Cloudy, Cool Weather Continues

| November 23, 2009 @ 6:13 am | 3 Replies

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CLOUDS HANG TOUGH: I honestly don’t think today will be much different than yesterday. Cloudy and cool… Birmingham is at 49 degrees at 5:00 this morning; we will struggle to reach the mid 50s today.

TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: The GFS seems out to lunch tomorrow; the MOS (model output statistics) product shows a high of 65 tomorrow; that is at least 5 degrees too warm as it seems like the clouds will go nowhere. The NAM is printing a high of only 53 tomorrow with some hint of a wedge, and is most likely closer to the truth. The GFS had no clue yesterday, and we will reject it for guidance this week. So, tomorrow looks like another cloudy, cool day with temperatures holding in the 50s much of the day. A front could squeeze out a shower somewhere tomorrow night, but the chance of any one spot getting wet is only about one on ten. Then, on Wednesday, we are optimistic the sun will break out for a while with temperatures headed for the low 60s.

THANKSGIVING DAY/FRIDAY: A sharp upper trough will form over the eastern U.S., and will make for a sharp change to colder weather for us. No rain is expected, but Thanksgiving Day could be rather blustery, with temperatures struggling to get out of the 40s and a cool north breeze along with a mix of sun and clouds. Looks like a good chance we will be in the upper 20s at daybreak Friday when the big sales begin, but the sky will be clear. Friday will be sunny and chilly with a high in the upper 40s.

IRON BOWL: Looks like a great day for football. Friday will be sunny and cool at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the kickoff temperature will be close to 50 degrees, falling back into the 40s during the second half as the sun goes down.

WEEKEND PEEK: For now the weekend looks dry and pleasant with a high in the 50s on Saturday, with low 60s on Sunday. We should enjoy a pretty decent amount of sunshine both days.

NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: Looks like a Gulf storm will bring rain back to Alabama early next week. And, we will watch the very cold air that has been over Alaska; it looks like it is on the move. I saw this report from Todd Foisy, our Skywatcher in Girdwood, Alaksa (who also works for the National Weather Service);

“High 32.5/Low 14.0/Current 32.4/Precip 0.06″/Snow 0.6″/Snow Depth 7″ Temperatures are now above freezing for the first time since the 7th, and snow has changed to rain.”

That means the air is on the move, and should invade the continental U.S. in early December. Needless to say, we won’t know specifics for a while, but we will be watching to see if there are signs any of this cold air will make a run for the Deep South. And, with the El Nino storm machine cranking out Gulf lows every four to five days, we might have one or two possibilities from the winter fun and games department. We will see.

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I will be doing a weather program this morning at Elvin Hill Elementary in Columbiana… the next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 3:30 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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James Spann is one of the most recognized and trusted television meteorologists in the industry. He holds the AMS CCM designation and television seals from the AMS and NWA. He is a past winner of the Broadcast Meteorologist of the Year from both professional organizations.

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