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Summer Preview Continues Through The Weekend

| 3:19 pm May 25, 2016

RADAR CHECK: At mid-afternoon we note strong storms near Memphis, and about 40 miles west of the northwest corner of Alabama…

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No rain is in progress across Alabama, and those showers and storms over Tennessee aren’t expected to impact our state. Temperatures are mostly in the upper 80s this afternoon with hazy sunshine.

REST OF THE WEEK: Not much change tomorrow and Friday; partly to mostly sunny days, fair nights, with only a very small risk of an afternoon shower over the far northern counties. Highs 87 to 90 degrees, about five to eight degrees above average for late May.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: It’s pretty much a persistence forecast. Partly sunny, muggy days with only isolated afternoon showers, and highs in that 87 to 90 degree range. All of the organized rain/storms areas will remain to the north and west of Alabama thanks to an upper ridge overhead.

Some chance we could see a little higher coverage of showers toward the end of next week…see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: A disturbance east of the Bahamas has a chance of becoming a hybrid, sub-tropical storm in a few days. It will drift northwest toward the South Carolina coast; if by chance this does develop it won’t impact Alabama or the Gulf Coast directly.

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AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through Memorial Day. Highs on the immediate coast in the low 80s, with upper 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: It continues through Sunday at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the weather looks fantastic with mostly sunny days and fair nights. We will mention a small risk of an afternoon shower or storm Saturday and Sunday, but rain should pose no big issues. Highs stay in the 87-90 degree range. Get information about the big event here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I enjoyed speaking to the Calhoun County master gardeners today in Anniston… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Summer-Like Weather Through Memorial Day

| 6:20 am May 25, 2016

DRY PATTERN CONTINUES: The overall weather pattern won’t change much; most of the big rain/storm action will remain in the zone from Texas up through the Great Plains and into the Upper Midwest in coming days. Around here, today will be another sunny and warm day with a high between 87 and 90 degrees this afternoon…. about five to eight degrees above average for late May in Alabama.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND: Humidity levels will slowly rise, and we could see a few afternoon showers or storms by Friday and the weekend, but they will be few and far between, and most communities will stay dry. Temperatures will remain above average with highs in the 87 to 90 degree range. Pretty much a persistence forecast thanks to upper ridging across the region.

TROPICS: Hurricane season in the Atlantic basin officially begins one week from today (also the beginning of meteorological summer), but we are watching a disturbance east of the Bahamas. There is a chance this could become a hybrid type tropical low in coming days as it drifts toward the South Atlantic coast of the U.S. If this happens to develop, it should have no direct impact on Alabama or the Gulf Coast.

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NEXT WEEK: Global models hint there could be a gradual increase in the chance of showers toward the end of next week; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights through Memorial Day from Gulf Shores east to Panama City Beach. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the low 80s, with upper 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: It continues through Sunday at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the weather looks fantastic with mostly sunny days and fair nights. We will mention a small risk of an afternoon shower or storm Saturday and Sunday, but rain should pose no big issue. The weather will heat up with highs in the 87-90 degree range most afternoons. Get information about the big event here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I am speaking to Calhoun County Master Gardners today in Anniston… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Mostly Dry Through Memorial Day

| 3:30 pm May 24, 2016

FLIRTING WITH 90: An upper ridge will keep our weather pretty stagnant through the upcoming holiday weekend with little day to day change. Most of the big storms will remain well to the west of our state, across Texas, the Great Plains, and the Upper Midwest.

Expect the warmest weather so far this year, with afternoon highs in the 87 to 90 degree range on a daily basis. These values are about 5-8 degrees above average for late May in Alabama.

Humidity levels will slowly rise in coming days, and we could see a few isolated afternoon showers or storms by Friday and the weekend, but the chance of any one community seeing rain will be generally 20 percent or less.

And, even into early next week the pattern just doesn’t seem to change. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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TROPICS: A sub-tropical storm could form this weekend off the South Atlantic coast of the U.S… if this happens we expect no direct impact on Alabama.

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AT THE BEACH: This pattern will bring some perfect weather conditions to the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores through the Memorial Day weekend. Mostly sunny days, fair nights. Highs in the low 80s on the immediate coast, with upper 80s inland.

Sunrise photo below is from Orange beach this morning… taken by @cahabadave

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See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: It is starting this afternoon at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the weather looks fantastic with mostly sunny days and fair nights through at least Friday. We will mention a small risk of an afternoon shower or storm Saturday and Sunday, but rain should pose no big issues. The weather will heat up with highs in the 87-90 degree range most afternoons. Get information about the big event here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Warmest Weather So Far This Year Ahead

| 6:21 am May 23, 2016

COOL MORNING: Feels good across the great state of Alabama early this morning… come of the coolest temperatures include 46 at Fort Payne, 47 at Cullman and Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden), 48 at Haleyville, and 49 at Concord. For many places, next time we see 40s could be in late September.

DRY DAYS: Today will be sunny with a big warm-up; we wind up in the mid 80s this afternoon. Sunny weather continues tomorrow with a high in the upper 80s. Dewpoints/humidity values will remain fairly low both days.

Then, later in the week, heat and humidity levels will rise. We project a high very close to 90 degrees each afternoon Wednesday through Friday, and the higher dewpoints will sure make it feel like summer. An upper ridge will keep it dry.

Birmingham’s rain total for the month of May is only 1.38″, so we could use a good rain event, but it won’t happen this week.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Not much change; mostly dry and hot weather is the story Saturday through Monday, with partly sunny days and fair nights. We will mention the risk of “widely scattered afternoon and evening showers and storms” Sunday and Monday, but the chance of any one spot getting wet remains pretty small.

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AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, clear nights through the Memorial Day weekend from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores. Highs in the low 80s on the immediate coast; 87-90 degrees inland. Sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 78 degrees. Photo below was taken late yesterday at Panama City Beach from Trent Penny.

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See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: It begins tomorrow at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the weather looks fantastic with mostly sunny days and fair nights through at least Friday. We will mention a small risk of an afternoon shower or storm Saturday and Sunday, but rain should pose no big issues. The weather will heat up with highs in the 87-90 degree range most afternoons. Get information about the big event here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will do my last weather program for the 2015-16 school year today at Riverchase Elementary School… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Weekend Warming Trend Ahead

| 6:16 am May 6, 2016

CHILLY MAY MORNING: Next time we see numbers like these will most likely come in October. Check out these temperatures at daybreak…

Fort Payne 37
Valley Head 37
Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 38
Russellville 39
Sycamore 40
Cullman 41
Cottondale 41
Haleyville 42
Center Point 43
Auburn 45
Anniston 45
Birmingham 46
Tuscaloosa 47

SPECTACULAR SPRING WEATHER: Expect sunny days and clear nights through the weekend with a warming trend. We rise into the mid 70s today, low 80s tomorrow, and mid 80 Sunday. Makes for an easy forecast.

NEXT WEEK: Warm, dry weather continues Monday… we will bring in the chance of showers and thunderstorms Tuesday, but the overall severe weather threat looks low for now with weakening dynamic support. Then, we will need to hang on to some risk of showers or storms on a daily basis through the rest of the week with a moist airmass holding in place. Highs will be generally in the 80s; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through Tuesday… highs in the 70s along the immediate coast, with 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Holt Elementary… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Cool Tonight; Dry Through The Weekend

| 3:13 pm May 5, 2016

WINDY, COOL MAY DAY: Temperatures are close to 70 degrees this afternoon across North/Central Alabama (the average high for Birmingham on May 5 is 78); the sky is mostly sunny with a field of flat cumulus clouds…

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Tonight will be clear and very cool with diminishing wind; we drop into the mid 40s early tomorrow morning. Birmingham’s record low of 38 for May 6, set in 1968, isn’t in danger, but a few of the traditionally colder spots across North Alabama could briefly touch the upper 30s.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Delightful weather. Sunny days, clear nights, and a warming trend. We reach the mid 70s tomorrow, low 80s Saturday, and mid 80s Sunday. Humidity levels will remain low.

NEXT WEEK: Monday will be warm and dry, but moisture returns along with a chance of showers and a few thunderstorms Tuesday. Looks like we will need to mention some risk of showers and storms on a daily basis each day for the rest of the week, but the chance of significant severe weather looks low. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, fair nights along the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through early next week. Highs in the 70s along the immediate coast, with 80s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today with a big home school group in Fayette… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM on ABC 33/40 News today at 5:00! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Dry Weather Through The Weekend

| 6:09 am May 5, 2016

DRY, COOL AIRMASS: We are starting off this day with temperatures in the 40s and 50s across Alabama; we project a high in the 67-70 degree range today with a good supply of sunshine. A very deep upper low is near Asheville, NC; that feature is bringing a showers to North Georgia and East Tennessee… even some snow to higher elevations of the Great Smoky Mountains. It is conceivable that a shower could clip the far northeast corner of our state later today, but almost all of Alabama will be dry.

It will be rather windy today with northwest breeze averaging 10-20 mph with higher gusts.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: Tomorrow morning will be pretty chilly for May… we project a low in the 45-48 degree range for most places. No record, however; Birmingham’s record low for May 6 is 38 set in 1968.

Dry air means sunshine in full supply all three days; the high tomorrow will be in the mid 70s, followed by low 80s Saturday, and mid 80s Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: The weather stays warm and dry Monday with a high in the 80s, but we will need to bring in the chance of showers and storms by Tuesday afternoon as moisture increases. The latter half of the week looks warm and somewhat unsettled with a risk of showers and storms on a daily basis. But, the threat of severe weather looks low for now. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, clear nights on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through Monday. Highs in the 70s on the immediate coast; 80s return to inland areas over the weekend. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

Photo below is Gulf Shores at daybreak today… from Greg Warren…

gregwarren26_2016-May-05

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program today at the Fayette Civic Center…. look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Dry Today; Cooler Tomorrow

| 6:20 am April 7, 2016

FOGGY START: A dense fog advisory is in effect for much of Central Alabama early this morning, but once that fog burns off we expect a nice day with ample sunshine and a high in the 69-72 degree range this afternoon.

A cold front will pass through tonight; the high resolution NAM tries to develop a few light showers as it passes through. We will forecast an increase in clouds tonight along with some risk of isolated showers, but moisture will be very limited, and rain amounts, if any, will be very light.

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TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Expect dry weather, but with a cooling trend. Many North Alabama communities won’t get out of the 50s Saturday, and early mornings will be cold this weekend. Many places will reach the 30s both Saturday and Sunday morning… and growers and gardeners will need to monitor temperatures closely since frost is very possible, especially Sunday when the wind will be near calm. Also, colder valleys and protected areas across Northeast Alabama will have a good chance of reaching the freezing mark at daybreak Sunday.

A warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a high between 67 and 70 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: The weather stays dry Monday with a partly sunny sky and a high in the low to mid 70s. Then, we will mention a chance of showers and thunderstorms Monday night and Tuesday as the next storm system approaches; for now the threat of severe storms looks low. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days and fair nights is the story on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through Monday; highs in the 70s, except for upper 60son the immediate coast. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

STORM SPOTTER TRAINING: Storm Spotter Xtreme is coming up this Saturday, April 9 at the BJCC from 9am to 2pm. This will feature both the basic and advanced SKYWARN classes, along with a session from Kevin Laws of the Birmingham NWS office. And, if you come, you get free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show, going on at the BJCC that same day. There is no cost and no need to register. Just show up with a curious mind. Kids 10 and older will also enjoy this if they love weather and want to learn more. Please help us make the severe weather warning process better!

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I will be speaking to a group in Tuscaloosa at lunch today… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

One More Delightful Day

| 3:30 pm March 28, 2016

SPECTACULAR SPRING AFTERNOON: Hard to find a cloud in the sky this afternoon; temperatures are mostly in the 60s across North/Central Alabama. Tonight will be clear and cool with a low in the 40-43 degree range for most; some colder spots could see upper 30s early tomorrow morning.

Tomorrow will be another fine spring day with ample sunshine and a warmer afternoon; the high will be at or just over 70 degrees for most.

Clouds will increase Wednesday, and showers could reach West Alabama by afternoon as another storm system approaches from the west.

STRONG STORM/HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL: Rain and storms are likely Wednesday night and Thursday as as cold moving cold front approaches from the west, trailing from a deep upper low around the Great Lakes. Rain becomes widespread across the state Wednesday night, and for now the severe weather potential then looks rather low. But, on Thursday, we could see a break from the rain during the morning hours, and the air becomes unstable by afternoon with surface based CAPE values rising to near 2,000 j/kg over Northwest Alabama.

The main threat of strong/severe storms will come Thursday afternoon, but it seems like parameters are a little out of phase with the highest instability to the west, and the better dynamics to the northeast. But, this could easily change as we get closer to the event. SPC maintains a risk of severe storms Thursday (Day 4) over the southern two-thirds of the state, generally along and south of I-20. This will probably be adjusted tomorrow.

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FRIDAY: We will forecast clearing, breezy, and cooler weather for the state Friday; some North Alabama communities will hold in the 50s all day.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Dry air means sunshine in full supply both days, but nights will be cold. The low early Saturday will be in the 38-44 degree range, but Sunday will be a bit colder, with mid to upper 30s in many places. And, with a clear sky and light wind, some scattered light frost is certainly possible. Growers will need to monitor temperatures both mornings.

The high Saturday will be in the mid 60s, followed by upper 60s Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: Dry weather continues for the first half of next week with a gradual warming trend… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Tomorrow will be mostly sunny on the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach, but clouds increase Wednesday, and occasional showers and storms are likely Wednesday night through Friday. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing a good crowd at the Pinson Public Library this morning… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Improving Weather Today

| 6:26 am March 28, 2016

THIS MORNING: A cold front is passing through Central Alabama early this morning in dry fashion; behind the front some places across North Alabama are in the 50s, but we have 60s south and east of the front. Early morning clouds will give way to a sunny sky today, and the high will be in the mid 60s for most communities.

Tomorrow will be delightful, with ample sunshine and a high around 70 degrees. And, a decent part of the day Wednesday should be dry, although clouds will gradually increase, and we reach the low to mid 70s Wednesday afternoon.

STRONG STORMS/HEAVY RAIN LATER THIS WEEK: A deep surface low will move through the Upper Midwest and the Great Lakes, dragging a cold front in our direction… that will set the stage for active weather Wednesday night and Thursday.

SPC has the southern two-thirds of the state in a severe weather risk on Thursday (Day 4)…

day4prob

Quite frankly at this stage being really specific with the severe weather threat is a challenge; widespread rain, with some thunderstorms, is likely Wednesday night into the day Thursday, and this could severely limit instability values and mitigating the severe weather risk. But, if breaks in the rain develop and instability values are higher than forecast, we could very well see a severe weather issue. And, projected shear values suggest a tornado or two will certainly be possible.

For now it looks like the prime risk of severe storms, if the conditions allow, will come from late morning through the afternoon Thursday. We will have a much better handle on this risk by tonight and tomorrow.

FLOODING? No doubt this system will bring lots of rain to our state; amounts of 2-3 inches look likely Wednesday night and Thursday, and some flash flooding issues could very well develop.

FRIDAY: Clearing, breezy, and colder is the forecast; many North Alabama communities won’t get out of the 50s with a cool north breeze.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: We expect a sunny sky Saturday and Sunday, but mornings will be cold for early April. Lows in the upper 30s are possible at daybreak Saturday, but Sunday morning could be colder. With a clear sky and light wind, some frost is certainly possible Sunday morning, with potential for a light freeze for the colder valleys and protected areas.

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The high Saturday will be in the low 60s, followed by upper 60s Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: Dry weather continues for the first half of the week with warmer afternoons… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny weather on the Gulf Coast today and tomorrow, but rain and storms return Wednesday night and Thursday. Then, Friday and the upcoming weekend look dry with a good supply of sunshine each day. Highs mostly in the 70s, with 60s on the immediate coast due to the cool ocean water (the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 66 degrees). See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

STORM SPOTTER TRAINING: Storm Spotter Xtreme is coming up Saturday, April 9 at the BJCC from 9am to 2pm. This will feature both the basic and advanced SKYWARN classes, along with a session from Kevin Laws of the Birmingham NWS office. And, if you come, you get free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show, going on at the BJCC that same day. There is no cost and no need to register. Just show up with a curious mind. Kids 10 and older will also enjoy this if they love weather and want to learn more. Please help us make the severe weather warning process better!

FS STORM SPOTTER XTREME

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be doing a program this morning at the Pinson Public Library… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!