Ain’t No Sunshine

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Anybody remember this one by Brother Bill Withers?

“Ain’t no sunshine when she she’s gone
it’s not warm when she’s away
Ain’t no sunshine when she’s gone
And she’s always gone too long anytime she goes away.
Wonder this time where she’s gone wonder if she’s gonna stay”

I think the lack of a bright, sunny sky is beginning to get on some nerves, but just hang on until Friday and you will have the kind of day you want.

TONIGHT AND TOMORROW: An upper low over the Southeast U.S. will keep us cloudy and cool through tomorrow. The sun might pop out at times tomorrow, but don’t hold your breath. And, don’t believe the model output statistics (MOS) products from the models; they have been way too warm all week. We might make it to 60 tomorrow, but no promises for sure. And, we should mention we will have to maintain the chance of a little scattered light rain or drizzle at times, but rain amounts, if any, should be light and spotty.

FRIDAY: How about a bright sunny day with a high in the low 70s? That is what we will forecast on Friday; it will finally feel like spring. Bone crushing subsidence under a ridge aloft will send the clouds packing.

THE WEEKEND: Saturday still looks pretty decent; it will be a mild and breezy day with a mix of sun and clouds and a high in the low 70s. Clouds will begin to thicken by afternoon as a cold front gets closer. That front will bring a band of showers and storms to Alabama late Saturday night into early Sunday morning; watch the Weather Xtreme video and you will see the 12Z run of the GFS is a little faster, suggesting the showers and storms will come in the 9:00 p.m. Saturday to 9:00 a.m. Sunday time frame. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch are likely, and with no surface based instability, the chance of a big severe weather event remains low. But, you have to keep an eye on any system like this in mid-March for possible surprises.

Sunday looks like a raw, breezy, cool day with lingering clouds. I would not be shocked if we spend the day in the 40s.

NEXT WEEK: Monday morning still looks cold. The new GFS is printing 36 degrees for Birmingham; I think it is best to forecast lows in the mid 30s, but look out for a freeze across the colder valleys and protected areas of North and Central Alabama. Then, a warming trend begins Monday afternoon with a high in the mid 60s; we rise to near 70 on Tuesday with a sunny sky. The GFS remains steady in forecasting the next significant rain event for Alabama on Thursday of next week, March 25.

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