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Midday Nowcast: Hot Today, Hotter Than A Firecracker This Weekend

| 11:43 am July 1, 2016

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What a great morning that we have experienced so far in Central Alabama. Clear skies, and one of the coolest early morning lows (64ºF) we have seen on July 1st in Birmingham since 2000. As Bill posted earlier this morning, it was the 16th coolest July 1st on record and 6ºF below normal for Birmingham. There were even cooler readings from other communities in Central Alabama, with the coolest being 56ºF in Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden).

At this hour, Central Alabama is still crystal clear outside, and with these lower dewpoints, it sure does feel nice out there. The only activity showing up on the satellite image and radar at this time is located down in the southeastern part of the state. Scattered showers are dotting the radar in Barbour, Pike, Henry, Dale, Coffee, Houston, Geneva, and Covington counties.

TEMPERATURES AT THIS HOUR: Most locations in Central Alabama are up in the mid to upper 80s at this time. Here is a list of temperature observations from around the state:

Muscle Shoals: 86
Huntsville: 88
Birmingham: 86
Anniston: 88
Tuscaloosa: 85
Alexander City: 86
Montgomery: 87
Dothan: 84
Mobile: 88

TODAY’S WEATHER: Skies should stay generally clear throughout the remainder of the day, with a few clouds moving into the northern counties after sunset. As with usual summertime weather, there is a small risk for an isolated shower for Central Alabama, but that chance is really small and most communities will stay dry. Afternoon highs will be in the low to mid 90s. Overnight lows tonight will be in the low 70s, with a few places in the 60s.

CODE ORANGE AIR QUALITY: The Air Quality Index for the Birmingham Metropolitan Area will be in the “Code Orange” for ozone. People with lung or heart disease, children and older adults, or people who are active outdoors should limit prolonged outdoor exertion.

TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high for July 1st is 90, while the normal low is 71. The record high for today was set back in 1954 at 103. The record low was set back in 1950 at 54.

HOLIDAY WEEKEND WEATHER: Not much change for this weekend’s weather. The surface front that is located over the middle of the state will dissipate, allowing for humidity levels to start to creep back up for Central Alabama. Even with that, shower and thunderstorm chances will remain pretty small, maybe a 10-20 percent chance each day. Days will be partly to mostly sunny and fair nights. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 90s, with a few places reaching the upper 90s especially on Sunday.

HEADED TO THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day with the usual risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

GULF WATERS: To clear up any confusion, there is “no flesh eating bacteria” in the Gulf waters of Northwest Florida or South Alabama. Please read this well written article by Jeremy Pate of WJHG-TV in Panama City that explains the situation very clearly.

THE TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the holiday weekend.

WEATHERBRAINS: This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. Last night, we talked Oklahoma weather with the folks from OK First. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

ADVERTISE WITH US: Deliver your message to a highly engaged audience by advertising on the AlabamaWX.com website. The site enjoyed 10.2 MILLION pageviews in the past 12 months. Don’t miss out! We can customize a creative, flexible and affordable package that will suit your organization’s needs. Contact me, Bill Murray, at (205) 687-0782 and let’s talk.

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Satellite Sheldon’s Holiday Weekend Update

| 11:09 am July 1, 2016

Most everybody without a garden or lawn and something to do outside will like this holiday weekend forecast…except if it rains Monday during fireworks time. The chance of that is very small.

Stay safe and enjoy the Holiday weekend!

– Sheldon Kusselson

Click to enlarge

Click to enlarge

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Oh What A Beautiful Morning

| 7:45 am July 1, 2016

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You just don’t get many July 1st mornings across Central Alabama where you just want to have breakfast outside, but this was one of them.

The 64F this morning at the Birmingham Airport ranks as the 16th coolest on record and is 6 degrees below normal.

Listing of the 20 coolest July 1sts on record in Birmngham

Listing of the 20 coolest July 1sts on record in Birmngham

It is also just ten degrees off the record low for the date. It was 54F on the date in 1950, and 57F in the cool summer of 1979.

It has not been this cool on July 1st since 2000.

Add in dewpoints in the upper 50s and you have a pleasant backdrop for outdoor activity early this morning.

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Storms Stay Few And Far Between Through Sunday

| 6:22 am July 1, 2016

PLEASANT MORNING: A number of communities have dropped into the 50s on this first morning of July… temperatures at sunrise include:

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 56
Cullman 57
Fort Payne 57
Valley Head 57
Coker 58
Concord 58
Russellville 59
Center Point 61

Just for the fun of it, I checked the observations up north, and noticed Crane Lake, Minnesota dropped to 36 degrees at 6:00 a.m. CT. How about that for July 1.

HOT HOLIDAY WEEKEND: Alabama’s weather won’t change much through Sunday. The stalled surface front over the middle of the state will gradually wash out, meaning humidity levels slowly rising. While a shower or thunderstorm will be possible each day during the afternoon and evening hours, odds of any one spot getting rain will remain pretty small, in the 10-20 percent range.

Temperatures will creep up into the mid 90s; a few spots could see upper 90s Sunday afternoon. Expect partly to mostly sunny days and fair nights.

NEXT WEEK: We do expect to see an increase in the number of scattered showers and thunderstorms Monday as a weak surface front approaches, and the air aloft becomes a little colder. No wash-out, but just understand a passing storm is very possible Monday, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. Most of the showers should be over by fireworks time at 9:00.

Then, for the rest of the week, expect pretty typical summer weather with partly sunny days and the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs will be mostly in the low 90s… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016070100_min_max_16

TROPICS: All remains quiet across the Atlantic basin, and tropical storm formation is not expected through early next week.

AT THE BEACH: About 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores with the risk of a few scattered storms daily. Highs will be in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with 90s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 84 degrees. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be live at an event in Bibb County this afternoon, so just one Weather Xtreme video today. But I will post fresh forecast notes here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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Dry Air Over North Alabama

| 3:28 pm June 30, 2016

RADAR CHECK: As expected, all of the showers and storms are over the southern half of Alabama this afternoon…

Screen Shot 2016-06-30 at 3.14.17 PM

North Alabama is in very dry air; the dew point at Huntsville has dropped to 45 degrees at 3:00… the relative humidity there is only 20 percent.

Tonight will be fair and pleasant; cooler pockets will drop into the 50s tomorrow morning.

TOMORROW THROUGH SUNDAY: The stalled surface front over Central Alabama will slowly wash out, but the air will still be pretty dry, and any showers or storms during the afternoon and evening hours across the north/central counties of Alabama will be few and far between. Chance of any one spot getting wet each afternoon is only about one in five; most of the scattered storms will remain over South Alabama. The high tomorrow will be in the low 90s, followed by mid 90s Saturday and Sunday. Days will be partly to mostly sunny, and nights mostly fair.

MONDAY: A surface front will approach, and with rising moisture levels we expect scattered showers and thunderstorms to become more numerous across the state. It won’t rain all day, but a passing shower or storm is a pretty good possibility, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. Monday’s high will be close to 90 degrees.

The rest of next week should feature pretty routine July weather; hot humid days with the chance of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

DEVELOPING DROUGHT: A decent part of Northeast Alabama is now in “severe drought” conditions…

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AIR QUALITY ALERT: A code orange air quality alert has been issued for Jefferson and Shelby Counties tomorrow due to ground level ozone. Defer using gas-powered engines. Walk, bike, carpool, or use transit if possible. Link errands into one trip. Conserve energy.

TROPICS: Tropical storm formation is not expected through the holiday weekend across the Atlantic basin.

AT THE BEACH: Expect about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day through the Fourth of July weekend on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores; there will be a risk of a few scattered storms daily. Highs will be in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Midday Nowcast: Full Sunshine and Lower Dewpoints Today

| 12:15 pm June 30, 2016

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A beautiful day and not as uncomfortable as a cold front has pushed through much of the state and has brought with it lower dewpoints and drier air. On the latest visible satellite image, all of north and central Alabama are enjoying clear skies and full sunshine. Cloud cover is pretty much confined to the southern counties of the state.

SouthALRadar

On the radar, the only places in the state receiving any rainfall at the moment are the southern-most counties above the Florida Panhandle. These are developing along and ahead of the cold front. These showers may be drifting very slowly to the northeast, but for the most part they are stationary.

TEMPERATURES AT THIS HOUR: Most locations in Central Alabama are up in the low to mid 80s, and dewpoints are lower as well as drier air is moving in from the north. Here is a list of temperature observations from around the state:

Birmingham: 83
Anniston: 85
Tuscaloosa: 84
Muscle Shoals: 81
Huntsville: 84
Alexander City: 88
Montgomery: 89
Dothan: 82
Mobile: 84

TODAY’S WEATHER: As the drier air continues to make the temperatures feel not so bad, skies will remain generally clear and we’ll have a full supply of sun. As with summertime weather, the chance of rain today is not completely zero, but it is so small that its not worth mentioning. Afternoon highs will be at or just over 90 degrees, but with lower dewpoints, it won’t feel all that bad.

CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY: The Air Quality Index for the Birmingham Metropolitan Area will be in the “Code Yellow” (moderate range) for ozone and particulate matter. People who are unusually sensitive should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high for June 30th is 90, while the normal low is 68. The record high for today was set back in 1931 at 104. The record low was set back in 1923 at 53.

FRIDAY’S WEATHER: Pretty much a carbon copy of today. The surface boundary in South Alabama will weaken and dewpoints will start to slowly rise again, back at or just over 60. Skies will be generally clear and afternoon temperatures will be in the low 90s, with a few places reaching the mid 90s. There is a slight risk for an isolated afternoon shower or storm, but most communities in the area will remain dry.

HEADED TO THE BEACH: Pretty standard summer weather continues on the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through the Fourth of July weekend. About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with the usual risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

GULF WATERS: To clear up any confusion, there is “no flesh eating bacteria” in the Gulf waters of Northwest Florida or South Alabama. Please read this well written article by Jeremy Pate of WJHG-TV in Panama City that explains the situation very clearly.

THE TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the holiday weekend.

WEATHERBRAINS: This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. Last night, we talked Oklahoma weather with the folks from OK First. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

ADVERTISE WITH US: Deliver your message to a highly engaged audience by advertising on the AlabamaWX.com website. The site enjoyed 10.2 MILLION pageviews in the past 12 months. Don’t miss out! We can customize a creative, flexible and affordable package that will suit your organization’s needs. Contact me, Bill Murray, at (205) 687-0782 and let’s talk.

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Showers Few And Far Between Through Sunday

| 6:23 am June 30, 2016

CALM SUMMER WEATHER: On the maps this morning a surface boundary is near U.S. 80 (Demopolis to Selma to Montgomery to Opelika)… drier air is over North Alabama, and temperatures have reached the upper 50s at places like Cullman and Fort Payne. Our Skywatcher at Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden, reports 58 degrees at daybreak. Accordingly, the best chance of a pop up afternoon storm today will be south of that front, over the southern counties of Alabama.

The chance of a shower for North Alabama is not zero, but the risk is so small for any one given point that we won’t mention it in the forecast. The high today will be at or just over 90 degrees in most spots with a partly to mostly sunny sky.

TOMORROW THROUGH SUNDAY: The surface boundary over Central Alabama will slowly lose it’s identity, but the air over the northern half of the state will remain pretty dry for early July. We will mention “isolated storms” during the afternoon and evening hours, but many communities will remain dry on these three days. The chance of any one spot getting wet each afternoon is about one in five. Heat levels will creep up, with highs in the 92-96 degree range.

MONDAY: Another surface front will approach from the north, and we expect an increase in the number of scattered showers and storms for Independence Day. Still, no “wash-out”… just be ready for a passing storm if you have something planned outside.

And, the rest of next week looks pretty routine with hot, humid days and the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and storms”. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016063000_min_max_16

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is still very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the holiday weekend.

AT THE BEACH: Pretty standard summer weather for the Gulf Coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through the weekend; about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with the usual risk of a passing storm from time to time. Highs will be in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with 90s inland.

To clear up confusion, there is no “flesh eating bacteria” in the Gulf waters of Northwest Florida or South Alabama… please read this well written article by Jeremy Pate of WJHG-TV in Panama City that explains the situation very clearly.

See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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Quiet Weather Through Friday

| 3:14 pm June 29, 2016

RADAR CHECK: As expected, most of the showers and storms are over the southern half of Alabama this afternoon…

Screen Shot 2016-06-29 at 3.07.13 PM

The storms are moving slowly southward, and will dissipate later tonight. Temperatures are mostly in the 89-92 degree range, and lower dew points are slipping into the northern counties.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: While the chance of rain is not zero, most of North/Central Alabama will be dry on these two days; early mornings will be a bit cooler thanks to the drier air. Some of the valleys could reach the upper 50s early tomorrow and Friday morning; most places will be in the 60s. The high tomorrow will be close to 90, followed by low 90s Friday afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will be mostly confined to the southern half of the state, and even there they should be widely scattered.

FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND: Not much change Saturday and Sunday. Partly sunny days with the risk of widely scattered afternoon and evening showers or thunderstorms; afternoon highs will be in the 91-95 degree range. We do expect to see an increase in the number of scattered thunderstorms Monday (July 4) with the approach of a surface front; Monday’s high will be in the low 90s. No “wash-out”, but a passing storm is a decent possibility Monday, especially during the afternoon hours.

The rest of next week should feature rather typical summer weather with hot humid days, and the risk of scattered storms. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is quiet; no tropical storm formation is expected through the holiday weekend.

AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through the Fourth of July with the usual risk of scattered showers and storms each day. Highs will be in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Midday Nowcast: Rain To The South, Drier Air Moving In Today

| 11:55 am June 29, 2016

simuawips

Skies across much of Central Alabama are clear with a few cumulus clouds floating overhead. Radar at this point is dry for areas north of a line from Demopolis to Selma to Montgomery to Opelika. South of that line, scattered showers are almost affecting at least some part of each county.

TEMPERATURES AT THIS HOUR: You can tell on the observations map where cloud cover and rainfall is affecting temperatures. In the northern half of the state, temperatures are up in the mid to upper 80s. In the southern half of the state, low to mid 80s can be found. Here is a list of temperature observations from around the state:

Birmingham: 87
Anniston: 89
Tuscaloosa: 88
Muscle Shoals: 84
Huntsville: 88
Alexander City: 88
Montgomery: 81
Dothan: 85
Mobile: 84

HRRR Model: Dewpoints valid at midnight.

HRRR Model: Dewpoints valid at midnight.

TODAY’S WEATHER: Drier air is moving into North Alabama, and the dewpoints will start to fall this afternoon and evening. Skies will be generally clear, with just a few cumulus clouds hiding the sunshine every now and then. Even though rain chances for the area is not exactly zero, best chances will stay around or below the U.S. 80 and I-85 corridors. Afternoon highs will be at or near 90.

CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY: The Air Quality Index for the Birmingham Metropolitan Area will be in the “Code Yellow” (moderate range) for ozone and particulate matter. People who are unusually sensitive should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high for June 29th is 90, while the normal low is 70. The record high for today was set back in 1931 at 106. The record low was set back in 1974 at 57.

THURSDAY’S WEATHER: Lower dewpoints and more stable air will be over much of North and Central Alabama tomorrow. Rain chances will stay confined to the southern part of the state. Skies will be mostly clear to partly cloudy, with highs at or near 90.

HEADED TO THE BEACH: Pretty standard summer weather continues on the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through the Fourth of July weekend. About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

THE TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the holiday weekend.

WEATHERBRAINS: This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. This week, we talked Oklahoma weather with the folks from OK First. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

ADVERTISE WITH US: Deliver your message to a highly engaged audience by advertising on the AlabamaWX.com website. The site enjoyed 10.2 MILLION pageviews in the past 12 months. Don’t miss out! We can customize a creative, flexible and affordable package that will suit your organization’s needs. Contact me, Bill Murray, at (205) 687-0782 and let’s talk.

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Birmingham NOAA Weatheradio Getting an Upgrade

| 9:54 am June 29, 2016

WR-120_Radio_1-600x4001-600x400a

From our Partner John DeBlock at the National Weather Service Birmingham.

Some notes from John:

1) NWS Birmingham will upgrade NOAA Weather Radio systems at Noon on Tuesday to replace aging equipment.

2) NOAA Weather Radio listeners do not need to do anything on their receivers.

At Noon on Tuesday, NWS Birmingham will “flip the switch” on an upgrade to the software and hardware systems in our office that processes our text products from text to voice, and broadcasts the messages over the phone lines to the 10 transmitters in Central Alabama.

The system currently in place (Console Replacement System, or CRS) is based on technology from the 80s, and the custom built equipment has long passed its usage time and MUST be replaced.

The new system (Broadcast Message Handler, or BMH) replaces that hardware based system with a software system that works on an off-the-shelf PC. We have already successfully tested the new BMH on both the Birmingham and Montgomery transmitters without any significant issues, and we have every reason to believe this switch will be uneventful.

Perhaps the most important piece of information for you is that NOAA Weather Radio listeners do not need to change a thing on their receiver to continue to receive our broadcasts. The way the transmitters and receivers work has NOT changed.

Having said that, with any change or upgrade, there will be an adjustment period as we fine-tune the software to our local operations. Most notably, some of the pronunciations of local towns and other geographic references may need to be adjusted. Unfortunately, it’s impossible to work out all the mispronunciations ahead of time, as automated voice software often will pronounce words differently when they are spoken in context.

We will work as diligently as possible to correct mispronunciations as we become aware of them. For instance, the system generated my last name as “Delaware Block”! I have been assured that it has been corrected.

If you have any problems, please call the NWS forecast staff at 205-664-3010 and then press option 2. Alternatively, feel free to refer them to me at (205) 664-3010, extension 223, or Meteorologist-in-Charge Jim Stefkovich at (205) 664-3010, extension 222.

Similarly, if you have questions or comments, don’t hesitate to contact our staff, Jim or myself at the numbers above.
Thanks for all you do!

John

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