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Frost Likely By Daybreak Thursday

| April 10, 2012 @ 6:00 am

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CALM WEATHER: The good news is that there is no severe weather threat for Alabama through the weekend as the main action will remain over the Southern Plains. In fact, there will be some severe weather risk just about every day through the weekend over parts of North Texas and Oklahoma, but around here it will be hard to find any raindrops.

TODAY/TOMORROW: We will call it partly sunny today with a high in the upper 70s; some places could reach the 80 degree mark this afternoon. I guess we might see a shower or thunderstorm on radar over North Alabama later today or early tonight along the cold front moving in from the north, but down this way the chance of rain still looks tiny and we have not mentioned it in the forecast. We will probably bring in the risk of isolated showers and storms in the next update, but again it should not be widespread.

Much cooler air moves into the state tomorrow. We won’t get out of the 60s with a cool north breeze. The sky will be bright and sunny with very low humidity.

FROST EARLY THURSDAY: We are still projecting lows in the 32 to 39 degree range early Thursday. The best chance of seeing freezing temperatures will be over the coldest valleys of Northeast Alabama, but frost is likely elsewhere, and the NWS will be issuing a frost advisory for much of North and Central Alabama. If you planted early (I would like to think blog readers didn’t, since we have been warning of this late season cold snap for weeks), you will need to cover and protect tender vegetation tomorrow night.

I should also note that Friday morning will be chilly as well, and the colder valleys across Northeast Alabama might have a touch of light frost again, but most places will stay above 40 at daybreak Friday.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: We warm up quickly, with mid 70s by Friday, and highs around 80 over the weekend. The weather stays dry, although we will mention a slight risk of a shower Sunday afternoon, mainly over the western third of the state. An upper ridge over the Southeast U.S. should keep the rain west of Alabama through Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: The ridge slowly breaks down, and showers and storms will finally ease in here by Tuesday or Wednesday; the 00Z GFS hints that we might have a severe weather threat, but this is a long way away and we have seen many other runs that looked pretty benign. We will keep an eye on things; we always have to do that in April around here as you know. We should note the 00Z GFS also brings in another shot of chilly air following that mid-week rain/storm event, but getting frost around here doesn’t happen too often after April 15. I think it is pretty safe to plant after Thursday morning. See the Weather Xtreme video for details and all of the graphics.

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I will be speaking at NorthBrook Baptist Church in Cullman this morning… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Category: Alabama's Weather

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James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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