Find us on Google+

Showers Few And Far Between Through Sunday

| 6:23 am June 30, 2016

CALM SUMMER WEATHER: On the maps this morning a surface boundary is near U.S. 80 (Demopolis to Selma to Montgomery to Opelika)… drier air is over North Alabama, and temperatures have reached the upper 50s at places like Cullman and Fort Payne. Our Skywatcher at Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden, reports 58 degrees at daybreak. Accordingly, the best chance of a pop up afternoon storm today will be south of that front, over the southern counties of Alabama.

The chance of a shower for North Alabama is not zero, but the risk is so small for any one given point that we won’t mention it in the forecast. The high today will be at or just over 90 degrees in most spots with a partly to mostly sunny sky.

TOMORROW THROUGH SUNDAY: The surface boundary over Central Alabama will slowly lose it’s identity, but the air over the northern half of the state will remain pretty dry for early July. We will mention “isolated storms” during the afternoon and evening hours, but many communities will remain dry on these three days. The chance of any one spot getting wet each afternoon is about one in five. Heat levels will creep up, with highs in the 92-96 degree range.

MONDAY: Another surface front will approach from the north, and we expect an increase in the number of scattered showers and storms for Independence Day. Still, no “wash-out”… just be ready for a passing storm if you have something planned outside.

And, the rest of next week looks pretty routine with hot, humid days and the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and storms”. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2016063000_min_max_16

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is still very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the holiday weekend.

AT THE BEACH: Pretty standard summer weather for the Gulf Coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through the weekend; about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with the usual risk of a passing storm from time to time. Highs will be in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with 90s inland.

To clear up confusion, there is no “flesh eating bacteria” in the Gulf waters of Northwest Florida or South Alabama… please read this well written article by Jeremy Pate of WJHG-TV in Panama City that explains the situation very clearly.

See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Comments

Quiet Weather Through Friday

| 3:14 pm June 29, 2016

RADAR CHECK: As expected, most of the showers and storms are over the southern half of Alabama this afternoon…

Screen Shot 2016-06-29 at 3.07.13 PM

The storms are moving slowly southward, and will dissipate later tonight. Temperatures are mostly in the 89-92 degree range, and lower dew points are slipping into the northern counties.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: While the chance of rain is not zero, most of North/Central Alabama will be dry on these two days; early mornings will be a bit cooler thanks to the drier air. Some of the valleys could reach the upper 50s early tomorrow and Friday morning; most places will be in the 60s. The high tomorrow will be close to 90, followed by low 90s Friday afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms will be mostly confined to the southern half of the state, and even there they should be widely scattered.

FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND: Not much change Saturday and Sunday. Partly sunny days with the risk of widely scattered afternoon and evening showers or thunderstorms; afternoon highs will be in the 91-95 degree range. We do expect to see an increase in the number of scattered thunderstorms Monday (July 4) with the approach of a surface front; Monday’s high will be in the low 90s. No “wash-out”, but a passing storm is a decent possibility Monday, especially during the afternoon hours.

The rest of next week should feature rather typical summer weather with hot humid days, and the risk of scattered storms. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is quiet; no tropical storm formation is expected through the holiday weekend.

AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through the Fourth of July with the usual risk of scattered showers and storms each day. Highs will be in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Comments

Midday Nowcast: Rain To The South, Drier Air Moving In Today

| 11:55 am June 29, 2016

simuawips

Skies across much of Central Alabama are clear with a few cumulus clouds floating overhead. Radar at this point is dry for areas north of a line from Demopolis to Selma to Montgomery to Opelika. South of that line, scattered showers are almost affecting at least some part of each county.

TEMPERATURES AT THIS HOUR: You can tell on the observations map where cloud cover and rainfall is affecting temperatures. In the northern half of the state, temperatures are up in the mid to upper 80s. In the southern half of the state, low to mid 80s can be found. Here is a list of temperature observations from around the state:

Birmingham: 87
Anniston: 89
Tuscaloosa: 88
Muscle Shoals: 84
Huntsville: 88
Alexander City: 88
Montgomery: 81
Dothan: 85
Mobile: 84

HRRR Model: Dewpoints valid at midnight.

HRRR Model: Dewpoints valid at midnight.

TODAY’S WEATHER: Drier air is moving into North Alabama, and the dewpoints will start to fall this afternoon and evening. Skies will be generally clear, with just a few cumulus clouds hiding the sunshine every now and then. Even though rain chances for the area is not exactly zero, best chances will stay around or below the U.S. 80 and I-85 corridors. Afternoon highs will be at or near 90.

CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY: The Air Quality Index for the Birmingham Metropolitan Area will be in the “Code Yellow” (moderate range) for ozone and particulate matter. People who are unusually sensitive should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high for June 29th is 90, while the normal low is 70. The record high for today was set back in 1931 at 106. The record low was set back in 1974 at 57.

THURSDAY’S WEATHER: Lower dewpoints and more stable air will be over much of North and Central Alabama tomorrow. Rain chances will stay confined to the southern part of the state. Skies will be mostly clear to partly cloudy, with highs at or near 90.

HEADED TO THE BEACH: Pretty standard summer weather continues on the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through the Fourth of July weekend. About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

THE TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the holiday weekend.

WEATHERBRAINS: This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. This week, we talked Oklahoma weather with the folks from OK First. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

ADVERTISE WITH US: Deliver your message to a highly engaged audience by advertising on the AlabamaWX.com website. The site enjoyed 10.2 MILLION pageviews in the past 12 months. Don’t miss out! We can customize a creative, flexible and affordable package that will suit your organization’s needs. Contact me, Bill Murray, at (205) 687-0782 and let’s talk.

Comments

Birmingham NOAA Weatheradio Getting an Upgrade

| 9:54 am June 29, 2016

WR-120_Radio_1-600x4001-600x400a

From our Partner John DeBlock at the National Weather Service Birmingham.

Some notes from John:

1) NWS Birmingham will upgrade NOAA Weather Radio systems at Noon on Tuesday to replace aging equipment.

2) NOAA Weather Radio listeners do not need to do anything on their receivers.

At Noon on Tuesday, NWS Birmingham will “flip the switch” on an upgrade to the software and hardware systems in our office that processes our text products from text to voice, and broadcasts the messages over the phone lines to the 10 transmitters in Central Alabama.

The system currently in place (Console Replacement System, or CRS) is based on technology from the 80s, and the custom built equipment has long passed its usage time and MUST be replaced.

The new system (Broadcast Message Handler, or BMH) replaces that hardware based system with a software system that works on an off-the-shelf PC. We have already successfully tested the new BMH on both the Birmingham and Montgomery transmitters without any significant issues, and we have every reason to believe this switch will be uneventful.

Perhaps the most important piece of information for you is that NOAA Weather Radio listeners do not need to change a thing on their receiver to continue to receive our broadcasts. The way the transmitters and receivers work has NOT changed.

Having said that, with any change or upgrade, there will be an adjustment period as we fine-tune the software to our local operations. Most notably, some of the pronunciations of local towns and other geographic references may need to be adjusted. Unfortunately, it’s impossible to work out all the mispronunciations ahead of time, as automated voice software often will pronounce words differently when they are spoken in context.

We will work as diligently as possible to correct mispronunciations as we become aware of them. For instance, the system generated my last name as “Delaware Block”! I have been assured that it has been corrected.

If you have any problems, please call the NWS forecast staff at 205-664-3010 and then press option 2. Alternatively, feel free to refer them to me at (205) 664-3010, extension 223, or Meteorologist-in-Charge Jim Stefkovich at (205) 664-3010, extension 222.

Similarly, if you have questions or comments, don’t hesitate to contact our staff, Jim or myself at the numbers above.
Thanks for all you do!

John

Comments

Drier Air Slowly Works In From The North

| 6:25 am June 29, 2016

QUIET WEATHER: Dewpoints will slowly drop over the northern half of Alabama over the next 24 hours, meaning the air will be drier and more stable. Accordingly, we expect most of the scattered showers and storms to come over the southern half of the state each day through Friday.

Understand the chance of a shower over North Alabama is not zero, but the chance of any one spot seeing rain is so small we won’t mention it in the forecast. Days will be partly to mostly sunny, nights mostly fair. The high today and tomorrow will be close to 90, with low 90s Friday afternoon.

Down across South Alabama, showers and storms are possible, but they will be pretty widely spaced.

FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND: Moisture levels will slowly rise, and we will mention the chance of widely scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday. Otherwise, partly sunny, hot, humid weather will be the story with highs in the 92-95 degree range. We do expect to see an increase in the coverage of scattered showers and storms Monday as a surface front approaches from the north. Still, Monday won’t be a “wash-out”.

Then, the rest of next week looks like we will deal with very routine summer weather. Partly sunny days with the risk of afternoon/evening storms in scattered spots. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the holiday weekend.

two_atl_2d0

Interesting to note the Northern Hemisphere has been hurricane-free since Jan 16, the second time on record (since 1950) this has occurred.

AT THE BEACH: Pretty standard summer weather continues on the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through the Fourth of July weekend. About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

Photo below was taken early this morning at Navarre Beach from @cindiglenn

cindiglenn_2016-Jun-29

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program this morning at Stephens Elementary in Alexander City… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Comments

Mostly Dry Tomorrow Through Friday

| 3:25 pm June 28, 2016

RADAR CHECK: As expected, the majority of showers and storms across Alabama this afternoon are south of I-20; drier air is filtering into the northern counties. Heat levels are way down; temperatures are in the 80s in most places thanks to a persistent cloud cover.

Screen Shot 2016-06-28 at 3.20.29 PM

Tonight will be mostly fair; showers over Central and South Alabama will end soon after dark.

TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY: These days will be generally shower-free over the northern half of the state; we expect mostly sunny days and fair nights; highs will be generally in the low 90s, and humidity values will be a bit lower tomorrow and Thursday. Any showers will be confined to the southern counties of the state, and even there they will be pretty widely scattered.

FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND: Not much change Saturday and Sunday; moisture levels will slowly rise, and a few afternoon showers or storms could pop up, but they should be few and far between. Days will be partly to mostly sunny with a high in the low 90s. Scattered showers and storms will be a little more numerous on Monday (July 4), but even then it won’t be a “wash-out”.

Then, for the rest of next week we expect very routine summer weather with partly sunny, hot, humid days and the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs will be in the low to mid 90s, close to average values for July in Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: All remains quiet across the Atlantic basin, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the Fourth of July weekend.

AT THE BEACH: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily on the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach with the daily threat of scattered thunderstorms. Highs will be close to 90 on the immediate coast, with low to mid 90s inland. Very typical weather for late June and early July. The sea water temperature this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 87 degrees. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Comments

Midday Nowcast: Cloudy, Cooler, and Some Showers Possible

| 12:04 pm June 28, 2016

simuawips

Currently on the visible satellite image, clouds are stretching across much of north and central Alabama, with a few also covering the skies in the southwestern part of the state. The rest of the state are enjoying mostly clear skies.

Untitled

Currently on the radar, a decent shower is located over the north and central parts of Greene County and stretching over into west-central Hale County. A few more light showers are located in western Marion and extreme northern Lamar Counties, with another shower located in northwestern Marshall County.

TODAY’S WEATHER: For most areas in Central Alabama, skies will be mostly cloudy. A weak stationary boundary that stretches across the state from west to east is located near the I-85 and U.S. 80 corridor. It will start to move southward as a front will be making its way into the state later this evening. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop around and along the boundary, especially south of I-20, but instability for Central Alabama will be capped and storms will not be all that strong. Afternoon highs will be held in check today and will only reach the upper 80s to near 90.

CODE YELLOW AIR QUALITY: The Air Quality Index for the Birmingham Metropolitan Area will be in the “Code Yellow” (moderate range) for ozone and particulate matter. People who are unusually sensitive should consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

TODAY’S CLIMATOLOGY FOR BIRMINGHAM: The normal high for June 28th is 89, while the normal low is 68. The record high for today was set back in 1931 at 104. The record low was set back in 1968 at 53.

WEDNESDAY’S WEATHER: For the northern half of the state, partly to mostly sunny skies, with drier air and generally rain-free. Afternoon highs will be at or near 90. Any shower activity will be confined to the southern parts of the state, and even there they should be isolated in nature.

HEADED TO THE BEACH: Routine summer weather continues through the Fourth of July weekend on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores. About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily with the risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs 87-90 on the immediate coast, with low to mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

THE TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the holiday weekend.

WEATHERBRAINS: This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists at ABC 33/40. Last night, we talked Oklahoma weather with the folks from OK First. You can listen anytime on the web, or on iTunes. You can find it here.

ADVERTISE WITH US: Deliver your message to a highly engaged audience by advertising on the AlabamaWX.com website. The site enjoyed 10.2 MILLION pageviews in the past 12 months. Don’t miss out! We can customize a creative, flexible and affordable package that will suit your organization’s needs. Contact me, Bill Murray, at (205) 687-0782 and let’s talk.

Comments

Drier Air Arrives Tonight

| 6:17 am June 28, 2016

RADAR CHECK: We have a few light showers over North Alabama as the begins… moving east…

Screen Shot 2016-06-28 at 6.06.31 AM

We will maintain the chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms today, but by afternoon, drier air will cover the northern third of the state, and the highest coverage of showers and storms will shift down into the areas south of I-20.

today_5p_pwat

The high today will be close to 90 degree, but come places won’t get out of the 80s since showers are forming earlier in the day.

TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY: Dry air will cover the northern half of the state on these three days, and we expect generally shower-free conditions with partly to mostly sunny days and fair nights. Highs will be close to 90 tomorrow and Thursday, with low 90s Friday. Showers will be confined to the southern part of the state, and even there they should be pretty widely spaced.

FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND: Moisture slowly returns, but it still looks Saturday and Sunday will be mostly dry with only widely scattered afternoon showers. Scattered showers and storms should be a little more numerous on Monday (July 4), but even then it certainly won’t be a “wash out”. Temperatures will be seasonal for early July with highs in the low to mid 90s.

Then, the rest of next week looks very routine for mid-summer with hot, humid days and the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Highs will be in the 90s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation it not expected through the holiday weekend.

AT THE BEACH: Routine summer weather continues through the Fourth of July weekend on the coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores. About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily with the risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs 87-90 on the immediate coast, with low to mid 90s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be doing a safety meeting for ALAGASCO today in Gadsden… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Comments

WeatherBrains 545: Longhorn in the Office

| 5:15 am June 28, 2016

WeatherBrains Episode 545 is now online (June 27, 2016). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

James Hocker, OK-FirstOur first Guest WeatherBrains is James Hocker, OK-First Program Manager. In this capacity, James serves as a lead instructor at all OK-First classes, develops training content, provides input and direction for software and tool development, and manages the program budget. The program is about 20 years old. James has B.S. and M.S. degrees in meteorology from the University of Oklahoma.

Andrea Melvin, OK-FirstAnd our second guest WeatherBrains also comes from OK-First. Andrea Melvin is the Outreach Program Coordinator for OK-First. She serves as instructor at many OK-First certification and re-certification classes and develops laboratory exercises and case studies for use at OK-First classes. Andrea has a B.S. degree in meteorology from the University of Oklahoma.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 124 at Death Valley, CA, and 31 at Leadville, CO
  • Severe weather along eastern slope of Rockies
  • June 23, 2016, Tornado killed 99 in China
  • Atlantic Basin quiet for now
  • Tropical cyclone in Arabian Sea
  • Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
  • and more!

Our email bag officer is AWOL again but we have to let her off on this one since her excuse is the horrific weather in her area during the last week.

From The Weather Center:

WeatherBrains 101: This occurrence has not happened for nearly 50 years and will not happen again until 2062. It was the coincidence of a June full moon and the summer solstice and the moon has a special name.

Listener SurveyListener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Web Sites from Episode 545:

OK-First web site

NWA 41st Annual Meeting

To subscribe to the brand new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

Picks of the Week:

Justin Gehrts – Twitter feed for NWSPodunk

Nate Johnson – OK Mesonet Twitter

Bill Murray – Hazard Mapping System Fire and Smoke Product

Brian Peters – Your chance to own “Dorothy” from Twister

Rick Smith – Science of Mammatus Clouds

James Spann – GOES Project Science

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

Audible.com graphic

Comments

Flash Flood Warning for Jefferson County

| 5:07 pm June 27, 2016

Storms continue to intensify over the Birmingham Metro and some areas have picked up 1 to 2 inches of rain. The NWS has gone ahead and issued a flash flood warning.

The bright green polygon is the warning.

Remember, turn around, don’t drown.

2016-06-27_17-09-38

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR…
NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 800 PM CDT

* AT 506 PM CDT…DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO ONE INCH OF RAIN HAS
ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY WITH
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE…
BIRMINGHAM…HOOVER…VESTAVIA HILLS…HOMEWOOD…MOUNTAIN BROOK…
GARDENDALE…FAIRFIELD…FULTONDALE…CENTER POINT…PINSON…
TARRANT…MIDFIELD…BRIGHTON…KIMBERLY…LIPSCOMB…MORRIS…
TRAFFORD…COUNTY LINE…B.J.C.C. AND BIRMINGHAM AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

TURN AROUND…DON’T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

Comments