Rain is ongoing across Alabama today, and heavier rain and storms are increasing in coverage and will continue to do so through the afternoon, evening, and overnight hours. Some strong and severe storms are possible, but flooding will be the main concern with this event the next 24 hours.
A flood watch is in effect as rain amounts of 1-3 inches are likely; isolated totals to 4 inches are possible with our next storm system Friday, Friday night, and into Saturday.
ACTIVE DAY AHEAD: A dynamic weather system will bring windy and wet weather to Alabama today. SPC maintains an “enhanced risk” (level 3/5) of severe thunderstorms for parts of Northwest and West Alabama… the rest of the state is in a “slight risk” (level 2/5).
VERY PLEASANT WINTER DAY: Temperatures are in the 60s across Alabama this afternoon with a partly to mostly sunny sky. Clouds will increase tonight ahead of an approaching storm system.
THIS AFTERNOON: It is a mild November afternoon across Alabama with a mix of sun and clouds; temperatures have reached the low 70s in many areas. Clouds will increase over the next few hours ahead of a significant weather system approaching from the west.
ACTIVE WEATHER AHEAD: We have a few spotty showers on radar early this morning across Alabama; the air is cool and stable with temperatures in the 40s and 50s at daybreak. The sky will be generally cloudy today with a high at or over 70 degrees in many locations this afternoon. Tonight an organized batch of rain and thunderstorms will roll into the state tonight ahead of a dynamic storm system.
RADAR CHECK: Most of Alabama is rain-free at mid afternoon… with a mix of sun and clouds temperatures are in the 88-92 degree range. Again Mobile is the exception… they are at 97 degrees as I write this. We still have a chance of strong thunderstorms between now and around 10:00 p.m., but SPC has trimmed back the severe weather risk areas on their midday update.
ACTIVE STORMS LATER TODAY: We have a few showers over Northeast Alabama early this morning, but the weather is dry elsewhere with temperatures in the 68-73 degree range at daybreak. A disturbance will bring potential for active thunderstorms in here later today; SPC has defined a “slight risk” (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms for areas north of a line from Reform to Hanceville to Scottsboro.
RADAR CHECK: Scattered showers and storms continue to develop across Alabama this afternoon; they are most numerous over the southeast counties of the state. Storms are producing heavy rain and lots of lightning as they move slowly northward. We will maintain the chance of a few showers and storms tonight in the very humid air across Alabama.
OCEAN OF HUMIDITY: Most of Alabama is dry early this morning, but we expect showers and storms to form again later today in the very humid air over Alabama. The chance of any one spot getting wet today is 40/50 percent, and like yesterday the storms will be very efficient rain producers. The sky will be occasionally cloudy, and the high will be in the mid to upper 80s over the northern counties, with low 90s to the south.
RADAR CHECK: The more numerous showers and thunderstorms across Alabama are over the eastern half of the state this afternoon; stronger storms are capable of producing strong straight line winds (microbursts) as they move slowly to the east/northeast. As expected, temperatures are down today with most places in the 80s… the exception is Mobile and the southwest corner of the state where they are near 100 degrees again this afternoon.
RADAR CHECK: A number of showers and storms are in progress across Alabama early this morning.. .a sign the upper ridge continues weaken over the region. This will lead to lower heat levels today along with higher rain chances. We note SPC has much of Alabama in a “marginal risk” (level 1/5) of severe thunderstorms today.
RADAR CHECK: Showers and strong storms are in progress over parts of East and South Alabama this afternoon where a severe thunderstorm watch is in effect until 7 CT. Heavier storms will produce strong winds and some hail over the next few hours. Showers are more isolated over the western half of Alabama, and the southwest counties are dry and very hot with temperatures in the mid to upper 90s.
RADAR CHECK: Noisy thunderstorms continue over parts of East and Central Alabama this morning around sunrise with heavy rain and gusty winds… some small hail is possible as well. Otherwise, it is a very muggy morning with temperatures in the 75-83 degree range.
Our long time friend, mentor, and charter Weather Factory member, J.B. Elliott, passed away on May 11, 2015. Click HERE to read James' tribute.
