We Could See An Above-Normal Hurricane Season In 2017
Earlier today, forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center said the Atlantic could see another above-normal hurricane season this year. Forecasters are predicting a 45% chance of the season being above-normal, with a 35% chance of it being around average, and only a 20% chance that the season will be below normal.
According to their forecasts for the season, it is likely that there will be 11 to 17 named storms in the Atlantic basin, with 5 to 9 of those becoming hurricanes, with 2 to 4 of those possibly becoming major hurricanes. An average season usually have 12 named storms, with 6 of those becoming hurricanes, and 3 of those becoming major hurricanes. Tropical Storm Arlene, a rare pre-season storm that formed over the eastern Atlantic in April, has been accounted for in these numbers.
Last year’s Atlantic hurricane season was the most active since 2012. We had a grand total of 15 named storms, with 7 of those going on to become hurricanes, and 4 of those becoming major hurricanes.
There will be an update to this outlook by NOAA in early August, just before the peak of the season.