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Hello Hermine; Dry Pattern For Alabama

| August 31, 2016 @ 3:34 pm

RADAR CHECK: Showers are almost impossible to find this afternoon… we have a few small, isolated showers and storms over the northern quarter of the state; those will dissipate once the sun goes down this evening.

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Temperatures are generally in the low to mid 90s on this last day of meteorological summer.

TOMORROW: Not real change; lots of sunshine, a high in the low 90s, and only isolated showers.

FRIDAY AND THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND: An upper trough will be in place over the eastern U.S. Friday.. that, and the circulation on the west side of the tropical system passing us to the east, will help to pull down drier, continental air into Alabama. Friday will be a sunny day with a high in the upper 80s, and lower humidity levels. The weather will stay dry Saturday through Monday with mostly sunny days and fair nights; highs 88-91, and lows in the 60s.

A few isolated afternoon showers could show up by the middle of next week, but we see no widespread rain anytime soon for Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

HERMINE IS ON THE BOARD: Tropical Depression Nine, formerly known as “Invest 99L”, was upgraded to Tropical Storm Hermine early this afternoon in the Gulf of Mexico. The circulation center is expected to go into Florida, near Port St. Joe, tomorrow night.

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Hermine will not impact most of Alabama in a direct way, although breezy conditions are likely around Dothan tomorrow night along with a few showers.

Here are the important impact points…

*A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Anclote River to Indian Pass Florida. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from the Anclote River to the Walton/Bay County line, and a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Marineland, Florida to Altamaha Sound, Georgia.

*The main issues with Hermine will come along and east of the center, or from Port St. Joe down to Horseshoe Beach, Cedar Key, and Hernando Beach.

*The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. There is a danger of life-threatening inundation within the next 36 to 48 hours along the Gulf coast of Florida from Aripeka to Indian Pass. Note this does NOT include Panama City Beach, or points to the west; they are on the dry side of the circulation (off shore flow)

*In addition to surge flooding, rains of 5-10 inches are possible east of a line from Marianna to Port St. Joe, and that could produce flash flooding.

*A few tornadoes are possible tomorrow and tomorrow night over North Florida, again east of a line from Marianna to Port St. Joe.

*Very rough surf and dangerous rip tides are likely on the Gulf Coast all the way from Dauphin Island down to Fort Myers Beach from now through Friday morning. The Gulf will calm down by Friday night and the Labor Day weekend.

*Hermine will move up the Atlantic coast Friday and Saturday, bringing wind and rain to places like Savannah, Charleston, and Wilmington. It will cause wet and windy conditions Saturday around the Outer Banks of North Carolina.

*Next week, there is a chance Hermine could actually bend back toward the U.S. East Coast as an upper high builds north of the system.

CENTRAL GULF COAST FORECAST: The weather looks nice today through the holiday weekend for places like Gulf Shores, Pensacola Beach, and Destin; the main wind and rain from Hermine stays east of these coastal communities. Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only widely scattered showers and storms. For Panama City Beach, the weather will be windy with some rain at times tomorrow and tomorrow night, but Friday through Monday should be very nice with ample sunshine each day and only scattered showers or storms.

But, please keep in mind double red flags are flying at most of these places due to rough surf, and it will be sometime Friday before the Gulf waters begin to subside.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Friday night looks fantastic for high school football across Alabama with a clear sky and temperatures falling through the 70s. Humidity levels won’t be as bad as the first two weeks.

Auburn hosts Clemson Saturday night at Jordan-Hare Stadium (8:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear. Kickoff temperature near 76 degrees, falling into the low 70s by the final whistle.

Alabama will take on Southern Cal Saturday night at Arlington, Texas (8:00p CT kickoff)… a clear sky with temperatures falling from near 82 at kickoff, into the mid 70s by the end of the game.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Midday Nowcast: All Quiet Here, Just Hot & Humid. TD9 Is Still A Depression

| August 31, 2016 @ 12:17 pm

simuawips

Hot and humid conditions out there at this hour for Central Alabama, with mostly clear skies and all quiet on radar at this moment. And once again, all eyes are on the Gulf of Mexico to see if Tropical Depression Nine will finally strengthen into a tropical storm. Details on the system are below.

TEMPERATURES AT THIS HOUR: Here is a list of temperature observations from across the area at this hour:

Birmingham 91
Tuscaloosa 91
Gadsden 90
Anniston 90
Cullman 89
Jasper 95
Alexander City 90
Selma 88
Montgomery 90

CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY: The Air Quality Index for the Birmingham Metropolitan Area is in the “Code Yellow” for ozone and particulate matter 2.5. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high for August 31st is 88, while the normal low is 67. The record high for today was set back in 1951 at 100. The record low was set back in 1946 at 51.

REMAINDER OF TODAY: Even though there is tropical mischief nearby, the forecast pretty much remains the same… hot and humid, with partly to mostly clear skies, and with a very slight chance of widely scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon highs will mostly be in the mid 90s. The odds of any one spot getting rain is about one in ten.

THURSDAY’S WEATHER: Same as today… hot and humid, with a mix of sun and clouds. Afternoon highs in the mid 90s, with a one in ten chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours.

HEADED TO THE BEACH: Many are planning a beach trip for the holiday weekend, and we stress this system will be long gone by Friday with fine weather and calmer seas. Dauphin Island, Gulf Shores, Pensacola Beach, and Navarre Beach will see only widely scattered showers or storms today and tomorrow; best chance of rain from the tropical system will come tomorrow at Destin and Panama City Beach, but thankfully they will be on the drier side of the circulation. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE: As of now, deep convection is being produced by TD9, but there is little overall cloud pattern organization. This means that there has been little change in strength and is still with 35 MPH maximum sustained winds. Over the next 36 hours, TD9 will be over very warm water and in a moderate shear environment. Strengthening is expected to occur and is expected to be a tropical storm when it makes landfall near or east of Apalachicola tomorrow evening. The main impacts will be along and to the right of the landfall point. It will move northeast and impact the Atlantic Coast over the Labor Day weekend. It should be near Cape Hatteras on Saturday.

Rain amounts could exceed five inches over parts of North Florida, especially east of Marianna to Panama City Beach. Flooding is a very real possibility in spots. There is a possibility of storm surge inundation along the Gulf Coast of Florida from Aripeka to Indian Pass within the next 48 hours (this will be east of Panama City Beach). Dangerous rip tides are likely from Gulf Shores down to Fort Myers Beach through Friday, with many beaches already flying double red flags. A few isolated tornadoes are possible across North Florida tomorrow and tomorrow night.

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REST OF THE TROPICS: Hurricane Gaston is continuing to move east-northeastward at 15 MPH, away from the U.S. Still packing maximum sustained winds at 115 MPH, it will be close to the Azores this weekend as a “post tropical” North Atlantic storm. Tropical Depression Eight is a disorganized system east of North Carolina. It is moving away from the U.S. and still has a chance of becoming a tropical storm on its journey out to sea. A tropical wave that is near the Cape Verde Islands bears watching over the next seven days as it journeys westward across the Atlantic. A decent chance this develops over the weekend; remains to be seen if it will be any threat to the U.S. Just something to watch for now.

ON THIS DAY IN 1987: Eight cities in Washington and Oregon reported record high temperatures for the date, including Eugene OR and Portland OR with afternoon highs of 102 degrees. The high of 102 degrees at Portland smashed their previous record for the date by twelve degrees. Frost was reported in South Dakota. Aberdeen SD established a record for the month of August with a morning low of 32 degrees, and Britton SD dipped to 31 degrees.

THE BLOG IS ON TWITTER: Be sure to follow the Alabama Wx Weather Blog on Twitter. Just click here to start following our feed.

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Eyes On The Gulf of Mexico; Dry Around Here

| August 31, 2016 @ 6:41 am

DRY PATTERN FOR MOST OF ALABAMA: Despite the much discussed tropical mischief, showers will remain hard to find across Alabama for the next five to seven days. A few isolated afternoon and evening showers are possible today and tomorrow, but the chance of any one spot getting wet is only about one in ten. Expect lots of sunshine, and we stay hot with mid 90s likely.

FRIDAY AND THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND: The tropical system passes east of Alabama, and will help to pull down drier air into the state. This will mean mostly sunny days, fair cooler nights, and lower humidity on these four days. Highs drop back into the 87-90 degree range, with lows generally in the 60s. And, the dry weather will likely linger into at least the middle of next week.

ACTIVE TROPICS: Let’s take it one system at a time…

GASTON: This is now a major hurricane with sustained winds of 120 mph (category three), but it is in the middle of the Atlantic, moving away from the U.S. It could impact the Azores this weekend as a weakening system.

EASTERN ATLANTIC WAVE: A wave near the Cape Verde Islands bears watching over the next seven days as it journeys westward across the Atlantic. A decent chance this develops over the weekend; remains to be seen if it will be any threat to the U.S. Just something to watch for now.

TD EIGHT: The depression east of North Carolina is still having a hard time getting its act together. It is moving away from the U.S. and still has a chance of becoming a tropical storm on the journey out to sea.

TD NINE: This is our “backyard” tropical system in the southern Gulf of Mexico. Convection has been steadily increasing over the past 24 hours, and there is a high chance this becomes a tropical storm later this morning (most likely, it will get the name “Hermine”). Here are the important things you need to know…

*This will not directly impact most of Alabama. It will be breezy down around Dothan Thursday night with showers possible, but the rest of the state will stay in a pretty dry pattern.

*A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the Gulf coast of Florida from Anclote River to the Walton/Bay County Line. A Hurricane Watch remains in effect from Anclote River to Indian Pass; this was issued yesterday since the tropical storm could be close to hurricane strength at the time of landfall.

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*The circulation center should move inland tomorrow night near or east of Apalachicola. The main impacts will be along and to the right of the landfall point (to the south and east).

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*Rain amounts could exceed five inches over parts of North Florida, mainly east of a line from Marianna to Panama City Beach. Flooding is a very real possibility in spots.

*There is a possibility of storm surge inundation within the next 48 hours along the Gulf coast of Florida from Aripeka to Indian Pass. This is well east of Panama City Beach.

*Dangerous rip tides are likely all the way from Gulf Shores down to Fort Myers Beach through Friday. Many beaches already have double red flags flying.

*A few isolated tornadoes are possible across North Florida tomorrow and tomorrow night.

*This system will move northeast, and will impact the Atlantic coast over the Labor Day weekend; it should be near Cape Hatteras Saturday.

GULF SHORES TO PANAMA CITY BEACH: Many are planning a beach trip for the holiday weekend, and we stress this system will be long gone by Friday with fine weather and calmer seas. Dauphin Island, Gulf Shores, Pensacola Beach, and Navarre Beach will see only widely scattered showers or storms today and tomorrow; best chance of rain from the tropical system will come tomorrow at Destin and Panama City Beach, but thankfully they will be on the drier side of the circulation. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Friday night looks fantastic for high school football across Alabama with a clear sky and temperatures falling through the 70s. Humidity levels won’t be as bad as the first two weeks.

Auburn hosts Clemson Saturday night at Jordan-Hare Stadium (8:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear. Kickoff temperature near 76 degrees, falling into the low 70s by the final whistle.

Alabama will take on Southern Cal Saturday night at Arlington, Texas (8:00p CT kickoff)… a clear sky with temperatures falling from near 82 at kickoff, into the mid 70s by the end of the game.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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TD 9 – Gulf Coast Impact

| August 30, 2016 @ 5:50 pm

This is a look at expected impact of Tropical Depression Nine on Florida and the Gulf Coast…

TD 9 should become a tropical storm tonight (most likely getting the name “Hermine”). The center of circulation should move into North Florida east of Apalachicola Thursday afternoon. While this system is not expected to become a hurricane, some model guidance is suggesting it will be a high end tropical storm, with potential for winds of 50 mph or higher. Accordingly, a Hurricane Watch has been issued from the Anclote River to Indian Pass. And a Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the Florida Gulf Coast west of Indian Pass to the Walton/Bay County line.

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Here are the important impact points…

*Heaviest rain will come over North Florida tomorrow and Thursday, mainly east of a line from Marianna to Panama City Beach. Some spots could see over 5 inches of rain, and flooding is a very real possibility, and most likely will be the biggest impact from the system.

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*Dangerous surf and rip tides are likely on the Central Gulf Coast all the way from Gulf Shores to Apalachicola and all the way down to Tampa through Thursday. Red flags are flying now.

*An isolated tornado or two will be possible Thursday over North Florida, especially in the corridor from Cross City to Jacksonville.

*There could enough gradient wind to knock down some trees and power lines over North Florida… places like Tallahassee, Cedar Key, Lake City, and Ocala.

*The tropical system moves over to the Atlantic coast Friday, and conditions will improve dramatically in Florida. The Labor Day weekend for all of Florida looks nice, with ample sunshine and only a few widely scattered showers or storms. Seas will subside as well by Saturday.

*The weather actually looks very nice for Dauphin Island, Gulf Shores, and Pensacola all the way through the holiday weekend, with mostly sunny days and fair nights… only widely scattered storms. It will be breezy Thursday, and again we stress that dangerous rip tides are likely through Thursday night. The seas will calm down by the Labor Day weekend.

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Stay tuned to the blog for updates in coming days…

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Watches Issued For Part Of Florida’s Coast

| August 30, 2016 @ 4:28 pm

The NHC track for Tropical Depression Nine has been shifted a little to the left… as it approaches they have issued a hurricane watch from the Anclote River to Indian Pass. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the Florida Gulf Coast west of Indian Pass to the Walton/Bay County line.

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Scroll down to the post below this one for a detailed look at what to expect on the Central Gulf Coast, and the Alabama weather situation…

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TD9 To Be Upgraded Soon; Alabama Mostly Dry

| August 30, 2016 @ 3:13 pm

RADAR CHECK: As expected, showers are pretty hard to find across Alabama this afternoon… most of them are around the U.S. 80 corridor… moving to the west…

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Temperatures are mostly in the low 90s.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: No real change; mostly sunny, hot days with highs in the 91-95 degree range; the chance of any one spot getting wet is only about one in eight. Showers will stay few and far between.

FRIDAY AND THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND: Drier, continental air will move into Alabama Friday, setting up a pretty nice Labor Day weekend. We expect mostly sunny days, lower humidity, and fair cooler nights. Highs 87-91; lows down in the 60s. In fact, some of the normally cooler spots could reach the upper 50s early Sunday morning for a little fall preview.

Dry weather will most likely continue into the middle of next week; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TOPIC: TROPICS: Quite a smorgasbord today… let’s take it one system at a time.

HURRICANE GASTON: Estimated winds are at 105 mph; Gaston is moving east in the open Atlantic. It could impact the Azores this weekend as a weakening system, but otherwise no impact to land.

INVEST 92L: The new wave in the far eastern Atlantic remains disorganized, but a pretty good chance it becomes better organized later this week on the journey westward. Models for now take this one north of the Caribbean, suggesting it won’t be a Gulf of Mexico threat, but it is simply way too early to know for sure. Just something to watch for now.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT: The system just east of the North Carolina Outer Banks remains disorganized. It will move out to sea tomorrow, and the Labor Day weekend looks great for the Atlantic coast.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE: The TD in the Gulf of Mexico looks better organized, and it will probably be upgraded to Tropical Storm Hermine soon. Not much change in thinking; it will move into North Florida Thursday evening…

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The main issue will be heavy rain across the Florida Peninsula; amounts of over 5 inches are likely. Also, dangerous surf and rip tides are likely as far west as Dauphin Island over the next 48 hours. The good news is that this system will move over into the Atlantic Friday, and will be long gone by the Labor Day weekend.

IMPACT ON THE CENTRAL GULF COAST: The main issue will be around Panama City Beach, and perhaps as far east as Destin on Thursday, when winds will increase as the tropical system gets closer. A few periods of rain are likely Thursday as well from Destin east. Also, note that dangerous rip tides are likely along the coastline from Gulf Shores to Panama City Beach through Thursday with red flags up already this afternoon.

The tropical system will be long gone by the Labor Day weekend; we project sunny days and fair nights Friday through Monday with only isolated showers. Highs on the immediate coast 87-90, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Friday night looks fantastic for high school football across Alabama with a clear sky and temperatures falling through the 70s. Humidity levels won’t be as bad as the first two weeks.

Auburn hosts Clemson Saturday night at Jordan-Hare Stadium (8:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear. Kickoff temperature near 78 degrees, falling into the low 70s by the final whistle.

Alabama will take on Southern Cal Saturday night at Arlington, Texas (8:00p CT kickoff)… a clear sky with temperatures falling from near 82 at kickoff, into the mid 70s by the end of the game.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the students at Glen Iris Baptist School in Birmingham… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early tomorrow morning by 7:00…

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Midday Nowcast: A Few Showers Out There; No Change in TD9 Yet

| August 30, 2016 @ 1:21 pm

simuawips

Radar

Hot and humid conditions out there at this hour for Central Alabama, with partly to mostly clear skies and only a few scattered showers down in the southeastern part of the area on the radar at this moment, especially from the Montgomery area along I-85 to the Georgia state line.. Of course the eyes are on Tropical Depression Nine to see if it is ever going to get its act together, and where exactly it is going to go.

TEMPERATURES AT THIS HOUR: Here is a list of temperature observations from across the area at this hour:

Birmingham 91
Tuscaloosa 91
Gadsden 91
Anniston 91
Cullman 88
Jasper 95
Alexander City 90
Selma 90
Montgomery 91

CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY: The Air Quality Index for the Birmingham Metropolitan Area is in the “Code Yellow” for particulate matter 2.5. Unusually sensitive people should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high for August 30th is 89, while the normal low is 67. The record high for today was set back in 1995 at 100. The record low was set back in 1992 at 54.

REMAINDER OF TODAY: Hot and humid for the remainder of the afternoon, with partly to mostly clear skies, and with a very slight chance of widely scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon highs will mostly be in the low to mid 90s. The odds of any one spot getting rain is about one in eight.

WEDNESDAY’S WEATHER: Same forecast on a different day… hot and humid, with partly to mostly clear skies, and with a very slight chance of widely scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon highs will mostly be in the low to mid 90s. The odds of any one spot getting rain is about one in eight.

HEADED TO THE BEACH: The weather generally looks great for the Central Gulf Coast through the Labor Day weekend, with mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only widely scattered showers. The exception is Thursday with that risk of rain for Panama City Beach due to the tropical system. However, rip tides are likely tomorrow and Thursday… the surf will settle down by the Labor Day weekend as TD 9 moves into the Atlantic and away from the region. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low to mid 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE: Deep convection once again increased in association with TD9 this morning, and satellite images show that very heavy rains continue over portions of western Cuba, where significant flooding is likely occurring. However, the overall organization of the system has not changed much since last night. There is little change to the forecast track, and some strengthening to tropical storm strength is expected before making landfall on the northern peninsula of Florida. Another Hurricane Hunter flight is scheduled this afternoon, so we’ll see what that report says.

REST OF THE TROPICS: There are two other systems on the board; Hurricane Gaston is packing estimated winds of 105 mph, Gaston is moving eastward, away from the U.S. It will be close to the Azores this weekend as a “post tropical” North Atlantic storm. Tropical Depression Eight is a disorganized system is just east of the Outer Banks of North Carolina; it will turn northeast out to sea today. Still some chance it becomes a tropical storm.

ON THIS DAY IN 1988: Thunderstorms drenched Georgia and the Carolinas with heavy rain, soaking Columbia, SC, with 4.10 inches in three hours. Fresno CA was the hot spot in the nation with a record high of 109 degrees. Duluth MN tied their record for the month of August with a morning low of 39 degrees.

THE BLOG IS ON TWITTER: Be sure to follow the Alabama Wx Weather Blog on Twitter. Just click here to start following our feed.

WEATHERBRAINS: This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

ADVERTISE WITH US: Deliver your message to a highly engaged audience by advertising on the AlabamaWX.com website. The site enjoyed 10.2 MILLION pageviews in the past 12 months. Don’t miss out! We can customize a creative, flexible and affordable package that will suit your organization’s needs. Contact Bill Murray at (205) 687-0782.

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Tropical Action Stays East Of Alabama

| August 30, 2016 @ 6:04 am

A GENERALLY DRY PATTERN: Alabama’s weather won’t change much today through Thursday; mostly sunny, hot days with only isolated afternoon and evening showers. Chance of any one spot getting wet each day is only about one in eight, and highs will be in the 91-95 degree range.

FRIDAY AND THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND: An upper trough over the eastern U.S. will help to pull down drier, continental air, setting up some pretty nice weather for the holiday weekend. Mostly sunny days, fair cooler nights, and lower humidity. Highs will drop back into the 88-91 degree range, with lows in the 60s. Some of the cooler pockets across North Alabama could see upper 50s by early Sunday morning.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: First off, Friday night looks fantastic for high school football across Alabama with a clear sky and temperatures falling through the 70s. Humidity levels won’t be as bad as the first two weeks.

Auburn hosts Clemson Saturday night at Jordan-Hare Stadium (8:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear. Kickoff temperature near 78 degrees, falling into the low 70s by the final whistle.

Alabama will take on Southern Cal Saturday night at Arlington, Texas (8:00p CT kickoff)… a clear sky with temperatures falling from near 82 at kickoff, into the mid 70s by the end of the game.

TROPICS: Things are pretty active, as you might expect in late August. Here is a breakdown on the action…

HURRICANE GASTON: Packing estimated winds of 100 mph, Gaston is moving eastward, away from the U.S. It will be close to the Azores this weekend as a “post tropical” North Atlantic storm.

INVEST 92L: A well organized wave emerged off the coast of Africa yesterday; it has a decent chance of becoming a tropical depression and storm in coming days as it makes the long journey across the Atlantic. Tropical models and the GFS suggest this will begin to gain latitude in about 3-4 days, staying north of the Caribbean. If this verifies, it will not be a Gulf of Mexico threat, and it remains to be seen if it recurves over the open Atlantic, or threatens the Atlantic Coast of the U.S. Just too early to know.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT: This disorganized system is just east of the Outer Banks of North Carolina; it will turn northeast out to sea today. Still some chance it becomes a tropical storm.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE: Down in the Southeast Gulf of Mexico, convection seems to be increasing, and there is a decent chance this becomes a tropical storm over the next 24-36 hours. The circulation center is expected to move into North Florida (somewhere between Apalachicola and Tampa) Thursday. The main impact of this will be rain, heavy at times for the Florida Peninsula (not the panhandle), and dangerous rip tides and rough surf. It moves out into the Atlantic Friday, and it will be long gone by the Labor Day weekend.

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Alabama will see no direct impact from TD 9, and the only impact on the Central Gulf Coast will come Thursday when Panama City Beach could see periods of rain and breezy conditions. The risk of rain from Destin west to Gulf Shores remains fairly low (as a direct result of this tropical system).

AT THE BEACH: The weather generally looks great for the Central Gulf Coast through the Labor Day weekend, with mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only widely scattered showers. The exception is Thursday with that risk of rain for Panama City Beach due to the tropical system. However, rip tides are likely tomorrow and Thursday… the surf will settle down by the Labor Day weekend as TD 9 moves into the Atlantic and away from the region. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low to mid 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be speaking at Glen Iris Baptist School today… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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WeatherBrains 554: Bracing For Impact

| August 30, 2016 @ 5:01 am

WeatherBrains Episode 554 is now online (August 29, 2016). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

This episode of WeatherBrains takes a look back on the 11th anniversary of Hurricane Katrina.

John Zarrella is this week’s guest WeatherBrain; he worked for CNN from 1981–2013. In addition to covering numerous hurricanes and tropical storms, he was the principal correspondent for CNN’s coverage of the U.S. space program, covering such events such as John Glenn’s 1998 return to space, the Mars Pathfinder mission and numerous space shuttle launches.

JohnZarrella

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 113 at Death Valley, CA, and 34 at Lake Yellowstone, WY, Truckee, CA, & West Yellowstone, MT
  • Heading into meteorological Fall but still hot
  • Tropical Atlantic has sprung into action
  • Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
  • and more!

Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

From The Weather Center:

WeatherBrains 101:

Listener SurveyListener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Web Sites from Episode 554:

NCDC report on Hurricane Katrina

To subscribe to the brand new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

Picks of the Week:

Nate Johnson – The Watch & Warning Rainbow

Bill Murray – National Weather Association WeatherReady Fest 2016

Kevin Selle – Drone data used to upgrade storm

Rick Smith – News organizations embarrassed with rotten weather reporting

James Spann – 30-minute tornado warnings?

Aubrey Urbanowicz – NOAA Hazard and Data Viewer

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

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Dry Pattern For Alabama; TD 9 Stays East

| August 29, 2016 @ 2:49 pm

RADAR CHECK: You can pretty much count the number of showers on radar this afternoon on one hand. They are small, short lived, and moving to the west…

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Away from the showers, the sky is partly to mostly sunny with temperatures in the 91-95 degree range.

The weather won’t change much tomorrow and Wednesday; lots of sun both days with only isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms, along with highs in the low to mid 90s.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: The ridge breaks down, and we should see a shot of drier, continental air by Thursday night and Friday. A few widely scattered showers or storms is possible Thursday afternoon and evening, but Friday looks rain-free as the dry air takes over. The humidity will be lower Friday, and conditions will be much more comfortable for high school football games Friday night. Not really cooler, but at least the humidity will be down.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: For Alabama we project mostly sunny days and fair nights Saturday through Monday. Highs 88-91, lows in the 60s. Some of the cooler spots across North Alabama could reach the upper 50s early Saturday morning.

And, the dry pattern looks to hold into the middle part of next week. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: First off, Friday night looks fantastic for high school football across Alabama with a clear sky and temperatures falling through the 70s. Humidity levels won’t be as bad as the first two weeks.

Auburn hosts Clemson Saturday night at Jordan-Hare Stadium (8:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear. Kickoff temperature near 78 degrees, falling into the low 70s by the final whistle.

Alabama will take on Southern Cal Saturday night at Arlington, Texas (8:00p CT kickoff)… a clear sky with temperatures falling from near 82 at kickoff, into the mid 70s by the end of the game.

TROPICS: Hurricane Gaston remains well organized in the Atlantic east of Bermuda, but it is moving eastward away from the U.S.

We note a well organized tropical wave is about to emerge off the coast of Africa; this has a good chance of developing over the Atlantic as it moves westward late this week and over the weekend. WAY too early to know if this recurves over the open water, or tries to make a run at the Greater Antilles or the U.S. Just something to watch.

Tropical Depression Eight remains very disorganized, but still some chance it becomes a minimal tropical storm in coming days. It will recurve just off the Outer Banks of North Carolina, and head back out to sea. The main impact will be rough surf, but this will be long gone by the Labor Day weekend.

Tropical Depression Nine in the Southeast Gulf of Mexico is also very disorganized. Still a chance it becomes a tropical storm over the next 48 hours…. it will turn eastward, with the broad center moving into North Florida Thursday. Then, it continues moving moving out over the open Atlantic, and it will be long gone by the Labor Day weekend as well (at least as far as the Southeast U.S. is concerned).

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*TD 9 will have no direct impact on Alabama, although it will help to pull down drier air late this week.

*The main issue with the system is rain for the Florida Peninsula (not the panhandle), and dangerous surf/rip tides. Most of the rain over the Florida Peninsula will fall today through Thursday. The rain won’t be continuous, however, and the sun will be out at times.

*TD 9 will be well off in the Atlantic by the Labor Day weekend; nothing but the routine risk of “widely scattered thunderstorms” for Florida with a good supply of sunshine by then. Even for places like Orlando, Tampa, and Daytona Beach.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Generally speaking, the weather looks fine on the Central Gulf Coast (Gulf Shores east to Panama City Beach) this weekend, and over the holiday weekend with 7 to 9 hours of sunshine daily and only widely scattered showers. The exception will be at Panama City Beach Thursday as TD 9 passes just to the south… periods of rain are likely on that one day. And, also keep in mind there will be potential for rip tides along the coast this week, especially tomorrow, Wednesday, and Thursday. But, the surf will settle down for the weekend. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with low 90s inland. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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