Tag: "hot"
Showers Few And Far Between Today
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DRIER TODAY: The air aloft is expected to be a bit warmer over Alabama today, meaning the air is a little more stable, and showers this afternoon should be more widely spaced. Heat levels will tick up a bit as well, with most places seeing a high in the low 90s today. Still, not really bad for early August in Alabama.
TOMORROW AND FRIDAY: The chance of showers and storms will be noticeably higher on these two days as an upper trough carves out over the eastern third of the nation, and a surface front approaches from the north. This is summer, of course, and rain distribution won’t be even, but most communities stand a good chance of seeing some decent rain here. The high tomorrow will be close to 90, but there is a good chance we won’t get out of the 80s Friday thanks to the clouds and showers.
REFRESHING WEEKEND: An anomalously strong upper trough over the eastern part of the nation will push a cold front all the way down to the Gulf Coast late Friday night, and will set up a very comfortable weekend here in Alabama. Highs drop into the mid to upper 80s, humidity values will be lower, and nights cooler. We project a low early Sunday in the 61 to 66 degree range, but it sure looks like the cooler valleys across Northeast Alabama have a great chance of reaching the upper 50s at daybreak Sunday, a very nice preview of fall.
NEXT WEEK: Monday still looks generally dry, but scattered showers and storms will return by Tuesday and Wednesday as moisture levels rise.
GULF COAST WEATHER: Still looking at about 5-7 hours of sun each day on the Gulf Coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores, with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the 87 to 90 degree range; the sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab early this morning is 86 degrees.
TROPICS: Ernesto made landfall last night as a category one hurricane on the Yucatan coast… it will continue to move west, emerging over the Bay of Campeche tonight, and then make the final landfall on the Mexican Gulf Coast Friday. Elsewhere, a tropical wave over the Central Atlantic has a 30 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression within 48 hours (according to NHC), but development will be slow due to all of the dry air across the Atlantic basin. Nothing threatening the Gulf of Mexico anytime soon.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.
CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…
Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 or so this afternoon…. enjoy the day!
Shower Chances Go Up Tomorrow
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HOT, HUMID SUMMER WEATHER: Generally our weather won’t change very much today. The sky will be partly to mostly sunny, and any showers or storms that form this afternoon should be few and far between. The high should be in the mid 90s somewhere between 93 and 97 degrees.
But, the good news is that the upper ridge weakens tomorrow, allowing a much better chance of showers and storms due to the cooler air aloft and a weak surface front approaching from the north. No, we can’t promise rain for everybody tomorrow, but most back yards stand a pretty decent chance of getting wet a time or two. The high will drop into the low 90s thanks to the increase in showers. Rain totals will vary greatly, but some spots could see over 1/2 inch of rain where heavier showers form.
OUR WEEKEND: No real change in our thinking. Drier air moves into North Alabama Saturday, and the best chance of showers and storms will shift down into South Alabama. Then, on Sunday, just about all of the state will be in dry air. Highs over the weekend will be mostly in the mid 90s, but humidity levels should be a tad lower Sunday.
NEXT WEEK: The weather looks generally dry Monday and Tuesday, but the door is open for a good increase in the number of showers and storms Wednesday and Thursday as the upper ridge weakens again and the air becomes more unstable. See the Weather Xtreme video for details and all of the graphics.
And, still no sign of any widespread, triple digit heat around here for the next 15 days. Still very comfortable with the idea that the hottest weather this summer is well behind us; we see nothing like the heat we endured about one month ago.
GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day on the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with the daily risk of a few passing showers or storms. Highs will be in the 87 to 90 degree range, and the sea water temperatures are in the mid to upper 80s.
TROPICS: All remains quiet across the vast Atlantic basin and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.
CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…
Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day….
Better Shower Chances By Friday
An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.
HOT JULY AFTERNOON: Temperatures are generally in the mid 90s at 3:00 p.m…. about where we expected them to be. Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, and Anniston all report 95 with a partly to mostly sunny sky. Lower dewpoints have mixed down to the surface, and heat index values aren’t too bad; the Birmingham heat index at 3:00 was 99.
The radar remains quiet; only a handful of showers are on radar at mid-afternoon, mostly to the south of here. There is one big storm near Gulf Shores and Orange Beach, that produced this shelf cloud… via @ac_clark
The weather won’t change very much tomorrow with a good supply of sunshine, only isolated showers, and a high in the mid 90s.
FRIDAY: No doubt this will be the day with the best coverage of showers and storms. Can’t promise rain for everybody, but most communities stand a good chance of getting wet a time or two. Rain amounts will vary greatly from neighborhood to neighborhood… the heavier storms could drop 1/2 to 1 inch of rain, but other places might miss out. Just the nature of storms on a summer day in Alabama.
THE WEEKEND: We have good consistency in the idea of drier air working into North Alabama Saturday; looks like the best chance of showers and storms will be over the southern half of the state Saturday, and then all of Alabama will be in dry air Sunday. Highs will remain in the 90s, but the humidity should be lower by Sunday.
NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: The 12Z GFS confirms the idea of generally dry weather Monday and Tuesday, followed by an increase in rain opportunities on Wednesday as the ridge weakens again and an upper trough forms over the eastern third of the nation. And, the good news is that we see no sign of any triple digit heat here for at least the next 15 days. See the Weather Xtreme video for the details and graphics.
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.
CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…
Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….
Hot And Mostly Dry Again Today
An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.
LATE JULY IN ALABAMA: Almost guaranteed to be hot and humid, and that pretty much sums up our forecast today and tomorrow. Warm air aloft associated with the upper ridge will also prevent showers from forming on a widespread basis; the chance of any one neighborhood getting wet this afternoon is only about one in ten. The chance of a shower is only slightly better tomorrow, and the high both days will be in the 95 to 98 degree range in most places. High dew points will push the heat index over 100 degrees.
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: We will have a change on Friday as the heat ridge is beat down by a developing upper trough north of Alabama over the Great Lakes. This, along with a surface front dropping down from the north, will bring a much better chance of showers and thunderstorms on Friday. Can’t promise rain for everybody, but most communities have a decent chance of getting wet a time or two. And, temperatures will trend downward thanks to the clouds and rain.
On Saturday, drier air will begin to move into North Alabama, and the best chance of scattered showers and storms will come over the southern half of the state. Watch the Weather Xtreme video and you will see the 00Z GFS hints the best chance of rain comes along and south of U.S. 80 (Demopolis to Selma to Montgomery to Opelika). Then, on Sunday, just about all of the state should be in the drier, continental air. Highs over the weekend should be in the low to mid 90s, but the humidity levels will be lower on Sunday.
NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: The weather looks generally dry Monday and Tuesday, but the 00Z GFS hints at a much better chance of rain beginning Wednesday. And, the good news is that global models suggest the most intense heat will be well to the west of Alabama through the first 10 days of August with a mean upper trough over the eastern U.S. Again, see the Weather Xtreme video for details and all of the graphics.
TROPICS: A non-tropical low northeast of Bermuda is being monitored… I am not a big fan of giving these systems names since they are really hybrid systems in the North Atlantic… it is moving northeast and won’t impact any land area. The rest of the Atlantic basin remains very quiet.
AT THE BEACH: Very typical summer weather is likely from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the weekend. About 5 to 7 hours of sunshine daily, with the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs along the immediate coast will remain in the 87 to 90 degree range, and the sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 87 degrees (F).
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.
CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…
Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!
Dog Day Afternoon
An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.
QUIET IN THE WEATHER OFFICE: The radar is very inactive across the northern half of Alabama today; warm air aloft associated with the upper ridge is keeping a lid on shower development so far; most of the showers and storms in Alabama are south of U.S. 80 (Demopolis to Selma to Montgomery to Opelika), and even down over South Alabama the activity is pretty widely separated.
As you might expect on a late July day, the weather is hot. At 2:00 temperatures include 93 at Anniston, 94 at Birmingham, and 95 at Tuscaloosa. The sky is mostly sunny.
REST OF THE WEEK: The weather won’t change much tomorrow and Thursday. Afternoon highs will be generally in the 94 to 98 degree range, and any afternoon showers will be few and far between. But on Friday an upper trough to the north will put a big dent in the heat ridge, and we expect a good increase in the number of showers and storms thanks to the colder air aloft, and a surface front approaching from the north. The high Friday should drop back into the low 90s thanks to the clouds and showers. Can’t promise rain for everybody Friday, but it will clearly be our best crack at a good rain this week.
WEEKEND OUTLOOK: Drier air begins to move into North Alabama Saturday. Looks like the best chance of showers and storms will be from roughly I-20 southward… and by Sunday almost all of the state should be in drier, continental air. Looks like a high Saturday in the low 90s, followed by mid 90s Sunday, but the humidity Sunday should be relatively low for late July in Alabama.
NEXT WEEK: That dry should linger across much of Alabama Monday and Tuesday with generally dry conditions and highs in the mid 90s. See the Weather Xtreme video for more long range ideas.
TROPICS: A non-tropical low northeast of Bermuda is being monitored… I am not a big fan of giving these systems names since they are really hybrid systems in the North Atlantic… it is moving northeast and won’t impact any land area. The rest of the Atlantic basin remains very quiet.
AT THE BEACH: Very typical summer weather is likely from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the weekend. About 5 to 7 hours of sunshine daily, with the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs along the immediate coast will remain in the 87 to 90 degree range, and the sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is 87 degrees (F).
WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on this week’s new episode.
CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…
Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…
