Alabama 811 | Know What's Below.

Localized Mesoscale Discussion Focusing On The Southwestern Parts Of The Area

| December 16, 2019 @ 6:19 pm

Areas affected…southeast MS into far west-central AL

Concerning…Tornado Watch 702…

Valid 170012Z – 170215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 702 continues.

SUMMARY…A corridor for enhanced tornado potential will extend in
the near term across southeast MS with a discrete supercell. The
risk may continue into far west-central AL between 730-800pm CST.

DISCUSSION…Radar imagery shows a discrete supercell over Jones
County, MS with a messy supercell structure straddling Smith/Jasper
counties as of 610pm CST. The low-level airmass is gradually
moistening along the MS/AL border with surface dewpoints immediately
downstream of the supercells slowly rising into the upper 60s
degrees F. The observed 00z Slidell, LA sounding showed 1600 J/kg
MLCAPE and a 15 g/kg lowest 100mb mean mixing ratio. Farther north
ahead of the aforementioned storms, RAP forecast soundings show
enlarged low-level hodographs with around 300-350 m2/s^2 0-1km SRH
and around 1000 J/kg MLCAPE. The greater risk for a tornado or
series of tornadoes will likely accompany the discrete cell during
the next 1-2 hours.

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Severe Weather

About the Author ()

Scott Martin is an operational meteorologist, professional graphic artist, musician, husband, and father. Not only is Scott a member of the National Weather Association, but he is also the Central Alabama Chapter of the NWA president. Scott is also the co-founder of Racecast Weather, which provides forecasts for many racing series across the USA. He also supplies forecasts for the BassMaster Elite Series events including the BassMaster Classic.

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