Tornado Threat Focused on SE Corner of Central Alabama for the Next Hour or Two

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 22 continues.

SUMMARY… The tornado threat across southeast Alabama into southwest Georgia will be focused ahead of a long-lived supercell that has a history of producing at least one tornado.

DISCUSSION… A long-lived supercell across southeast AL has persisted over the past several hours despite experiencing multiple undercutting RFD surges. More recently, this storm has produced at least one radar-confirmed tornado. While the duration of a tornado may be limited due to the potential for additional disruptive RFD surges, re-organization of the cell appears likely given 1) a favorable downstream environment into southwest GA on the nose of a high theta-e axis at the surface, and 2) the low probability of destructive interference from convection within the storm’s inflow region. Consequently, this cell will continue to pose a tornado (as well as damaging winds and severe hail) threat for at least the next 1-2 hours.

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Severe Weather