Some Rain Tomorrow; Strong Storms Monday Night

CLOUDY, COOL DAY: A deck of mid/high levels clouds covers Alabama this afternoon, on the top side of the circulation of Tropical Storm Nestor in the Gulf of Mexico. Temperatures are only in the low to mid 60s in many areas; about 10 degrees below average for mid-October in Alabama.

To the south, rain has moved into Mobile and Baldwin counties, and that rain shield will move up into other parts of South Alabama in coming hours.

NESTOR: Tropical Storm Nestor has formed in the Gulf of Mexico with 60 mph winds. Landfall comes early tomorrow over the Florida Panhandle.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Mississippi/Alabama border to Yankeetown Florida
* Grand Isle Louisiana to the Mouth of the Pearl River

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* Indian Pass Florida to Clearwater Beach Florida

There is a danger of storm surge inundation of up to 5 feet above ground level beginning later today along the Florida Gulf Coast from Indian Pass to Clearwater Beach, where a Storm Surge Warning is in effect. Residents in these areas should follow advice given by local officials.

Tropical storm force winds are likely later today and tonight along portions of the central and eastern Gulf Coast, where tropical storm warnings are in effect. Regardless of the exact track and intensity of the system, these winds will cover a large area, especially east of the center.

Isolated flash flooding is possible along the central and eastern Gulf Coast and the southeast United States coast through Saturday night.

ALABAMA IMPACT: The heaviest rain in Alabama will come over the southeast corner off the state, where places like Dothan could see 1-2 inches through tomorrow. Winds across Southeast Alabama will gust to 30/40 mph tomorrow. For the rest of Alabama, look for some light rain at times tomorrow with temperatures holding in the cool 60s.

Sunday will be dry and warmer; look for a partly sunny sky with a high in the mid to upper 70s.

STRONG STORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK: Monday will be mild and breezy, and a cold front will bring a band of showers and strong thunderstorms to the state Monday night. SPC much of Northwest and West Alabama in a severe weather risk in their “Day Four” outlook for Monday/Monday night…

For now it looks like the main threat will come from strong, possibly damaging winds with the thunderstorms along the front. We will have a much better assessment of the situation over the weekend when the tropical system moves out of the region.

The middle of next week will be dry and pleasant, then more rain and storms will arrive by Friday with another fairly robust mid-latitude weather system. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school games tonight, dry weather is expected over the northern half of Alabama with temperatures around 60 degrees. But, to the south, rain is good possibility for the southern quarter of Alabama as the tropical storm approaches.

Auburn travels to Fayetteville, Arkansas to take on the Razorbacks tomorrow (11:00a CT kickoff)… showers are possible during the first half of the game. The kickoff temperature will be close to 64 degrees, rising into the upper 60s by the final whistle.

Alabama will host Tennessee tomorrow night at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa (8:00p CT kickoff)… the weather will be dry with a clearing sky. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 60s. A little light rain is possible during the day, before the game.

UAB hosts Old Dominion tomorrow afternoon at Legion Field in Birmingham (3:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly cloudy, and some light rain is possible during the game. Kickoff temperature will be near 66 degrees, falling back into the low 60s by the final whistle.

Jacksonville State hosts Southeast Missouri State tomorrow (3:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly cloudy; rain is possible. Temperatures will fall from near 64 at kickoff, into the upper 50s by the fourth quarter.

ON THIS DATE IN 2005: Hurricane Wilma developed a tiny, well-defined eye and began intensifying rapidly, reaching Category 5 strength with a record-setting pressure of 882 millibars by October 19. The rapid intensification from a tropical storm to Category 5 hurricane in 24 hours was the fastest ever recorded in the Atlantic Ocean, and the second-fastest worldwide, after Super Typhoon Forrest.

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Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… enjoy the weekend!

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