Part of NWS/Mobile Statement

..STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE

BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED…THE CENTER OF GUSTAV
IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA ON MONDAY. STARTING
MONDAY MORNING…THE MAXIMUM TOTAL STORM TIDE COULD REACH 6 TO 8 FEET
ALONG SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY FROM CEDAR POINT WESTWARD ACROSS
PORTERSVILLE BAY…CODEN AND BAYOU LA BATRE. ALONG THE WESTERN SHORE
OF MOBILE BAY…TOTAL STORM TIDE FROM THE FOWL RIVER AREA NORTH
ACROSS THE THEODORE INDUSTRIAL CANAL…DOG RIVER…TO THE ALABAMA
STATE DOCKS AND PORT OF MOBILE COULD REACH 4 TO 6 FEET BY MONDAY
MORNING. ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF MOBILE BAY AND SOUTHERN BALDWIN
COUNTY…TOTAL STORM TIDE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 4 TO 6 FEET.

..WINDS

EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 30 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS THIS EVENING. SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 45 TO 55
MPH ARE LIKELY TO OVERSPREAD THE ALABAMA COASTAL AREAS LATE TONIGHT
AND MONDAY MORNING…MAINLY ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10.

..TORNADOES

THE RISK OF TORNADOES IN OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY
EVENING INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN BANDS ON THE EAST SIDE OF TROPICAL
CYCLONES WILL BE MORE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TORNADOES.

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