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Dry Air Over North Alabama

| 3:28 pm June 30, 2016

RADAR CHECK: As expected, all of the showers and storms are over the southern half of Alabama this afternoon…

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North Alabama is in very dry air; the dew point at Huntsville has dropped to 45 degrees at 3:00… the relative humidity there is only 20 percent.

Tonight will be fair and pleasant; cooler pockets will drop into the 50s tomorrow morning.

TOMORROW THROUGH SUNDAY: The stalled surface front over Central Alabama will slowly wash out, but the air will still be pretty dry, and any showers or storms during the afternoon and evening hours across the north/central counties of Alabama will be few and far between. Chance of any one spot getting wet each afternoon is only about one in five; most of the scattered storms will remain over South Alabama. The high tomorrow will be in the low 90s, followed by mid 90s Saturday and Sunday. Days will be partly to mostly sunny, and nights mostly fair.

MONDAY: A surface front will approach, and with rising moisture levels we expect scattered showers and thunderstorms to become more numerous across the state. It won’t rain all day, but a passing shower or storm is a pretty good possibility, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. Monday’s high will be close to 90 degrees.

The rest of next week should feature pretty routine July weather; hot humid days with the chance of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

DEVELOPING DROUGHT: A decent part of Northeast Alabama is now in “severe drought” conditions…

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AIR QUALITY ALERT: A code orange air quality alert has been issued for Jefferson and Shelby Counties tomorrow due to ground level ozone. Defer using gas-powered engines. Walk, bike, carpool, or use transit if possible. Link errands into one trip. Conserve energy.

TROPICS: Tropical storm formation is not expected through the holiday weekend across the Atlantic basin.

AT THE BEACH: Expect about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day through the Fourth of July weekend on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores; there will be a risk of a few scattered storms daily. Highs will be in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Showers Few And Far Between Through Sunday

| 6:23 am June 30, 2016

CALM SUMMER WEATHER: On the maps this morning a surface boundary is near U.S. 80 (Demopolis to Selma to Montgomery to Opelika)… drier air is over North Alabama, and temperatures have reached the upper 50s at places like Cullman and Fort Payne. Our Skywatcher at Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden, reports 58 degrees at daybreak. Accordingly, the best chance of a pop up afternoon storm today will be south of that front, over the southern counties of Alabama.

The chance of a shower for North Alabama is not zero, but the risk is so small for any one given point that we won’t mention it in the forecast. The high today will be at or just over 90 degrees in most spots with a partly to mostly sunny sky.

TOMORROW THROUGH SUNDAY: The surface boundary over Central Alabama will slowly lose it’s identity, but the air over the northern half of the state will remain pretty dry for early July. We will mention “isolated storms” during the afternoon and evening hours, but many communities will remain dry on these three days. The chance of any one spot getting wet each afternoon is about one in five. Heat levels will creep up, with highs in the 92-96 degree range.

MONDAY: Another surface front will approach from the north, and we expect an increase in the number of scattered showers and storms for Independence Day. Still, no “wash-out”… just be ready for a passing storm if you have something planned outside.

And, the rest of next week looks pretty routine with hot, humid days and the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and storms”. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is still very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the holiday weekend.

AT THE BEACH: Pretty standard summer weather for the Gulf Coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through the weekend; about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with the usual risk of a passing storm from time to time. Highs will be in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with 90s inland.

To clear up confusion, there is no “flesh eating bacteria” in the Gulf waters of Northwest Florida or South Alabama… please read this well written article by Jeremy Pate of WJHG-TV in Panama City that explains the situation very clearly.

See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Drier Air Slowly Works In From The North

| 6:25 am June 29, 2016

QUIET WEATHER: Dewpoints will slowly drop over the northern half of Alabama over the next 24 hours, meaning the air will be drier and more stable. Accordingly, we expect most of the scattered showers and storms to come over the southern half of the state each day through Friday.

Understand the chance of a shower over North Alabama is not zero, but the chance of any one spot seeing rain is so small we won’t mention it in the forecast. Days will be partly to mostly sunny, nights mostly fair. The high today and tomorrow will be close to 90, with low 90s Friday afternoon.

Down across South Alabama, showers and storms are possible, but they will be pretty widely spaced.

FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND: Moisture levels will slowly rise, and we will mention the chance of widely scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. Otherwise, partly sunny, hot, humid weather will be the story with highs in the 92-95 degree range. We do expect to see an increase in the coverage of scattered showers and storms Monday as a surface front approaches from the north. Still, Monday won’t be a “wash-out”.

Then, the rest of next week looks like we will deal with very routine summer weather. Partly sunny days with the risk of afternoon/evening storms in scattered spots. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the holiday weekend.

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Interesting to note the Northern Hemisphere has been hurricane-free since Jan 16, the second time on record (since 1950) this has occurred.

AT THE BEACH: Pretty standard summer weather continues on the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through the Fourth of July weekend. About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

Photo below was taken early this morning at Navarre Beach from @cindiglenn

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I have a weather program this morning at Stephens Elementary in Alexander City… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Rising Heat/Humidity Levels

| 6:07 am June 9, 2016

ANOTHER REFRESHING MORNING: Our Skywatcher at Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden), Vic Bell, is reporting 50 degrees just before 6:00 this morning; many other North Alabama communities are in the 50s. That means dry, continental air remains in place, and today will be another sunny day with no risk of showers. But, temperatures begin to creep up this afternoon with a high around 90 degrees.

TOMORROW/SATURDAY: Expect rising heat and humidity levels. A good supply of sunshine both days, low 90s tomorrow, with potential for mid 90s in spots Saturday. With higher moisture levels, a few isolated showers could pop up Saturday afternoon during the heat of the day, but the risk of any one spot getting wet still looks very small.

SUNDAY/MONDAY: We will introduce the risk of “widely scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” on these two days as the upper ridge weakens a bit. Still, expect partly sunny days with highs in the 92-95 degree range.

REST OF NEXT WEEK: Global models suggest now that showers and storms will become more numerous Tuesday on through the rest of the week as the ridge continues to weaken, instability values go higher, and moisture levels continue to rise. Looks like scattered to numerous showers and storms, mostly during the afternoon and evening hours, with highs 88-92. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

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AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny weather continues along the Gulf Coast today from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores. Then, for tomorrow, Saturday, and Sunday, about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily with the risk of a few scattered showers and thunderstorms (pretty typical setup for summer). Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 80s, with low to mid 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: NHC shows a weak disturbance near Key West with only a 10 percent chance of any development in coming days; the rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

AIR QUALITY ALERT: A code orange air quality alert has been issued for the Birmingham metro (Jefferson/Shelby Counties) today.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Heating Up By The Weekend

| 3:31 pm June 8, 2016

DELIGHTFUL DAY: The weather doesn’t get much better in June in Alabama; sunshine in full supply, a blue sky, lower humidity, and temperatures below average. In fact some North Alabama communities are barely out of the 70s today despite the sunny sky.

Tonight will be clear and pleasant; many spots will reach the 50s again early tomorrow morning. We note Black Creek, Valley Head, and Russellville all dropped to 51 degrees this morning.

Tomorrow will be a sunny day, and we rise to near 90 degrees by afternoon as a warming trend begins.

FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Look for low 90s Friday, and mid 90s Saturday and Sunday for potential the hottest weekend so far this year. Days will remain mostly sunny; any afternoon showers should be few and far between thanks to an upper ridge.

NEXT WEEK: The ridge weakens a bit, and the week looks like it will feature some pretty routine June weather. Partly sunny, hot, humid days with the risk of “widely scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” on a daily basis. Highs mostly in the low 90s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights on the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through the weekend; a few scattered showers and storms are possible Saturday and Sunday. Highs in the 80s on the immediate coast, with mid 90s inland by the weekend. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: A disturbance around the Yucatan Channel has a low (10 percent) chance of slow development as it moves northeast in coming days; otherwise the Atlantic basin are quiet.

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AIR QUALITY ALERT: A code orange air quality alert has been issued for the Birmingham metro (Jefferson/Shelby Counties) tomorrow…

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Lower Humidity Levels Today

| 6:16 am June 8, 2016

MOST COMFORTABLE DAY OF THE WEEK: Dry, continental air has dropped into Alabama. Our Skywatcher at Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden in Etowah County, Vic Bell, reports 51 degrees at 6:00. Russellville, Fort Payne and Valley Head have dropped to a refreshing 52. The day will be sunny with lower humidity and a high in the mid 80s. Tonight will be pleasant, and again many spots will reach the 50s early tomorrow morning.

A warming trend begins tomorrow afternoon; with a sunny sky we will be close to 90 degrees by mid-afternoon.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and the hottest temperatures so far this summer. We project low 90s Friday, and mid 90s Saturday and Sunday. Moisture levels will slowly rise with higher humidity levels. Can’t totally rule out an isolated afternoon shower by Sunday, but most communities will stay dry.

NEXT WEEK: We will mention the risk of widely scattered afternoon showers Monday and Tuesday, but many places will remain dry with highs in the low 90s. Scattered storms should be a little more numerous over the latter half of the week as the upper ridge weakens slightly… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach through the weekend with only isolated showers or storms Saturday and Sunday. Highs in the 80s on the immediate coast; mid 90s are likely for inland communities by the weekend. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected over the next five days.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

No Rain Through The Weekend

| 3:10 pm June 7, 2016

COOLER TONIGHT: A cold front is passing through North Alabama late afternoon in dry fashion, and will bring cooler nights and lower humidity to the state through Thursday morning. Temperatures will drop to near 60 degrees early tomorrow and Thursday morning, with 50s likely for cooler spots. Tomorrow will feature sunshine in full supply with a high in the mid 80s. It will be the nicest day of the week.

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Thursday will be sunny with a high in the upper 80s.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Heat levels rise as an upper ridge begins to build. Look for low 90s Friday, and mid 90s Saturday and Sunday. Some communities could see upper 90s this weekend. And, still no risk of afternoon showers thanks to the warm air aloft associated with the upper ridge. Lots of sunshine both days.

NEXT WEEK: The upper ridge weakens slightly, and we could see a few isolated showers Monday and Tuesday, but the latest global model runs still keep our weather pretty dry on these two days with highs in the low 90s. Scattered showers and storms should be a little more likely late in the week. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: Colin is now a “post tropical” system as it gains latitude in the Atlantic and races off to the northeast.

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The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach through the weekend with few, if any showers. Highs in the 80s on the immediate coast; mid 90s are likely inland by the weekend. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

No Rain Through The Weekend

| 6:05 am June 7, 2016

LONG DRY SPELL: A dry airmass covers Alabama this morning; we expect a good supply of sunshine today with a high not far from 90 degrees this afternoon. Then, tonight, a cooler airmass drops down from the north, and tomorrow morning will be pretty pleasant with a low in the upper 50s in many places.

Tomorrow should be the nicest day of the week, with ample sunshine, low humidity, and a high in the mid 80s. Thursday and Friday will stay dry and sunny with a warming trend; we reach the upper 80s Thursday, and low 90s Friday.

HOT WEEKEND AHEAD: Get ready for the hottest weather so far this year for Alabama Saturday and Sunday; afternoon highs will reach the mid 90s, with upper 90s possible in a few spots, thanks to an upper ridge building overhead. Birmingham’s hottest temperature (based on data at the airport, where records are kept) so far this year is 93, recorded on May 31 and June 3… we should beat that by two or three degrees over the weekend. The warm air aloft associated with the ridge should keep us rain-free. Very unusual to go 6 consecutive days with no afternoon showers, but it sure looks like it will happen.

NEXT WEEK: The upper ridge begins to weaken slightly, and with rising moisture levels, we will bring back the chance of “widely scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” for the first half of the week, but nothing to suggest anything widespread. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Colin is northeast of Savannah, Georgia early this morning, moving rapidly northeast. It becomes “sub-tropical” tomorrow in the open Atlantic.

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The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through the weekend; showers will be almost impossible to find. Highs in the 80s on the immediate coast; 90s return to inland communities by Friday and the weekend. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Long Dry Spell Ahead

| 3:17 pm June 6, 2016

RADAR CHECK: Widely scattered showers are over North/Central Alabama this afternoon, just south of a surface front near U.S. 278. A few neighborhoods did see a decent downpour this afternoon, but most communities are dry.

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Once these showers dissipate this evening, it looks like a long dry spell ahead for Alabama.

Tomorrow will be dry with a good supply of sunshine; the afternoon high will be in the 87 to 90 degree range.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: A drier airmass drops in from the north, and that will bring cooler nights. We should drop into the upper 50s both Wednesday and Thursday morning, not bad at all for June in Alabama. The high Wednesday will be in the mid 80s, followed by upper 80s Thursday.

HERE COMES THE HEAT: Get ready for the hottest weather so far this year by the weekend. Friday will be another sunny day with a high in the low 90s, then we project mid 90s Saturday and Sunday with sunny weather continuing. Some spots could even reach the upper 90s over the weekend. And, the upper high will keep it rain-free… a very good chance we go six days (tomorrow through Sunday) in a row with no afternoon showers, very unusual for summer.

NEXT WEEK: The upper ridge weakens a bit, and with a rise in low level moisture we should see the return of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” early in the week with highs close to 90 degrees. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICAL STORM COLIN: The system is very asymmetrical this afternoon due to shear, and dry air is entering the western part of the circulation, so it won’t be getting any stronger. The center of circulation will move into North Florida, below Apalachee Bay tonight. The main issue will be heavy rain along with the threat of isolated tornadoes across North and Central Florida.

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Colin will move off quickly to the northeast, and weather will improve greatly across Florida tomorrow.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Showers and storms will end tonight across the Florida Panhandle, and the weather looks great tomorrow through the weekend with mostly sunny days and fair nights from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach. Any showers will be few and far between, and highs will be in the 80s along the immediate coast. Inland communities will rise into the 90s by Friday and the weekend. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Dry Air For North Alabama; Colin To The South

| 6:17 am June 6, 2016

EYES ON COLIN: Tropical Storm Colin is in the eastern Gulf of Mexico early this morning, and will bring lots of rain to parts of Florida today and tonight. But, dry air is working into North Alabama, and most communities along and north of I-20 will be dry today with only isolated showers. The high around here today will be in the mid to upper 80s with a partly sunny sky.

By far the best chance of showers and storms across Alabama today will come across the southern half of the state, with the most widespread rain near the southeast tip of the state, where outer bands from Colin will impact places like Dothan, Ozark, and Geneva. Still, the heaviest rain will be southeast of Alabama.

LONG DRY SPELL AHEAD: Dry air takes over, and we will forecast sunny days and fair nights tomorrow through Friday. Very odd not to mention “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” in June, but you won’t hear it in the forecast on these four days. Slightly cooler air arrives tomorrow night, and we have a chance of reaching the upper 50s early Wednesday and Thursday morning. The high Wednesday will drop back into the mid 80s, but low 90s are likely by Friday as heat levels rise.

HOT WEEKEND: With a building upper ridge, we are expecting the hottest weather so far this year by Saturday and Sunday with mid 90s likely, and maybe even upper 90s in spots. The air stays dry, and we expect a good supply of sunshine both days with little if any risk of a shower.

NEXT WEEK: Moisture levels will creep up, so we will mention the risk of scattered afternoon showers and storms by Tuesday and on through mid-week, but still it doesn’t look like the rain will be especially widespread. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Colin is packing winds of 50 mph early this morning, but it is not expected to become a hurricane due to shear. The center will move into the Florida coast north of Tampa tonight, and the main issue will be heavy rain and potential flooding. Also there is a risk of a few isolated tornadoes over North Florida later today and tonight, where SPC has the standard “slight risk” of severe weather defined.

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The upper trough over the eastern U.S. means Colin will move along at a good pace, and weather will improve over Florida during the day tomorrow.

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The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Colin will not directly impact the Alabama Gulf Coast, but dangerous rip tides are likely today. Best chance of showers and storms today will be from Pensacola eastward, including Destin and Panama City Beach. But, the rest of the week looks fantastic from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach with sunny days and fair nights. Highs will be in the 80s. The weekend looks mostly dry as well with only isolated showers. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!