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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

Tag: "dry"

Storms Return Late This Weekend

| 6:31 am November 21, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY THROUGH TOMORROW: Alabama’s weather will stay relatively quiet through tomorrow; we reach the low 60s today with a mix of sun and clouds. We note some light rain near Memphis early this morning; I guess a sprinkle or two is possible across the Tennessee Valley later today, but most places will stay dry across the state.

Clouds will increase tomorrow, but the day should remain dry. We will have a cold air damming type situation; a cold surface high will be over the mid Atlantic coast, and will keep the eastern counties of the state cooler. Places like Anniston and Gadsden won’t get out of the 50s, and some communities near the Georgia border will see a high only in the low 50s. But, for Central and West Alabama, the high will be at or just over 60 degrees.

TO THE WEST: Thunderstorms will break out tomorrow over Southeast Texas, where there is an “enhanced” severe weather risk defined by SPC. An MCS (mesoscale convective system) type feature will likely move along the Gulf Coast after midnight Saturday night into Sunday morning, and will bring heavy rain to places like New Orleans and Mobile, along with the risk of strong thunderstorm winds and maybe even an isolated tornado or two. The core severe weather risk for the Alabama Gulf Coast region will come from 3 a.m. until 9 a.m. Sunday.

DAYTIME HOURS SUNDAY: SPC has the standard “slight” risk of severe weather up for the southern part of Alabama, generally south of U.S. 80 (Demopolis to Selma to Montgomery to Opelika), with a “marginal” risk as far north as I-20.

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For our part of the state, there are still some unanswered questions concerning this event. No doubt Sunday will be wet at times with occasional showers and thunderstorms. Showers are a good possibility after midnight Saturday night into Sunday morning, but the heavier rain and best chance of strong storms will remain well to the south.

It is possible we have a break in the rain during the midday hours, and temperatures will climb toward the low 70s Sunday afternoon, making the air somewhat unstable with surface based CAPE values rising to 500-1,000 j/kg over North/Central Alabama. If additional storms can form Sunday afternoon in this environment, they could be strong, but the higher shear values by then are over in Georgia.

BOTTOM LINE: The higher risk of severe weather Sunday is over South Alabama, with a marginal threat up to I-20. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 1 inches are likely for Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Anniston, and Gadsden, with amounts of 2-3 inches possible over the far southern part of the state. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details, and keep an eye on the blog for potential forecast changes since some uncertainty remains.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Very nice weather for the high school football games across North/Central Alabama tonight; some clouds around (but no rain) with temperatures falling from 53 at kickoff, into the mid to upper 40s by the final whistle.

Tomorrow is homecoming at the Capstone in Tuscaloosa, and for the football game (Alabama vs Western Carolina) that kicks off at 3:00 p.m.. the sky will become mostly cloudy during the game, but the weather should be dry. Expect a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling to near 58 by the fourth quarter. Pretty comfortable, especially compared to last weekend.

Auburn will host the Samford Bulldogs Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6p CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 56 degrees at kickoff, and low 50s by the fourth quarter. There is a small risk of a shower by the fourth quarter.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: A cold front will pass through the state Monday, and it might squeeze out a shower or two, but for now the chance of really significant rain looks low. Then, the weather looks basically cool and dry for the rest of the week with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s Tuesday through Friday. We have noted some global model runs have suggested colder temperatures (40s and 20s) by Thanksgiving, but the latest GFS has backed off on the degree of cooling. Dry weather will most likely last into the following weekend (November 29-30), meaning the weather looks pretty good for the Iron Bowl at this point.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Dry Weekend; Chilly Nights

| 3:19 pm November 7, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOL AUTUMN AIR: Despite a sunny sky, temperatures are over 10 degrees below average in most places across Alabama today… with temperatures generally in the mid 50s this afternoon.

Tonight will be cold; we drop into the mid 30s early tomorrow, with potential for a freeze for the colder valleys and protected areas. The NWS in Birmingham has issued a frost advisory.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: After the cold start, we rise into the low 60s tomorrow afternoon with a good supply of sunshine. Sunday will be another sunny day with a high very close to 60.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cold weather is the story for the high school playoff games tonight; temperatures will be dropping into and through the 40s.

Auburn hosts Texas A&M tomorrow at 2:30 at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the sky will be sunny with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on LSU tomorrow night in Baton Rouge (7:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair; temperatures will fall from near 60 at kickoff into the mid 50s during the second half.

UAB will host Louisiana Tech at Birmingham’s Legion Field tomorrow (11:00a CT kickoff)… a sunny sky with 58 degrees at kickoff, and low 60s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday will be dry and mild with a high close to 70; showers could creep into North Alabama Tuesday night ahead of a cold front.

EARLY SEASON ARCTIC SHOT: The coldest air so far this season will ease into the state late next week. Computer models won’t have a good grasp on this because initially the cold air here will be very shallow, but there is a very real chance highs will drop into the 40s over North Alabama Friday and Saturday, with potential for lows in the 20s. The weekend of November 15-16 is looking very cold at this point, but dry. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by Monday morning at 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Sun Filled Alabama Sky

| 3:05 pm October 24, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

FINE FALL DAY: Temperatures are little below average today; highs are generally between 68 and 71 degrees at mid afternoon (today’s average high is 72). We have a cobalt blue sky and low humidity.

OUR WEEKEND: Sunny days, fair nights, and a slow warming trend. We rise well into the 70s tomorrow, and a few spots could reach the low 80s Sunday afternoon as an upper ridge noses in from the west.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cool conditions for high school games tonight; temperatures will fall from the mid 60s at kickoff into the low 50s by the fourth quarter.

Tomorrow is a big football day in Birmingham with the Magic City Classic at Legion Field, featuring Alabama State and Alabama A&M. The sky will be sun filled (2:30p CT kickoff); 76 degrees at kickoff, with mid 60s by the final whistle. There is no risk of rain.

Auburn will host South Carolina tomorrow evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear, with temperatures falling from around 70 degrees at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on the Tennessee Volunteers tomorrow evening in Knoxville (6:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be clear with a kickoff temperature near 65 degrees, falling into the 50s by the second half.

UAB plays on the road at Arkansas in Fayetteville tomorrow (11:00a CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature near 77 degrees, rising into the low 80s by halftime. No risk of rain.

NEXT WEEK: The weather stays warm and dry Monday and Tuesday; we will mention the risk of a few widely scattered showers Wednesday and Thursday with a surface front approaching from the north, but there is little upper support, and moisture will be very limited. Rain amounts on these two days should be light and spotty. Cooler and drier air moves in on Halloween, Friday October 31. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

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TROPICS: All is quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected across the Atlantic basin over the weekend.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Sunny days, fair nights through most of next week from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Highs generally in the 77-81 degree range, with lows in the 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday… my next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early Monday morning by 7:00. Enjoy the weekend!

Slow Weekend Warm-Up

| 6:01 am October 24, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY DAYS: Today will be the ninth consecutive day with no rain across the great state of Alabama, and the dry spell continues into the weekend with mostly sunny days and fair nights. We project a high in the low 70s today, mid to upper 70s tomorrow, and low 80s Sunday.

The average high for Birmingham today is 72; the average low is 48. Temperatures over the past few days have been below average, and over the weekend they will be above average.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cool conditions for high school games tonight; temperatures will fall from the upper 60s at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Tomorrow is a big football day in Birmingham with the Magic City Classic at Legion Field, featuring Alabama State and Alabama A&M. The sky will be sun filled (2:30p CT kickoff); 75 degrees at kickoff, with mid 60s by the final whistle. There is no risk of rain.

Auburn will host South Carolina tomorrow evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear, with temperatures falling from around 70 degrees at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on the Tennessee Volunteers tomorrow evening in Knoxville (6:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be clear with a kickoff temperature near 65 degrees, falling into the 50s by the second half.

UAB plays on the road at Arkansas in Fayetteville tomorrow (11:00a CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature near 77 degrees, rising into the low 80s by halftime. No risk of rain.

NEXT WEEK: We stay dry with warm afternoons (highs around 80) Monday and Tuesday. We will mention a small risk of a shower Wednesday and Thursday with a surface front just to the north, but the front has little upper support, and moisture will be very limited, so many places won’t see any rain. Slightly cooler air filters into the state at the end of the week, but the idea of a deep surge of colder air for now is off the table. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and complete details.

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TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Excellent weather through early next week from Panama City to Gulf Shores, with sunny days and fair nights. Highs will be in the 75-80 degree range, with lows mostly in the 60s. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab has cooled to 68 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Slow Warming Trend Ahead

| 2:24 pm October 23, 2014

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today: I am in Oneonta for live weather on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00**

A FEW HIGH CLOUDS: A layer of high, thin cirrus clouds is moving into North Alabama this afternoon; these clouds are thin, and up at 20,000-25,000 feet. I don’t think they will be too much of an issue for the partial solar eclipse that begins at 4:54 this afternoon… in fact those cirrus clouds should give the sky a very nice texture for the unique sunset with an partial eclipse in progress.

See this site from NASA on ways of safety viewing the eclipse.

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TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: Sunny days, fair nights, and no rain with a slow warming trend. The high Sunday will be close to 80 degrees.

We stay dry Monday and Tuesday of next week, but a few scattered showers could show up Wednesday and Thursday ahead of a cold front. Doesn’t look like a major rain event, and a new surge of cool, dry air arrives at the end of the week on Friday (October 31). Some hints from the GFS model it could be the coolest air so far this season.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cool conditions for high school games tomorrow night; temperatures will fall from the upper 60s at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Saturday is a big football day in Birmingham with the Magic City Classic at Legion Field, featuring Alabama State and Alabama A&M. The sky will be sun filled (2:30p CT kickoff); 75 degrees at kickoff, with mid 60s by the final whistle. There is no risk of rain.

Auburn will host South Carolina Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear, with temperatures falling from around 70 degrees at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on the Tennessee Volunteers Saturday evening in Knoxville (6:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be clear with a kickoff temperature near 65 degrees, falling into the 50s by the second half.

UAB plays on the road at Arkansas in Fayetteville Saturday (11:00a CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature near 77 degrees, rising into the low 80s by halftime. No risk of rain.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Sunny days, fair nights through the weekend from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Highs mostly in the 70s, and lows in the 50s and 60s. Low 80s are possible by the weekend.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is quiet; tropical depression nine dissipated last night over the Yucatan Peninsula.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing the residents at Victorian Manor assisted living in Hanceville today, and look forward to being in downtown Oneonta this evening. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Slow Warming Trend Ahead

| 6:05 am October 23, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD OCTOBER MORNING: Here are some temperatures across Alabama as the sun rises…

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 31
Fort Payne 37
Valley Head 37
Coker 39
Chelsea 41
Gadsden 41
Anniston 41
Bessemer 43
Birmingham 44
Concord 46 (was down to 40 there earlier this morning)

Expect a bright sunny sky again today with a high in the upper 60s.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Sunny days, clear nights, and a slow warming trend. Expect a high in the low 70s tomorrow, mid 70s Saturday, and around 80 degrees Sunday afternoon.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cool conditions for high school games tomorrow night; temperatures will fall from the upper 60s at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Saturday is a big football day in Birmingham with the Magic City Classic at Legion Field, featuring Alabama State and Alabama A&M. The sky will be sun filled (2:30p CT kickoff); 75 degrees at kickoff, with mid 60s by the final whistle. There is no risk of rain.

Auburn will host South Carolina Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear, with temperatures falling from around 70 degrees at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on the Tennessee Volunteers Saturday evening in Knoxville (6:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be clear with a kickoff temperature near 65 degrees, falling into the 50s by the second half.

UAB plays on the road at Arkansas in Fayetteville Saturday (11:00a CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature near 77 degrees, rising into the low 80s by halftime. No risk of rain.\

NEXT WEEK: A cold front will approach Alabama at mid-week, and we will introduce the risk of a few showers Wednesday or Thursday, but for now it doesn’t look like a big rain event. And, at the end of the week (and the end of the month) on Friday, the 00Z GFS brings some really chilly air down into Alabama as a deep upper trough sets up over the eastern third of the nation. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and details.

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TROPICS: Tropical Depression Nine fizzled out last night over the Yucatan Peninsula, and the rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet this morning.

AT THE BEACH: Sunny days, clear nights through the weekend from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Highs 75-80, lows mostly in the 50s and 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be speaking to a senior adult group this morning in Hanceville, and then I will be live from downtown Oneonta this evening on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00. I will post new forecast notes here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Chilly Night Ahead

| 3:10 pm October 22, 2014

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; I am live in Leeds at the Atrox haunted house on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00**

COOL NIGHT: The coolest temperature so far this season, based on data from the Birmingham Airport, is 42 degrees measured on October 5. Look for a low very close to that early tomorrow, and as you might expect, we will see 30s across the color valleys of North Alabama. Places like Valley Head and Black Creek might even see a light freeze. The sky will be clear, and the wind will be light.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Not much change; a very dry airmass stays in place, and we will forecast sunny days and clear nights with a slow warming trend. The high tomorrow will be in the upper 60s, followed by low 70s Friday, and upper 70s Saturday and Sunday.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cool conditions for high school games Friday night; temperatures will fall from the upper 60s at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Saturday is a big football day in Birmingham with the Magic City Classic at Legion Field, featuring Alabama State and Alabama A&M. The sky will be sun filled (2:30p CT kickoff); 76 degrees at kickoff, with mid 60s by the final whistle. There is no risk of rain.

Auburn will host South Carolina Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear, with temperatures falling from the upper 60s at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on the Tennessee Volunteers Saturday evening in Knoxville (6:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be clear with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the second half.

UAB plays on the road at Arkansas in Fayetteville Saturday (11:00a CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature near 77 degrees, rising into the low 80s by halftime. No risk of rain.

NEXT WEEK: Still looks dry; more than likely our next significant rain event will come in early November.

TROPICS: Tropical Depression Nine could become Tropical Storm Hanna before making landfall on the Yucatan coast early tomorrow. This system will move eastward, and should emerge into the western Caribbean this weekend. Remains to be seen if it can survive the journey over land, but we will keep an eye on it.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: Sunny days, fair nights through the weekend from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Highs mostly in the 70s, lows mostly in the 50s and low 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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I enjoyed seeing the kids today at God’s House Kindergarten at Altadena Valley Presbyterian Church… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Cooler Air Moving Into Alabama

| 6:20 am October 22, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THIS MORNING: Temperatures are generally in the 40s across North/Central Alabama as we begin the day; coldest spot I can find is Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden, where Vic Bell reports 36 degrees with some light frost. The sky is clear and the air is dry. Today will be a cooler day for the state, with a high in the mid to upper 60s for most communities thanks to a new surge of cool air dropping in from the north.

Tonight will be one of the coolest nights so far this fall season; most communities will see a low between 38 and 42 degrees. Colder valleys across North Alabama could drop very close to freezing by daybreak tomorrow.

Sunny weather continues tomorrow and Friday with a slow warming trend.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: More dry, pleasant weather. Sunny days, fair nights. Highs 74-78… lows 48-53.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cool conditions for high school games Friday night; temperatures will fall from the upper 60s at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Saturday is a big football day in Birmingham with the Magic City Classic at Legion Field, featuring Alabama State and Alabama A&M. The sky will be sun filled (2:30p CT kickoff); 76 degrees at kickoff, with mid 60s by the final whistle. There is no risk of rain.

Auburn will host South Carolina Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear, with temperatures falling from the upper 60s at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on the Tennessee Volunteers Saturday evening in Knoxville (6:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be clear with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the second half.

UAB plays on the road at Arkansas in Fayetteville Saturday (11:00a CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature near 77 degrees, rising into the low 80s by halftime. No risk of rain.

NEXT WEEK: Still no sign of rain for our state; still looks like it will be sometime in early November before wet weather returns. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE: It formed last night over the Bay of Campeche in the far Southwest Gulf of Mexico. The system will move eastward across the Yucatan Peninsula in coming days, and if it survives it will end up in the western Caribbean this weekend. The GFS model wants to turn it northward toward the southern Gulf of Mexico; the 00Z operational run of the GFS shows ultimate landfall north of Tampa on Halloween. This, of course, is voodoo, but we will keep an eye on it in coming days. One way or another it should have no impact on Alabama weather.

If by chance this develops into a tropical storm, the name will be Hanna.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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Today I will be speaking to the pre-school kids at Altadena Valley Presbyterian Church, and this evening I will be live on ABC 33/40 News from the Atrox haunted house in Leeds at 4, 5, and 6:00. Look for the next discussion here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!