Author Archive: MesoScale Discussion

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely

| October 10, 2018 @ 11:55 am

A tornado watch will be issued by mid afternoon across portions of central and southeast Georgia, and perhaps including parts of north Florida and southern South Carolina. A tornado threat will spread to the northeast as Hurricane Michael tracks toward southwest Georgia by early evening, after making landfall early this afternoon.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 406…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 406…

| October 10, 2018 @ 11:05 am

Tornado risk will continue to increase within the rain bands spreading inland through the afternoon from the central Florida Panhandle to northwest Florida and southwest Georgia, as Hurricane Michael approaches the Florida Panhandle.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 406…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 406…

| October 10, 2018 @ 10:31 am

Tornado risk will continue to increase within the rain bands spreading inland through the afternoon from the central Florida Panhandle to northwest Florida and southwest Georgia, as Hurricane Michael approaches the Florida Panhandle.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Tornado Watch Likely

| October 10, 2018 @ 3:46 am

Mini supercells are becoming increasingly likely early this morning as the outer convective bands of Hurricane Michael move ashore. A tornado risk will accompany the stronger/more persistent mesocyclones/circulations.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| September 27, 2018 @ 2:04 pm

A loosely organized cluster of storms has congealed over the last hour or so along the AL/GA border. Strong winds gusts are possible as the storms move northeast across Georgia.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| September 24, 2018 @ 3:55 pm

A few stronger/organized storms could develop over middle Tennessee and northern Alabama through this evening. Overall, the severe threat will remain isolated if it materializes.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| September 5, 2018 @ 1:24 pm

A brief tornado or two may occur with one of the stronger cells embedded within Tropical Depression Gordon rain bands. A WW issuance is not anticipated.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 369…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 369…

| September 5, 2018 @ 1:52 am

The risk for a brief/weak tornado will continue to diminish as the center of Gordon moves farther inland and the wind fields over southwest AL become less favorable for a brief/weak spinup. The tornado watch may be cancelled early prior to the expiration time of 4am CDT.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 369…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Tornado Watch 369…

| September 4, 2018 @ 10:24 pm

The tornado threat continues across WW 369.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible

| September 4, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

An isolated tornado threat will gradually increase through tonight as Gordon approaches the Alabama/Mississippi coastline. Trends are being monitored for a small Tornado Watch across portions of the discussion area.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| September 4, 2018 @ 1:51 pm

A brief tropical cyclone tornado or two will be possible as Tropical Storm Gordon approaches the Gulf Coast. While not immediately likely, convective trends are being monitored for a Tornado Watch should a greater threat materialize.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible 345…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Possible 345…

| August 20, 2018 @ 5:58 pm

Isolated 50-60 mph gusts, capable of wind damage, are possible with any supercell or stronger multicell early this evening. Although a severe thunderstorm watch will probably not be needed across north-central MS to the south of the existing watches, this area will be monitored.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| August 9, 2018 @ 5:11 pm

Thunderstorms continue develop across portions of Georgia and South Carolina. Severe wind gusts are possible, but an organized severe threat remains unlikely.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Potential… Watch Unlikely

| July 31, 2018 @ 12:51 pm

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon over parts of Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia. A few of the stronger cells will pose a risk of damaging wind gusts. Poor convective organization suggests a watch is not expected.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303…

| July 22, 2018 @ 3:06 pm

The corridor of greatest threat for severe storms through 22z will be from southwest GA into north-central FL.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303… 304…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303… 304…

| July 22, 2018 @ 1:56 pm

Severe storms over southern AL will track southeastward into the FL Panhandle.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303…

| July 22, 2018 @ 12:58 pm

Strong storms continue to affect parts of northeast FL.

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SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303…

SPC Mesoscale Discussion: Severe Thunderstorm Watch 303…

| July 22, 2018 @ 11:27 am

Thunderstorms developing over southern Alabama will likely intensify and become a severe threat in the next 1-2 hours. A new watch or areal extension of WW 303 will be likely.

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