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Central Alabama 7 Day Forecast

Tag: "dry"

Showers Return Early Next Week

| 3:28 pm December 12, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SEVERE CLEAR: Another day of blue sky and sunshine across the great state of Alabama this afternoon; temperatures are very close to seasonal averages, with most places in the mid to upper 50s. The air is dry, and there is no rain on radar.

The dry weather continues throughout the weekend, with sunny pleasant days and clear chilly nights. After an early morning low close to the freezing mark, we rise into the low 60s tomorrow with a sunny sky. Mid 60s are likely by Sunday afternoon as our slow warming trend continues.

NEXT WEEK: Short wave energy will bring clouds into Alabama Monday, and showers could reach the western counties during the afternoon hours. The better chance of rain statewide will come Monday night, and this still doesn’t look like a big rain event… with limited moisture rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch. There could be a little thunder in spots, but there is no risk of severe weather.

The sky becomes partly sunny Tuesday afternoon, and the high will be close to 60. Wednesday looks rain-free and pleasant as well; we might need to insert the risk of showers toward the end of the week Thursday and Friday as moist air begins to return ahead of a vigorous weather system to the west.

The core impact of that storm system should come on Saturday December 20, when rain and storms are likely statewide. This could be a heavy rain/strong to severe thunderstorm setup, at the moment it looks like the highest risk of severe storms will come over the southern part of the state, but with this event eight days away there is no way of resolving details now.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: The 12Z GFS shows a cool, dry week for Alabama with seasonal temperatures; highs mostly in the 50s and lows mostly in the 30s. The AO/NAO combination remains positive, which will make it hard to get bitterly cold air this far south. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the fifth graders at Glencoe Middle School in Etowah County; be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted bright and early Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Slow Weekend Warm-Up Ahead

| 6:09 am December 12, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ANOTHER COLD MORNING: As cold as 18 degrees in Alabama this morning; that was the 6:00 a.m. temperature at Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden. But, a warming trend begins later today with a good supply of sunshine as we rise into the mid to upper 50s this afternoon… that is right at seasonal averages for mid-December.

The slow warm-up continues over the weekend; the high tomorrow will be close to 60, followed by low to mid 60s Sunday. Mornings will stay chilly; many communities will see another light freeze early tomorrow morning as the weekend begins. Dry air means a sunny sky both days.

NEXT WEEK: Short wave energy will bring clouds back into the state Monday, and showers arrive late Monday afternoon over the northwest corner of the state. Looks like our best chance of showers will come from 5:00 p.m. Monday through 5:00 a.m. Tuesday… no severe weather, and probably not much thunder. And, with limited moisture rain amounts for most should be under 1/2 inch.

The sky becomes partly sunny Tuesday as drier air returns, and there is no cold air involved with this system, so the high Tuesday afternoon should be close to 60 degrees. Expect mostly sunny and pleasant weather Wednesday and Thursday with a high in the low 60s.

A dynamic weather system will bring the risk of a shower late in the week on Friday, but the main event should come the following day, on Saturday December 20. Too early to be specific, but at this point it looks like it might be a heavy rain event for Alabama with potential for strong thunderstorms.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: The Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) remain positive, which means it will be hard for bitterly cold air to invade the Deep South; temperatures for now look close to seasonal averages, with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s generally speaking. The 06Z GFS shows potential for a rain event on Christmas Eve, but we all know in the “land of voodoo” that will probably vanish on the next run. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I have a weather program today at Glencoe Middle School in Etowah County… then this evening I will be live from the “Bikes for Tots” event at the Walmart on Highway 150 in Hoover. The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted this afternoon by 4:00… enjoy the day…

Cold Again Tonight; A Warmer Weekend

| 3:35 pm December 11, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Expect another freeze early tomorrow morning across North/Central Alabama; most communities will see a low near 30, with 20s likely for colder valleys and protected areas. Then, a warming trend begins tomorrow afternoon as temperatures rise into the mid to upper 50s with a sunny sky.

The weekend looks very nice; ample sunshine Saturday and Sunday with afternoon highs up in the low 60s. Mornings will be chilly with lows in the mid to upper 30s. No moisture, no chance of rain.

NEXT WEEK: A short wave will bring increasing clouds to Alabama Monday, and showers are a good possibility Monday night. Still looks like the main window for rain will come from about 6:00 p.m. Monday through 6:00 a.m. Tuesday, and amounts should be generally under 1/2 inch, with potential for heavier totals over the northwest corner of the state. No severe weather threat, and probably not much thunder. Drier air returns Tuesday afternoon, and Wednesday and Thursday look dry with a good deal of sunshine both days along with a high near 60 degrees.

Global model consensus is good on the potential for a dynamic system around Saturday, December 20 that would bring the risk of heavy rain and maybe even strong thunderstorms.

CHRISTMAS WEEK: This is still in a period where there is very little skill in a specific forecast (beyond seven days), but for now global models hint most of the week will be dry with temperatures near or a bit below seasonal averages for late December. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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RAIN UPDATE: Birmingham has received 44.41″ of rain since January 1; that is a deficiency of 6.47″. Bottom line is that there is a good chance we end up with a rain deficit for 2014 as the year ends in a few weeks. Tuscaloosa and Anniston have similar totals.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Cool, Dry December Day

| 6:24 am December 11, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SUB-FREEZING START: Here are some temperatures across the great state of Alabama at daybreak…

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 21
Valley Head 23
Gadsden 25
Concord 25
Fort Payne 25
Anniston 26
Center Point 26
Haleyville 27
Birmingham 28
Tuscaloosa 28
Coker 28
Northport 29

DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Despite sunshine in full supply today, we won’t get past the 50 degree mark, and another light freeze is likely early tomorrow. Then, a warming trend begins tomorrow afternoon… we expect a high in the upper 50s with a good supply of sunshine. The weather looks wonderful for the weekend, with ample sunshine Saturday and Sunday along with a high in the low 60s both afternoons.

NEXT WEEK: Clouds will return to the state Monday, and we will forecast a good chance of showers Monday night with a short wave moving in from the west. Moisture will be limited, so rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch, and while a little thunder is possible, severe weather is not expected. The main window for rain will come from about 6:00 p.m. Monday through 6:00 a.m. Tuesday.

Drier air returns during the day Tuesday, and rain-free weather is likely Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures will remain comfortable, with highs generally in the low 60s through mid-week.

LONG RANGE THOUGHTS: The GFS and the ECMWF are in very good agreement, showing a significant storm system impacting Alabama around Saturday December 20. This looks like a rather dynamic feature, and will need to monitored in coming days for severe weather potential. Then, dry and cool weather seems to be the story for the following week, including Christmas Day. Of course, this is out in the “land of voodoo”, and this could easily change. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WILD WEATHER DAY FOR CALIFORNIA: Heavy rain is moving into the San Francisco Bay area this morning; they will see 3-5 inches of rain over the next few days, and winds today could gust to 40/50 mph at times.

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This will be case, however, where the positives could outweigh the negatives; this is beneficial rain for a state that is in severe drought conditions.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Dry December Weather

| 6:25 am December 8, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

AT DAYBREAK: The sky is mostly cloudy across Alabama this morning with temperatures generally in the 40s. The clouds are being produced by a short wave approaching the state from the west, but the low levels are dry, and we don’t expect any rain today. The high this afternoon will be in the mid to upper 50s for most communities, very close to the average high of 58 for December 8 (based on data from Birmingham). The sun should break out at times.

MID-WEEK: A stiff north breeze will develop over the state tomorrow, and the day will be cooler with a high in the low 50s. North winds will average 10-20 mph, making it feel colder, but the sky should be bright and sunny. Cool, dry weather will continue; we project a light freeze early Wednesday and Thursday morning, with most places seeing a low between 28 and 32 degrees. The coldest day will be Wednesday, with a high between 48 and 51 degrees.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The weather stays dry with just a slow warming trend. Sunny days, fair nights, and a high in the low 60s by Saturday and Sunday afternoon, just a little above average for mid-December in Alabama.

NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: The 00Z GFS hints our next chance of rain will come around Tuesday, December 16 thanks to an upper low developing to the west. And, still no sign of any extremely cold Arctic air through Christmas as the AO (Arctic Oscillation)/NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) combo remains unfavorable. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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QUIET TORNADO SEASON: We are in the core of our late fall tornado season in Alabama, and it has been very quiet. We had a few small tornadoes over the southern half of the state reported November 17 and November 23, but no tornadoes have occurred over North Alabama so far, and we see no significant severe weather setup for at least the next 10-15 days.

MOON DOG: Bill Murray posted about the great sky optics over Alabama yesterday, with sun dogs, 22 degree halos, and upper tangent arcs seen by many thanks to the layer of cirrostratus clouds (ice crystals) in place. But, did you know we can also have “moon dogs”? This image was taken last night by Cynthia Fletcher…

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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I have a weather program this morning at Edgewood Elementary School in Homewood… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Storms Return Late This Weekend

| 6:31 am November 21, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY THROUGH TOMORROW: Alabama’s weather will stay relatively quiet through tomorrow; we reach the low 60s today with a mix of sun and clouds. We note some light rain near Memphis early this morning; I guess a sprinkle or two is possible across the Tennessee Valley later today, but most places will stay dry across the state.

Clouds will increase tomorrow, but the day should remain dry. We will have a cold air damming type situation; a cold surface high will be over the mid Atlantic coast, and will keep the eastern counties of the state cooler. Places like Anniston and Gadsden won’t get out of the 50s, and some communities near the Georgia border will see a high only in the low 50s. But, for Central and West Alabama, the high will be at or just over 60 degrees.

TO THE WEST: Thunderstorms will break out tomorrow over Southeast Texas, where there is an “enhanced” severe weather risk defined by SPC. An MCS (mesoscale convective system) type feature will likely move along the Gulf Coast after midnight Saturday night into Sunday morning, and will bring heavy rain to places like New Orleans and Mobile, along with the risk of strong thunderstorm winds and maybe even an isolated tornado or two. The core severe weather risk for the Alabama Gulf Coast region will come from 3 a.m. until 9 a.m. Sunday.

DAYTIME HOURS SUNDAY: SPC has the standard “slight” risk of severe weather up for the southern part of Alabama, generally south of U.S. 80 (Demopolis to Selma to Montgomery to Opelika), with a “marginal” risk as far north as I-20.

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For our part of the state, there are still some unanswered questions concerning this event. No doubt Sunday will be wet at times with occasional showers and thunderstorms. Showers are a good possibility after midnight Saturday night into Sunday morning, but the heavier rain and best chance of strong storms will remain well to the south.

It is possible we have a break in the rain during the midday hours, and temperatures will climb toward the low 70s Sunday afternoon, making the air somewhat unstable with surface based CAPE values rising to 500-1,000 j/kg over North/Central Alabama. If additional storms can form Sunday afternoon in this environment, they could be strong, but the higher shear values by then are over in Georgia.

BOTTOM LINE: The higher risk of severe weather Sunday is over South Alabama, with a marginal threat up to I-20. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 1 inches are likely for Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Anniston, and Gadsden, with amounts of 2-3 inches possible over the far southern part of the state. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details, and keep an eye on the blog for potential forecast changes since some uncertainty remains.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Very nice weather for the high school football games across North/Central Alabama tonight; some clouds around (but no rain) with temperatures falling from 53 at kickoff, into the mid to upper 40s by the final whistle.

Tomorrow is homecoming at the Capstone in Tuscaloosa, and for the football game (Alabama vs Western Carolina) that kicks off at 3:00 p.m.. the sky will become mostly cloudy during the game, but the weather should be dry. Expect a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling to near 58 by the fourth quarter. Pretty comfortable, especially compared to last weekend.

Auburn will host the Samford Bulldogs Saturday evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6p CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 56 degrees at kickoff, and low 50s by the fourth quarter. There is a small risk of a shower by the fourth quarter.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: A cold front will pass through the state Monday, and it might squeeze out a shower or two, but for now the chance of really significant rain looks low. Then, the weather looks basically cool and dry for the rest of the week with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s Tuesday through Friday. We have noted some global model runs have suggested colder temperatures (40s and 20s) by Thanksgiving, but the latest GFS has backed off on the degree of cooling. Dry weather will most likely last into the following weekend (November 29-30), meaning the weather looks pretty good for the Iron Bowl at this point.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Dry Weekend; Chilly Nights

| 3:19 pm November 7, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOL AUTUMN AIR: Despite a sunny sky, temperatures are over 10 degrees below average in most places across Alabama today… with temperatures generally in the mid 50s this afternoon.

Tonight will be cold; we drop into the mid 30s early tomorrow, with potential for a freeze for the colder valleys and protected areas. The NWS in Birmingham has issued a frost advisory.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: After the cold start, we rise into the low 60s tomorrow afternoon with a good supply of sunshine. Sunday will be another sunny day with a high very close to 60.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cold weather is the story for the high school playoff games tonight; temperatures will be dropping into and through the 40s.

Auburn hosts Texas A&M tomorrow at 2:30 at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the sky will be sunny with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on LSU tomorrow night in Baton Rouge (7:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair; temperatures will fall from near 60 at kickoff into the mid 50s during the second half.

UAB will host Louisiana Tech at Birmingham’s Legion Field tomorrow (11:00a CT kickoff)… a sunny sky with 58 degrees at kickoff, and low 60s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday will be dry and mild with a high close to 70; showers could creep into North Alabama Tuesday night ahead of a cold front.

EARLY SEASON ARCTIC SHOT: The coldest air so far this season will ease into the state late next week. Computer models won’t have a good grasp on this because initially the cold air here will be very shallow, but there is a very real chance highs will drop into the 40s over North Alabama Friday and Saturday, with potential for lows in the 20s. The weekend of November 15-16 is looking very cold at this point, but dry. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by Monday morning at 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Sun Filled Alabama Sky

| 3:05 pm October 24, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

FINE FALL DAY: Temperatures are little below average today; highs are generally between 68 and 71 degrees at mid afternoon (today’s average high is 72). We have a cobalt blue sky and low humidity.

OUR WEEKEND: Sunny days, fair nights, and a slow warming trend. We rise well into the 70s tomorrow, and a few spots could reach the low 80s Sunday afternoon as an upper ridge noses in from the west.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cool conditions for high school games tonight; temperatures will fall from the mid 60s at kickoff into the low 50s by the fourth quarter.

Tomorrow is a big football day in Birmingham with the Magic City Classic at Legion Field, featuring Alabama State and Alabama A&M. The sky will be sun filled (2:30p CT kickoff); 76 degrees at kickoff, with mid 60s by the final whistle. There is no risk of rain.

Auburn will host South Carolina tomorrow evening at Jordan-Hare Stadium (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear, with temperatures falling from around 70 degrees at kickoff into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on the Tennessee Volunteers tomorrow evening in Knoxville (6:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be clear with a kickoff temperature near 65 degrees, falling into the 50s by the second half.

UAB plays on the road at Arkansas in Fayetteville tomorrow (11:00a CT kickoff)… expect a sunny sky with a kickoff temperature near 77 degrees, rising into the low 80s by halftime. No risk of rain.

NEXT WEEK: The weather stays warm and dry Monday and Tuesday; we will mention the risk of a few widely scattered showers Wednesday and Thursday with a surface front approaching from the north, but there is little upper support, and moisture will be very limited. Rain amounts on these two days should be light and spotty. Cooler and drier air moves in on Halloween, Friday October 31. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

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TROPICS: All is quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected across the Atlantic basin over the weekend.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Sunny days, fair nights through most of next week from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Highs generally in the 77-81 degree range, with lows in the 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday… my next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early Monday morning by 7:00. Enjoy the weekend!