Fantastic Fall Weather

| October 18, 2017 @ 5:51 am

ANOTHER CHILLY MORNING: Our Skywatcher at Black Creek, Vic Bell, reports 37 degrees early this morning just before sunrise. Black Creek is in a bowl atop Lookout Mountain northeast of Gadsden, and is traditionally one of the cooler spots in the state. Most locations are in the 40s this morning with a clear sky.

We expect another cloudless sky today with temperatures reaching the mid 70s this afternoon. And, no real change tomorrow and Friday… mostly sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights. Highs in the upper 70s both days, early morning lows in the upper 40s for most communities.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Winds veer around to the south Saturday; the day will be partly to mostly sunny with a high around 80 degrees. Then, on Sunday, we will bring in the chance of widely scattered showers by afternoon, but rain is more likely Sunday night into at least part of the day Monday ahead of an advancing cold front.

We note SPC has parts of Texas and Oklahoma under a severe weather risk on Saturday, but for now severe storms are not expected in Alabama with this system. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch look likely, with most of the rain coming from around 6:00 p.m. Sunday through 6:00 p.m. Monday.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: A great night for high school games Friday night; the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from near 72 degrees at kickoff, into the low 60s by the final whistle.

Saturday, Alabama hosts the Tennessee Volunteers (2:30p CT kickoff) at Bryant-Denny Stadium… the game will be played under a partly sunny sky. About 80 degrees at kickoff; mid 70s by the fourth quarter as the sun begins to fade in the west.

Auburn travels to Fayetteville, Arkansas to take on the Razorbacks (6:30p CT kickoff)… we will need to mention a chance of showers and thunderstorms during the game. Temperatures will fall from near 70 degrees at kickoff, to near 60 degrees by the fourth quarter. We will be able to fine tune the specific chance of rain during the game later in the week; there is a chance the most widespread rain holds off until the late night hours.

UAB will also be on the road; they take on the Charlotte 49ers Saturday (5:30p CT kickoff)… expect a clear sky with temperatures falling from near 71 degrees at kickoff into the low 60s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: There is model disagreement about the weather on Tuesday; the GFS suggests a wave forms on the surface front and keeps out weather wet, while the Euro (ECMWF) model brings in cooler, drier air on Tuesday. We will side with the drier solution on Tuesday for now, the rest of the week looks cool and dry with highs mostly in the 60s and lows in the 40s.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin remains quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected this week.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page. The Beach Forecast is partially underwritten by the support of Brett/Robinson Vacation Rentals in Gulf Shores and Orange Beach. Click here to see Brett/Robinson’s Hot Deals now!

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I will be doing a severe weather safety program this morning at a meeting of the American Society of Safety Engineers in Birmingham… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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