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SLOW WARM-UP: Most Alabama communities are or below freezing this morning; Vic Bell at Black Creek (northeast of Gadsden) reports 25 degrees at 5:00… Russellville is the coldest place I can find… they have 21. We warm up into the upper 50s today with sunshine in full supply. Tomorrow will be another sunny day with a high in the low 60s.
RAIN RETURNS OVER THE WEEKEND: Finally getting better computer model clarity, and forecast confidence is accordingly higher. Most of the day Saturday should be dry and pleasant. Partly sunny Saturday with a high in the mid 60s with clouds thickening during the afternoon. The bulk of the rain should come Sunday into Sunday night with a cold front slowly approaching from the northwest. Both the GFS and the ECMWF are showing better dynamic support, and there might even be a few thunderstorms involved Sunday night. And, rain amounts are higher, with most places possible seeing at least one inch of rain before it all ends early Monday.
NEXT WEEK: The rain should end very early Monday morning, possibly during the pre-dawn hours, and most of the day Monday looks dry. Maybe even a few intervals of sunshine. The air won’t be much cooler; we should see a high near 60 degrees Monday.
Then on Tuesday, a deep upper trough passes overhead. Not much moisture to work with, but there could be a little light rain or a few sprinkles. Not sure we can get out of the 40s Tuesday thanks to dynamic cooling, and the ECMWF reflects this well. To the north, a few snow flakes are possible Tuesday over East Tennessee and Kentucky, but it probably won’t amount to much with only limited moisture.
The sky becomes mostly sunny Wednesday, with a high near 60 degrees.
CHRISTMAS WEATHER THOUGHTS: The GFS continues to suggest that our weather will be dry and cold on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day… but keep in mind this is 11-12 days out, and we all know this could change. But, there has been good consistency in the overall idea. Take some time and watch the Weather Xtreme video for a day by day walk through with maps and graphics.
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Category: Alabama's Weather