Rain Chances Increasing Tonight

THIS MORNING: A stalled front is over South Alabama this morning, and a few showers and storms are along and south of the front. The northern half of the state is cool and dry with temperatures in the 40s and low 50s.

During the day today, North Alabama will be dry and pleasant, with a mix of sun and clouds along with a high between 72 and 75… showers and storms remain possible over far South Alabama. And, we should mention there is a “marginal” severe weather risk for Southwest Alabama…

TONIGHT/TOMORROW: We will have to make a pretty big adjustment in our forecast based on overnight model trends; it now looks like moisture will surge northward, and we will need to introduce a chance of rain statewide. Heaviest rain and thunderstorm potential will stay over the southern counties, but no doubt the northern half of the state will have periods of rain tonight and tomorrow. Tomorrow will be cooler due to clouds and rain; the high will be in the mid 60s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: It sure looks like the rain will end pretty early in the day Saturday, so we are now optimistic the afternoon will be dry; maybe even some sun by mid to late afternoon. But, it will be breezy and much cooler with a high only in the mid to upper 50s. Sunday will feature a good supply of sunshine, but breezy and cool with a high between 54 and 57 degrees.

FROST/FREEZE POTENTIAL: Sunday morning will be cold with mid 30s for most places… a few of the colder spots could see a light freeze. But, a north wind of 6-12 mph should prevent frost from forming in most communities. No doubt Monday morning will be colder, with frost likely as the wind becomes calm. We project a low Monday morning between 28 and 34 degrees across North/Central Alabama… growers need to be aware of the freeze potential.

NEXT WEEK: The weather looks dry Monday through Wednesday with a warming trend; showers and storms are possible by Thursday and Friday, and we will need to monitor the setup for potential for strong to severe storms… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: The weather will be wet at times, with occasional showers and thunderstorms through Saturday for the zone between Gulf Shores and Panama City Beach. Then, dry air takes over with mostly sunny weather returning by Sunday and early next week. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

STORM SPOTTER TRAINING: We are offering basic SKYWARN training at several locations across North/Central Alabama in March, followed by the big event, Storm Spotter Xtreme on Saturday, April 9 at the BJCC from 9am to 2pm. This will feature both the basic and advanced SKYWARN classes, along with a session from Kevin Laws of the Birmingham NWS office. And, if you come, you get free admission to the Alabama International Auto Show, going on at the BJCC that same day. There is no cost and no need to register. Just show up with a curious mind. Kids 10 and older will also enjoy this if they love weather and want to learn more. Please help us make the severe weather warning process better!

We will be in Tuscaloosa Tuesday evening…

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I have weather programs today at Kingwood Christian School in Alabaster… and Gwin Elementary in Hoover… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Tags: ANC, showers

Category: Alabama's Weather