low 70s. Dry air, no rain. Tomorrow will be another mostly sunny day with a warmer afternoon; the high will be in the 77 to 80 degree range.

OUR WEEKEND: A new surge of cooler air arrives Saturday, and will set a really nice weekend with sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights. Highs over the weekend will be mostly in the low 70s, with temperatures early Sunday reaching the mid 40s. Some of the cooler pockets over Northeast Alabama might reach the upper 30s.

The pleasant fall weather continues into early next week; in fact the GFS model really doesn’t show a decent chance of rain through the rest of October. This is our driest month of the year, so long dry spells are not that unusual.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Doesn’t get any better for the high school games this week; no lightning worries with a clear sky tonight and tomorrow night. Temperatures will fall through the 60s, reaching the 50s in some stadiums by the fourth quarter.

Saturday, Alabama hosts Texas A&M at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa (2:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be sunny; 74 degrees at kickoff, upper 60s by the fourth quarter. No risk of rain.

The UAB Blazers are on the road; they play at Middle Tennessee State in Murfreesboro Saturday (2:30p CT kickoff). Again, a perfect day for football with a sunny sky. Temperatures will fall from near 69 at kickoff, to near 62 by the final whistle.

RACE WEEKEND: Sunny pleasant days, fair cool nights at the Talledega Superspeedway through the weekend. Afternoon highs Saturday and Sunday will be in the low to mid 70s. Don’t think you could ask for better weather for NASCAR fans.

TROPICS: Gonzalo is a dangerous, category four hurricane with sustained winds of 145 mph, it will pass very close to Bermuda during the daytime hours tomorrow. Then, it recurves into the North Atlantic, with no impact on the U.S. mainland.

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In the Pacific… Tropical Storm Ana could become a minimal hurricane tomorrow; it is expected to pass south of the Big Island of Hawaii Saturday.

GULF COAST WEATHER: An easy forecast; sunny pleasant days, fair cool nights through next week. Highs in the 75-80 degree range, lows mostly in the 60s from Panama City over to Gulf Shores.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Drought Conditions Persist

| 11:28 am October 11, 2014

A quick look at the latest drought monitor issued earlier this week, continues to show just how dry it has been across the state lately. Over 75% of the state remains abnormally dry, with moderate drought conditions affecting much of the central part of the state, as well as southeastern portions of the state. There is even an area of severe drought conditions affecting Clay and Tallapoosa counties.

Rains the last couple of days, as well as the rain forecast the impact the state the next several days, will only help conditions. October is statistically the driest month of the year for Alabama, so any rain we can get this time of year, is great news. Hopefully, when the next drought monitor is issued Thursday, we will see improving conditions across the state.

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Click image to enlarge.

Rain Before The Weekend Is Over

| 3:32 pm September 26, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

PLEASANT AFTERNOON: We have a mix of sun and clouds across Alabama this afternoon with temperatures around 80 degrees; a few sprinkles are on radar from near Lake Martin over to Opelika and Lafayette, but most of the state is dry.

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OUR WEEKEND: The daytime hours tomorrow still look rain-free with some sun at times and a high in the 79-83 degrees range. Then, after midnight tomorrow night, a big mass of rain should move into Alabama thanks to a short wave moving out of Texas, which spins up a broad surface low near the Gulf Coast. Sunday looks like a wet day statewide; precipitable water values are expected to exceed two inches, meaning the rain could be heavy in spots. We project average rain amounts of one inch, but some communities, especially south and east of Birmingham, could see two inches or even more.

Thunderstorms are possible Sunday, but severe weather is not expected. We won’t get out of the 70s because of clouds and rain.

NEXT WEEK: The 12Z model set hints the rain should end very early Monday, with the sky becoming partly sunny by Monday afternoon. Then, the weather will be warm and dry Tuesday through Thursday with a good supply of sunshine each day with highs up in the mid 80s.

A cold front will bring a chance of showers one week from today (Friday October 3), then cooler and drier air moves in for the following weekend (October 4-5). See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Delightful conditions for high school games tonight; the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 70s during the games, reaching the upper 60s by the final whistle. There is no chance of rain.

Auburn hosts Louisiana Tech Saturday (3:00p CT kickoff) at Jordan-Hare Stadium… the sky will be partly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 83 degrees, dropping back into the 70s by the fourth quarter.

UAB will host Florida International Saturday at 2:30p CT at Legion Field in Birmingham… partly sunny with about 84 degrees at kickoff, and upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: All remains quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend across the Atlantic basin.

AT THE BEACH: Showers and storms will begin to form tomorrow on the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, and Sunday looks wet with showers and storms likely. Then, much of next week will be dry with sunny days and fair nights. Highs will be in the 70s over the weekend due to clouds and showers, but then back in the 80s next week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the kids from Ashland Elementary in Clay County on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News… my next Weather Xtreme video will be produced early Monday morning by 7:00 a.m… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Rain Returns To Alabama Sunday

| 6:19 am September 26, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

STILL DRY TODAY: Expect sunshine today through high clouds and a high in the 80-85 degree range across the great state of Alabama. The high resolution HRRR model does show a few very small, isolated showers this afternoon, but the low levels are very dry and we won’t mention any significant risk of rain.

WEEKEND WEATHER CHANGES: I still believe most of the state will be dry during the day tomorrow with a mix of sun and clouds and a high between 82 and 85 degrees. I guess the mention of a “slight chance” of an late afternoon shower is appropriate as moisture levels begin to rise.

A significant rain event is likely late tomorrow night through Sunday night for our state as an upper trough moves in from the west, a broad surface low forms near the Gulf Coast, and deep moisture moves up from the south. Models still suggest precipitable water values of 2 inches or more, which suggests the rain could be heavy at times….

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The main window for rain opens up around midnight tomorrow night, with occasional rain and thunderstorms continuing for 24-36 hours. Average rain amounts of 1 inch can be expected, but clearly some places could see over two inches, especially south and east of Birmingham. The lighter rain amounts should be over the northwest counties of the state.

Severe storms are not expected, and we won’t get out of the 70s Sunday with clouds and rain.

NEXT WEEK: The rain should begin to exit the state Monday, but we will maintain the risk of lingering showers, especially during the morning hours. Then, dry and warm weather is likely Tuesday through Thursday with highs up in the mid 80s.

A significant cold front arrives Friday (one week from today, October 3) with a chance of showers, and it looks like the coolest air so far this fall will move in for the following weekend (October 4-5). See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Delightful conditions for high school games tonight; the sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling through the 70s during the games, reaching the upper 60s by the final whistle. There is no chance of rain.

Auburn hosts Louisiana Tech Saturday (3:00p CT kickoff) at Jordan-Hare Stadium… the sky will be partly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 83 degrees, dropping back into the 70s by the fourth quarter. Just a slight risk of a shower during the fourth quarter of the game.

UAB will host Florida International Saturday at 2:30p CT at Legion Field in Birmingham… partly sunny with about 84 degrees at kickoff, and upper 70s by the final whistle. Small risk of a shower by the fourth quarter.

TROPICS: All remains quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend across the Atlantic basin.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A good supply of sunshine today from Panama City to Gulf Shores, but showers and storms develop tomorrow, becoming widespread Sunday with little, if any sunshine. Then, for next week, just a few lingering showers Monday, followed by dry weather Tuesday through Thursday. Highs will be generally in the 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…