A Benign Weather Pattern

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SCATTERED SHOWERS: Today will be very similar to yesterday; a moist low level easterly flow will continue across the state, meaning lots of clouds and a few showers around. Rain will be light and spotty, and temperatures will remain well below average values for early September. Parts of North Alabama will have a hard time getting out of the 70s today; we should be in the upper 80s this time of the year.

TOMORROW THROUGH SATURDAY: These three days look generally dry, although a shower or two could show up along the way. The chance of any one spot getting wet is so small, we really don’t need to mention it in the forecast for now. Temperatures will be a bit warmer, with highs mostly in the mid 80s. Early morning lows will remain in the 60s. Rain should not be a problem for high school football games tomorrow and Friday night.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEATHER: Auburn will host Louisiana Tech for their home opener Saturday evening at 6:00 at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the sky will be partly cloudy with only a very slight chance of a shower during the game. The kickoff temperature will be close to 80, dropping into the mid to upper 70s during the game. We will promise no rain for the Alabama/Virginia Tech game Saturday night in Atlanta, simply because the game is inside the Georgia Dome. Duh.

SUNDAY AND NEXT WEEK: Moisture levels will increase, and it looks like we will need to mention a chance of showers on a daily basis Sunday through at least Wednesday. Daytime temperatures will remain below average due to the clouds and showers. Rain probably won’t be too heavy, but a shower or two will be possible each day.

TROPICS: Tropical Storm Erika is near the Leeward Islands, and is forecast to move slowly to the northwest during the next five days, winding up somewhere east of the Bahamas by Sunday night. Hostile upper air winds and dry air near the system should mean minimal strengthening; NHC keeps the system a tropical storm for the next five days. Still too early to determine the final track; most likely it will behave like other tropical storms this year, recurving just off the upper Atlantic coast of the U.S.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic basin, a tropical wave is in the East Atlantic near the Cape Verde Islands; that one seems like a candidate to recurve over the open Atlantic with no impact to land.

Hurricane Jimena is about to make landfall along the coast of Baja California; it continues to weaken with winds of 105 mph now. The latest NHC track stalls the system out over the central Baja peninsula in coming days; if that is correct it could lead to catastrophic flooding.

FOLLOW ALONG: Here are our weather team Twitter accounts….
James Spann
Jason Simpson
Ashley Brand
J.B. Elliott
Bill Murray
Brian Peters
Dr. Tim Coleman
E-Warn (Alabama severe weather watches and warnings)

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