A Sunny November Day

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Vic Bell, our Skywatcher in Northeast Etowah County, is reporting 23 degrees right now. We had forecast a low this morning between 23 and 35 (from valleys to ridgetops), and that looks like it will verify nicely. J.B. will run down a full list of lows a little later this morning.

THE WEEKEND: Sunny and cool weather continues today with a high near 60; we head up into the mid to upper 60s tomorrow and Sunday. Tomorrow will be mostly sunny, but now the NAM and GFS are back on the showery bandwagon for Sunday afternoon and Sunday night with a short wave coming at us from Southeast Texas. If this keeps up on the 12Z runs, we will have to insert the chance of showers back into the forecast for that time period. Still, the most significant rain with that feature should remain west of here.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear but chilly for high school playoff games tonight. Temperatures in the 40s but little or no wind. Louisiana/Monroe will be at Alabama for a 1:30 kickoff tomorrow at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Mostly sunny with temperatures peaking 68 to 70 during the game. UAB is at Memphis for a 2:30 game. Mostly sunny, 65 at kickoff, 50s in the fourth quarter.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: A major weather system will impact much of the nation next week. Confidence is high in the general idea, but nailing down details and the timing this far in advance is always difficult.

The 00Z run of the GFS is a little faster; it now sets up a major snow event for the southern Rockies on Tuesday (great for the skiers, bad for travelers using the airport at Denver). On Wednesday, the busiest travel day of the year, the best chance of snow at this point seems to be in the general area from Oklahoma City to Kansas City to Des Moines and on to Milwaukee. Could be some serious travel problems in that region if this all pans out.

The Gulf of Mexico opens up here on Wednesday and we will need to bring in the chance of showers. The model brings the primary rain and storm event in here Wednesday night and Thanksgiving morning, with the rain moving out during the day Thursday. This solution might be too fast; for now we will maintain the primary event on Thursday with a good soaking for all of Alabama. There could be some strong storms involved as well, but it is way too early to determine if there will be a significant severe weather threat.

Much colder air rolls in here by Friday and the following weekend (November 23-25), perhaps the coldest air so far this season. Right now the weather looks dry but very cold for the Iron Bowl down in Auburn on November 24.

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This morning I will be speaking to the kids at Hall-Kent Elementary School in Homewood… always one of my favorite stops. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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