Active Pattern Continues; Much Colder Early Next Week

| November 25, 2020 @ 2:45 pm

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video; we are on a holiday schedule**

THIS AFTERNOON: A large mass of rain has been moving across Alabama today. Heavier showers are pushing into East and Southeast Alabama this afternoon with gusty winds, but there has been no severe weather so far today. The persistent rain has keep temperatures cool, and accordingly the airmass remains stable. We do note the sky is partially clearing this afternoon over the northwest part of the state.

The lack of surface based instability will greatly limit the chance of any severe thunderstorms this evening as a cold front pushes into the state. Still, SPC maintains a low end “marginal risk” (level 1/5) for parts of the state through the evening.

Any storms that form along the front could produce gusty winds, but again the overall severe weather threat is low tonight.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: Dry air will drop southward into North and Central Alabama tomorrow; Thanksgiving Day will be dry and pleasant. The high will be close to 70 degrees with a partly sunny sky. A few showers are still possible south of the stalled front over far South Alabama, but even there rain amounts will be light and spotty.

Much of the day Friday will be dry, but clouds will increase, and rain is possible Friday night as yet another wave moves along the front. New model data suggests the most widespread rain Friday night will fall over the southern half of the state. Friday will be mild with a high in the low to mid 70s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday looks dry and pleasant for most of the state; the sky will be partly sunny with a high in the mid 60s. Any showers will be over the southern-most part of the state. Clouds increase Sunday, and rain becomes widespread late Sunday afternoon and Sunday night as yet another wave moves along the stalled front. This will bring potential for some heavy rain to the state Sunday night and early Monday, along with the chance of strong storms for South Alabama. Rain amounts of 1-2 inches are likely.

NEXT WEEK: A deep, cold core upper low will settle into the region Monday, and much colder air will roll into the state with an icy north wind. Temperatures will likely fall through the 40s during the day, reaching the 30s over the northern quarter of the state. The day will be cloudy with a chance of light rain or drizzle, even some risk of snow flurries over parts of North Alabama late Monday and Monday night as the cold air continues to deepen. For now any accumulation or impact seems very unlikely.

The sky will clear Tuesday, and the high will be only in the 40-44 degree range for North/Central Alabama. We drop well down into the 20s early Wednesday. The rest of the week will be dry with a slow warming trend.

IRON BOWL: For Saturday’s Auburn/Alabama game in Tuscaloosa (2:30p CT kickoff), the sky will be partly sunny with temperatures falling from near 65 at kickoff to near 60 by the fourth quarter. Rain is not expected; the day now looks dry.

HIGH SCHOOL PLAYOFFS: For Friday night’s high school playoff games, the sky will be cloudy, and some rain is possible, mainly over the southern 2/3 of the state. Temperatures will be in the 60s.

TROPICS: A low pressure area located along a frontal system several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers, mainly east of its center. The low is expected to interact with an upper-level trough through tonight, detach from the front by Thursday, and then possibly acquire some subtropical characteristics on Friday while it moves southward over warmer waters. By this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further development. No impact to land, and the Gulf of Mexico remains quiet.

The Atlantic hurricane season ends Monday, although you can still have a rogue named system into December some years.

ON THIS DATE IN 1986: An EF-3 tornado tore through parts of Coffee, Dale and Barbour Counties in Southeast Alabama. The twister developed in the New Brockton area had a 44 mile intermittent path to the northeast through Ariton, Elamville, Clio and then Clayton where the tornado dissipated.

ON THIS DATE IN 1950: The “Great Appalachian Storm” impacted the eastern part of the US, killing hundreds and causing millions of dollars in damages. New York City recorded a 94 mph wind gust and Bear Mountain, just north of the city recorded a 140 mph gust. Record low temperatures were reported on the southern end of this storm in Tennessee and North Carolina. This storm was unique as Pittsburgh saw 30 inches of snow, while Buffalo saw 50 degrees with 50 mph wind gusts.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here tomorrow morning… Happy Thanksgiving!

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Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Weather Xtreme Videos

About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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