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Tag: "dry"

Showers Return Later This Week

| 3:35 pm April 21, 2015

BLUE SKY: As advertised, this has been a spectacular spring day across the great state of Alabama with sunshine in full supply. Temperatures are generally in the 68-72 degree range, and the humidity levels are remaining very low.

Temperatures

TONIGHT/TOMORROW: The sky will remain fair tonight with lows mostly in the low 50s; colder valleys will reach the 40s again early tomorrow. Looks like we just about take out any risk of rain during the day tomorrow… the sky will be partly sunny with a high in the upper 70s. The chance of any one spot seeing a shower late in the day is only in the 10 percent range, not really high enough to mention in our formal forecast.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: We expect a decent round of showers and storms late tomorrow night into Thursday morning; highest probability of getting wet comes from about midnight tomorrow night through 12:00 noon Thursday, but a few lingering showers are possible Thursday afternoon. It will be a bit cooler Thursday with a high around 70 degrees. Then, showers and storms will increase again late Friday and Friday night ahead of an upper trough and surface low approaching from the west. We reach the low 70s Friday afternoon.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The surface low will still be northwest of Alabama Saturday, and the 12Z GFS has come in with higher instability values (surface based CAPE values over 2,000 j/kg). I don’t think it rains all day Saturday, and the best chance of showers and storms could very well come during the morning hours, but where storms do form that could pack a punch. A little too early to define the severe weather threat since models still are not in good agreement over the small scale features. A chance we reach the low to mid 80s Saturday afternoon.

Then, dry air returns Sunday with sunshine back in full supply along with a high in the mid 70s.

NEXT WEEK: Low confidence, but the GFS is back on the idea of a chance of showers and storms in Alabama Monday as a wave passes through; we will insert that risk in the forecast. Then, drier air returns Tuesday night and Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting the 3rd graders at Englewood Elementary in Tuscaloosa, and the students at McElwain Christian Academy in Birmingham. Be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Warmer Days Ahead

| 3:34 pm February 27, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THIS AFTERNOON: The sky has become sunny across the great state of Alabama; temperatures are mostly in the low 40s. The snow cover over North Alabama, while fading under the February sun, still shows nicely on visible satellite imagery this afternoon…

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OUR WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds; the high will be in the 52-55 degree range. Then, clouds increase Sunday, and we could see a little scattered light rain. Any rain Sunday should be light and spotty; a decent part of the day will be dry. The “wedge” could bring colder air into far East Alabama; communities near the Georgia border could hold in the 40s all day, but for the rest of the state the high will be in the 50s.

ACTIVE WEATHER NEXT WEEK: A cold front will be just north of the state Monday, and we will forecast occasional showers with a high at or just over 60 degrees. Then, on Tuesday, a deep surface low passes northwest of Alabama, and we will mention a chance of showers and storms for the northern half of the state. It will be a warm day with a high up in the low 70s… it still looks like the better risk of any severe thunderstorms will be north and west of Alabama.

WINTER WEATHER MISCHIEF? The 12Z GFS shows the cold front passing through Alabama Wednesday morning; the day will feature falling temperatures and periods of rain. And, like we really need this, it continues to hint at some potential for a “wintry mix” Wednesday night.

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While this is not exactly “voodoo”, there is no way to resolve details of this potential so far in advance, and we might escape with no winter precipitation at all. We will keep a close eye on it over the weekend. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FIRST ALERT STORM TEAM TOUR: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama rolls along; we will be in Hanceville next Tuesday evening. Just drop by anytime from 4:00 until 6:30… you can watch me do weather live on ABC 33/40, get some free stuff to take home, and have a chance to win several NOAA Weather Radios we will be giving away. If you need your weather radio programmed or checked, bring it by and we will be glad to help.

FS FIRST ALERT SCHEDULE MARCH 3

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had great visits today at Oak Grove Elementary in Jefferson County, and West Blocton Elementary in Bibb County… be looking for those kids on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Dry Through Tomorrow

| 6:26 am February 27, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD, DRY FRIDAY: A secondary surge of colder air is moving into Alabama today; the high will be around 40, and many communities north of Birmingham won’t get out of the 30s. We expect intervals of sunshine, and the day will be dry.

OUR WEEKEND: Saturday will be warmer; we will forecast a mix of sun and clouds with a high in the 52 to 55 degree range. Still below average (the average high for February 28 is 62)… but at least we are moving in the right direction. Sunday will be mostly cloudy day with a chance of scattered light rain as moisture returns. Nothing heavy or widespread, but no doubt some rain is possible during the day. Also, a CAD (cold air damming) setup could bring colder air into East Alabama; the high Sunday will vary from the mid 40s near the Georgia border to the upper 50s near the Mississippi border.

NEXT WEEK: The wedge breaks down Monday and our high will be close to 60. A cold front approaching from the north should bring occasional showers; maybe some thunder. Tuesday will be the warmest day of the week as an upper ridge creeps in here from the south; the GFS is now printing a high of 74 for Birmingham. A deep surface low will run through the Great Plains; we will need to monitor for the potential of strong/severe thunderstorms, but at the moment it looks like the best dynamic forcing will be a little north and west of our state. Best chance of showers/storms Tuesday will come over the northern counties; South Alabama will be dry thanks to the ridge, and communities south of Montgomery could very well approach 80 degrees.

The front creeps through Wednesday as the chance of rain continues; some global model runs have suggested a pretty good wave will run along the front, enhancing the coverage of rain. I figure rain amounts of 2 to 3 inches are likely Monday through Wednesday.

Much colder air returns Thursday; if you believe the 06Z GFS we won’t get of the 30s, and it even hints at some risk of wintry precipitation early in the day. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have weather programs today at Oak Grove Elementary in Jefferson County, and West Blocton Elementary in Bibb County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Much Warmer Next Week, But Wet

| 3:20 pm February 26, 2015

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; need to take time to review the many thousands of great snow images sent in over the past 24 hours!**

DRY THROUGH SATURDAY: Most of the sun across Alabama today has been over the southwest part of the state…

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A secondary surge of colder air will drop down into Alabama tonight; tomorrow’s high will be close to 40 degrees with a few intervals of sunshine.

Looks like the sky will be generally cloudy Saturday as the weekend begins; we might need to mention the risk of a sprinkle or two, but at the moment we will leave the forecast dry with a high in the low 50s. Then, moisture deepens Sunday and a little scattered light rain could break out. Not heavy or widespread. Sunday’s high will also be in the 50-53 degree range.

WARMER AND WET: At least the first half of next week looks warmer, wet, and unsettled. We rise to near 60 degrees Monday with periods of rain during the day. Then, on Tuesday, the GFS continue to print a high in the low 70s as the big thaw continues. Showers are possible Tuesday, and we will monitor a surface low passing well northwest of the state Tuesday evening. For now it looks like the main dynamic support will stay far enough to the north to prevent a severe weather threat.

Wednesday will be another wet day as a wave forms on a surface front near the Tennessee border. The rain finally will end late Wednesday night or early Thursday as the low pulls away to the northeast. Rain amounts of 2-3 inches are likely Monday through Wednesday; some spots could see more.

Then, at the end of next week another shot of cold air returns; we will struggle to reach the mid 40s by Thursday afternoon.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the 1st graders at Chelsea Park Elementary in Shelby County… look for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Calmer Days Ahead For Alabama

| 6:12 am February 26, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

EPIC WINTER STORM: Some communities in North Alabama received one foot of snow yesterday; we will compile a list of the snow totals later today. Travel remains difficult, is not impossible through the heavy snow zones of North Alabama.

TODAY/TOMORROW: The weather will be nice and calm; clouds linger today with a high in the mid 40s. Tomorrow will be a bit colder with a high closer to 40 degrees thanks to a secondary surge of colder air dropping in from the north; the sky will be partly sunny.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will feature a mix of sun and clouds with a high in the low 50s. Then, on Sunday, moisture levels begin to rise, clouds increase, and a bit of scattered light rain is possible. Sunday’s high will be in the low 50s.

NEXT WEEK: The weather will be mild and wet for the first half of the week. Periods of rain are likely Monday; temperatures should reach the mid 60s Monday afternoon. Then, on Tuesday, the GFS is printing a high of 73 for Birmingham, and we will continue to mention a good chance of showers. Some thunderstorms could be involved Tuesday or Tuesday night; a deep surface low will pass well to the northwest of Alabama; the air will be unstable and we will need to monitor trends for any possible strong/severe thunderstorm setup. For the moment, it looks like the main dynamic forcing will be too far north for a big severe weather issue, but that could change.

Then, a surface front stalls over far North Alabama Tuesday night, and a wave of low pressure forms on the front, setting up a big rain event Wednesday. Looks like we could see 1-3 inches of rain Monday through Wednesday.

Then, colder and drier air returns toward the end of the week. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
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FIRST ALERT STORM TEAM TOUR: Our annual severe weather awareness tour across Alabama rolls along, but tonight’s stop in Greensboro has been postponed. We will post the updated schedule tomorrow.

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Calm January Weather

| 3:43 pm January 27, 2015

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: This has turned out to be a sunny day for most of Alabama, except the northwest corner of the state where clouds linger. Temperatures are mostly in the 50s; Tuscaloosa has reached 61 degrees at mid-afternoon.

Tomorrow will be another bright, sunny day with a high in the 50s. Then, on Thursday, there will be an increase in clouds, and a clipper system passing well to the north could squeeze out a few raindrops over North Alabama late in the day or Thursday night, but rain will be very light, and very spotty. A chance we reach the low 60s Thursday afternoon.

Then, on Friday and Saturday, our weather will be rain-free with seasonal temperatures; highs in the 50s, and lows in the 30s. Colder pockets could reach the upper 20s at daybreak Saturday.

RAIN RETURNS SUNDAY: Clouds will return late Saturday and Saturday night, and Sunday still looks like wet day for Alabama with amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch. No severe storms, and probably not much thunder. Just a rainy day.

NEXT WEEK: Colder and drier air settles in here Monday as highs drop into the 40s. A few snow flurries are possible early Monday morning over far North Alabama, but with no impact if they happen. The next wave brings more rain to the state later in the week, Wednesday night into Thursday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the second graders at Briarwood Christian School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM on ABC 33/40 News at 5:00! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…