Brian Peters: Turning Cloudy, Wet In Alabama After Today

By Brian Peters

Brian Peters: Cool weekend with rain arriving Sunday from Alabama NewsCenter on Vimeo.

High cirrus clouds were streaming across the Alabama sky this morning as we start the day out on a very chilly note. High pressure had settled into the Southeast US with the center of the high right over Auburn, AL, and morning readings were in the 20s all the way down to extreme southern Alabama. We should see a good deal of sunshine today though it will be filtered through high cirrus clouds. High temperatures will reach the upper 40s and lower 50s.After today, the pattern turns wet. Just how wet depends on which model you choose to make the forecast from. The ECMWF is much drier than the NAM or the GFS, but even with the drier ECMWF, it will be cloudy for most of the first half of the week. The upper air pattern starts out with two short waves in the Southwest US, one over extreme West Texas, and another over southern California. The first one ejects out quickly reaching the Ohio River Valley by midday on Sunday. Rain should push eastward with this system, be the strong ridge in place over Cuba and the Bahamas will slow the eastward progression of rain on Sunday. West Alabama will see rain Sunday morning, while East Alabama may not see rain at all with much drier air in place there along with the substantial ridge. We should see some warming with southwesterly flow aloft along with a return to southerly flow at the surface. I expect to see highs in the lower to middle 50s. There does not appear to be enough instability to have concerns for severe weather except along the immediate coast.

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