Alabama 811 | Know What's Below.

Forecast Verification

| February 16, 2015 @ 2:23 pm

A look back at the forecast for today, since it has brought out a number of Facebook trolls.

LAST FRIDAY: This is the forecast I produced Friday morning, 72 hours before this morning’s event…

fri_forecast

While this was not correct, note we never forecast a snow event for Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden. Looked like it would be a freezing rain/sleet event at that point. Most of the trolls claim we “forecast a big snow for Birmingham” today, which is simply not true.

SATURDAY NIGHT: This was the forecast 36 hours before the event.

sun-snow (1)

Models trend warmer, the wintry precipitation forecast was shifted north.

SUNDAY MORNING: And, 24 hours before the event…

snow-21

This was pretty accurate, with ice reported this morning down into Blount and St. Clair County.

This is a reminder of the “10 important things people need to know about winter weather forecasting”.

Number four says: We try to provide you with our best forecast of snow/sleet/ice amounts as far in advance as we can. The first forecast numbers won’t usually be as good as the ones closer to the event. That’s just the way it is.

As we roll along this week, please keep checking these discussions for up to date information…

Number six says: If you want the most accurate and up-to-date information, you will have to check the forecast several times a day. Otherwise, you’re working with old information.

A new discussion will be posted shortly…

ALABAMA POWER IS READY, ARE YOU? Our friends at Alabama Power are monitoring the forecast closely, ready to deploy people and assets to quickly address any outages that might occur. Read a special message from Ike Piggot about their commitment to their customers.

Tags:

Category: Alabama's Weather, Hodgepodge

About the Author ()

James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

Comments are closed.