Dry but Cold

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For the next several days, through Tuesday, we should remain dry, but it will also remain cold. The big upper closed low and trough will finally edge eastward taking that big storm into Canada. However, that will put the Southeast under a good northwesterly flow helping to reinforce the cold air. For today we should see about 50 for the high with some cirrus clouds as we saw yesterday filtering the sunshine. Monday will be a bit nippier with a high only in the lower to middle 40s.

A short wave trough approaches out of the southern Rockies on Tuesday with a surface low forming in the Northwest Gulf of Mexico. I do not expect rain here on Tuesday but it will be a transition day as we see clouds increase and thicken up. The precipitation will arrive early Wednesday morning and it could begin as sleet or freezing rain especially west and north of Birmingham. I do not expect to see any major travel issues at this time as the precipitation should change over to all rain fairly quickly. Rainfall amounts will probably be around half an inch with amounts increasing as you move south from Birmingham. The highest rainfall totals should be along the Gulf Coast.

The surface low moves to the northeast Thursday ending the precipitation. A fast moving short wave comes by on Friday and this could produce some patchy light snow, snow flurries, or a few snow showers as another low moves across the Central Gulf. Again, this does not look like a significant snowfall for us. It goes without saying that we will need to be watchful since a small change in the track of the surface low can have a major impact on the weather we get.

As we head into the first weekend of 2010, it looks cold but dry.

As you might expect, the peek at voodoo country is fascinating. The GFS continues to paint an active flow pattern with a continuation of cold weather and surface lows in the Gulf. In fact, if the January 6th forecast is true, it looks like a major snow event for Arkansas, Oklahoma, the eastern half of Texas and parts of Tennessee, Mississippi, and Louisiana. We’ll see how all that develops.

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I hope that you have a great day. Cirrus clouds can present some interesting patterns in the sky, so keep you eye on the sky. Godspeed.

-Brian-

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