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Midday Nowcast: Dry Today, Rain Returns this Weekend

| October 28, 2022 @ 10:20 am

We are seeing a mix of sun and clouds across Alabama today with temperatures heading to the mid 70s for most locations. Late tonight, clouds will increase ahead of a disturbance that will bring some rain to the state over the weekend. Lows tonight will be in the 50s for most spots.

FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS: It’s the final week of the regular season, and the weather will be exceptional. The sky will be mostly fair with temperatures falling from the low 70s at kickoff, into the 60s by the second half.

WET AT TIMES THIS WEEKEND: Much needed rain returns to the state this weekend. Our Saturday will feature a mostly cloudy sky, but much of the state will remain dry during the day. Some rain will likely begin over the western counties during the afternoon, and we note a strong storm can’t be ruled out over the southwest corner of the state tomorrow afternoon and evening. The SPC maintains a low end, “marginal risk” (level 1/5) of severe thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon/evening in a zone from near Butler down to the Alabama Gulf Coast.

The main risk from heavier storms tomorrow over Southwest Alabama will come from strong, gusty winds. But, for the rest of Alabama there is very little surface based instability, and there will be little thunder. Periods of rain are likely statewide tomorrow night into Sunday morning. Rain amounts of around one inch are likely over the western half of the state, with amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch for the eastern counties. The rain will end early Sunday as drier air wraps into the state; expect highs in the upper 60s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Tomorrow Auburn hosts Arkansas (11:00a CT kickoff) at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the sky will become mostly cloudy during the game, but we expect the weather to stay dry. Temperatures will rise from near 68 at kickoff into the low 70s during the second half.

The Magic City Classic (Alabama A&M vs Alabama State) is Saturday at Birmingham’s Legion Field (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly cloudy with temperatures hovering around 70 degrees during the first half, falling into the upper 60s by the final whistle. Some light rain can’t be ruled out toward the end of the game.

UAB is at Florida Atlantic in Boca Raton Saturday night (6:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be clear with temperatures falling from near 80 degrees at kickoff, into the mid 70s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: Clouds will linger at times Monday, and some patchy light rain or drizzle can’t be ruled out… but a decent chance most of the state will be dry for the trick or treaters during the evening hours. Tuesday will be dry, but a fast moving disturbance will
bring a few showers on Wednesday. Then, rain-free weather looks likely Thursday and Friday; highs will be in the 70s through the week.

TROPICS: NHC is still monitoring couple of tropical waves in the Atlantic. One is in the Eastern Caribbean, where a broad area of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from the Windward Islands west-northwestward for several hundred miles. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development over the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the disturbance moves slowly westward or west-northwestward over the central Caribbean Sea. Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent.

The second is in the Southwestern Atlantic where a large area of cloudiness and showers extending from near Bermuda southward over the western Atlantic for several hundred miles is associated with a trough of low pressure. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form along the northern portion of the trough axis later today, but environmental conditions are forecast to be only marginally conducive, and any development should be slow to occur. By late Saturday, upper-level winds are forecast to become even less favorable for development, and the low is expected to begin interacting with an approaching frontal system. Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

Hurricane season ends November 30th and the next names up are Lisa and Martin.

BEACH FORECAST CENTER: Get the latest weather and rip current forecasts for the beaches from Fort Morgan to Panama City on our Beach Forecast Center page. There, you can select the forecast of the region that you are interested in visiting.

WORLD TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation outside the U.S. was 111.4F at Victoria River Downs, Australia. The lowest observation was -73.8F at Dome A, Antarctica.

CONTIGUOUS TEMPERATURE EXTREMES: Over the last 24 hours, the highest observation was 91F at Rio Grande Village, TX. The lowest observation was -17F at Peter Sink, UT.

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About the Author ()

Macon, Georgia Television Chief Meteorologist, Birmingham native, and long time Contributor on AlabamaWX. Stormchaser. I did not choose Weather, it chose Me. College Football Fanatic. @Ryan_Stinnet

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