We continue to watch radar/temperature trends tonight. One of our better performing high resolution, short term models is the HRRR, and it is suggesting the freeze line will be north of Birmingham/Tuscaloosa/Anniston/Gadsden early tomorrow morning… If this is indeed the case, most of the freezing rain issues will be north of U.S. 278 (north of […]
Let me say up front this is a low confidence forecast, with bit questions involving the placement of the deepest moisture and the timing of the cold air moving in from the north. Some of you will simply have a cold rain tomorrow, while others will have freezing rain with icy travel. Defining the line […]
Clouds are thick across Central Alabama this afternoon. You can see the precipitation over Arkansas and northern Texas ahead of the next disturbance that will bring a potential wintry mix to North and North Central Alabama late tonight and early Monday. There is a wide disparity in temperatures across the state, ranging from the upper 30s […]
In an earlier post, I noted that the big problem with winter weather in the Southeast US is the uncertainty and how much difference small changes can make in the weather and the impact of that weather. When the latest 12Z GFS model output started coming in, I grabbed two model soundings from the model […]
We continue to carefully monitor the latest indications from models and synoptic data about the potential threat of wintry precipitations late tonight through early Monday morning and again early Tuesday morning. Once again, these are low probability, low certainty but high impact events, so we have to take them very seriously. The high uncertainty means […]
It now includes all of North Alabama… Scroll down for complete details on what to expect… ALABAMA POWER IS READY, ARE YOU? Our friends at Alabama Power are monitoring the forecast closely, ready to deploy people and assets to quickly address any outages that might occur. Read a special message from Ike Piggot about their […]
A complex weather scenario is setting up for Central Alabama for tonight and the first part of Monday. The map just below is the National Weather Service map showing the advisories for the northern half of Alabama. The counties of Marion, Winston, Lamar, Fayette, and Walker are within a winter weather advisory from 10 pm […]
An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here. The weather really warmed up nicely yesterday with most of Central Alabama topping out in the lower to middle […]
This discussion concerns potential travel issues for tomorrow morning; Brian will be along shortly with the regular discussion and a new Weather Xtreme video. The NWS has issued a winter weather advisory for freezing rain advisory for parts of North/Central Alabama for late tonight and tomorrow morning… TIMING: As temperatures fall to freezing, a “wintry […]
Since the generational severe weather outbreak across Alabama on April 27, 2011, thankfully severe weather events have been few in number around here. So, time for a refresher course on getting ready for severe weather issues… GETTING THE WARNING: The baseline is a NOAA Weather Radio. You can find these at retailers like Walgreens, Publix, […]
Our long time friend, mentor, and charter Weather Factory member, J.B. Elliott, passed away on May 11, 2015. Click HERE to read James' tribute.
