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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| July 4, 2018 @ 3:03 pm

SUMMARY…Scattered convection continues to increase in coverage and will pose an isolated/brief damaging wind threat through the afternoon. A WW issuance is not anticipated.

DISCUSSION…Scattered, forward-propagating thunderstorms have increased over the past hour or so. These storms are in an environment characterized by strong (3000-4000+ J/kg MUCAPE) and deep easterly flow through the lower troposphere – maximized at around 25-30 kts around 700 mb. The easterly flow was supporting westward-moving clusters of storms that may pose a brief damaging wind threat through the early evening. This threat will be too isolated for a Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance.

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Category: ALL POSTS, MescoScale Discussions

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