A Late Evening Look at Alabama’s Weather

Here is a look at the Alabama Weather Situation late this evening.

Rain has overspread most of the southern half of Alabama. The northern edge of the rain extends from near Butler to Selma to Montgomery and Auburn. The rani is mostly light until you get into Southwest Alabama, where stead moderate to heavy rain is occurring across Washington, Mobile, Clarke and Baldwin Counties.

The solid rain area is the moisture associated with the circulation of Tropical Storm Cindy, which continues to loop slowly in the Gulf about 250 miles south of the Louisiana Coast.

Convection is increasing in coastal sections of Alabama, Mississippi and Southeast Louisiana. A tornado watch will be likely issued for coastal sections.

A few light and dying showers are falling across Lamar County as well as over St. Clair County and over in Cleburne County. These showers will continue to die overnight.

Cindy remains poorly organized and beset with dry air and wind shear. This is keeping the storm from intensifying. It should begin moving west northwest and then northwest toward the Louisiana and Texas border, where it should make landfall tomorrow night. There is a chance that it could intensify before landfall, but it appears to be small.

The area of rain should begin to move northward during the morning tomorrow as the low makes its move to the coast. A steady light to moderate rain should continue much of the afternoon and evening across the northern half of the state.

Around 1.25-1.50 inches of rain should fall in the I-20 Corridor through Thursday evening. Amounts will taper up to the south and west of I-59. Amounts will taper down to the north and east.

The forecast for Thursday and Friday is a little more uncertain. It has generally been believed that heavy rain would continue into Thursday, but recent model runs seem to indicate that rain and storms will be focused more along the Alabama/Mississippi border. Friday looks like it will have scattered storms in a warm, soupy airmass.

The moisture will pool ahead of an approaching front that will sink into Alabama Friday night. Showers and storms will be with us much of Saturday. Severe weather could be a threat then. Rainfall amounts will average one inch in the I-20 Corridor with amounts tapering up to nearly two inches across the Tennessee Valley.

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS