Good Old Summertime

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Well, it’s finally happened. The summertime weather pattern seems to have come back with a vengeance. After what seems like months with a trough somewhere near the east coast of the US, our summertime upper ridge has nudged the trough out to sea. And if the GFS is correct, the upper ridge has planted itself over the Southeast never to change again! Okay, okay, maybe that’s a bit of an overstatement. More correctly stated, the GFS has the ridge over the Southeast through the next two weeks!

There is one small fly (as opposed to the spider on the Skycam) in the ointment – this weak low in the northern Gulf somewhere south of Mobile. I’m not certain that the GFS or NAM know quite what to do with it. They have somewhat similar solutions today with just keeping it stationary and washing it out with time. That is probably what will happen since these complex models do a pretty good job of keeping up with millions of numbers. But when I think about what this weak disturbance could do for the drought situation, I have hopes that it might meander northward and bring a couple of days of rain. This hope does not spring from scientific analysis, but rather my human side which has been and continues to hope for rain. We’ll see.

With the upper ridge taking up residence, we’re going to stay hot for the foreseeable future. It does not appear to be extreme heat though I did record a high to 99 yesterday. Rather this looks more like mid 90s with some readings getting into the upper 90s from time to time. Certainly a good idea to keep your eye on the heat index and drink plenty of water if you are participating in outside activities whether that be work or play. Isolated showers will remain possible primarily in the heat of the day, but there do not appear to be any signs of any organized to give us anything more than a slight chance of showers.

Tropics are a bit active in two spots – the northern Gulf and the eastern Caribbean. Neither of these areas is showing signs of anything at the moment, but conditions are somewhat neutral so slow development is a possibility. It’s interesting to note that the eastern Caribbean disturbance has maintained itself for quite some time now inspite of slightly drier air that has been noted on the water vapor imagery.

And into voodoo land, just the upper ridge. Not much to write home about.

Thanks for dropping by the Blog and checking out the Weather Xtreme Video. I should have the next one posted tomorrow morning by 8 am or so. Stay cool and God bless.

-Brian-

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