Gorgeous Weekend Ahead

***No video today due to my work providing weather support to the Honda Indy Grand Prix at Barber Motorsports Park.***

A gorgeous Spring weekend is shaping up for Central Alabama. High pressure at the surface will be situated over the eastern US throughout the weekend keeping the weather just great. Ridging aloft will weaken a tad over the weekend, but the strong westerlies will remain well north of us through the first of the week. Beginning Monday, a strong upper trough will be digging into the Southwest US. This will cut off Tuesday in the vicinity of the Four Corners area and then kick out into the middle of the week. There has been some model inconsistency on timing of this system, but the latest GFS brings the strong upper low into the Mid-Mississippi River Valley on Thursday. A strong surface low will move from Colorado on Tuesday into the eastern Great Lakes on Thursday trailing a strong cold front into the Southeast US.

Based on current model guidance, there is still a great deal of uncertainty especially with timing. The European does not bring the system into the Southeast US until Friday, much slower than the GFS. SPC has highlighted a risk for Day 5, Wednesday, for a large part of Arkansas, West Tennessee, and Southeast Missouri. However, they note that model differences preclude identifying a specific area on Day 6 or 7 due to these differences. Some risk area is likely to be identified as we get closer to the event.

Temperatures will reach into the 70s for highs over the weekend and into the first of the upcoming week. We might even be pushing the 80-degree mark by the time we reach Tuesday and Wednesday, that would be the first 80s for 2013.

-Brian-

Category: Alabama's Weather