Scattered Strong Storms Likely, but Watch Unlikely

| June 23, 2020 @ 12:17 pm

Mesoscale Discussion 0979
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1201 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2020

Areas affected…central Arkansas into northern Mississippi and
southwest Tennessee

Concerning…Severe potential…Watch unlikely

Valid 231701Z – 231930Z

Probability of Watch Issuance…20 percent

SUMMARY…Scattered strong storms are likely to persist this
afternoon as they travel east/southeast, with marginal wind and hail

DISCUSSION…Moderate instability has developed from AR into MS
where areas of heating persist. Isolated cells are rapidly
developing near the weak surface trough, which is also just ahead of
a small MCS emanating northeastward from the earlier TX system.

Storm coverage is likely to increase today, spreading east out of AR
into MS and possibly southwest TN. Locally damaging wind gusts
appear to be the main threat, with isolated marginal hail possible.
Shear will remain weak, but 20+ kt westerlies aloft will help to get
storms moving east/southeast.

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Montgomery Television Meteorologist and long time Contributor on AlabamaWX. Stormchaser. I did not choose Weather, it chose Me. College Football Fanatic. @Ryan_Stinnet

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