A Decent Bit of Scattered Showers Out There at Midday

| July 7, 2020 @ 12:42 pm

At 11:55 am, we have a decent amount of scattered shower activity mainly south of I-20 and north of I-85, but there are a few showers across the northern parts of the area as well. The larger cluster of showers was located from Coosa and Elmore counties east and southeastward into Tallapoosa, Chambers, and Lee counties. At the moment, it doesn’t look like there are any cloud-to-ground lightning strikes occurring.

Temperatures across the area at this time were in the mid-70s to the mid-80s. Birmingham was sitting at 83 degrees. Auburn was the cool spot at 75 degrees while Gadsden, Troy, and Talladega were tied at 85 as the warm spots. Jasper is reporting 90 degrees but we know that station has issues with correctly reporting temperatures. It’s usually around 4-8 degrees too warm… and considering the nearest points are in the lower 80s, Jasper is probably around 82 degrees as well.

For the rest of the daylight hours today, it will be mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms becoming more likely as we move into the afternoon hours. While one or two storms may briefly ramp up and become strong with gusty winds, widespread severe storms are not expected today. Afternoon highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, but some locations may struggle to reach that with rain-cooled air. We’ll continue to have mostly cloudy skies tonight and through the overnight with showers and storms decreasing in coverage, but remaining likely over the extreme eastern locations. Lows will be in the lower to mid-70s.

Don’t expect much change for your Wednesday as it will be warm and humid with showers and thunderstorms becoming likely once again mainly during the afternoon and early evening hours. Highs will once again be in the mid to upper 80s.

Thursday and Friday will be hot and humid days with the coverage of showers and thunderstorms being a little less than what we’ll see today and tomorrow. We may have a better chance for stronger storms on Thursday as drier air aloft will move over the unstable air mass at the surface. Activity will be greatest during the afternoon and early evening hours. Thursday’s highs will be in the upper 80s to the lower 90s while it will be in the lower 90s across the area on Friday.

Higher heat and high humidity levels will start to make it feel really awful outdoors during the weekend unless you love wearing the air. Along with the heat, we’ll continue to have that drier air aloft above the humid and unstable air mass at the surface which will bring the possibility of stronger to severe storms into the forecast on both days. Models are also hinting at the potential of MCSs working through the area late Saturday night and into Sunday. Highs will be in the lower to mid-90s on both days with heat indices in the 100-105 degree range. Take it easy if having to be outdoors.

The area of low pressure that is currently over Georgia will get close and may actually move over the water right offshore of the Carolinas later this week. If that occurs, some tropical development may occur and we could have our sixth tropical depression of the year. NHC is giving it a 40% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within the next five days. No threats to the Alabama Gulf Coast.

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Severe Weather, Tropical

About the Author ()

Scott Martin is an operational meteorologist, professional graphic artist, musician, husband, and father. Not only is Scott a member of the National Weather Association, but he is also the Central Alabama Chapter of the NWA president. Scott is also the co-founder of Racecast Weather, which provides forecasts for many racing series across the USA. He also supplies forecasts for the BassMaster Elite Series events including the BassMaster Classic.

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