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Showers Quieting Down at Midday; More Expected to Form This Afternoon

| September 16, 2023 @ 12:00 pm

While the shower activity across Central Alabama has calmed down since earlier this morning, the HRRR is showing the potential for more scattered showers and a few rumbles of thunder during the afternoon hours and persist through the evening and into the overnight. The large batch of showers has mostly moved over into Georgia with a few lingering showers left over portions of Lee and Russell counties. The rest of the activity is much lighter and spotty in nature. Temperatures were ranging in the lower 70s to the lower 80s as of 11 am, and afternoon highs are still expected to reach the upper 70s to the upper 80s.

A cool front will eventually push the moisture eastward through the overnight and into the morning hours on Sunday. Rain chances will taper off from west to east, and much of Central Alabama will have bright sunshine and decreasing clouds by late morning into the early afternoon. We should be completely dry by the mid-afternoon and through the remainder of your Sunday. Highs will range from the lower 80s in the northeast to the upper 80s in the south and southwest.

The work week forecast shows that it will be fantastic with mild to warm temperatures and plenty of sunshine on each day. However, there is some model madness out there in Voodoo Land that shows a cut-off low developing around the Florida Peninsula on the Atlantic side, and potentially forming into a rainmaker for the southeast on Saturday and Sunday, including Central Alabama. The European model keeps it as a general surface low with plenty of precipitation over the southeast. The GFS is giving it some extra spin and making it a tropical depression or a very weak tropical storm, but it is keeping the rain associated with it just offshore. This is not a forecast, but it is something that we’ll have to keep our eyes on throughout the next few days to see if it happens. After that, it looks like we will stay dry through the 28th… but, that’s out there in Voodoo Land.

Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Tropical

About the Author ()

Scott Martin is an operational meteorologist, professional graphic artist, musician, husband, and father. Not only is Scott a member of the National Weather Association, but he is also the Central Alabama Chapter of the NWA president. Scott is also the co-founder of Racecast Weather, which provides forecasts for many racing series across the USA. He also supplies forecasts for the BassMaster Elite Series events including the BassMaster Classic.

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