Warm, Dry Conditions for Week Ahead

Alabama is sandwiched between clouds over the Florida Peninsula and clouds over Arkansas, but the Alabama sky remained clear this morning. The cold front which was moving through Central Alabama will be washing out, and while we’ll see some clouds late this morning and during the afternoon we should remain dry with highs in the lower and middle 80s. Great day and evening for football.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Auburn will host Mississippi State today at Jordan-Hare Stadium with a 5:00 pm CDT kickoff. There will be some clouds in the sky at the start of the game, but the sky will clear with temperatures falling from 78 degrees at the start of the game to near 73 by the final whistle. Alabama will host the Ole Miss Rebels tonight in Tuscaloosa with an 8:00 pm CDT kickoff. The sky will be partly cloudy with temperatures will fall from near 78 at kickoff to near 70 by the end of the fourth quarter.

The tropics remain somewhat active with Lee and Maria heading into the sunset over the North Atlantic. Two areas of disturbed weather, one over Florida and one near Puerto Rico, are not expected to develop for the next several days due in part to upper level shear as well as proximity to land.

The latest 06Z run of the GFS depicts a dry week ahead for Alabama thanks primarily to upper level ridging together with surface high pressure. The surface high over Great Lakes this morning will slide to the east Sunday setting up a wedge pattern especially for Georgia. I usually like to see a strong high to create a wedge strong enough to impact eastern Alabama, but with the front washing out, we will see at least marginal impacts so look for highs to be mainly in the upper 70s on Sunday.

The upper ridge builds stronger through Wednesday while we maintain a surface high nosing into the Southeast US from the New England states and the North Atlantic. This should keep the weather dry with warm afternoons as highs climb each day into the lower 80s.

A strong upper trough moving from Idaho on Wednesday to the Central Great Lakes by Saturday will help to dampen the upper ridge over the Southeast US. This will bring a cold front into the Central US next Saturday with the potential for some chance of rain by Sunday. There are model differences between the Euro and the GFS.

Rainfall through early next Thursday is projected to be zero across a sizable chunk of the Southeast US as fairly typical dry Fall weather holds sway for us.

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Looking out into voodoo country, there is a shot at some showers and storms in the Sunday/Monday time frame with a strong trough moving across the eastern US. But by October 11th we’re back under an upper ridge which generally holds through the 18th of October as the main storm track remains well north of Alabama.

I’ll have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted here first thing on Sunday morning. Have a great day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

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