Alabama 811 | Know What's Below.

Mostly Dry Through Friday; Watching The Gulf

| June 14, 2021 @ 5:53 am

A CHANCE TO DRY OUT: While we have a couple of rogue showers near Birmingham and Tuscaloosa early this morning just before sunrise, most of the day will be dry across Alabama as precipitable water values will be coming down. Chance of any one spot seeing a shower this afternoon is only 5-10 percent, and with a partly to mostly sunny sky we expect a high in the low 90s this afternoon. The average high for Birmingham on June 14 is 88.

REST OF THE WEEK: We are forecasting partly to mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only very isolated showers during the afternoon and evening hours tomorrow through Friday. Highs will be mostly in the 86-90 degree range with lows in the 60s. Some of the cooler spots over the northern half of the state might even reach the upper 50s early Wednesday and Thursday morning thanks to the drier air. It will be a welcomed chance to dry out.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: We will bring in a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday over the northern half of the state as tropical moisture begins to increase, and Sunday could very well be wet much of the day as a tropical low moves into Louisiana. We should mention there is considerable uncertainty in the forecast track and timing of the tropical system, and this forecast could change. Highs over the weekend will be in the 80s.

NEXT WEEK: We will maintain an enhanced chance of rain in the forecast Monday with the tropical system nearby; showers and storms should become more scattered in nature over the latter half of the week. Highs will be mostly in the mid to upper 80s… See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: NHC is monitoring two areas this morning. A well-defined, non-tropical low pressure system is located about 120 miles south of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina in the Atlantic. Satellite and radar data indicate that thunderstorm activity has continued to increase and become more concentrated near the center of the low early this morning, and environmental conditions are expected to be at least marginally conducive for tropical cyclone formation. If this recent development trend continues, then a short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm could form later today while the system moves northeastward away from the United States. The low will move over colder waters south of Nova Scotia on Wednesday, ending any opportunity for further development.

Of more interest to Alabamians is the disturbance in the Bay of Campeche in the far Southwest Gulf of Mexico. This is forecast to become a tropical depression late this week as it moves slowly northward. This has potential to bring lots of rain and a high rip current danger to the Gulf Coast from Galveston to the Florida Panhandle, 6-8 days from now. There is potential for the system to become a tropical storm, but for now it looks like the main threat will come from rain, flooding, and rip currents. Interests along the Gulf Coast will need to keep an eye on this one.

RAIN UPDATE: Here are rain totals since January 1, and the departure from average…

Mobile 32.87″ (+3.40″)
Muscle Shoals 32.62″ (+6.50″)
Huntsville 31.65″ (+4.96″)
Tuscaloosa 31.53″ (+5.84″)
Birmingham: 30.41″ (+2.77″)
Montgomery 24.83″ (+0.56″)
Anniston 23.40″ (-2.52″)

ON THIS DATE IN 1903: Major flash flooding along Willow Creek destroyed a significant portion of Heppner, Oregon on this day. With a death toll of 247 people, it remains the deadliest natural disaster in Oregon.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to see the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute show anytime on your favorite podcast app. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Tags: , ,

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Weather Xtreme Videos

About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

Comments are closed.