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Sam is Just Shy of Category 5 Strength; Core Will Pass Well East of Bermuda Tonight

| October 1, 2021 @ 10:02 am

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
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LOCATION…28.4N 61.8W
ABOUT 325 MI…520 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…150 MPH…240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 355 DEGREES AT 21 MPH…33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…936 MB…27.64 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Bermuda

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
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At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Sam was located near latitude 28.4 North, longitude 61.8 West. Sam is moving toward the north near 21 mph (33 km/h). A turn toward the north-northeast, at a slightly slower forward speed, is expected by tonight, followed by a northeastward motion Saturday night through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Sam will pass well to the east of Bermuda tonight.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher gusts. Sam is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Although fluctuations in intensity are still possible today, weakening is forecast during the next couple of days. However, Sam is expected to remain a major hurricane through at least Saturday night.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 936 mb (27.64 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda beginning tonight or early Saturday.

SURF: Swells generated by Sam will impact the northern Leeward Islands and the Greater Antilles, including Puerto Rico, during the next couple of days. Swells are expected to reach Bermuda and the Bahamas this afternoon, and then spread to the United States east coast and Atlantic Canada on Saturday. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

Category: ALL POSTS, Severe Weather, Tropical

About the Author ()

Scott Martin is an operational meteorologist, professional graphic artist, musician, husband, and father. Not only is Scott a member of the National Weather Association, but he is also the Central Alabama Chapter of the NWA president. Scott is also the co-founder of Racecast Weather, which provides forecasts for many racing series across the USA. He also supplies forecasts for the BassMaster Elite Series events including the BassMaster Classic.

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