Quick Check Of Our Weather At 2:00PM

RADAR CHECK
At the 2 o’clock hour across Central Alabama, it is still relatively quiet at this point. We do have a few scattered showers popping up in all four corners, but all of these are still relatively small and not terribly strong at this point.

As mentioned earlier, the SPC has reduced the overall risk for Central Alabama from slight to marginal earlier today. There is still a potential for a few cells becoming strong to severe, with the main threat coming from damaging wind gust from potential downbursts.

As the highs are going to reach the upper 80s to the lower 90s across the area, the airmass across the area will become even more unstable with surface CAPE values reaching the 2500-3500 J/kg range, meaning the potential for strong updrafts leading to strong storm development will be there.

Downburst CAPE values will still be close to 1000 J/kg, and that is where the risk for damaging downburst winds will come from.

Organized severe weather will be very unlikely due to any large-scale forcing being well far enough away to not be a factor.

Even with that being said, the potential for trees being blown down by strong winds will be there due to the saturated soil that we have because of all of the rainfall we’ve had over the past 2 weeks.

There will still be a risk of flash flooding as well with the ground being saturated. With QPF values nearing the 2 inch mark, heavy downpours will be possible in the stronger storms that could put down up to 2 inches of rainfall.

And, of course, with any summertime thunderstorms, dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning will be likely with these storms.

The risk for any strong to severe storms will gradually decrease during the early evening hours.

We will continue to have frequent updates and immediate alerts for warnings here on the AlabamaWX blog.

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Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS