Wet-Down Ahead

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GOOD SOAKING: Our next southern stream storm system is here; rain is falling over much of West and South Alabama this morning, and rain will be widespread statewide this afternoon and tonight. The most recent model runs are drier; the NAM is now printing 0.95″ for Birmingham, while the GFS shows 1.44″. We don’t expect any major flooding problems around here, although the NWS in Mobile has issued a flash flood watch for their counties down in South Alabama, where rain amounts could be heavier.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: The heaviest rain will move east of Alabama by tomorrow morning as the surface low in the Gulf moves up into southern Georgia. However, clouds will hang around all day with some light rain or drizzle. Saturday still looks like a rather raw day, with clouds, a chilly north breeze, and temperatures in the 40s all day. We might see a little drizzle Saturday morning, but most of the day should be dry. Then, sunshine returns in full force Sunday with a high in the upper 40s.

NEXT WEEK: The next storm system in the southern jet will arrive early in the week, with periods of rain by Monday night and Tuesday. This one doesn’t look quite as wet; rain amounts of 1/2 inch seem likely. We note the ECMWF is slower, showing most of the rain on Tuesday. All global models are showing the atmosphere to be warm enough for all rain here in Alabama; some snow is possible to the north over Arkansas and Tennessee.

VOODOO LAND: Keep an eye on that storm system at the end of next week and the following weekend (2/12-14)… strongly negative AO and major southern branch storm usually means snow or ice some somebody over the southern half of the nation. The operational GFS runs have been showing mostly rain here, but nobody knows for now. Watch the Weather Xtreme video for more details.

STORM ALERT 2010 IS COMING TO WALKER COUNTY: Our annual severe weather rolls along; our next stop will be on Thursday February 11 at Bevill State Community College in Sumiton. You can meet the ABC 33/40 Weather team, see some amazing Alabama weather stories, learn how to keep your family safe this tornado season, and win some cool stuff. The show begins at 7:00; be sure and get there early to get a good seat. See the entire tour schedule here!

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I am on the road this morning to Clay County to speak at Lineville Elementary School… I will be back by early afternoon and the next Weather Xtreme video will be posted by 3:30 this afternoon. Enjoy the day and stay dry!

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