Line Of Storms Is Forming Out West, Still Quiet In North/Central AL

The line of storms that will move through later tonight and into the morning hours on Tuesday is now starting to form over the southern parts of Arkansas and into the northwestern parts of Louisiana and into far eastern Texas. A good bit of shower and thunderstorm activity is currently moving through the western portions of Kentucky and Tennessee. The good news is that none of this activity is severe and there are no severe watches issued at this point.

There have been no major changes at all in the forecast at all throughout the day today. The window of severe storms throughout the event in North and Central Alabama remains to be from 9:00 PM tonight through 9:00 AM Tuesday. The timing of the storms in the Enhanced Risk area will be from 9:00 PM to 3:00 AM, with the Slight Risk area in the 12:00 AM to 6:00 AM time frame. Storms will be in the Marginal Risk areas from 3:00 AM to 9:00 AM on Tuesday.

A squall line will be entering the state right around or before the midnight hour tonight that will bring the larger threat of damaging winds and maybe a couple brief spin-up tornadoes, but we’ll have the risk of supercells developing out ahead of the line that will have the larger threat of tornadoes. That is why the start times of the severe weather is earlier than the arrival of the squall line. Some hail may be possible, but not likely with this event.

An Enhanced Risk for severe storms continues for locations in North Alabama north of a line from just south of Sulligent (Lamar Co) to Falkville (Morgan Co.) to Stevenson (Jackson Co.). A Slight Risk continues for an area stretching as far south as Gainesville (Sumter Co.) to Vestavia Hills (Jefferson Co.) to Piedmont (Calhoun Co.). A Marginal Risk continues for an area that extends as far south as Needham (Choctaw Co.) to Billingsley (Autauga Co.) to Wadley (Randolph Co.).

The Day 2 Outlook keeps a Marginal Risk for severe storms but has been adjusted to roughly the southeastern corner of Central Alabama through the morning hours on Tuesday. The Slight Risk has been removed from extreme eastern parts of the area.

Please remember… Just because you are not located in the Enhanced or Slight Risk does not mean you are in the clear. You can still have damaging winds and tornadoes, but the chance for these are lower. Still, keep your plan ready to go. If your location goes under a warning, know what to do.

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS