SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SUMMARY…A few strong wind gusts are possible, mainly across Okaloosa and Walton Counties in the FL Panhandle over the next hour as a bowing line segment moves inland. The overall threat is expected to remain marginal and a watch is not anticipated.

DISCUSSION…A bowing line segment has intensified over the Gulf, just offshore from Okaloosa County FL. As the bow tracks northeast at around 40 mph early this morning, a few strong wind gusts around 40-50 mph will be possible. Based on latest velocity data from KEVX, low level inhibition is likely reducing severe wind potential as velocity continues to decrease as the bow moves inland closer to the radar. Additional weakening with time is expected due to weak instability and a strengthening low level inversion away from the immediate coast. The strongest gusts will likely remain confined to areas closer to the coast for this reason. Given the marginal nature of the threat, a watch is not expected.

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