Generally Dry Again Today

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PLEASANT MORNING: Just a touch of fall in the air this morning… Russellville has dropped to 55 degrees at daybreak… Cullman is reporting 56. We won’t see too many mornings in the 50s over the next three months. The sky is clear, and the air is pretty dry.

Today will remain dry across the northern half of Alabama with a good supply of sunshine and a high in the upper 80s. Any showers will be confined to South Alabama, and even there they should be widely spaced.

REST OF THE WEEK: Moisture comes back tomorrow, and we will bring back the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”… the high should be in the 86-89 degree range.

A fairly deep moisture axis will cover our state Thursday and Friday, and we project scattered to numerous showers and storms both days. Expect more clouds than sun, with highs in the mid 80s. The rain won’t be continuous, and the sun should peek out at times. The best chance of showers and storms will come during the afternoon and evening hours, but we can’t rule out a late night or morning shower.

GULF OF MEXICO MISCHIEF: A disturbance in the southern Gulf of Mexico has some chance of becoming a tropical depression over the next 48 hours; a hurricane hunter is scheduled to investigate later today. Most models bring the center up toward the Apalachicola/Cedar Key region late Thursday night; we note the NAM is an outlier to the west and shows the center crossing the coast near Pensacola.

One way or another, the main issue with this will be heavy rain over the Florida Peninsula… places like Tampa, Orlando, Daytona, Jacksonville, Fort Myers, Fort Lauderdale, and Miami should get a good soaking in coming days. Some flooding is not out of the question.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Drier air moves into the state just in time for the weekend. Any showers on Saturday should be very hard to find, and most of Alabama looks rain-free Sunday. Highs will remain mostly in the mid to upper 80s.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Needless to say, the weather on the coast will be determined by the movement of the tropical disturbance. Panama City has the greatest chance of getting some rain directly from the tropical low Thursday, but we still believe the most widespread and heavies rain will be east of there.

Generally speaking, from Panama City west to Gulf Shores we expect about 4 to 6 hours of sunshine each day through Friday with scattered showers and storms on a daily basis; the storms should be most numerous tomorrow and Thursday. The weekend should feature 6 to 8 hours of sunshine Saturday and Sunday with widely scattered showers or storms.

Highs on the coast will hold in the 80s, and the sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 82 degrees.

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Tags: warm

Category: Alabama's Weather