The Sun Comes Out Tomorrow

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How about this one from the musical “Annie”?

“The sun’ll come out
Tomorrow
Bet your bottom dollar
That tomorrow
There’ll be sun!

Just thinkin’ about
Tomorrow
Clears away the cobwebs,
And the sorrow
‘Til there’s none!”

TODAY: We begin the day with the persistent cloud cover across Alabama, but there is actually a chance the sun will peek out at times this afternoon as sinking air begins to crush the clouds away. If we can see a little sun, we will see a high today around 60 degrees. We should note there is some risk of a little light rain or drizzle in spots this morning, but nothing really significant.

TOMORROW: This continues to be the day with the best promise of sunshine this week; a sunny sky with a high in the low 70s. Sure sounds good, and let’s hope we are right!

WEEKEND STORM SYSTEM: The global models are trending stronger with our weekend storm system, but before it gets here we will enjoy one more mild and dry day on Saturday, with a mix of sun and clouds and a high in the low 70s. Winds will pick up during the day (out of the southwest), and clouds will thicken by late afternoon.

Watch the Weather Xtreme video and you will see how the 00Z GFS handles the situation. It is stronger, and slower, bringing in the band of showers and storms Sunday morning, with the target time in the 3:00 to 9:00 a.m. time range. Dynamic forcing looks pretty impressive, and with some very decent helicity values, we will really have to monitor this system for severe weather potential. As we have pointed out here in recent days, the limiting factor is instability. Models continue to show no surface based CAPE (convective available potential energy) here in Alabama, which could keep the whole thing in check. However, if we do wind up with some instability, especially if the storms come in after sunrise, we might be dealing with a squall line with good potential for damaging wind. We will keep an eye on this as the weekend gets closer.

As the rain moves out, much colder air moves in. Sunday will be a rather raw day with lingering clouds, a chilly northwest wind, and temperatures hovering in the 45 to 50 degree range during the day.

NEXT WEEK: The 00Z GFS is printing 39 degrees Monday morning; we will continue to forecast mid 30s, with potential for a freeze for the colder valleys and protected areas across North and Central Alabama. But, we warm into the low 60s Monday afternoon with a good supply of sunshine. The weather will be dry and mild on Tuesday and Wednesday, but things turn wet at the end of the week, with rain likely on Thursday and Friday (March 25-26).

FOLLOW ALONG: Here are our weather team Twitter accounts….

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 30 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. You can even listen here on the blog; look for the player on the top left.

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 3:30 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

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