It’s Getting Hot Out There at Midday; The Tropics Are Getting Active

As we have hit the midday hour, other than those fair-weather cumulus clouds dotting the sky, it is sunny across Central Alabama… and it is getting quite warm. I can tell you, because I just got in from mowing my lawn. At 11 am, temperatures were ranging from as low as 80º in Gadsden, to as hot as 92º in Troy. Birmingham was at 87º. Afternoon highs are forecast to range from 89º to 97º from northeast to southwest. Skies will remain mostly clear to clear, and with humidity values lower than usual, the lows in the upper 60s to the lower 70s will feel really nice.

No real change in the weather for Sunday, as we’ll have mostly sunny skies across the area. Temperatures will be a little hotter, but dewpoints will remain slightly lower than usual for this time of year. Highs will be in the mid to upper 90s. Somewhere in the extreme south or southwestern parts of the area may see 100º for the high.

Western Gulf of Mexico: An area of disturbed weather located near the northwestern and central Bahamas is expected to move into the Gulf of Mexico by early next week, where a broad area of low pressure is expected to form. Some slow development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form as it moves westward and approaches the western Gulf of Mexico coastline by the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…50 percent.

East-Southeast of the Lesser Antilles (Invest 90L): A tropical wave located just east of the Windward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the early and middle parts of next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, across the Lesser Antilles and over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…medium…40 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic (Invest 99L): An area of low pressure located roughly halfway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms to the east of its center. Environmental conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further development of this system during the next day or two while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…low…30 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest 98L): Shower and thunderstorm activity continues in association with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for further development of this system, and a short-lived tropical depression is likely to form this weekend while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic. By early next week, upper-level winds over the system are forecast to increase, and further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…70 percent.

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS